Collision 2012: Obama vs. Romney and the Future of Elections in America

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Collision 2012: Obama vs. Romney and the Future of Elections in America Page 52

by Balz, Dan


  Wall Street Journal columnist: Peggy Noonan, “Time for an Intervention,” Wall Street Journal, September 18, 2012, http://blogs.wsj.com/peggynoonan/2012/09/18/time-for-an-intervention/.

  Romney taped an interview: “Romney: My Campaign Doesn’t Need a Turnaround,” transcript, CBSnews.com, September 21, 2012, http://www.cbsnews.com/8301-18560_162-57518137/romney-my-campaign-doesnt-need-a-turnaround/.

  A cartoon by Rob Rogers: Rob Rogers, “Electoral Map,” Pittsburgh Post-Gazette, October 23, 2012, http://blogs.post-gazette.com/opinion/rob-rogers-cartoons/35850-electoral-map.

  The writer Susan Orlean: Matt Weiland and Sean Wilsey, eds., State by State: A Panoramic Portrait of America (New York: Ecco, 2008), 360.

  An analysis by the Bliss Institute: “Basic Information on Ohio Politics #2: The ‘Five Ohios,’” Bliss Institute, University of Akron, undated, http://www.uakron.edu/bliss/research/biop-2-the-five-ohios.dot.

  Taylor Havens told a Denver Post videographer: The quote is taken from a video prepared by the Denver Post. To view video, go to: http://www.denverpost.com/ci_21839256/romney-ryan-rally-at-red-rocks.

  An analysis of Ohio voting statistics: Brent Larkin, “Surge of Black Voters Wasn’t Romney’s Undoing,” Cleveland Plain Dealer, March 9, 2013, http://www.cleveland.com/opinion/index.ssf/2013/03/surge_of_black_votes_wasnt_rom.html.

  The historical average had been: Bill Bishop, “Finding the ‘Flippers’ in 2012 Vote,” DailyYonder.com, January 1, 2013, http://www.dailyyonder.com/finding-flippers-2012-vote/2012/12/26/5560.

  Alan Abramowitz, a political scientist: Alan Abramowitz, “The Emerging Democratic Presidential Majority: Lessons of Obama’s Victory,” prepared for the Southern Political Science Association Meeting, January 2013.

  And then they waited: Glenn Thrush and Jonathan Martin, The End of the Line, Politico.com e-book (New York: Random House, 2012), 7.

  EPILOGUE: INTO THE FUTURE

  America was still divided: Alan Abramowitz, “The Emerging Democratic Presidential Majority: Lessons of Obama’s Victory,” prepared for the Southern Political Science Association Annual Meeting, January 2013.

  Conservatives dominated the Republican Party: William Galston, “The 2012 Election: What Happened, What Changed, What It Means,” Brookings Institution, January 4, 2013, http://www.brookings.edu/research/papers/2013/01/04-presidential-election-galston.

  Index

  The page numbers in this index refer to the printed version of this book. To find the corresponding locations in the text of this digital version, please use the “search” function on your e-reader. Note that not all terms may be searchable.

  ABC News, 183, 191, 193, 227, 267

  abortion, 30, 32–33, 135, 297

  Abramowitz, Alan, 334, 349

  Adelson, Sheldon, 185–86, 273

  Affordable Care Act, 25, 231, 256–57; see also Obama, Barack, and health care

  African Americans:

  and civil rights, 354

  and election results, 333, 336

  and Obama presidency, 63, 287

  and polls, 345

  and race issues, 108, 188–89

  Alabama, Santorum victory in, 224

  Alaska, Republican primary in, 222

  Alexander, Lamar, 50

  Alfalfa Club, 339

  Alinsky, Saul, 195

  Allbaugh, Joe M., 152–54, 156

  Allred, Gloria, 162

  American Crossroads, 172, 261

  American dream, 14, 54

  American Dream Movement, 69

  Americans for Prosperity, 103, 159, 218, 261

  Americans for Tax Reform, 103

  American Solutions, 172, 186, 201

  American Spectator, 206

  Ampad, 254

  Anderson, Curt, 152, 156

  Angle, Sharron, 35

  Annenberg Public Policy Center, 240

  Arizona:

  debates in, 217–18

  Republican campaign in, 213, 215, 216, 217–18, 220, 222

  Romney’s victory in, 224

  Arpaio, Joe, 177

  auto industry:

  bailout of, 47, 62, 101, 320–21, 323, 324, 333

  in Michigan, 215–16

  in Ohio, 320–21, 323, 324–25, 333

  Axelrod, David, 11, 46, 249

  and debates, 306, 307, 309–10, 311–12, 315

  and Democratic convention, 290, 291

  on election day, 18–19, 337, 338

  and Republicans, 49, 66

  research and data, 51, 54–55

  and 2004 campaign, 40

  and 2012 campaign, 12, 13, 22, 23, 24, 41, 57, 58, 67, 181, 252–53, 330

  Ayers, Nick, 132, 133–34, 135, 137, 139, 141

  Bachmann, Michele, 65, 146, 201

  candidacy of, 113, 130, 135–37, 138, 139–41, 147, 173, 174, 177–78, 220

  and debates, 135, 136–37, 140–41, 150n, 171, 181

  and health care, 135–36

  and Tea Party, 136

  Baiano, Lucas, 130

  Baier, Bret, 150, 187, 189

  Bain & Company, 29

  Bain Capital:

  and Ampad, 254

  and Chinese factory, 294

  competitive business practices of, 58, 186, 322

  as focus in debates, 183, 187–88

  as focus of political attacks, 183, 186–88, 195, 234, 255, 261

  and “King of Bain” documentary, 186–87

  photo of Romney and partners, 59

  Romney as partner in, 30, 31, 58, 89, 201

  Romney’s departure from, 257–58

  and Romney’s wealth, 30, 59, 186

  and “Steel” ad, 246–47, 251, 254, 259

  TV commercials about, 30, 246–47, 249–51, 322, 344

  Bannon, Stephen K., 113

  Barbour, Austin, 308

  Barbour, Haley, 107–9

  and Christie, 120, 121

  decision not to run, 109, 136, 159

  as lobbyist, 107, 108

  as possible candidate, 89–90, 92, 106, 107–8, 114, 121, 130, 200

  and racial issues, 108

  Baucus, Max, 39

  Bauer, Robert, 109, 257, 306

  Beck, Glenn, 103

  Beeson, Rich, 21, 209, 215, 223, 326, 330, 335–36, 345

  Benenson, Joel, 19, 52–54, 287, 306

  Benghazi, Libya, violence in, 296, 308, 315–16

  Bennett, William, 44, 164

  Bentsen, Lloyd, 131

  Bernanke, Ben, 147

  Bialek, Sharon, 162

  Biden, Joe, 28, 290, 320

  and bin Laden, 46

  and debate, 313–14

  and debt ceiling negotiations, 46

  and polarization, 276

  and tax deal, 38

  Big Bird, 304

  Binder, David, 54–55

  bin Laden, Osama, killing of, 46, 66

  Bird, Jeremy, 75, 80, 82, 83, 325, 327

  Bishop, Bill, The Big Sort, 244, 334

  Blake, Aaron, 79

  Bliss Institute, 321

  Blitzer, Wolf, 177, 204–5

  Block, Mark, 159–60

  Bloomberg News, 324

  Blow, Charles M., 302

  Boca Raton, Florida, Romney campaign in, 5–6

  Boehner, John, 38

  and debt ceiling, 47–48, 60, 61, 62

  and Gang of Seven, 211

  and jobs bill, 69

  and Obama speech to Congress, 65–66, 68, 69

  and Scozzafava, 102

  and Tea Party, 47

  Booker, Cory, 251, 252, 301

  Boston Globe, 257

  Bowles, Erskine, 45

  Brabender, John, 177, 179
, 210, 212, 213, 217

  Branstad, Terry, 169

  Brauchli, Marcus, 255–56

  Broder, David, 115

  Brokaw, Tom, 203

  Brookings Institution, 350

  Brooks, Albert, 304

  Brooks, David, 47, 62, 298

  Brown, Scott, 60, 80, 88

  Brownstein, Ronald, 350

  Buck, Ken, 35

  Bullock, Bob, 144

  Burka, Paul, 148

  Burkett, Becky, 172

  Burns, Jeff, 264

  Bush, Barbara, 124

  Bush, George H. W., 30, 39, 89, 118, 272

  Bush, George W., 148, 248, 272

  as adviser, 115, 123–24, 311

  and campaign finance, 351

  and the economy, 335

