Book of Odds
Page 33
LOUISE FIRTH CAMPBELL is the chief operating officer of the Book of Odds. She has more than twenty-five years’ experience advising companies, government agencies, and nonprofit organizations on strategic business, technology, and marketing issues, as well as on public policy.
Visit www.AuthorTracker.com for exclusive information on your favorite HarperCollins authors.
CREDITS
Cover design and illustrations by Adam Johnson
COPYRIGHT
THE BOOK OF ODDS. Copyright © 2014 by Book of Odds Enterprises, Inc. All rights reserved under International and Pan-American Copyright Conventions. By payment of the required fees, you have been granted the nonexclusive, nontransferable right to access and read the text of this e-book on-screen. No part of this text may be reproduced, transmitted, downloaded, decompiled, reverse-engineered, or stored in or introduced into any information storage and retrieval system, in any form or by any means, whether electronic or mechanical, now known or hereinafter invented, without the express written permission of HarperCollins e-books.
FIRST EDITION
ISBN 978-0-06-206085-3
EPub Edition JANUARY 2014 ISBN: 9780062343062
14 15 16 17 18 ID/SCP 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1
ABOUT THE PUBLISHER
Australia
HarperCollins Publishers (Australia) Pty. Ltd.
Level 13, 201 Elizabeth Street
Sydney, NSW 2000, Australia
http://www.harpercollins.com.au
Canada
HarperCollins Canada
2 Bloor Street East - 20th Floor
Toronto, ON, M4W, 1A8, Canada
http://www.harpercollins.ca
New Zealand
HarperCollins Publishers (New Zealand) Limited
P.O. Box 1
Auckland, New Zealand
http://www.harpercollins.co.nz
United Kingdom
HarperCollins Publishers Ltd.
77-85 Fulham Palace Road
London, W6 8JB, UK
http://www.harpercollins.co.uk
United States
HarperCollins Publishers Inc.
10 East 53rd Street
New York, NY 10022
http://www.harpercollins.com
1. N Howlader, AM Noone, M Krapcho, N Neyman, R Aminou, SF Altekruse, CL Kosary, J Ruhl, Z Tatalovich, H Cho, A Mariotto, MP Eisner, DR Lewis, HS Chen, EJ Feuer, KA Cronin, eds., SEER Cancer Statistics Review, 1975–2009 (Vintage 2009 Populations). Bethesda, MD: National Cancer Institute, http://seer.cancer.gov/csr/1975_2009_pops09/, based on November 2011 SEER data submission, posted to the SEER website, April 2012.
2. US Census Bureau, “State & County Quick Facts,” http://quickfacts.census.gov/qfd/states/06000.html.
3. Using the data from 1875 to present excluding those for the National Association, www.baseballreference.com.
4. Book of Odds calculation of thread of contingent probabilities based on “Use of Contraception and Use of Family Planning Services in the United States: 1982–2002,” Advance Data from Vital and Health Statistics 350, 2002, and A Chandra, GM Martinez, WD Mosher, JC Abma, J Jones, “Fertility, Family Planning, and Reproductive Health of U.S. Women: Data from the 2002 National Survey of Family Growth,” Vital and Health Statistics 23(25), 2005.
5. Book of Odds estimate based on MLB statistics for triples and plate appearances (not at bats). Strategic Baseball simulator has it at 1 in 132: http://sbs-baseball.com/theory.txt.
6. WK Adih, RM Selik, X Hu, “Trends in Diseases Reported on US Death Certificates That Mentioned HIV Infection, 1996–2006,” Journal of the International Association of Physicians in AIDS Care 10(1), January/February 2011: 5–11.
7. Book of Odds calculation based on US Consumer Product Safety Commission, National Electronic Injury Surveillance System (NEISS) Data Highlights—2010, http://www.cpsc.gov/LIBRARY/neiss.html.
8. Books of Odds estimate based on data in MP Ghiglieri, TM Myers, Over the Edge: Death in Grand Canyon, 1st ed., 13th revision (Flagstaff, AZ: Puma Press, 2006).
9. Book of Odds estimate based on Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Compressed Mortality File, 1979–2005, http://wonder.cdc.gov/mortsql.html.
10. Book of Odds estimate based on Ghiglieri and Myers, Over the Edge.
1. DG Kilpatrick, “From the Mouths of Victims: What Victimization Surveys Tell Us About Sexual Assault and Sex Offenders,” paper presented at the Association for the Treatment of Sexual Abusers Meeting, November 1996, Chicago, Illinois.
2. Book of Odds estimate based on Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Compressed Mortality File, 1979–2005, http://wonder.cdc.gov/mortsql.html.
3. Book of Odds estimates based on 2008–2012 data from StruckByLightning.org.
1. Connecticut, Iowa, Massachusetts, New Hampshire, Vermont, and the District of Columbia
2. California, Colorado, Delaware, Hawaii, Maine, Nevada, New Jersey, Oregon, Washington, and Wisconsin (California performed same-sex marriages from June to November 2008.)