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by Curt Stager


  McKibben, B. 1990. The End of Nature. New York: Penguin Books.

  —. 2002. “Future Shock: The Coming Adirondack Climate.” Adirondack Life, March-April.

  ———. 2006. “A Win-Wind Situation.” Adirondack Life, September-October.

  —. 2009. “Half-Precessional Dynamics of Monsoon Rainfall Near the East

  African Equator.” Nature 462: 637–641.

  Muller, E. H., L. Sirkin, and J. L. Craft. 1993. “Stratigraphic Evidence of a Pre-Wisconsinan Interglaciation in the Adirondack Mountains, New York.” Quaternary Research 40: 163–168.

  New England Regional Assessment. 2001. “Preparing for a Changing Climate: The Potential Consequences of Climate Variability and Change; A Final Report.” Durham: University of New Hampshire. http://www.necci.sr.unh.edu.

  Prasad, A. M., and L. R. Iverson. 1999. “A Climate Change Atlas for 80 Forest Tree Species of the Eastern United States (Database).” Northeastern Research Station, USDA Forest Service, Delaware, Ohio. http://www.fs.fed.us/ne/delaware/atlas/index.html.

  Schiermeier, Q. 2010. “The Real Holes in Climate Science.” Nature 463: 284–287.

  Meehl, G. A., et al. 2007. “Global Climate Projections.” In: Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, S. Solomon et al., eds. Cambridge, UK: Cambridge University Press.

  Spaulding, P., and A. W. Bratton. 1946. “Decay Following Glaze Storm Damage in Woodlands of Central New York.” Journal of Forestry 44: 515–519.

  Stager, J. C., and M. R. Martin. 2002. “Global Climate Change and the Adirondacks.” Adirondack Journal of Environmental Studies 9: 1–10.

  ——— et al. 2009. “Historical Patterns and Effects of Changes in Adirondack Climates Since the Early 20th Century.” Adirondack Journal of Environmental Studies 15: 14–24.

  Stine, A. R., P. Huybers, and I. Y. Fung. 2009. “Changes in the Phase of the Annual Cycles of Surface Temperature.” Nature 457: 435–440.

  Thaler, J. S. 2006. Adirondack Weather: History and Climate Guide. Yorktown Heights, NY: Hudson Valley Climate Service.

  Thomson, D. J. 2009. “Shifts in Season.” Nature 457: 391–392.

  Trombulak, S., and R. Wolfson. 2004. “Twentieth Century Climate Change in New England and New York.” Geophysical Research Letters 31: L19202, doi:10.1029/2004GL020574.

  Willis, K. J., and S. A. Bhagwat. 2009. “Biodiversity and Climate Change.” Science 326: 806–807.

  Index

  The pagination of this electronic edition does not match the edition from which it was created. To locate a specific passage, please use the search feature of your e-book reader.

  Italic page numbers refer to photographs and charts.

