Everything Is Obvious

Home > Other > Everything Is Obvious > Page 27
Everything Is Obvious Page 27

by Duncan J. Watts


  Corbusier, Le. 1923. “Towards a New Architecture.” Trans. F. Etchells. New York: Dover. First published as Vers une Architecture.

  Cortes, Corinna, Daryl Pregibon, and Chris Volinsky. 2003. “Computational Methods for Dynamic Graphs.” Journal of Computational and Graphical Statistics 12 (4):950–70.

  Cox, Gary W. 1999. “The Empirical Content of Rational Choice Theory: A Reply to Green and Shapiro.” Journal of Theoretical Politics 11 (2):147–69.

  Cutting, James E. 2003. “Gustave Caillebotte, French Impressionism, and Mere Exposure.” Psychonomic Bulletin & Review 10 (2):319.

  Danto, Arthur C. 1965. Analytical Philosophy of History. Cambridge, UK: Cambridge University Press.

  Dawes, Robyn M. 2002. Everyday Irrationality: How Pseudo-Scientists, Lunatics, and the Rest of Us Systematically Fail to Think Rationally. Boulder, CO: Westview Press.

  Dawes, Robyn. 1979. “The Robust Beauty of Improper Linear Models in Decision Making.” American Psychologist 34 (7):571–82.

  De Choudhury, Munmun, Jake M. Hofman, Winter A. Mason, and Duncan J. Watts. 2010. “Inferring Relevant Social Networks from Interpersonal Communication.” Paper read at 19th International World Wide Web Conference at Raleigh, NC.

  de Mesquita, Bruce B. 2009. The Predictioneer’s Game: Using the Logic of Brazen Self-Interest to See and Shape the Future. New York: Random House.

  Dennett, Daniel C. 1984. “Cognitive Wheels: The Frame Problem of AI.” In Minds, Machines and Evolution, ed. C. Hookaway. Cambridge, UK: Cambridge University Press.

  De Vany, Arthur. 2004. Hollywood Economics: How Extreme Uncertainty Shapes the Film Industry. London: Routledge.

  De Vany, Arthur, and W. David Walls. 1996. “Bose-Einstein Dynamics and Adaptive Contracting in the Motion Picture Industry.” The Economic Journal 106 (439):1493–1514.

  Denrell, Jerker. 2004. “Random Walks and Sustained Competitive Advantage.” Management Science 50 (7):922–34.

  Dholakia, Utpal M., and Silvia Vianello. 2009. “The Fans Know Best.” MIT Sloan Management Review, August 17.

  Diermeier, Daniel. 1996. “Rational Choice and the Role of Theory in Political Science.” In The Rational Choice Controversy: Economic Models of Politics Reconsidered, ed. J. Friedman. New Haven, CT: Yale University Press.

  DiMaggio, Paul, John Evans, and Bethany Bryson. 1996. “Have American’s Social Attitudes Become More Polarized?” American Journal of Sociology 102 (3):690–755.

  DiMaggio, Paul, and W. W. Powell. 1983. “The Iron Cage Revisited: Institutional Isomorphism and Collective Rationality in Organizational Fields.” American Sociological Review: 147–60.

  DiPrete, Thomas A. 2002. “Life Course Risks, Mobility Regimes, and Mobility Consequences: A Comparison of Sweden, Germany, and the United States.” American Journal of Sociology 108 (2):267–309.

  DiPrete, Thomas A., and Gregory M. Eirich. 2006. “Cumulative Advantage as a Mechanism for Inequality: A Review of Theoretical and Empirical Developments.” Annual Review of Sociology 32 (1):271–97.

  Dobbin, Frank. 1994. “Cultural Models of Organization: The Social Construction of Rational Organizing Principles.” In The Sociology of Culture: Emerging Theoretical Perspectives, ed. D. Crane. Oxford: Basil Blackwell.

  Dodds, Peter S., and Christopher M. Danforth. 2009. “Measuring the Happiness of Large-Scale Written Expression: Songs, Blogs, and Presidents.” Journal of Happiness Studies 11(4): 44–56.

  Dodds, Peter S., Roby Muhamad, and Duncan J. Watts. 2003. “An Experimental Study of Search in Global Social Networks.” Science 301 (5634):827–29.

