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Battlegrounds Page 60

by H. R. McMaster


  one-child policy, in China, 146–147

  Orban, Viktor, 70–71

  O’Reilly, Bill, 68

  Othman, Ibrahim, 376–377

  “Overseas Chinese Scholar Pioneering Parks,” intellectual property and, 115

  Pace, Peter, 249, 250, 251, 308

  Pahlavi, Mohammad Reza Shah, 303, 315–316, 320, 338–339

  Pakistan

  bin Laden and, 482n30

  China and, 112–113, 128

  drug trade and, 158, 200

  extremists in, 168

  India and, 199

  as nuclear power, 156, 196, 203, 208

  One Belt One Road (OBOR) and, 112, 113

  Russia and, 83

  terror organizations in, 171–172, 200–201, 202, 205

  Trump administration and, 195–207, 215–216

  victim strategy of, 203–204

  see also South Asia

  Pakistan Army, 156, 175, 181, 183, 196, 198–207, 215, 481n22

  Palestinian Authority, 285–286, 329

  Palestinian Islamic Jihad, 238, 309, 325, 328

  Palestinian-Israeli conflict, 284–286

  Panama Papers, 81, 198

  Paris Agreement (2015), U.S. withdrawal from, 415–417

  Park Chung-hee, 352

  Park Geun-hye, 346, 351

  Park Jang-ho, 345

  Patrushev, Nikolai, 25–29, 29–37, 40, 44, 64

  Pearce, David, 251

  Pence, Mike, 408

  People’s Liberation Army (PLA), in China, 11–12, 18, 91–92, 102–103, 115–118, 123–124, 129–130, 136–138, 143, 358, 410–411