  A2 (high carbon emissions) scenario, 39–42

  acid rain, 37

  acidification of oceans, 10, 34, 40, 72–73, 77, 102–17, 152

  activists, climate, 129–30, 240–41

  Adelaide, Australia, 136

  Adirondack Journal of Environmental Studies, 213, 217

  Adirondack Life, 210, 213, 220

  Adirondack region

  climate changes expected for, 208–22, 224, 226

  ice age effects in, 14–16

  State Park, 208, 226–27

  warming trend in recent years, 210–22

  Africa

  lakes, 187–88

  tropical, 184

  See also East Africa; southern Africa

  Age of Humans. See Anthropocene epoch

  Age of Mammals, 68

  agriculture, climate effects of, 9

  air, composition of, 237–38

  Alaska, 65, 157, 159

  algae

  Arctic Ocean, 150

  lakes, 89–92

  ocean, 108, 115–16

  Alibrio, Mr. (high school teacher), 119–20

  Alley, Richard, 171

  alpacas, 194

  alpine species, extinction of, 226

  Alps, snow and ice retreat, 207

  alternative energy sources, switch to, 230, 235–37

  amateur naturalists, observations of, 218–20

  Amazon rain forest, 197

  Americas, ancient, 62

  Amsterdam, flooding, in middle ages, 133

  Andes, 192–96, 202

  animals

  alien, invasive, 231

  boreal species, 225

  Cenozoic, 80–83

  death by CO2, 47

  evolution of, 5–6

  generalists, success of, 151

  migration of, following climate changes, 61–62, 66, 82–83, 146–47, 150–55, 225

  oxygen “pollution” by, 5–6

  stunted in a CO2-rich atmosphere, 81–82

  Antarctica

  formation of ice sheets, 68, 69, 135, 139–40

  ice core sampling from, 23, 50–51, 52, 55–56

  ice-free in Cenozoic era, 76

  ice sheets, predicted loss of, 11, 35, 42, 123

  sea level rise if ice sheet melts, 122–23

  seawater flowing from, 108–9

  slide-off of ice sheet, possible, 35, 124, 130–31, 140, 164

  survival of ice sheets in a warming world, 35, 65

  temperature, summer and winter, 140

  temperature rise during Eemian interglacial, 53–56

  See also East Antarctic ice sheet; West Antarctic ice sheet

  Anthropocene epoch (Age of Humans), 1, 4–12

  beginning date of, 8–9

  changes brought by, 231–32, 241–42

  species extinction during, 4, 62–63

  Appalachians, 211

  aragonite, shells built from, 104–6, 111

  Archer, David, 2, 32, 35, 39, 41, 48, 74, 106

  Arctic land regions, 153–60

  biodiversity of, 153–54

  initial formation of ice sheets, 68

  invasion of lower latitude life into, 153–54

  mineral wealth, 159–60, 174

  territorial claims, 158

  Arctic Ocean

  “Atlantification” of, 150

  future productive ecosystem of, 151–52, 173

  ice-free future, 139–61

  loss of sea ice, 10–11, 58, 65, 140–41

  maritime routes across, 156–58

  sea-surface temperature in Cenozoic era, 70–71, 76

  Arctic Oscillation, 141

  Aristotle, 8

  Ashjian, Carin, 149

  Asia

  ancient, 60

  climatology of, 184

  asteroids, and extinction threat, 44

  Atlantic Ocean, 17–21

  Australia

  ancient, 59, 62

  climate changes expected for, 223, 226

  southern, drying of, 207

  Avalon (ancient landmass), 239

  B1 (moderate carbon emissions)