  Duesenberry, James. 1960. “Comment on ‘An Economic Analysis of Fertility.’ ” In Demographic and Economic Change in Developed Countries: A Conference of the Universities, ed. National Bureau of Economic Research. Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press.

  Dunning, David, Judith A. Meyerowitz, and Amy D. Holzberg. 1989. “Ambiguity and Self-Evaluation: The Role of Idiosyncratic Trait Definitions in Self-Serving Assessments of Ability.” Journal of Personality and Social Psychology 57 (6):1082–90.

  Eagle, Nathan, Alex Pentland, and David Lazer. 2009. “Inferring Social Network Structure Using Mobile Phone Data.” Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 106(36): 15274–15278.

  Easterly, William. 2006. The White Man’s Burden: Why the West’s Efforts to Aid the Rest Have Done So Much Ill and So Little Good. New York: Penguin.

  Elster, Jon. 1993. “Some Unresolved Problems in the Theory of Rational Behavior.” Acta Sociologica 36:179–90.

  ———. 2009. Reason and Rationality. Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press.

  Erikson, Robert S., and Christopher Wlezien. 2008. “Are Political Markets Really Superior to Polls as Election Predictors?” Public Opinion Quarterly 72 (2):190–215.

  Farmer, Mary K. 1992. “On the Need to Make a Better Job of Justifying Rational Choice Theory.” Rationality and Society 4 (4):411–20.

  Fehr, Ernst, and Urs Fischbacher. 2003. “The Nature of Human Altruism.” Nature 425:785–91.

  Fehr, Ernst, and Simon Gachter. 2000. “Cooperation and Punishment in Public Goods Experiments.” American Economic Review 90 (4): 980–94.

  ———. 2002. “Altruistic Punishment in Humans.” Nature 415:137–40.

  Feld, Scott L. 1981. “The Focused Organization of Social Ties.” American Journal of Sociology 86 (5):1015–35.

  Ferdows, Kasra, Michael A. Lewis, and Jose A. D. Machuca. 2004. “Rapid-Fire Fulfillment.” Harvard Business Review 82 (11).

  Festinger, Leon. 1957. A Theory of Cognitive Dissonance. Palo Alto, CA: Stanford University Press.

  Fiorina, Morris P., Samuel J. Abrams, and Jeremy C. Pope. 2005. Culture Wars? The Myth of a Polarized America. New York: Pearson Longman.

  Fischhoff, Baruch. 1982. “For Those Condemned to Study the Past: Heuristics and Biases in Hindsight.” In Judgment Under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases, ed. D. Kahneman, P. Slovic, and A. Tversky. New York: Cambridge University Press.

  Fisher, Marshall. 2009. “Rocket Science Retailing: The 2006 Philip McCord Morse Lecture.” Operations Research 57 (3):527–40.

  Fodor, Jerry. 2006. “How the Mind Works: What We Still Don’t Know.” Daedalus 135 (3):86–94.

  Frank, Robert H. 2007. The Economic Naturalist: In Search of Explanations for Everyday Enigmas. New York: Perseus Books Group.

  Freeman, Linton C. 2004. The Development of Social Network Analysis. Vancouver, British Columbia: Empirical Press.

  Friedman, Jeffrey, ed. 1996. The Rational Choice Controversy: Economic Models of Politics Reconsidered. New Haven, CT: Yale University Press.

  Frist, Bill, Mark McCellan, James P. Pinkerton, et al. 2010. “How the G.O.P. Can Fix Health Care.” New York Times, Feb. 21.

  Gabel, Jon R. 2009. “Congress’s Health Care Numbers Don’t Add Up.” New York Times, Aug. 25.

  Gaddis, John Lewis. 2002. The Landscape of History: How Historians Map the Past. Oxford, UK: Oxford University Press.

  Gawande, Atul. 2008. Better: A Surgeon’s Notes on Performance. London: Profile Books.

  Geertz, Clifford. 1975. “Common Sense as a Cultural System.” The Antioch Revew 33 (1):5–26.

  Gelb, Leslie. 2009. Power Rules: How Common Sense Can Rescue American Foreign Policy. New York: Harper Collins.