  Person, Ethel, 9

  Petraeus, David, 160, 176, 178, 251

  Petschek, Mike, 6

  Philippines, Chinese authoritarianism and, 123–124

  Pizzagate, 49

  Planet, 409

  Podesta, John, 49

  Politkovskaya, Anna, 55

  Pollack, Kenneth, 262

  Pomerantsev, Peter, 53

  Pompeo, Mike, 216, 226, 384, 386

  Popular Mobilization Forces (PMF), 227, 238

  Poroshenko, Petro, 43

  Pottinger, Matt, 411

  China and, 90–91, 93, 103, 126–127, 130, 132, 149

  North Korea and, 351, 357, 364–365, 367, 373, 382

  Powell, Dina, 296

  Power, Samantha, 264

  Prigozhin, Yevgeny, 27

  private-sector companies, role in cyber defense, 407

  Putin, Vladimir

  centralization of power by, 29, 30–31, 37, 82, 453n11

  China and, 83–84

  collapse of Soviet Union and interpretations of offers of U.S. help, 36–39

  cyber-enabled information warfare and, 402

  denial of interference in U.S. election, 53

  on liberalism, 78

  Middle East and, 268–269

  military reforms and cyber threats, 52–56

  NATO and, 79

  North Korea and, 392

  opposition to, 80–81

  Russian options for post-Putin government, 82–83

  Saudi Arabia and, 284

  Syria and, 28, 268

  tearing down of other nations, 40

  Trump and, 67–69

  Trump Tower and, 51

  see also Russia

  Qaradawi, Sheikh Yusuf al-, 274

  Rafsanjani, Akbar Hashemi, 304–305, 306, 313–314

  Rajapaksa, Mahinda, 112

  Rajavi, Kazem, 305

  Rajavi, Massoud, 305

  ransomware attacks, 404–405

  Rayburn, Joel, 229, 231, 237, 249, 252, 253, 298–299

  Razak, Najib, 113

  Reagan, Ronald and administration of, 303–304, 312, 337, 494n22

  realist school, of international relations, 435–438

  refugees, from Syria, 34, 60, 259, 262–266, 278

  religions, China’s authoritarianism and, 107–109

  Ren Zhengfei, 141

  Rhodes, Ben, 302, 317–318

  Rice, Condoleezza, 82, 83

  Rice, Susan, 129

  Riley, Joseph, 472n5

  Rodman, Dennis, 381

  Rogers, Mike, 250

  Roh Moo-hyun, 346–347, 350, 351

  Romance of the Three Kingdoms (China text), 98

  Romney, Mitt, 66

  “Roots of Narcissism, The” (Morgenthau and Person), 9

  Rorty, Richard, 443

  Rouhani, Hassan, 300–301, 310

  RT television network, in Russia, 41

  Rubin, Barnett, 182

  Rubin, Tracy, 2–3, 4

  Rumsfeld, Donald, 164–165, 177

  Rushdie, Salman, 305

  Russell, Bertrand, 56

  Russia

  as autocracy after Cold War, 11

  China and, 83–84, 124–125

  collapse of Soviet Union and interpretations of offers of U.S. help, 36–39

  cyber-enabled information warfare of, 26, 57–58, 399–400, 402, 405

  demographics of, 39–41

  deterrence and, 442

  disinformation and deniability programs (RNGW), 1–2, 26, 33, 39–57, 59, 74

  economic coercion by, 58–59

  economy in, 39, 65, 82

  efforts to subvert democracies, 41–42

  efforts to weaken Europe, 59–62

  India and, 210

  INF and, 413

  map, 23

  military technology and capabilities of, 65, 78–80, 423

  opposition to Putin in, 80–81

  post-Putin options for, 82–83

  potentials for U.S. conflicts with, 26–28

  preserving U.S. competitive advantage and, 439

  Putin’s military reforms and cyber threats, 56–58

  Saudi Arabia and, 284

  space flight and, 407–408

  Syria and, 262, 264, 266, 268, 270

  Turkey and, 278

  West’s need to counter disinformation, denial, and disruption of, 63–65, 71–78

  West’s over-optimism about post-Soviet future of, 65–71

  Sadr, Muhammad Baqir al-, 233, 234

  Saeed, Hafiz, 207

  Saleh, Amrullah, 218, 478n35

  Salih, Barham, 271

  Sanchez, Juan, 345, 425

  Sanders, Bernie, 45–46, 48, 50, 72

  Sanders, Sarah Huckabee, 93

  Saudi Arabia, 13, 168, 211, 236, 238, 240, 259, 266, 268–269, 281–285, 287, 325, 329–330, 336

  Saudi Aramco, 330, 336, 414

  Schadlow, Nadia, 16–17, 411

  Schroeder, Gerhard, 58

  Schultz, Debbie Wasserman, 50

  Senkaku Islands, of Japan, 124, 129, 148, 210

  Serbia, Russian and, 44

  Shahzad, Faisal, 172–173

  Sharif, Nawaz, 197–198

  Sherman, Wendy, 315

  Shore, Zachary, 16, 445

  Shotaro, Yachi, 369–374, 377, 381–388, 392

  Showalter, Dennis, 440

  Shuja Pasha, Ahmad, 192

  Silicon Valley Chinese Engineers Association, 116

  Silliman, Doug, 226, 227

  Siloviki (hard-line functionaries in Russia), 37–38, 64, 80–81, 103

  Simon, Steven, 264

  “Sinjar documents,” 486n17

  Sisi, Abdel Fattah al-, 281

  Sistani, Ayatollah Ali al-, 339

  Skripal, Sergei and Yulia, 53–54, 62, 73–74

  Smith, Sean, 259

  Soap AI, 76–77

  social media

  as arena of competition, 309–404

  Russia’s disinformation and, 26, 41, 43–44, 47–51, 55–56, 72–73

  Soleimani, Qasem, 230, 271–272, 275, 310, 324, 334–335, 441

  Somalia, 267, 280

  Soros, George, 436

  South Asia, 155–220

  fundamental U.S. assumptions about, 159

  map, 153

  THAAD and, 362–364

  Trump administration and, 171, 173–175, 185–195, 212�
��220

  see also Afghanistan; India; Pakistan

  South China Sea, China’s strategic development in, 12, 18, 91, 114, 123–124, 129–130, 147, 148

  South Korea (Republic of Korea), 345–346

  Japan and, 369–373, 391

  “Sunshine Policy” toward North Korea, 347–348, 350–351, 359

  U.S. troops in, 352

  Soviet Union

  Afghanistan and, 162

  North Korea and, 353–354

  see also Russia

  space programs, as arena of competition, 407–410

  Spalding, Robert, 411

  Sputnik news agency, in Russia, 41

  Sri Lanka, 112–113, 140

  Starry, Don, 1, 426

  START I, 79

  Steele, Christopher, 52, 69, 259

  Stoner, Kathryn, 62

  Strachan, Hew, 433

  strategic competence, of U.S., restoring and preserving of, 16–19, 64, 427, 432, 438–442