  scenario, 33

  bacteria, evolution of, 5

  Baffin Iron Mines Corporation, 159

  Baffin Island, 170

  Bangkok, 137

  Bangladesh, 134

  Barents Sea, 148, 176

  basalt, 39

  bats, 224

  bearded seals, 148

  Beaufort Sea, 142, 156, 158

  bedrock, rebounding of, 131, 169, 177–79

  beetles, 61

  Benguela current, 116

  Bennike, Ole, 54

  Bentley, Charles, 124

  Berger, André, 24–25

  Bering Strait, 121

  bicarbonate molecules, 105

  bicarbonate rocks, 38

  biodiversity, loss of, 153–54

  biological nomenclature, 8

  Bittium reticulatum, 54

  black holes, and extinction threat, 43

  Black Sea, 126

  Blanchon, Paul, 130, 136

  Blombos Cave, 64

  bofedales (Andean wetlands), 194–96, 194

  bomb carbon (from nuclear testing), 98–101

&nb
sp; boreal species, 153, 226

  Box, George, quoted, 181

  brain cells, 100

  Broecker, Wallace, 19–20, 229

  Brovkin, Victor, 41

  brown/grizzly bears, 146–47

  Burroughs, John, quoted, 1

  calcite, shells built from, 104, 106, 111

  calcium, 105

  calcium carbonate, 103

  Caldeira, Ken, 111, 117

  Cameroon, West Africa, 45–47

  Canada

  climate changes expected for, 225

  fossil fuel resources, 160

  territorial claims, 157–59

  Canadian Arctic Archipelago, 142

  Cape Herschel, 154, 155

  Cape Province, South Africa, climate

  changes expected for, 204–7, 223, 226

  carbon

  isotopes of, 87–88

  saving it for future generations, 234–35

  carbon-12, 87–96

  carbon-13, 71–74, 87–93

  carbon-14, 83, 87–88, 93–101

  decay of, 96–97

  formation in the upper atmosphere, 87, 95

  health hazards of, 95

  carbon crisis (turning point in Earth’s

  future history), 12, 28, 43, 229

  carbon dioxide

  in air, 238

  decline of, with phasing out of fossil fuels, 10

  dissolved in oceans, 36, 103, 106, 115

  emissions last “forever,” 32–33, 35–39

  extraction of carbon by plants as body substance, 6

  and greenhouse effect, 30

  invisibility of, 86

  massive release from deposits, 72–75

  pumping it into the ocean, proposal, 117

  reactions with carbonate rocks, 36–38, 103

  recycling of, natural cycle of, 7

  released from fossil fuel burning, 6–7

  smothering by (Lake Nyos disaster), 45–47

  carbon dioxide concentration in the

  atmosphere

  280 ppm (prior to the Anthropocene era), 7

  350 ppm (goal of 350.org), 33

  387 ppm (present value), 26, 50, 51

  550–600 ppm scenario, 33–39, 50

  2,000 ppm scenario, 39–42

  high, preventing return of ice ages, 25–26

  during ice ages, 51

  during interglacial periods, 56

  lowering of, natural cleanup

  mechanisms and time needed for, 29–34, 35–39, 41–42, 160–61

  natural fluctuation of, 8–9

  stomatal index data indicating, 54

  carbon emissions scenarios, 39–42, 40, 41

  1,000 Gton (moderate) scenario, 33–39, 49, 134, 223–25

  5,000 Gton (extreme) scenario, 39–42, 47–48, 50, 69, 134–35, 226

  carbon isotope dating, 87–101

  carbon isotope excursion, 71, 93

  carbon pollution

  doubters and deniers of, 86

  effect on geoscientists’ studies, 86–101

  long-term effects of, 1–3

  carbon sequestration, in ocean, 117

  carbonate-bicarbonate buffering system, 102–3

  carbonate molecules, 105

  carbonate rocks, reactions with carbon dioxide, 36–38, 103

  carbonic acid

  in the ocean, 103

  in rainwater, 37

  Cazenave, Anny, 122

  cells, body, replacement of, 100

  Cenozoic era, 68–69, 78–83

  central Asia, climate changes expected for, 223

  chalk, 36

  change, fear of, 239

  Chiarenzelli, Jeff, 219

  China

  ancient, 60

  climate changes expected for, 207

  limestone features in, 38

  chlorophyll, 5

  Chukchi Sea, 158

  Churchill, Canada, 157

  Churchill, Winston, quoted, 67

  clathrate-gun hypothesis, 74

  clathrates, 74, 75

  clays, 76

  climate change

  and absence of refuges to escape to, 146

  animals migrating in response to, 61–62, 66, 82–83, 146–47, 150–55, 225

  calls to “take action,” 200

  commitment to, 34

  cooling direction of, in recent epochs, 29

  “don’t panic and don’t give up,” 228–31

  doubters and deniers of, 125, 148, 216–18

  fatalistic do-nothing approach to, 48

  flexibility in adapting to, 201–2

  and geological changes to the land, 154

  greenhouse gases and, 8–9, 65–66, 71

  humans adapting to, 121, 157, 185–86

  nonhuman causes of, 21–26

  politicized discussion about, 143

  possible benefits of, 102, 156–60, 197

