The Structure of Evolutionary Theory

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The Structure of Evolutionary Theory Page 159

by Stephen Jay Gould


  Turning to misscaling in the other direction, Wessells and Hopson (1988, pp. 1073-1074) equate punctuated equilibrium with the origin of new Bauplan and faunal turnovers in mass extinction: “The central tenet of punc­tuated equilibrium is that a lineage of organisms arises by some dramatic changes — say, the rapid acquisition of body segmentation in annelids — after which there is a lengthy period with far fewer radical changes taking place.” They then write of two great evolutionary bursts in the history of sea urchins (following the late Cambrian and Late Triassic mass extinctions). “One might interpret this record to reflect two 'punctuations' in the Ordovician and early Jurassic periods. And the 'equilibrium' times would be from the Ordovician through the Triassic and, perhaps, from the Jurassic to today. This record may be consistent with the punctuated equilibrium hypothesis.”

  Chaisson's ambitious textbook on nearly everything — Universe: An Evolutionary Approach to Astronomy — equates punctuated equilibrium with fau­nal turnovers in mass extinction. His section entitled punctuated equilibrium (1988, p. 481) begins by stating: “The fossil record of the history of life on Earth clearly documents many periods of mass extinction.” He then adds (p. 483): “Punctuated equilibrium merely emphasizes that the rate of evo­lutionary change is not gradual. Instead, the 'motor of evolution' occasion­ally speeds up during periods of dramatic environmental change — such as cometary impacts, reversals of Earth's magnetism, and the like. We might say that evolution is imperceptibly gradual most of the time and shockingly sud­den some of the time.” But Chaisson's “imperceptibly gradual” times — the intervals of so-called “normal” evolution between episodes of mass extinc­tion — build their incremental trends by stair steps based on the true rhythm of punctuated equilibrium in rapid origin and subsequent stasis of individual species.

  However, even in this maximally constrained and conservative world of textbooks, some reform has emerged from punctuated equilibrium. Above all, the debate on punctuated equilibrium prodded the authors of nearly all major textbooks to include (often as entirely new sections) substantial and explicit material on macroevolution — in contrast with the appalling absence [Page 997] or shortest shrift awarded to the topic in standard textbooks of the 1950's and 1960's (as documented in Chapter 7, pages 579–584).

  At the level of details and content, many textbooks provide gratifyingly ac­curate (if often critical) definitions and appraisals of punctuated equilibrium. Unsurprisingly, textbooks written by paleontologists have generally provided the clearest treatments. Nield and Tucker (1985, p. 162), for example, stress the role of punctuated equilibrium in rendering the fossil record operational for evolutionary studies: “We usually witness sudden appearance of new spe­cies, followed by long static periods and ultimate extinction. Formerly it was supposed that this fact reflected the incompleteness of the fossil record, but the belief now is that it represents something very important about the evolu­tionary process.” Similarly, Dott and Prothero (1994, p. 61) end their section on “The fossil record and evolution” by stating:

  To some paleontologists, species are more than just populations and genes. They are real entities that seem to have some kind of internal sta­bilizing mechanism preventing much phenotypic change, even when se­lection forces change. Clearly, the fossil record produces some unex­pected results that are not yet consistent with everything we know about living animals and laboratory experiments. This is good news. If the fos­sil record taught us nothing that we didn't know already by biology, there wouldn't be much point to evolutionary paleontology.

  Finally, Dodson and Dodson (1990, p. 520) provide an excellent summary on the implications of punctuated equilibrium for evolutionary theory:

  Most evolutionary biologists are prepared to acknowledge that punctu­ated equilibrium is an important phenomenon, even if somewhat less so than it’s more enthusiastic advocates claim. And population geneticists, who have labored mainly to clarify the genetic basis of evolutionary change, may now have to give greater attention to the problem of evolu­tionary stasis ... Thus, the question is not whether punctuated equilibria occur, but how general they are and whether they can be absorbed into the modern evolutionary synthesis.