  Gelman, Andrew, David Park, Boris Shor, et al. 2008. Red State, Blue State, Rich State, Poor State: Why Americans Vote the Way They Do. Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press.

  Gerber, Alan S., Dean Karlan, and Daniel Bergan. 2009. “Does the Media Matter? A Field Experiment Measuring the Effect of Newspapers on Voting Behavior and Political Opinions.” American Economic Journal: Applied Economics 1 (2):35–52.

  Gigerenzer, Gerd. 2007. Gut Feelings: The Intelligence of the Unconscious. New York: Viking.

  Gigerenzer, Gerd, Peter M. Todd, and ABC Research Group. 1999. Simple Heuristics That Make Us Smart, ed. S. Rich. New York: Oxford University Press.

  Gilbert, Daniel. 2006. Stumbling on Happi
ness. New York: Alfred A. Knopf.

  Gilovich, Thomas, Dale Griffin, and Daniel Kahneman, eds. 2002. Heuristics and Biases: The Psychology of Intuitive Judgment. Cambridge, UK: Cambridge University Press.

  Ginsberg, Jeremy, Matthew H. Mohebbi, Rajan S. Patel, et al. 2008. “Detecting Influenza Epidemics Using Search Engine Query Data.” Nature 457 (7232):1012–14.

  Giuliani, Elisa, Roberta Rabellotti, and Meine P. van Dijk. 2005. Clusters Facing Competition: The Importance of External Linkages. Farnham, UK: Ashgate Publishing Co.

  Gladwell, Malcolm 1999. “Six Degrees of Lois Weisberg.” New Yorker 11: 52–63.

  Gladwell, Malcolm. 2000. The Tipping Point: How Little Things Can Make a Big Difference. New York: Little, Brown.

  Gelman, Andrew, Jeffery Lax, and Justin Phillips. 2010. “Over Time, a Gay Marriage Groundswell.” New York Times, August 21.

  Gleick, James. 1987. “Chaos: Making a New Science.” New York: Viking Penguin.

  Glenn, David. 2009. “Senator Proposes an End to Federal Support for Political Science.” Chronicle of Higher Education, Oct. 7.

  Goel, Sharad, Sebastien Lahaie, Jake Hofman, et al. 2010. “Predicting Consumer Behavior with Web Search”. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences (DOI: 10.1073/pnas.1005962107).

  Goel, Sharad, Winter Mason, and Duncan J. Watts. 2010. “Perceived and Real Attitude Similarity in Social Networks.” Journal of Personality and Social Psychology, 99(4): 611-621.

  Goel, Sharad, Roby Muhamad, and Duncan J. Watts. 2009. “Social Search in ‘Small-World’ Experiments.” In Proceedings of the 18th International Conference on World Wide Web. Madrid, Spain: Association of Computing Machinery.

  Goel, Sharad, Daniel Reeves, David M. Pennock, and Duncan J. Watts. 2010c. “Prediction Without Markets.” In 11th ACM Conference on Electronic Commerce. Harvard University, Cambridge, MA: Association of Computing Machinery, pp. 357–366.

  Goldstein, Daniel G., Eric J. Johnson, Andreas Herrmann, and Mark Heitmann. 2008. “Nudge Your Customers Toward Better Choices.” Harvard Business Review 86 (12):99–105.

  Goldthorpe, John H. 1998. “Rational Action Theory for Sociology.” British Journal of Sociology 49 (2):167–92.

  Goodman, Peter S. 2009. “Reluctance to Spend May Be Legacy of Recession.” New York Times, August 28.

  Granovetter, Mark. 1978. “Threshold Models of Collective Behavior.” American Journal of Sociology, 83(6):1420–1443.

  ———. 1985. “Economic Action and Social Structure: The Problem of Embeddedness.” American Journal of Sociology, 91 (3):481–510.

  Green, Donald P., and Ian Shapiro. 1994. Pathologies of Rational Choice Theory. New Haven, CT: Yale University Press.

  ———. 2005. “Revisiting the Pathologies of Rational Choice.” In The Flight from Reality in the Human Sciences, ed. I. Shapiro. Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press.

