Analysis of India's Ability to Fight a 2-front War 2018

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Analysis of India's Ability to Fight a 2-front War 2018 Page 16

by Ravi Rikhye


  AD-2 interceptor Mach 8, 35-km, 2-stage, 30g

  6.1.2 Personnel

  Authorized active 1,286,000 (Estimates of 1.1-million commonly used are wrong)

  Officers 49,737

  ORs 1,169,854

  In training 66,502

  Reserves 120,000

  1st-line, within 2 years’ service

  Territorial Army (volunteers) 40,000.

  Flag officers (has now increased slightly)

  1 general

  68lieutenant generals

  216 major generals

  971 brigadiers

  4186 colonels (colonels command battalions)

  Manpower shortages

  ~9,000 officers excluding medical branch

  32,431 Other Ranks (has been made up)

  The Indian Army has faced officer shortages since the 1960s expansion. Because India has Junior Commissioned Officers leading platoons, the number of officers required by what is now the world’s largest army is only ~40,000. A shortage of 9,000 has a devastating effect at the lower echelons. Battalions and regiments function with 12-15 officers instead of the about 30 required.

  6.1.3. Strategic Forces Command

  Tactical missiles are under the Army and not under the Strategic Forces Command.

  Rotating 3-star commander from air force, navy, or army

  Six Agni I/II/III Army missile groups (total 72 launchers)

  One Agni IV group to form

  One Agni V group to form

  Naval units

  Brahmos cruise missile

  K-15 SLBM

  K-4 SLBM (1 Arihant SSBN in service, 2nd 2019, 3rd, and 4th building, 2 planned) .

  Possibly 40 Mirage 2000s are configured for N-weapons; it is rumored the 36 Rafale in order will take over the mission.

  The Bulletin of Atomic Scientists has a somewhat different orbat, giving Jaguars as well as Mirage 2000s as carrying N-weapons, and 68 missiles including two Prithvi groups with a total of 24 missiles.[138] I have no difficulty agreeing with the Bulletin’s estimate of 130 warheads, as India remains focused on a minimum deterrent despite recent talk of full spectrum capability, inspired no doubt by Pakistan talk of the same.

  6.2 Summary Order of Battle

  6.2.1. Summary Orbat

  Army HQ Signal Group (Likely now brigade)

  1st Army HQ Signal Regiment

  2nd Army HQ Signal Regiment

  3rd Army HQ Signal Regiment

  4th Army HQ Signal Regiment

  President’s Bodyguard

  (61st Cavalry Regiment) 180 men

  2 horse squadrons for ceremonial duties

  (Become armored reconnaissance squadrons on mobilization)

  6 Regional Commands (armies in wartime)

  Western

  South Western

  Southern

  Northern

  Central

  Eastern

  Army Training Command

  14 Corps

  1, II, III, IV, IX, X, XI, XII, XIV, XV, XVI, XVII, XXI, XXXIII

  Corps troops include (not all corps necessarily have each type of unit)

  Signals Group (all corps; composition varies with corps)

  Field artillery brigade (all except strike corps, which have artillery divisions)

  Attachment from corps artillery division as required (only some corps have artillery divisions)

  AD brigade with 40mm L70, quad 23mm, and SP SAMs

  Infantry, mountain, or barmored independent brigade (most corps)

  Engineer brigade (all corps except one)

  Reconnaissance and Observation helicopter squadron (Long-term plans to expand to aviation brigade)

  Army Service Corps

  Army Medical Corps

  Electrical & Mechanical Engineers

  3 strike corps (I, II, XXI)

  4 pivot (formerly holding corps, now for attacks to create gaps through which strike corps will launch) (IX, X, XI, XII)

  5 high altitude warfare (IV, XIV, XV, XVII Strike, XXXIII)

  1 counterinsurgency (also high-altitude warfare) (III)

  1 Southwest Jammu & Kashmir (low and high mountain terrain) (XVI)

  A plan to raise a second mountain strike corps HQ, in Northern Command, is in abeyance because of financial stringency and a wish not to aggravate China.

