The Doomsday Handbook

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The Doomsday Handbook Page 31

by Alok Jha


  primordial 203, 204–6

  Black Swan events 265–7

  blue orchard bee 84

  blue stars 200

  Bogdan, Thomas 170, 171

  Boltzmann, Ludwig 225

  bombs, dirty see dirty bombs

  Borlaug, Norman 41

  Bostrom, Nick 71, 72, 76, 79, 236–7, 239, 243, 249, 250–1, 264

  botulinum 33

  brachiopods 10

  Braddock, Dunn & McDonald 21

  brain 71

  merging of computers with human 77, 79

  “brain in a vat” scenario 250

  brain-computer interfaces 77

  Bralower, Timothy J. 154

  Brazil

  and GM crops 60

  British Geological Survey (BGS) 108, 159, 162

  British Medical Journal 38

  Broecker, Wallace 118

  Brown, Lester 91, 93, 95–6, 97, 98

  Bt corn 61, 62

  “bubble universes” 195–6, 196

  Budge, Giles 82

  Bush, President George W. 97

  scientists letter to concerning cyberwar 52–3, 57

  C

  CABI 87

  caesium 31

  Callender, Craig 224, 225

  Cambrian explosion 125

  Cameron, Sydney 81, 82

  cancer

  and pollution 131

  cannabis 38

  Cannell, Elliott 82

  Caplan, Arthur 63

  carbon 109

  carbon dioxide/carbon dioxide emissions 44, 46

  and anoxic event 154–5, 156, 157

  and global warming 44

  removal of from atmosphere and Snowball Earth 124

  Carr, Bernard 203, 204, 206

  Carrington, Richard 171

  Cassman, Kenneth 96

  Casti, John 74

  cell disintegration 244–7

  Centre for Ecology and Hydrology 81

  CFCs (chlorofluorocarbons) 134, 135, 136

  Chacaltaya glacier (Bolivia) 103

  Chalmers, David J. 250, 251

  Chechen rebels 34

  chemical pollution see pollution, chemical

  chemical terrorism 31–3

  chemicals, manufacturing of artificial 128

  Chernobyl disaster (1986) 31

  China 44, 45

  birth control 49

  desertification 93, 94

  rare earth elements reserves 108

  resource consumption 44, 106

  Chuang Tsu 249

  Clarke, Richard 56

  climate change 50, 91, 96, 258

  impact of 116

  and population decline 50

  and rise in sea levels 112

  and water shortages 101, 102, 103

  see also global warming

  cockroaches 88

  Cohen, Jack 209–10

  Cohen, Joel E. 42, 44

  Cold War 18, 21, 24, 28

  Coleman, Sidney 197

  comets 138, 181, 182–3

  computer hackers 55, 56

  computer simulation, living in a 249–51

  computer viruses 56

  computers 52–7, 75

  human dependence on 53–4

  merging with human brains 77, 79

  and superintelligence 69–74

  and transhumanism 75

  conodonts 10

  consumption see resource consumption

  coronal mass ejections (CMEs) 169, 171, 172

  cosmic sterilization 232

  Council for Foreign Relations (CFR) 34

  Cretaceous-Tertiary mass extinction 11

  Crichton, Michael Prey 65

  Crick, Francis 233–4

  Cyber Command 55

  cyber-crime 56

  cyber-terrorism 53, 54–6

  cyberwar 52–7

  cystic fibrosis 235

  D

  dark energy 226

  Darwin, Charles 240

  Davies, Paul 212

  DDT 128, 131

  Dead Hand mechanism 21

  dead zones 157

  deafness 243

  dengue 17

  Derocher, Andrew 129, 130

  deserts/desertification 90–4

  formation of 91–3

  ways to stop 93–4

  Diamond, Jared 106, 108, 110

  Dindyal, Shiva 50

  dinosaurs, extinction of 11, 138

  dirty bombs 30–4