  Gribbin, John. 1998. “Review: How Not to Do It.” New Scientist, January 10.

  Griffin, Dale, Wendy Liu, and Uzma Khan. 2005. “A New Look at Constructed Choice Processes.” Marketing Letters 16 (3):321.

  Gurerk, Ozgur, Bernd Irlenbusch, and Bettina Rockenbach. 2006. “The Competitive Advantage of Sanctioning Institutions.” Science 312 (5770):108–11.

  Hall, Brian, and Jeffrey B. Liebman. 1998. “Are CEOs Really Paid Like Bureaucrats?” The Quarterly Journal of Economics 113(3) 653–691.

  Harding, David J., Cybelle Fox, and Jal D. Mehta. 2002. “Studying Rare Events Through Qualitative Case Studies: Lessons from a Study of Rampage School Shootings.” Sociological Methods & Research 31 (2):174.

  Harford, Timothy. 2006. The Undercover Economist. New York: Oxford University Press.

  Harmon-Jones, Eddie, and Judson Mills, eds. 1999. Cognitive Dissonance: Progress on a Pivotal Theory in Social Psychology. Washington, DC: American Psychological Association.

  Harsanyi, John C. 1969. “Rational-Choice Models of Political Behavior vs. Functionalist and Conformist Theories.” World Politics 21 (4):513–38.

  Hayek, Friedrich A. 1945. “The Use of Knowledge in Society.” American Economic Review 35(4):519–530.

  Heath, Chip, and Dan Heath. 2010. Switch: How to Change Things When Change Is Hard. New York: Broadway Business.

  Helft, Miguel. 2008. “Changing That Home Page? Take Baby Steps.” New York Times, October 17.

  Helper, Susan, John Paul MacDuffie, and Charles F. Sabel. 2000. “Pragmatic Collaborations: Advancing Knowledge While Controlling Opportunism.” Industrial and Corporate Change 9:443–83.

  Henrich, Joseph, Robert Boyd, Samuel Bowles, et al. 2001. “In Search of Homo Economicus: Behavioral Experiments in 15 Small-Scale Societies.” American Economic Review 91 (2):73–78.

  Herszenhorn, David M. 2009. “Plan to Change Student Lending Sets Up a Fight.” New York Times, April 12.

  Herzberg, Frederick. 1987. “One More Time: How Do You Motivate Employees?” Harvard Business Review 65(5):109–120.

  Higginbotham, Don. 2001. George Washington Reconsidered. University of Virginia Press.

  Hodgson, Geoffrey M. 2007. “Institutions and Individuals: Interaction and Evolution.” Organization Studies 28 (1):95–116.

  Holmstrom, Bengt, and Paul Milgrom. 1991. “Multitask Principal-Agent Analyses: Incentive Contracts, Asset Ownership, and Job Design.” Journal of Law, Economics & Organization 7:24–52.

  Hoorens, Vera. 1993. “Self-Enhancement and Superiority Biases in Social Comparison.” European Review of Social Psychology 4 (1):113–39.

  Howard, Philip K. 1997. The Death of Common Sense. New York: Warner Books.

  Howe, Jeff. 2006. “The Rise of Crowdsourcing.” Wired Magazine 14 (6):1–4.

  ———. 2008. Crowdsourcing: Why the Power of the Crowd Is Driving the Future of Business. New York: Crown Business.

  Hu, Ye, Leonard M. Lodish, and Abba M. Krieger. 2007. “An Analysis of Real World TV Advertising Tests: A 15-year Update.” Journal of Advertising Research 47 (3):341.

  Huckfeldt, Robert, Paul E. Johnson, and John Sprague. 2004. Political Disagreement: The Survival of Disagreement with Communication Networks. Cambridge, UK: Cambridge University Press.

  Huckfeldt, Robert, and John Sprague. 1987. “Networks in Context: The Social Flow of Political Information.” American Political Science Review 81 (4):1197–1216.

  Ijiri, Yuji, and Herbert A. Simon. 1975. “Some Distributions Associated with Bose-Einstein Statistics.” Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America 72 (5):1654–57.

  Jackson, Matthew O. 2008. Social and Economic Networks. Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press.

  Jacobs, Jane. 1961. The Life and Death of Great American Cities. New York: Random House.