  uncertainty about, 130

  whiplash effects in, 30–31

  winners and losers from, 202, 239–40

  See also Anthropocene epoch; global cooling; global warming

  Climate Change Institute, University of Maine, Orono, 22

  climate control

  consciousness-raising about, 233

  controlled burning of coal, suggested for, 234–35

  obstacles to, from politics and media, 233

  climate cycles

  computation of, into the future, 23–26

  overlapping and interacting, 22–26

  climate models, computer-simulated, 31–42

  checked against geohistorical studies, 49

  El Niño, 199

  Greenland, 123, 166, 171

  Northeast U.S., 221–22

  regional assessments, 209

  tropical mountains, 196

  climate prediction, for the deep future, 9–12, 23–26

  climate system, variability and instability of, 23

  Climate Wizard, 223

  CLIMBER climate model, 32, 49

  Clovis-age cultures, 66

  coal

  burning of, as suggested climate control measure, 234–35

  CO2 released from burning of, 6–7

  formation of, 6

  coasts

  cities on, sinking of, 137–38

  collapse of, 156

  population living on, effect of sea level change, 125, 133–35

  coccolithophores, 108

  Collins, Matthew, 199

  conservation of matter, 32, 36

  continental drift, 79

  contrarians (doubters of climate change), 27, 86, 216

  The Copenhagen Diagnosis, 184

  corals

  deepwater, 109–11

  fossil, 57, 130, 136

  reefs, 104, 130

  survival of, in PETM epoch, 77

  tropical, 112–13, 115

  cosmic rays, 94–95

  Cotacachi Glacier, 192

  Cowell, Peter, 136

  Croll, James, 23

  Crutzen, Paul, 4, 8

  Currano, Ellen, 82

  cyclones, 197

  dating, geological, methods of, 83, 87–101. See also carbon isotope dating; oxygen-18 dating; radiocarbon dating

  The Day After Tomorrow (film), 17, 19

  deep ocean life, 77

  Dello, Kathie, 216

  delta-13C, 92–93

  Denmark

  and Greenland, 164, 171–72, 176, 179–80

  territorial claims, 157–59, 164

  Derocher, Andrew, 143–49

  deuterium, 55

  diamonds, 159

  diatoms, 152

  dikes, 134

  disease

  and extinction threat, 43–44

  movement of, through climate zones, 150–51, 225

  outbreaks of, with weather change, 198

  Distichia plant, 194

  Djibouti, 186

  Dowling, Matt, 4

  drought, 184, 187–88, 196, 206–7

  Dubai, 201

  Dy
lan, Bob, 202

  Earth

  axis of rotation, 21–22

  orbit around Sun, 21–22

  earthquakes, rebound, 169, 177

  East Africa, 197, 198

  ancient, 59, 187

  East Antarctic ice sheet

  buildup of, 135, 140

  melting of, potential, 123

  survival of, 35

  East Siberian Sea, 158

  Eby, Michael, 35, 41

  eccentricity oscillation, 22

  Ecclesiastes, quotation from, 49

  Ecological Monographs, 220

  ecologists, effect of carbon pollution on work of, 87

  Ecuador, 192

  Eemian interglacial, 52–66

  ice persistence in, 146, 169–70

  sea level rise in, 130

  tree migration in, 211

  weather system of, 188, 190

  Egypt, 197

  Eirik the Red, 162

  El Niño, 25, 116, 198–200

  electric lighting, ubiquity of, 4

  electronic documents, loss of data to obsolescence, 93–94

  Ellesmere Island, 79, 154, 157, 159

  Ellis, Erle, 240

  The End of Nature (McKibben), 209

  English Channel, 121

  environmental history.

  See paleoecology

  Eocene epoch, 3, 68, 200

  Epic of Gilgamesh, 126

  quoted, 118

  epochs, geologic, 3–4, 7

  Eritrea, 64

  Europe, 17–21

  ancient, 62

  climate changes expected for, 223

  population displacement in, from sea level rise, 132–33

  European Project for Ice Coring in Antarctica (EPICA), 51

  evolution, adaptation of life by, 44

  extinctions. See species extinction

  Farrell, Mike, 221

  Fast, Danna, 219

  fat cells, 100

  feedback loops, 75

  Ferguson’s Gulf, 181–82, 182, 201–2

  Findlay, Helen, 111

  Fine, Maoz, 112

  fire (wild), 207

  Firetree (map), 128

  fishing industry

  Africa, 181–82

  Arctic ocean, 173

  destructive practices, 111

  fish catches, 112, 116

  impact on resources, 4

  floods

  epic (e.g., Noah’s), 118, 125–26

  Holland, middle ages, 133–34

  unrealistic use of term, 128–29

  Florida, 128

  shorelines, 129

  Foley, Martha, 219

  food webs

  lakes, 92

  north polar cap, 144

  ocean, 107, 114–16

  foraminifera (forams), 69–70

  forensic scientists, work of, affected by carbon pollution, 87, 98

  forests

  boreal, 153

  northward expansion of, 172

 

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