The Big Picture

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The Big Picture Page 49

by Carroll, Sean M.


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  egy.” As hoped, the benchmark strategy proved to do a respectable job; in

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  a large number of trials, it typically reached about 69 percent of a per-

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  fect score.

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  Alternatively, we can be inspired by nature’s method, and evolve a strat-

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  egy using directed evolution. A specific strategy for Robby is like a specific

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  list of nucleotides in a DNA helix, a discrete information- carrying string.

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  We can artificially evolve it by starting with some number of randomly

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  chosen strategies, letting them run for a while, and picking out the ones

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  that do the best. Then we make several copies of each survivor, “mutating”

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  each copy by randomly altering a few of the specific actions each strategy

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  specifies for a particular state, and even mimicking sexual reproduction by

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  cutting strategies and pasting them together with other ones. The process

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  is reminiscent of evolution. Can it find strategies for Robby that are better

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  than the “pretty good” designed one?

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  Yes, it can. Evolution easily found much better solutions than design.

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  After only 250 generations, the computer was doing as well as the

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  benchmark strategy, and after 1,000 generations, it had reached almost 97

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  percent of a perfect score.

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  After a genetic algorithm has evolved, we can go back and watch what

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  it does, trying to figure out what made it so effective. This tricky bit of

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  reverse- engineering is increasingly a real- world challenge. Many useful

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  computer programs operate according to genetically constructed algo-

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  rithms that no human programmer actually understands, which is a scary

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  thought. Fortunately, Robby’s choices are sufficiently constrained that we

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  can try to figure out what is going on.

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  Robby’s best strategies improve on the benchmark in a number of clever

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  ways. Consider a situation where Robby is on a square containing a can, and

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  the squares to the east and west also contain cans. The benchmark strategy,

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  quite naturally, instructs him to pick up the can. But think about what will

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  happen next: Robby will move either east or west, thereby losing track of the

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  can in the other direction. The genetic algorithm, though it was constructed

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  using nothing but random variations and selection, “figured this out,” and

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  came up with a better strategy. When Robby is in the middle of a sequence of

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  three cans, he doesn’t pick up the one on his square; he moves east or west

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  until he’s reached the edge of the can grouping, and only then does he pick up

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  a can. Next, quite naturally, he moves back into the grouping, scooping up

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  cans along the way. This and other bits of clever engineering turn out to be

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  enormously more effective than the “obvious” designed benchmark strategy.

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  Evolution isn’t always better than design. An omniscient designer could

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  find the best strategy every time. The point is that natural selection, or di-

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  rected evolution in this case, is a really good search strategy. It doesn’t nec-

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  essarily find the best solution, but it regularly finds impressively clever ones.

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  As wonderful as evolution is at searching for peaks in a complex, high-

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  dimensional fitness landscape, there are places that it won’t find. Consider

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  a landscape with a very high mountain, separated by a long, flat plain from

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  a collection of undulating hills. And imagine a population whose genomes

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  are located within those hills. The process of small variation and natural

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  selection will let the species explore around the hills, looking for the highest

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  point it can find. But as long as the variations in the genome within the

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  population remain small, all of the individuals will remain in the grouping

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  of hills. None will have any reason to make a long, unrewarding trek across

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  the flat plain to get to the isolated peak. Evolution can’t see globally across

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  the space of genomes and find a better one; it proceeds locally through ran-

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  dom variation and then an evaluation (through reproduction) of how well

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  that particular variation is doing at the moment.

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  A fitness landscape with an isolated peak that would be difficult for natural selection to find.

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  The failure to find an isolated solution to some problem within a long

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  list of possibilities isn’t unique to evolution. Almost every efficient search

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  strategy attempts to take advantage of structure within the list of

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  possibilities— such as the fact that nearby points on a fitness landscape have

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  similar values of fitness— rather than blindly scanning every option. It

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  could, however, enable an empirical challenge to natural selection as the

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  correct theory of the evolution of species. If someone could show that a

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  particular organism’s genome had high fitness within the landscape defined

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  by its environment, but could not be “found” by the strategy that evolution

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  employs, it would decrease our credence in Darwin’s theory.

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  Given any one particular genome, how do we know that it is an isolated

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  peak in the fitness landscape? Such peaks almost certainly exist, although

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  they might be less common than they first appear. When we draw a two-

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  dimensional landscape, isolated peaks are almost inevitable, but when the

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  underlying space has many more dimensions (like the 25,000 or so genes

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  in a human being), there can be a lot more paths to get from one peak to

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  another.

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  A possible criterion for genomes that wouldn’t be produced by evolution

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  was put forward by Michael Behe, a critic of natural selection and advocate

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  of intelligent design. In an attempt to show that certain organisms couldn’t

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  have arisen through conventional Darwinian evolution, Behe proposed the

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  notion of “irreducible complexity.” An irreducibly complex system, in Behe’s

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  definition, is one whose functioning involves a number of interacting parts,

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  with the property that every one of the parts is necessary for the system to

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  function. The idea is that certain systems are made of parts that are so inti-

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  mately interconnected that they can’t arise gradually; they must have come

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  together all at once. That’s not something we would expect from evolution.