  biological 31–3

  easiness of making 33

  likelihood of attack by 34

  radiological 30–1

  disability 243

  DNA 233–4, 235

  and telomeres 244–7, 245

  donepezil 37

  “doomsday equation” 43

  doomsday machine 18–22

  Dowling, Ann 68

  Dr. Strangelove 19, 19, 22

  Drake, Frank 208, 212

  dream/dreaming 248–51

  Drexler, Eric

  Engines of Creation 64–5, 66

  drought 92

  drugs, mind-enhancing 36–9

  dust storms 91, 92, 93

  dysgenics 238–43

  E

  Earth Policy Institute 95

  earthquakes, shifting of

  Earth’s axis by 178

  Ebola 17

  eccentricity 175

  Economist, The 54, 56, 57

  ecosystems

  balance of 86

  collapse of due to pollution 127

  collapse of 261

  impact of GM crops on 61

  impact of invasive species on 86, 87–8, 89

  Edwards, Clive 130

  Einstein, Albert 185, 201, 203, 224, 225

  Ejzak, Larissa M. 192

  Emmanuel, Kerry 165–6, 167

  End-Triassic mass extinction 10

  endocrine disrupters 129

  Endy, Drew 59

  Engelman, Robert 42, 44, 45

  environmental collapse 257–62

  Environmental Protection Agency 83

  epigenetics 236

  Estonia, cyber-attacks on 56

  eugenics 49, 241, 242–3

  euphoria drugs 35–9

  European Extremely Large Telescope 212

  European Space Agency 140

  event horizon 185–6, 226

  extinctions

  and invasive species 88

  species threatened with 259–60, 259

  and telomeres 246

  see also mass extinctions

  extraterrestrials 207–11, 209

  extremophiles 178, 210

  F

  Fahey, David W. 136

  false vacuum 195–6, 197

  family planning 49

  famines 97

  Farley, Kenneth 183

  fertility rates 48–9, 50–1

  fertilizers 129, 131

  Feynman, Richard 66

  Fish Canyon Tuff event 150

  floods 112

  and rise in sea levels 114

  flu pandemics 13–14, 17

  Avian flue 14, 16

  Spanish flu (1918) 14

  Swine flu (2009) 13–14

  food crisis 95–9

  causes 96–8

  impact of on the state 98–9

  solutions 99

  and use of grain crops for biofuels 96, 97–8

  Food and Drug

  Administration 38

  food prices 98

  Foresight 37

  Freitas Jr., Robert A. 66–8

  French Naval Chemical

  Research Laboratory 31

  Future Generations 242

  Future of Humanity

  Institute 76

  G

  Gagosian, Robert B. 117, 119

  galaxies, collision of 218–22, 220

  Galton, Francis 241

  gamma-ray bursts (GRB) 189–93, 190

  GCHQ 55

  general relativity 185, 201, 204, 225, 226

  genes

  creation of in
laboratory 62

  genetic modification (in crops) see GM crops

  genetic modification (in humans) 76, 78, 233–7

  difficulties in 234–5

  problem with unchecked 236–7

  ways of preventing potential problems 237

  genetic mutation 239–40

  genetic superhumans 233–7

  Geological Society 150, 151, 152

  geomagnetic reversal 158–62, 160

  germ-line genetic engineering 235, 236

  Glashow, Sheldon 231–2

  Gleick, Peter H. 104

  Gliese 710 183

  global pandemics see pandemics

  Global Viral Forecasting

  Initiative (GVFI) 16

  global warming 116, 121

  and carbon dioxide emissions 44

  and food crisis 96, 98

  and mass extinction 12

  and rise in sea levels 112–13, 115

  slowing of Earth’s obliquity 178

  see also climate change

  globalization 86

  GM (genetic modification)