  Among the best treatments of punctuated equilibrium in textbooks, I would cite Kraus's book for high school biology (1983), the continuing efforts of Al­ters and McComas (1994) to design a high school curriculum based on punc­tuated equilibrium, and the college textbooks by Avers (1989) and Price (1996). Much of the graphical material has also been highly useful — as in Price's ingenious inclusion of both spatial and temporal dimensions to show how allopatric speciation yields both stasis and punctuation in the fossil re­cord — see Figure 9-39.

  As a model of excellence, and of clear, accurate, stylish writing as well, the treatment of punctuated equilibrium in the most popular textbook of the 1980's embodies the reasons for this volume's well-deserved status. Helena Curtis was a thoughtful writer, not a professional biologist, but she mastered the material and could write circles around her competition. (I also know, [Page 998] from personal conversation, that she initially felt quite skeptical about the importance of punctuated equilibrium — so her generous treatment records the judgment of a critical observer, not a partisan.) I reproduce below most of Curtis and Barnes's (1985, pp. 556-557) section on “Punctuated Equilibria,” the closing topic in their chapter on “evolution.” If these authors could be so fair and accurate, then textbooks can achieve excellence as a genre, and punc­tuated equilibrium lies safely within the domain of the understandable, the informative, and the interesting:

  Although the fossil record documents many important stages in evolu­tionary history, there are numerous gaps . . . Many more fossils have, of course, been discovered in the 100 years since Darwin's death. Neverthe­less, fewer examples of gradual change within forms have been found than might have been expected. Until recently, the discrepancy between the model of slow phyletic change and the poor documentation of such change in much of the fossil record has been ascribed to the imperfection of the fossil record itself.

  About a decade ago, two young scientists, Niles Eldredge of the Amer­ican Museum of Natural History and Stephen Jay Gould of Harvard University, ventured the radical proposal that perhaps the fossil record is not so imperfect after all. Both Eldredge and Gould have backgrounds in geology and invertebrate paleontology, and both were impressed with the fact that there was very little evidence of phyletic change in the fossil species they studied. Typically, a species would appear abruptly in the fossil strata, last 5 million to 10 million years, and disappear, apparently

  9-39. An excellent textbook figure of punctuated equilibrium from Price, 1996. He includes, in a way that had never occurred to me or Eldredge, both spatial and temporal dimensions to show how allopatric speciation yields both stasis and punctuation in the fossil record. His own caption reads: “A general scenario for the punctuated equilibrium concept of evolutionary change. Visualize a spe­cies change pattern that appears when time is measured vertically through a stratigraphic section of rock, and ponder how many such rock sections would be needed to reveal at least the distribution of species in the central population.”

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  not much different than when it first appeared. Another species, related but distinctly different — “fully formed” — would take its place, persist with little change, and disappear equally abruptly. Suppose, Eldredge and Gould argued, that these long periods of no change (“stasis” is the word they use) punctuated by gaps are not flaws in the record but are the record, the evidence of what really happens.

  How could it be that a new species would make such a sudden ap­pearance? They found their answer in the model of allopatric speciation. If new species formed principally in small populations on the geo­graphic periphery of the range of the species, if speciation occurred rapidly (by rapidly, paleontologists mean in thousands rather than mil­lions of years), and if the new species then out competed the old one, ta
k­ing over its geographic range, the resulting fossil pattern would be the one observed . . .

  As the new model has become more fully developed, particularly by Steven M. Stanley of Johns Hopkins (also a paleontologist), it has be­come more radical. Its proponents now argue that not only is cladogenesis the principal mode of evolutionary change (as Mayr stated some 30 years ago) but that natural selection occurs among species as well as among individuals.... In this new formulation, species take the place of individuals, and speciation and extinction substitute for birth and death. In short, there are two mechanisms of evolution, according to this pro­posal: in one, natural selection acts on the individual, and in the other, it acts on the species.