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  The problem is that the property of irreducible complexity isn’t readily

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  measurable. To illustrate the concept, Behe mentions an ordinary mouse-

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  trap, with a spring mechanism and a release lever and so forth. Remove any

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  one of the parts, he argues, and the mousetrap is useless; it must have been

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  designed, rather than incrementally put together through small changes

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  that were individually beneficial.

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  Incremental evolution of a complex mousetrap, as designed by John McDonald. The trap starts 33

  as a simple wire that can snap shut when disturbed. In a series of steps, it adds: a spring, some 34

  bait, resting on its side, attached to a platform, a longer “hammer,” a tripwire, a staple to hold the 35S

  tripwire, a shorter spring wire, an even shorter spring wire, a separate catch to hold the tripwire, 36N

  separating the hammer from the spring, and finally a more elaborate catch to release the trap.

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  You can probably guess what happened next. At least two different peo-

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  ple (John McDonald and Alex Fidelibus) presented possible “evolutionary

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  paths” that mousetraps might have followed. They created a series of de-

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  signs, starting very simply and becoming gradually more complex, of work-

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  ing mousetraps. Each step worked a little better than the previous one,

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  despite differing by only a small change. And the final step was precisely a

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  modern mousetrap. Adding insult to injury, Joachim Dagg investigated the

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  way that actual mousetraps have changed over the years, showing that (de-

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  spite being designed) they evolved gradually rather than appearing all at

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  once. In Dagg’s words, “All prerequisites for evolution (variation, transmis-

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  sion, and selection) abound in mousetrap populations.”

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  Irreducible complexity reflects a deep concern that many people have about

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  evolution: the particular organisms we find in our biosphere are just too

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  designed- looking to possibly have arisen through “random chance plus se-

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  lection.”

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  A version of this conviction can be traced back to William Paley, of the

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  watchmaker analogy. Paley wrote before Darwin came on the scene, but he

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  put some effort into attempting to refute any future Darwin- like thinker

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  who would deny God’s central role in explaining the complexity of the

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  world. His favorite example was the eye. The word “eye” appears more than

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  two hundred times in Paley’s Natural Theology: or, Evidences of the Exis-

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  tence and Attributes of the Deity, Collected from the Appearances of Nature.

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  The many pieces that have to work together, the undeniable effectiveness of

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  the eye at its assigned task, the effort to which the body attempts to protect

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  and preserve its eyes— to Paley, these spoke strongly to the view that the eye

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  implied “the necessity of an intelligent Creator.”

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  Not only can eyes be explained through natural selection; they seem to

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  have evolved separately dozens of times over the history of life. It’s not dif-

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  ficult to trace out plausible paths for how eyes could develop. The absorp-

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  tion of photons is one of the most basic activities that living organisms do.

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  This ability can be concentrated in photosensitive patches, or “eyespots,”

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  that are found even in some single- celled organisms. Given that an organ-

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  ism can sense light, it can be advantageous to acquire sensitivity to the di-

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  rection from which the light is emitting. A simple way to achieve this

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  ability is to locate the eyespot in a recessed cup, such as is seen in certain

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  flatworms. Deepening the cup to an almost spherical opening allows the

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  organism to employ a primitive kind of lens, similar to that in a pinhole

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  camera; this is what we find in some contemporary mollusks. Filling that

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  eyehole with a transparent fluid helps with both protection and focusing.

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  Many of the steps along the way won’t arise in single jumps; often, evolution

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  can borrow mechanisms from other functions in the organism that came

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  about for different reasons.

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  You get the idea— not only can eyes be developed in stages of increasing

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  complexity and fitness, but we actually see such development in real crea-

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  tures alive today. And the human eye, as wondrous as it is, has unambigu-

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  ous flaws that would be inexcusable for a talented designer but make

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  perfect sense in light of evolution. The nerve fibers that carry visual infor-

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  mation to the brain are, for no good reason, in front of our retinas rather

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  than behind them. The octopus eye is a better design, with the retina in

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  front and nerves in back, so that octopuses don’t have a blind spot
like hu-

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  mans do. Our anatomy reflects the accidents of our evolutionary history.

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  Emergent Purpose

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  t

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  ime for a multiple- choice quiz: Why do giraffes have such long

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  necks?

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  1. Over the generations, giraffes kept stretching upward to

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  reach leaves near the tops of trees. Gradually their necks got

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  longer and longer.

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  2. Long necks help you eat. Random mutations in their DNA

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  gave some giraffes longer necks than others. These individu-

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  als enjoyed a nutritional advantage over their compatriots,

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  because they could reach fresh leaves near the treetops. This

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  advantage was passed on to their descendants, and gradually

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  the giraffe population developed longer necks.

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  3. Long necks are sexy. Male giraffes compete for the affections

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  of females by swinging their heads at each other. Random

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  mutations in their DNA gave some giraffes longer necks

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  than others, which conferred a reproductive advantage. This

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  advantage was passed on to their descendants, and gradually

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  the giraffe population developed longer necks.

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  4. Given the laws of physics, and the initial state of the uni-

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  verse, and our location in the cosmos, collections of atoms

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  in the shape of long- necked giraffes came into existence 14

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  billion years after the Big Bang.

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  The difference between options 1 and 2 is a common way of explaining

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  Darwin’s theory of natural selection. Option 1 is incorrect; changes that

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  individuals undergo during their lives, such as through exercise or learning

 

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