  crops 59–62, 63, 99

  benefits of 59–60

  impact of on ecosystems 61

  solutions to dangers 63

  wild populations of 60–1

  worldwide 60

  Gnacadja, Luc 91

  Gobineau, Joseph Arthur 240–1

  golden apple snail 86, 87, 89

  Gornitz, Vivien 114

  Grady, Monica 141

  grain consumption 96

  Grant, Madison 242

  Great Dying 10

  Great Plains 92

  Greely, Henry 37, 39

  “green revolution” 96

  green water 104

  greenhouse gases 91, 123–4 see also carbon dioxide

  Greenland 121

  Greenland Ice Sheet 112–13, 115, 178

  Gregory, Jonathan 113

  Gulf Stream 116–21, 119

  Guth, Alan 195, 196

  H

  H5N1 virus see Avian flu

  Haber-Bosch process 110

  halocarbons 134, 135

  Hawking, Stephen 203, 204, 205, 208

  Heisenberg, Werner 194

  helium 107

  Hernquist, Lars 219, 220, 221

  Hiroshima 24, 26

  HIV 16, 17

  Hoffman, David 20, 22

  Hoffman, Paul 124, 126

  Hofstadter, Douglas 69

  Holdren, John 171, 173

  Hosono, Hideo 109

  human genome 78

  Human Genome Project 234

  human modification 76–8

  see also genetic

  modification (human)