  election of (2000), 103, 118, 123, 143, 182, 185

  and immigration issue, 228, 342

  and midterm elections (2006), 100

  No Child Left Behind, 217

  and polarization, 244, 245

  presidency of, 3, 106

  reelection campaign of, 40, 41, 78, 84, 123, 175, 300, 320, 323

  reelection of, 144, 244, 248

  and tax cuts, 38, 216, 349

  as Texas governor, 144

  Bush, Jeb, 17, 106, 340, 341

  Bush administration, George H. W., 108

  Bush administration, George W., 37, 100, 114, 133, 152, 172, 215, 231, 271, 336

  BuzzFeed, 251, 304

  Cain, Herman, 220

  and debates, 132, 140, 155, 160–61

  in media interviews, 161, 162

  and Politico report, 155, 161

  as possible candidate, 91, 138, 152, 159–60, 173, 343

  rise and fall of, 159–63, 167

  and tax reform plan (9–9–9), 160–61, 232

  and Tea Party, 159–60

  withdrawal from race, 162–63

  California:

  election results in, 334

  Proposition 187 in, 231

  Cameron, David, 272

  Canfield, William, 268

  Cantor, Eric, 46, 47, 61, 136

  Carney, David, 145–46, 147, 150, 153–54, 155, 156, 165

  Carney, Jay, 65

  Carter, James (grandson), 294

  Carter, Jimmy, 39, 294

  Carter, Wanda, 318

  Castellanos, Alex, 112

  Castro, Julian, 288

  CBS This Morning, 257, 285

  Chaffetz, Jason, 203

  Chen, Lanhee, 95, 229, 230, 232–33, 272, 308

  Cheney, Dick, 149

  Childs, Edith, 14

  Christie, Andrew, 122

  Christie, Chris:

  and debates, 311

  and his father, 125–26

  and Hurricane Sandy, 13, 19, 331

  keynote address by, 276, 282–83

  and leadership, 47

  as New Jersey governor, 119, 125–26, 268–70, 283

  and “pay to play” rule, 267–70, 271

  possible candidacy of, 106, 118–26, 130, 159, 200

  as possible running mate, 265–66, 267, 269–70, 271, 273, 275–76

  Romney endorsed by, 126

  Christie, Mary Pat, 119, 122, 123, 124, 266

  Chrysler, 324–25

  Citizens Councils, 108

  Citizens United v. Federal Election Commission, 172, 351

  Civil Rights Act (1964), 108

  Clinton, Bill:

  biographers of, 23

  and campaigning, 12–15, 24, 40, 57–58, 182, 252, 302, 315

  and Congress, 38

  convention speech by, 287, 289–92

  and government shutdown, 43

  legacy of, 337

  and midterm elections (1994), 35, 37, 42

  political persona of, 27, 28, 254

  presidency of, 163

  reelection campaign of, 40, 227

  Republican opposition to, 223

  and welfare reform, 206–7, 277

  Clinton, Hillary Rodham:

  and bin Laden, 46

  and debates, 131

  and health care, 94

  and Iraq War, 93

  as secretary of state, 289, 308

  and 2008 primaries, 12, 289, 307, 311–12

  Clinton administration, 37

  Clooney, George, 285

  Club for Growth, 103

  CNN, 131, 135, 193, 227

  Coakley, Martha, 80

  Cobb, Joe, 246

  Colbert, Stephen, 187

  Cole, Tom, 104

  Coll, Steve, 187

  Colorado:

  Denver debate, 301–13, 352

  election results in, 332, 333, 336

  midterm elections in (2010), 102

  Obama campaign in, 7, 13

  as pivotal region, 7, 319

  polls in, 330

  Republican campaign in, 328–31

  Santorum’s win in, 209, 210, 222, 343

  Comella, Maria, 122

  Conant, Alex, 133, 138

  Conda, Cesar, 342

  Confessore, Nicholas, 89

  Congress, U.S.:

  and budget cuts, 44–45

  and debt ceiling, 46–48, 60–61

  and election results, 334, 349

  executive orders circumventing, 230

  and health care, 94

  lame-duck session of, 38–39

  and leadership issues, 61

  and midterm elections (2010), 100–101, 102–5

  Obama’s speech on the economy to, 65–67, 68–69

  Republican opposition to Obama in, 42–43, 48–49, 52, 56, 61, 66, 94, 102

  taxing power of, 256

  Tea Party members of, 42, 46, 47, 100, 104

  Connecticut, Hurricane Sandy in, 331–32

  Conservative Political Action Conference (CPAC), 114–16, 214

  Contract with America, 30

  Cook Political Report, 332

  Cooper, Anderson, 161

  Cooper, Helene, 110

  Corn, David, 293–94, 304

  Corzine, Jon, 119

  Coulter, Ann, 206

  Craig, Sara, 169

  Crawford, Tim, 113

  Crossroads GPS, 261

  Crowe, Russell, 40

  Crowley, Candy, 315, 316

  Cuban American vote, 333

  Curry, Ann, 191

  Cutter, Stephanie, 250, 257, 300, 303

  Daley, Bill, 41–42, 45, 48, 65–66

  Daley, Richard M., 42

  Daniels, Cheri, 115, 116–17

  Daniels, Mitch, 89, 92, 106, 114–17, 130, 159, 200

  Daschle, Tom, 37

  Dashboard (software), 77–78

  Davis, Fred, 179, 181

  Davis, Tom, 104

  Dawson, Katon, 165

  Dawson, Mike, 333

  Dawson, Sam, 165

  Dean, Howard, 75, 220, 351

  Delaware, midterm elections in (2010), 102

  DeLay, Tom, 206

  Delisi, Deirdre, 146, 155, 156

  DeMint, Jim, 103

  Democratic National Committee, 57, 75, 79, 80

  Democratic National Convention (2004), 12, 279, 280, 283

  Democratic National Convention (2008), 287

  Democratic National Convention (2012), 286–92, 295–96

  Bill Clinton’s speech, 287, 289–92

  Michelle Obama’s speech, 287, 288–89, 292

  Obama’s acceptance speech, 292

  Democratic Party:

  and budget fight, 44–45

  campaign contributions to, 251

 
and Congress, 38–39

  critics of Obama in, 39, 50, 62

  and election results, 332–35, 350–51

  liberal bloc in, 350

  and middle class, 291

  and midterm elections (2010), 35–36, 60

  new voters sought by, 41

  nomination process (2004), 220

  Obama-Hillary primaries (2008), 12, 289, 307, 311–12

  Obama’s lack of ties to, 24, 49–50

  Obama supporters in, 69

  and Occupy Wall Street, 71

  split in, 144

  and women’s issues, 297–98

  Denver, debate in, 301–13, 352

  Des Moines:

  debates in, 170–71

  Obama campaign in, 11, 14–15

  research and data in, 51–52

  Romney campaign in, 16–17

  Des Moines Register, 138, 178, 191

  Detroit Economic Club, 218

  Dickerson, John, 64

  Dillon, Jennifer O’Malley, 75, 76–77, 79, 80–82, 83, 326

  District of Columbia, Republican contest in, 224

  Dole, Bob, 108, 159, 205–7

  Dowd, Matthew, 37

  Draper, Robert, Do Not Ask What Good We Do, 49

  Dream Act, 229–30, 342–43

  Dream and Achieve Act, 342–43

  Drudge Report, 175, 191

  Dubuque Telegraph Herald, 64

  DuHaime, Mike, 122

  Dukakis, Michael, 131, 144

  Dunn, Anita, 71, 306

  Dunn, Karen, 306

  Durenberger, David, 128

  Earnest, Mike, 254

  Eastwood, Clint, 284–86

  economy:

  budget cuts, 42–45

  as campaign issue, 3, 5, 7, 8, 41, 51–52, 58, 70, 91, 96, 98–99, 114, 173, 189, 218, 232, 248–49, 252, 261, 264, 295, 314, 319, 320–22, 334–35, 340

  debt ceiling, 43, 45–48, 49, 50, 56, 60–61, 62, 64, 66, 69, 73, 125, 240, 346

  financial regulatory reform, 62

  fiscal cliff, 349, 353

  government credit rating, 50, 61

  government default, 60

  Great Depression, 12, 62, 240, 290

  and greed, 72

  housing crisis, 204, 239

  income inequality, 3–4, 70–71

  jobs issue, 240, 248, 255, 291, 325

  jobs outsourced, 255–56, 257, 258, 278, 322, 323, 325, 344

  jobs package, 68, 69

  and leadership issues, 62, 63

  and middle class, 3–4, 52, 71, 72, 249, 252, 291, 303, 335, 347

  in the new America, 239–42

  Obama’s speeches on, 3–4, 44–45, 65–67, 68–69, 72–73

  recession, 12, 63, 72, 239, 242, 290

  recovery, 62, 63

 

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