  3 Armored Divisions, 1, 31, 33, each with

  2 Armored Brigades

  2 tank regiments

  1 mechanized battalion

  1 Armored Brigade

  1 tank regiment

  2 mechanized battalions

  1 SP AD Brigade (one division does not as yet have this)

  1 Field Artillery Brigade (3 regiments)

  8 RAPID

  Reorganized Army Plains Infantry Division: 4, 7, 10, 12, 14, 18, 24, 36 Divisions, at least one more to form, with 25 Division as a candidate.

  2 or 3 Infantry Brigades

  1 Armored Brigade

  2 tank regiments

  2 BMP mechanized infantry battalions (one may be Reconnaissance and Support Battalion)

  1 Field Artillery Brigade

  15 Infantry Divisions

  3, 9, 11, 12, 14, 15, 16, 19, 22, 23, 25, 26, 29, 39, 57

  each with

  3-5 Infantry Brigades

  3 infantry battalions (usually; many brigades have more)

  1 Signal Company

  1 artillery brigade

  3 field regiments (105mm; Upgrading to 155mm)

  1 medium regiment (155mm)

  1 Surveillance and Target Acquisition Battery

  1 tank regiment

  1 Division Signals Regiment

  1 Electrical & Mechanical Engineers Battalion

  1 Army Service Corps Battalion (supply and transport)

  1 Division Engineer Regiment

  3 field companies

  1 field park company

  1 Provost Unit (Military Police, about company size)

  1 Field Intelligence Unit

  13 Mountain Infantry Divisions

  2, 5, 6, 8, 17, 20, 21, 27, 28, 56, 57, 59, 71, 72

  3- 4 Mountain Infantry Brigades

  1 mountain field artillery brigade

  1 heavy mortar regiment (formerly the division independent light battery, 12 tubes)

  3 105mm light gun regiments

  1 Surveillance and Target Acquisition Battery

  (Two new mountain divisions included in the above total will have 4 medium gun regiments with the US M777)

  5 CI “Forces” [Divisions, each with 3 “Sectors” (Brigades)]

  3 Artillery Divisions (one more raising), each with

  1 Composite Artillery Brigade

  1 Brahmos Regiment (12 Tatra launch vehicles x 3 missiles)

  1 long-range rocket regiment (Smerch, 12 launchers)

  1 long-range regiment (Pinaka)

  2 medium artillery brigades (each 3 regiments, usually 130mm)

  2 independent army artillery brigades (after three brigades were shifted to the artillery divisions)

  GRAD regiments are found outside the strike corps

  4 Brahmos cruise missile regiments (range <300-km) With the artillery divisions

  1 x Block I 861 Regiment

  2 x Block II 862 and 863 Regiment

  1 x Block III 864 Regiment (for XVII Mountain Strike Corps)

  While the Indian press has reported the three units as 861, 862, and 863 Missile Regiments, we have confirmed only the first two numbers.

  Confusion between missile groups and regiments

  In the Indian Army, a missile group has a launch regiment, a technical regiment, and other support troops. For practical purposes, a regiment and a group can be considered synonymous.

  21 Independent Brigades

  9 armored (+1 raising)

  2 mechanized (55th & 340th)

  6+ infantry

  3 mountain (include one under raising)

  1 airborne/commando (50th Parachute)

  13 Air Defense Brigades

  11 Corps Engi
neer Brigades

  Territorial Army

  29 Infantry battalions

  14 specialized battalions

  7 village defense battalions

  7 ecological restoration battalions

  6 railway-engineer regiments (battalions), reduced

  from 15

  7 General Hospitals

  1 signal regiment

  2 specialized engineer regiments (oil installations)

  1 supply battalion

  6.2.2. Special Forces

  The first six battalions are converted from the Parachute Regiment. 11th and 12th were raised new. The 21st SF is converted from 21 Maratha Light Infantry

  1st SF

  10th SF

  2nd SF

  11th SF

  3rd SF

  12th SF

  4th SF

  21st SF

  9th SF

  31st SF (Rashtriya Rifles)

  Two more SF battalions are raised or raising for XVII Mountain Corps.