  Will the punctuated equilibrium model be assimilated into the syn­thetic theory? Or will some radical new concept of evolutionary mecha­nisms spread through the scientific strata, out competing the old ideas? At this writing, it is too early to tell. All that is clear is that this proposal has stimulated a vigorous debate, a reexamination of evolutionary mech­anisms as currently understood, and a reappraisal of the evidence. All of this indicates that evolutionary biology is alive and well and that scientist are doing what they are supposed to be doing — asking questions. Darwin, we think, would have been delighted.

  THE PERSONAL ASPECT OF PROFESSIONAL REACTION

  Among false dichotomies, the strict division of a professional's reaction into scientific conclusions based on legitimate judgment and personal reasons rooted in emotional feelings represent a particularly naive and misleading parsing of human motivation. Our analytic schemes do require some heuris­tic divisions, but the notion that good reason stands in primal antithesis to bad feelings surely caricatures the depth and complexity of human reactions. All scientific critiques arise in concert with a complex and often unconscious range of emotional responses (not to mention a social and cultural context, which scientists, trained to absorb the myth of objectivity, are particularly disinclined to recognize). The fact that we can analyze the pure logic of an argument [Page 1000] a posteriori tells us little about the ineluctably nonlogical motives and feelings behind any decision to frame such an argument at a given time, and in the hope of a particular outcome.

  Nonetheless, because punctuated equilibrium has provoked so much com­mentary of a personal nature from scientific colleagues, often expressed with unusual intensity both pro and con (for statements published in professional literature), I don't know how else to parse the content in this case. I discussed the rich and numerous intellectual critiques in the main body of this chapter, but what can be done with the large residuum of unusual personal commen­tary? I cannot simply ignore it, both because the discussion would then be so selectively incomplete, and also (for personal reasons of course) because I find so much of the most negative commentary so false and unfair — and I do wish to exercise what Roberts Rules calls a “point of personal privilege” as expressed in a basic right of reply. Thus, I have tried to separate personal commentary (in this section) from the critical discourse of ideas, while ac­knowledging the small psychological sense of such a division. The heuristic advantages of thus splitting each side's clutter from the other's content may justify this procedure.

  The case Ad Hominem against punctuated equilibrium

  I should state up front that I regard this discourse as rooted in little more than complex fallout from professional jealousy, often unrecognized and therefore especially potent. I shall, in the next subsection (pp. 1010–1012), own what I regard as the share of responsibility that Eldredge and I bear for standard misconceptions about punctuated equilibrium, but I believe that the ad homi­nem literature on this subject primarily records inchoate and unanalyzed feel­ings and habits of thought among our most negatively inclined colleagues.

  The common denominator to all these expressions lies in a charge — the ba­sis of most claims on the low road of accusation ad hominem — that punctu­ated equilibrium is false, empty, or trivial, and that the volume of discussion, both in professional literature and general culture, can only record our trick­ery, our bombast, our dishonesty, our quest for personal fame, or (in the kind­est version) our massive confusion. (But what then must these detractors con­clude about the intellectual acumen of so many of their peers who support punctuated equilibrium, or at least find the discussion interesting?) I read the case ad hominem as a brief composed of two charges, culminating in what has almost become an “urban legend” equivalent in veracity to those alliga­tors in the sewers of New York City, indefensible in fact or logic, but propa­gated by confident repetition within the club of true believers. I will respond to each point by analyzing the passages from my writing that have become virtually canonical as supposed confirmation.

  1. In the kindest version, we are depicted as merely confused and overly hopeful. We develop a good little modest idea that might help the benighted community of paleontologists, but we then begin to suffer delusions of gran­deur, and to believe that we might have something to say about evolution in general. (We really don't of course, for punctuated equilibrium only confirms [Page 1001] all the beliefs and predictions of the Modern Synthesis.) We now make the crucial error of deciding that our punctuations must require a new evolution­ary mechanism unsuspected by Darwinian gradualism — probably a new style of genetic change directing the process of speciation. But we have only made a fundamental mistake in scaling, for our punctuations are slow enough in microevolutionary time to record the ordinary workings of natural selection.