  humanists 75

  Hurricane Katrina 165, 165

  hurricanes 164–6, 165

  Hut, Professor Piet 141

  Huxley, Aldous

  Brave New World 35, 36

  hydrogen sulfide 155, 156, 157

  hypercanes 166–7

  hypernova 191

  I

  ice ages 27, 119, 123, 175

  ice sheets, melting of 112–13, 115

  ILOVEYOU virus 56

  imidacloprid 83

  India 44

  birth control 49

  nuclear weapons 28

  water stress 103

  Indian Ocean tsunami (2004) 144

  indium 109

  Industrial Revolution 41

  inflation of universe 195

  influenza see flu

  information extinction 252–6

  Institute for European

  Environmental Policy (IEEP) 88, 89

  intelligence

  artificial 69–74, 77

  and race 240

  intercontinental ballistic missiles (ICBMs) 25

  Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change see IPCC

  International Atomic Energy Agency 34

  International Union for

  Conservation of Nature (IUCN) Red List 83, 88

  International Water

  Management Institute 102

  invasive species 85–9

  economic cost of 86, 87, 88, 89

  impact of on biodiversity and ecosystems 86, 87–8, 89

  and increase in tourism and trade 87

  solutions 89

  IPCC (Intergovernmental

  Panel on Climate Change) 12, 101, 102, 103, 115

  Iran

  and nuclear weapons 28

  Iraq 34, 98

  J

  Jackman, Charles 192

  Jacobs, J.A. 161

  John, Jeremy Leighton 253, 254

  Joint Strike Fighter 56

  Jones, Steve 239

  K

  Kataev, Vitalii 21

  Kelly, Henry C. 31

  Kirschvink, Joe 124–5

  knowledge, storage of 252–6

  Korobushin, General Varfolomei 21

  Kuiper Belt 181

  Kurzweil, Ray 77–8, 79

  L

  La Palma 143, 145, 146

  Landerer, Felix 178

  Large Hadron Collider see LHC

  Late Devonian mass extinction 10

  Leape, Jim 259

  Levi, Michael A. 31

  LHC (Large Hadron Collider) 202, 203–5, 204, 206, 256

  little ice age 27

  Lituya Bay 144–5

  Liu, Yifan 33

  Long Now Foundation 256

  Lubchenco, Jane 172

  Lynn, Richard 242

  Lyons, Gwynne 131

  M

  M31 see Andromeda

  McGuire, Bill 143, 152

  machines

  and intelligence 69–74

  McKibbin, Warwick 15–16

  McLellan, Bill 66

  McMurty, Gary 146

  magnetic field, reversal of 158–62, 160

  magnetosphere 162, 169

  Malthus, Thomas 40, 41, 49, 50, 95

  Essay on the Principle of Population 41, 49

  Manhattan Project 24, 57

  mass extinctions 8–12

  future 11–12

  past 155, 156, 157, 180, 246, 258

  and anoxia 154

  and asteroids 11, 138, 161, 167, 180

  and gamma-ray burst 193

  and magnetic reversal 161

  main events 9–11

  and supervolcano

  eruptions 150

  Matrix, The 249

  Mayan calendar prediction 6

  medicine 75

  Medvedev, Dmitry 28

  mega tsunami 142–6

  Melott, Adrian 193

  memory enhancement drugs 37

  metals, recycling of 109

  methane 157

  methylphenidate (Ritalin) 36, 37

  Milankovitch, Milutin 175–6, 177

  Milky Way

  collision with Andromeda

  hypothesis 219, 221, 222

  Millennium Ecosystem Assessment (2005) 258

  mind-enhancing drugs 36–9

  miniaturization, drive for 66

  Modafinil 36–7, 38

  Monbiot, George 262

  Monsanto 60, 63

  monsoons 119

  Montreal Protocol 135, 136

  Moon 178, 231–2

  Moravec, Hans 71

  MQ-1 Predator aircraft 55

  Murray, Robin 38

  Musser, George 227

  mutually assured

  destruction (MAD) 24–8

  N

  Nagasaki 24, 26, 26

  Nakamura, Eiichi 109–10

  nanorobots 64–5, 66–7, 67

  nanotechnology 64–8, 67, 77, 78

  and Feynman’s challenge 66

  self-replication scenario 64, 66–8

  National Academy of Sciences 96

  natural selection 239, 240, 240–1

  Nature 37, 65, 99, 101, 102, 104

  near-Earth objects (NEOs) 138, 141

  Newton, Isaac 224, 264 9/11 (2001) 266

  nitrous oxide (N20) 136

 
; nomads 92

  Nosema bombi 82

  nuclear weapons 23–8

  arms race between United States and Soviets 25

  development of 24–5

  and doomsday machine 18–22

  mutually assured destruction (MAD) phrase 24

  nuclear winter 26–7

  likelihood of 28–9

  O

  Obama, Barack 28, 54

  obliquity 175–7, 178

  oceanic anoxic events (OAEs) 154–6

  O’Neill, Brian 45–6

  Oort cloud 181–3, 182

  Ordovician-Silurian mass extinction 10

  Oxford, John 17

  oxygen depletion 153–7

  ozone hole 134–5, 134–5

  ozone layer 156, 167

  demise of 132–6

  and gamma-ray burst 192

  P

  Padilla, Jose 34

  Pakistan

  and nuclear weapons 28

  pandemics 13–17

  economic costs 16

  flu 13–14, 17

  impact on society 15–16

  spread of diseases 14–15

  and surveillance of animals 16–17

  what to do 17

  Parkinson’s disease and pesticides 131

  Parr, Doug 62

  particle physics 229

  PCBs (polychlorinated biphenyls) 129, 130, 131

  Pearce, Fred Peoplequake 46, 48

  Pentagon 265

  Perimeter (doomsday machine) 18–22

  Permian-Triassic mass extinction 10

  pesticides 128, 129

  effect of on wildlife 130

  killing of bees by 82, 83, 130

  and Parkinson’s disease 131

  Pesticides Action Network 82

  Petranek, Stephen 258

  pigs 16

  Pimentel, David 89

  Pinker, Steven 74

  Planck density 203, 205

  planetary nebulae 215, 216

  plutonium 31

  polar shift 174–8

  Pollard, David 177

  pollution, chemical 127–31, 258

  and cancer 131

  effects on people 127, 131

  effects on wildlife 127, 129–30

  forms of 128–9

  manufacturing of artificial chemicals 128

  solutions 131

  polychlorinated biphenyls see PCBs

  population decline 48–51

  and birth rates 48

  and climate change 50

  and fall in sperm count 50–1

  financial incentives for women to have children remedy 51

  impact of 48

  reasons for 49

  population growth 11, 40–6

  and birth control 49

  and consumption 42, 44

  controlling 45–6, 49

  and “doomsday equation” 43

  environmental impacts 46

  impact of 42

  and Malthus 40, 41, 49, 50, 95

  pessimist and optimist views of 41–2, 43

 

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