  National Security Guard

  7000 including administrative/training

  Counter-terror, counter-hijacking, VIP protection

  Special Action Groups (900 each)

  51 SAG (Army) (~180 men)

  52 SAG (Army)

  11 SAG (paramilitary; was retasked from VIP protection to CT, number may change)

  Special Reaction Groups (900 each)

  12 SRG (paramilitary)

  13 SRG (paramilitary)

  It is intended to retask another SRG from VIP protection to counter-terror. The number of persons entitled to NSG protection has been cut to just 15. Within the SRG there are Z teams (22 personnel) and Z+ teams (36 personnel)

  4 300-man groups, one each at four regional centers.

  Special Protection Group

  819 authorized strength, for the Prime Minister’s protection; manned by police agencies.

  Other special forces

  Special Group Battalion, responsible for clandestine missions; Army, but operates under RAW, India’s analog to the CIA

  Navy: ~1000 Marine Commandos

  Air Force: ~1800 Garud Force, ~15 squadrons of 70 each

  These are intended to be commandos, but many of their missions such as protection of airbases are not special forces duties. Despite an extended training of 72 weeks, there are questions about the effectiveness of the force. Presumably, it will increase.

  6.2.3. Parachute Battalions

  5th Battalion

  6th Battalion

  7th Battalion

  23rd Battalion

  29th Battalion

  9th Parachute Field Artillery Regiment

  17th Parachute Field Artillery Regiment

  One more battalion planned, to allow 4 with the Parachute Brigade and two for training and rotation reserve. 8th Bn went to the Mechanized Infantry, 1st, 2nd, 3rd, 4th, 9th, 10th went to the Special Forces.

  6.3. Battalions

  66 armored (more raising)

  48 Mechanized (more raising)

  8 Armored Reconnaissance & Support

  320 Infantry (corrected from the previous estimate which wrongly double-counted the mechanized battalions)

  15 Scouts Battalions (including raising)

  1st Ladakh

  2nd Ladakh

  3rd Ladakh

  4th Ladakh

  5th Ladakh

  6th Ladakh (planned)

  7th Ladakh (planned)

  1st (Himachal)

  2nd (Kumaon)

  3rd (Garhwal)

  1st Arunachal (raised 2010)

  2nd Arunachal Scouts (raised 2012); 3rd planned

  1st Sikkim (934 personnel)

  2nd Sikkim

  10 Special Frontier Force (recon commando, China border)

  63 light CI Infantry (Rashtriya Rifles)

  10 Special Forces (2 more planned)

  5 parachute infantry battalions (1 more planned)

  200 field artillery regiments

  14 rocket regiments

  4 Bhramos I, II, III (last one raising)

  4 GRAD (Indian rocket with 35+ km range)

  phasing out

  4 Smerch

  3 Pinaka (6 more cleared; 40-km rocket; 60-km rocket in user trials; range to be further extended; battery = 6 x Pinaka launchers + 6 reloader vehicles, 12 rockets each)

  3 Prahar planned, ~150-km range, solid-fuel, 200-kg warhead

  inertial guidance, for the 3 strike corps

  50? ADA regiments

  75 engineer regiments

  6.4 Detailed Orbat

  AHQ Reserves

  50th Independent Parachute Brigade

  6th Mountain Division (quadruple -tasked: Tibet border, Ladakh, Nepal border, and AHQ Reserve)

  54th Infantry Division (normally assigned to XXI Corps, but also out-country intervention force)

  Northern Command (Udhampur)

  Command Reserve

  39th Mountain Division (Yol)

  XIV Corps (Leh)

  3rd Infantry Division (Leh)

  3 infantry brigades (for over 40 years had only two brigades)

  102nd Independent Brigade (Thoise) (for Siachin) May no longer be under command of 3 Div.