  strategic empathy, 16, 419–420, 424, 432, 440

  Afghanistan and, 159, 175

  China and, 92, 130–131

  climate change and, 414–415, 419–420

  competition overseas and, 436

  Iran and, 302, 322

  Iraq and, 253–254

  Middle East, generally, 273

  North Korea and, 358

  Pakistan and, 198

  strategic narcissism

  Afghanistan and, 155–161, 173–175, 180–184

  China and, 92, 127–130

  climate change and, 414–421

  control of events and, 442–443

  cyber-enabled information warfare and, 400–401

  Iran and, 293–294, 302–313

  Middle East and Bush optimism, 4–9, 237–253

  Middle East and Obama pessimism, 231, 239, 253–259

  North Korea and, 384–385

  Vietnam War and, 430

  West regarding Russia and, 65–71

  “Strategic Narcissism” (Morgenthau), 15

  Strider, 407

  Stuxnet malware, 333

  Suh Hoon, 379

  Sun Tzu, 19, 158, 164

  “Sunshine Policy” of South Korea toward North Korea, 347–348, 350–351, 359

  Syria

  Assad’s chemical weapons and, 62

  character of conflict in, 435

  civil war in, 3, 27, 35, 60–61, 225, 236, 238–239, 254–257, 259, 262–263, 268, 270, 273, 287, 377

  Iran and, 311–312, 325, 327, 330–331

  jihadists and, 489n10

  need for consistent policy toward, 268–271

  North Korea and, 376–377

  principles of war and, 432, 433

  refugee crisis and, 34, 60, 259, 262–266, 278

  Russia and, 27–28, 29, 35, 66, 71

  withdrawal of U.S. forces from, 47, 61

  Taiwan, China’s coercion and, 11–12, 90, 121–124, 132, 138–139, 145, 148, 403, 441