  I cringe when I read characterizations like this because such statements only indicate that the perpetrators haven't read our papers, and must either be expressing their fears or some undocumented gossip that passes for wis­dom along academic grapevines. As quotations throughout this chapter am­ply demonstrate, we have always taken a position contrary to these charges. We didn't err in failing to recognize that a paleontologist's punctuation equals a microevolutionist's continuity. Rather, we based our theory upon this very idea from the start, by demonstrating that the conventional allopatric model of speciation scales as punctuation, not as gradual change through a long sequence of strata, in geological time. Clearly, we could not have located any­thing theoretically radical in the punctuations of our theory — since we built our model by equating these punctuations with ordinary microevolutionary events of peripatric speciation!

  It is true that we staked no unconventional claims for evolutionary theory in our original paper (Eldredge and Gould, 1972) — while urging substantial reform of paleontological practice — but only because we hadn't yet recog­nized the implications of punctuated equilibrium in this domain. It is also true that we began to urge theoretical reform in subsequent papers (beginning in Gould and Eldredge, 1977, and continuing in Gould, 1982c, 1989e, and Gould and Eldredge, 1993), but we have never based these proposals on the speed or nature of punctuations. Again, as demonstrated by citations throughout this chapter, we locate any revisionary status for punctuated equi­librium in its suggestions about the nature of stasis, and particularly its impli­cations for attributing macroevolutionary phenomena to causes operating on the differential success of species treated as Darwinian individuals. Ordinary speciation remains fully adequate to explain the causes and phenomenology of punctuation.

  2. If (as argument one holds) punctuated equilibrium includes no theoreti­cal novelty, and if the theory has enjoyed such intense discussion in both pop­ular and professional literature, then we must have created this anomaly by using rhetorical skills to flog our empty notions in a quest for personal fame. So we hyped, and the media followed like sheep. Dawkins (1986) writes, for example: “Punctuationism is widely thought to be revolutionary and anti­thetical to neo-Darwinism for the simple reason that its chief advocates have said that it is: said so, moreover, in loud and eloquent voices, making frequent and skillful use of the mass media. The theory, in short, stands out from other glosses on the neo-Darwinian synthesis in one respect only: it has enjoyed brilliant public relations
and stage management.” (Do I detect a whiff of jeal­ousy in this expostulation?)

  I reject this argument about mass media on two grounds: first, for its condescending [Page 1002] assumption of such pervasive and universal incompetence within the fourth estate (my section on the press, pages 990–994, includes several examples of highly accurate and critical coverage); and second, for its false and unflattering conjectures about our procedures and integrity. Neither I nor Eldredge has ever engaged in “skillful use” or “stage management” of media.

  I have no personal objection to active courting of journalists by scientists, so long as fairness and integrity do not become compromised, especially by caricature, oversimplification or dumbing down. The public is not stupid and can handle scientific material at full conceptual complexity. (Necessary simplification of terminology, and avoidance of jargon, need not imply any sacrifice of intellectual content.) But, as a matter of personal preference, I have never approached the media in this manner. I have never arranged a press conference or meeting, or even placed a phone call to a reporter. I try to be responsive when approached, but I have been entirely reactive in my con­tact with media on the subject of punctuated equilibrium. Moreover, al­though I occupied the most “bully pulpit” in America for popular writing about evolution — my monthly column in Natural History Magazine, pub­lished from January 1974 to January 2001 — I never used this forum to push punctuated equilibrium. Of 300 successive essays, I devoted only two to this subject. No ethical or intellectual barrier stood against more extensive treat­ment, but I preferred to use the great privilege of this forum to learn about new evolutionary byways that I would otherwise not have had time to study, rather than to advocate what I had already treated in the greater depth of professional journals.

 

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