  Sub-Sector North

  1 sector (a 2 battalion-sized grouping) May have been incorporated into the new infantry brigade

  1 infantry brigade (new)

  8th Mountain Division (Dras)

  3 mountain brigades

  Independent Infantry Brigade Corps Reserve

  Independent Armored Brigade

  Existing Corps reserves 1 T-72 MBT and 1 BMP battalion may have been incorporated into the new armored brigade

  1 aviation brigade (raising)(the precise orbat is in dispute)

  2 attack helicopter squadrons x 12 each

  2 general purpose squadrons x 12 each

  XV Corps (Srinagar)

  19th Infantry Division (Baramulla)

  28th Infantry Division (Kupwara)

  5 brigades, two on rotation from other formations

  Victor Force (Counter Insurgency)

  Romeo Force (Counter Insurgency)

  XVI Corps (near Jammu)

  10th RAPID Division (Akhnur)

  25th Infantry Division (Rajouri)

  3rd Independent Armored Brigade

  Papa Force (Counter Insurgency)

  Delta Force (Counter Insurgency)

  Uniform Force (Counter Insurgency)

  Western Command (near Chandigarh)

  IX Corps (Yol)

  26th Infantry Division (Jammu)

  29th Infantry Division (Pathankot)

  2nd Independent Armored Brigade

  An independent infantry brigade

  XI Corps (Jullunder)

  7th Infantry Division (Ferozepur)

  9th Infantry Division (Meerut) (will move west)

  15th Infantry Division (Amritsar)

  55th Independent Mechanized Brigade (Beas)

  23rd Independent Armored Brigade (Amritsar)

  Corps Air Defense Group (Akash SAM)

  II Corps (Strike) (near Chandigarh)

  1st Armored Division (Ambala)

  14th RAPID Division (Dehradun)

  22nd Infantry Division (Bhopal)

  16th Independent Armored Brigade

  40th Artillery Division (Ambala) (According to Sparsh Amin, appears to have shifted place with 41st

  Artillery Division

  Sugar Sector (Himachal Pradesh) 1 brigade

  Central Command (Lucknow)

  6th Mountain Division (also tasked to Northern Command and AHQ Reserve) (Bareilly)

  (A second division has been sanctioned by Ministry of Defense, but Ministry of Finance must agree)

  1 Independent Mountain Brigade (Joshimath)

  1 Independent Mountain Brigade (Pithoragarh)

  I Corps (Strike) (Mathura)

  4th RAPID Division (Allahabad)

  31st Armored Division (Jhansi)

  36th RAPID Division (Sagour)

  41st Artillery Division
(Pune)[139]

  97th Artillery Brigade

  98th Artillery Brigade

  374th Composite Artillery Brigade

  125th SATA Regiment

  HQ and HQ Battery

  WLR and Sound Ranging Battery

  Survey & Spotting Battery

  UAV and Met battery

  Met troops

  UAV troops (4 Herons)

  14th Independent Armored Brigade

  Task Force for Maoist Infested Areas

  Army – Special Forces elements

  Rashtriya Rifles (Army’s Counter-Insurgency troops)

  Central Reserve Police

  Other central police forces

  State special police units

  Regular units from states police forces

  Village defense units

  Eastern Command (Kolkata)

  Two corps AORs have been realigned in this Command.Originally IV Corps was responsible for the entire Arunachal border. Now III Corps looks after the eastern one-third of Arunachal as well as protects the far eastern states of Nagaland, Manipur, and Mizoram against a PLA attack through Burma. The realignment and two new divisions are part of the heightened posture against China.)

  III Corps (Dimapur)

  2nd Mountain Division (Dinjan)

  56th Mountain Division (new) (Zakhama)

  57th Mountain Division (Leimakhong)

 

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