  Taiwan Relations Act, of U.S., 122

  Taiwan Strait Crisis, 11–12

  Taliban

  after 9/11 attacks, 163–167

  Iran and, 306, 308, 310

  in South Asia, 34, 155–156, 158–163, 173–175, 186–189, 191–207, 211–220

  Taraki, Nur Muhammad, 185–186, 479n2

  tariffs and trade, China and, 132–133, 142–144

  Taylor, Jeffrey, 8

  technology, as arena of competition, 408–412, 440–441

  Tehrik-i-Taliban Pakistan (TTP), 172–173, 200

  telecommunications, China and intellectual property issues, 117, 139, 141–144

  Tencent, 409

  Terminal High Altitude Area Defense (THAAD), South Korea and, 362–364

  Terrill, Andy, 242

  terror organizations

  growth after end of Cold War, 12–13, 18

  need for consistent policy toward, 267–268, 279–284

  see also specific organizations

  Texas National Security Review, 316

  Thomas Aquinas, Saint, 157

  Thousand Talents program, China and, 116

  386 Generation, in North Korea, 358–359

  Thucydides, 36, 432

  Thucydides Trap, 147–148

  Tiananmen Square protests, in China, 99–100, 102–103, 108, 128, 132, 135

  Tibet, China’s authoritarianism and, 107–108

  Tillerson, Rex

  China and, 89, 93

  Iran and, 296–297

  Middle East and, 227, 269–270

  North Korea, 367

  Russia and, 28

  Toho, Hideki, 371

  Trans-Pacific Partnership, 144

  transporter erector launchers (TELs), of North Korea, 387, 391

  triangular diplomacy, of Nixon and Kissinger, 84, 128

  Truman, Harry, 353

  Trump, Donald and administration of

  Afghanistan and, 185–195, 213–220

  American isolationism and, 354–355

  China and, 89–93, 98–99, 126, 130–133, 142–144, 148–149, 355–356, 380, 391, 392

  climate change and, 415

  deterrence and, 442

  Hong Kong protestors and, 108

  impeachment of, 72

  improving of U.S. strategic competence and, 16–19

  INF and, 413–414

  Iran and, 293–299, 301–302, 319–320, 324, 334

  Middle East and, 225–232, 261, 265, 269, 270, 273, 281–286

  North Korea and maximum pressure replacing strategic patience, 355–357, 363–368

  Pakistan and, 195–207, 215–216

  Putin and, 67–69

  reaction to Skripal poisoning, 54

  Russian disinformation and, 45–52, 72

  South Korea and, 345–346, 369–373

  space programs and, 408

  Syria and, 27

  Trump, Donald Jr., 51

  Tsai Ing-wen, 122

  Tunisia, 239, 256, 263, 276

  Turkey, 268–269, 277–279

  Uganda, 134–135

  Uighurs, in China, 107, 136–137

  Ukraine

  Orange Revolution in, 28, 38, 42

  Russian invasion of, 1, 17–18, 27, 31–33, 34, 35, 54, 56–58, 62, 65–66, 426

  Russian subversion of democracy in, 41–42, 405

  Russia’s NotPetya cyber attack and, 26, 402

  Umar, Asim, 217

  United Kingdom, exit from European Union, 44, 48, 60

  United Nations Convention on the Law of the Sea (UNCLOS), China and, 130

  United States and China, The (Fairbank), 92

  United States–Korea Free Trade Agreement (KORUS), 364, 366

  U.S. Cyber Command (USCYBERCOM), 74

  velayat e faqih (“rule of the jurist”), in Iran, 323

  Venezuela, 114

  Vietnam Syndrome, 434, 435

  Vietnam War, 427–434

  Voronenkov, Denis, 55

  Votel, Joseph, 169, 170, 295

  Vucic, Aleksandar, 44

  Walsh, Katie, 2

  Wang, Joe, 29–30, 31

  Wang, Xiyue, 312

  Wang An, 140–141

  Wang Laboratories, 140–141

  Wang Wei, 12

  Wang Yi, 93, 122–123

  War for Kindness, The (Zaki), 414–415

  Warmbier, Otto and family, 367–368, 384

  wars, fundamental continuities of all, 431–434

  Western liberalism, China’s suppression of ideals of, 109

  WikiLeaks, 49, 50

  Winston, David, 11

  Woods, Tyrone, 259

  World Trade Center

  1993 attack on, 12–13

  2001 attack on, 14, 18, 60–61, 159, 170, 186

  World Trade Organization, China and, 145–146

  World War II, U.S.-Soviet alliance and, 69–70

  Wuhan University of Technology, 116

  Xi Jinping

  China’s policies of co-option, coercion, and concealment, 18, 67, 83–84, 92–95
, 97–103, 105–109, 113–114, 120–123, 129–130, 132, 149

  during Cultural Revolution, 100–101

  indefinite extension of rule of, 95, 123

  Military-Civil Fusion policy, 114

  Putin and, 67, 83–84

  state-owned enterprises (SOEs) and, 105

  Taiwan and, 121–122

  Trump and, 355–356, 380, 391, 392

  Xi Zhongxun, 100–101

  Yadlin, Amos, 376

  Yameen, Abdulla, 113

  Yang Jiechi, 92, 93, 127

  Yanukovych, Viktor, 42–43

  Yazidis, in Syria, 276

  Yemen, 13, 261–263, 265, 274, 280, 282–283, 310, 311, 330–331, 377, 419

  Yousef, Ramzi, 12

  Yushchenko, Viktor, 42

  Zahir Shah, Mohammed, 165, 182

  Zaki, Jamil, 414–415

  Zarif, Mohammad Javad, 295, 310

  Zarqawi, Abu Musab al-, 246–247, 249, 253, 331

  Zawahiri, Ayman al-, 169, 217

  Zhang Qianfan, 109

  Zheng He, 93–94

  Zheng Zeguang, 93

  Zhou Enlai, 106

  Zhu Dai, 95–96

  Zhu Di, 97

  Zia-ul-Haq, Muhammad, 206–207

  ZTE, 141, 406

  Zume, 421

  Photo Section

  Russia

  March 6, 2009. Geneva, Switzerland. U.S. Secretary of State Hillary Rodham Clinton presents Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov with a reset button with an unfortunately mistranslated label. It was not the first, nor would it be the last, time an American administration tried to improve relations with the Kremlin. Fabrice Coffrini/Getty

  July 16, 2018. Helsinki, Finland. Trump and Putin hold a press conference, during which the president said Putin gave him an “extremely strong and powerful denial” of interference in the 2016 presidential election. Jed Jacobsohn/Getty

  March 9, 2014. Perevalnoye, Crimea. Russian “little green men” walk past a Ukrainian military base during the forcible annexation. Russia depends on soldiers in stripped uniforms and mercenaries to mask the Kremlin’s aggression. REUTERS/Thomas Peter

  March 11, 2018. Salisbury, England. Military personnel don protective suits before removing a police car and other vehicles near the scene of the poisoning of Sergei Skripal and his daughter, Yulia Skripal. Chris J Ratcliffe/Getty Images

  July 27, 2019. Moscow, Russia. Putin’s measures to prevent political opposition elicited demands for ballot access for opposition candidates. Maxim Shemetov/Reuters

  China

  November 8, 2017. Beijing, China. American and Chinese officials meet during President Trump and First Lady Melania Trump’s tour of the Forbidden City. From left to right: The author; Chinese minister of Foreign Affairs Wang Yi; U.S. Ambassador to China Terry Branstad; state councilor Yang Jiechi; secretary of state Rex W. Tillerson; White House senior adviser Jared Kushner; White House press secretary Sarah Huckabee Sanders; U.S. Trade Representative Robert Lighthizer; Assistant to the President Dan Scavino Jr.; Chinese Ambassador to the United States Cui Tiankai; Vice Minister of Foreign Affairs Zheng Zeguang. Note: this is where Matt Pottinger was excluded from entering the Forbidden City because he “knew too much.” State Department/public domain; available at https://flic.kr/p/ZexqhW

 

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