  James, William. 1909. Pragmatism. New York: Longmans, Green and Co.

  Janiak, Andrew, ed. 2004. Newton: Philosophical Writings. Cambridge, UK: Cambridge University Press.

  Johnson, Eric J., and Daniel Goldstein. 2003. “Do Defaults Save Lives?” Science, 302:1538–39.

  Kadlec, Dan. 2010. “Attack of the Math Brats.” Time June 28:36–39.

  Kahn, Lisa B. 2010. “The Long-Term Labor Market Consequences of Graduating from College in a Bad Economy.” Labour Economics 17 (2):303–16.

  Katz, Elihu, and Paul Felix Lazarsfeld. 1955. Personal Influence: the Part Played by People in the Flow of Mass Communications. Glencoe, IL: Free Press.

  Keay, Douglas. 1987. “Aids, Education and the Year 2000!” Woman’s Own. October 31.

  Keller, Ed, and Jon Berry. 2003. The Influentials: One American in Ten Tells the Other Nine How to Vote, Where to Eat, and What to Buy. New York: Free Press.

  Khurana, Rakesh. 2002. Searching for a Corporate Savior: The Irrational Quest of Charismatic CEOs. Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press.

  Kindleberger, Charles. 1978. Manias, Panics, and Crashes: A History of Financial Crises. New York: Basic Books.

  Kirman, Alan D. 1992. “Whom or What Does the Representative Individual Represent?” Journal of Economi
c Perspectives 6 (2):117–36.

  Kiser, Edgar, and Michael Hechter. 1998. “The Debate on Historical Sociology: Rational Choice Theory and Its Critics.” American Journal of Sociology 104 (3):785–816.

  Kittur, Aniket, Ed H. Chi, and Bongwon Suh. 2008. “Crowdsourcing User Studies with Mechanical Turk.” Proceedings of the Twenty-sixth Annual SIGCHI Conference on Human Factors in Computing Systems. Florence, Italy, pp. 453–56.

  Klar, Yechiel, and Eilath E. Giladi. 1999. “Are Most People Happier Than Their Peers, or Are They Just Happy?” Personality and Social Psychology Bulletin 25 (5):586.

  Klein, Lisl. 2006. “Applied Social Science: Is It Just Common Sense?” Human Relations 59 (8):1155–72.

  Kleinberg, Jon M. 2000a. “Navigation in a Small World—It Is Easier to Find Short Chains Between Points in Some Networks Than Others.” Nature 406 (6798):845.

  Kleinberg, Jon M. 2000b. “The Small-World Phenomenon: An Algorithmic Perspective.” Paper read at Proceedings of the 32nd Annual ACM Symposium on Theory of Computing, at New York.

  Kleinberg, Jon, and David Easley. 2010. Networks, Crowds, and Markets: Reasoning About a Highly Connected World. Cambridge, UK: Cambridge University Press.

  Kleinfeld, Judith S. 2002. “The Small World Problem.” Society 39 (2):61–66.

  Knee, Jonathan A., Bruce C. Greenwald, and Ava Seave. 2009. The Curse of the Mogul: What’s Wrong with the World’s Leading Media Companies. New York: Portfolio.

  Kocieniewski, David. 2010. “As Oil Industry Fights a Tax, It Reaps Subsidies.” New York Times, July 3.

  Kohavi, Ron, Roger Longbotham, and Toby Walker. 2010. “Online Experiments: Practical Lessons.” Computer, 82–85.

  Kohn, Alfie. 1993. “Why Incentive Plans Cannot Work.” Harvard Business Review 71(5):54–63.

  Kossinets, Gueorgi, and Duncan J. Watts. 2006. “Empirical Analysis of an Evolving Social Network.” Science 311 (5757):88–90.

  Kramer, Adam D. I. 2010. “An Unobtrusive Model of ‘Gross National Happiness’ ” Proceedings of CHI. ACM Press. 287–290.

  Krueger, Joachim, and Russell W. Clement. 1994. “The Truly False Consensus Effect: An Ineradicable and Egocentric Bias in Social Perception.” Journal of Personality and Social Psychology 67:596–610.

 

‹ Prev