47. Maurice Carroll, “Bush Emphasizes His ‘Fantastic Credentials’ in Race,” New York Times, January 5, 1980, 10.
48. James R. Dickenson, “Size of Iowa Turnout,” Washington Star, January 20, 1980, A3.
49. Jack W. Germond, “The Changing Face of Iowa Caucuses,” Washington Star, January 18, 1980, A1.
50. Robert Meyers, “Firm Claims Sen. Dole Owes for Campaign Job,” Washington Post, January 18, 1980, C13.
51. David Wood, “A Relaxed Kennedy Makes Last Iowa Swing,” Washington Star, January 19, 1980, A3.
52. Associated Press, “Gold Price Tops $510 in European Markets,” Washington Star, December 27, 1979, A1; Molly Sinclair and Jane Seaberry, “Panicky Investors Push Gold to Record $575.50,” Washington Post, January 3, 1980, A1.
53. “Carter Slips in Poll on Handling of Iran,” Washington Post, January 11, 1980, A8.
54. “Iowa Precinct Caucuses at a Glance,” New York Times, January 21, 1980, A14; United Press International, “Final Figures in Iowa Show Bush Received 36.5% of Caucus Votes,” New York Times, January 24, 1980, B9.
55. Richard Bergholz, “Reagan Shrugs Off Loss to Bush in Iowa Caucuses,” Los Angeles Times, January 23, 1980, 23.
56. John Sears, in discussion with the author, July 26, 2006.
57. Lou Cannon, in discussion with the author, June 6, 2006.
58. John Sears, in discussion with the author, July 26, 2006.
59. United Press International, “Final Figures in Iowa Show Bush Received 36.5% of Caucus Votes,” New York Times, January 24, 1980, B9.
60. John F. Stacks, Watershed: The Campaign for the Presidency, 1980 (New York: Times Books, 1981), 107.
61. Jeb Bush, in discussion with the author, August 22, 2006.
62. Richard Bond, in discussion with the author, October 4, 2006.
63. Lou Cannon, in discussion with the author, June 6, 2006.
64. Judy Daubenmier, “Bush Margin Drops as Tally Ends,” Associated Press, January 24, 1980.
65. “In New Hampshire, They're Off!,” Time, February 25, 1980.
66. Martin Plissner, in discussion with the author.
67. Richard Bond, in discussion with the author.
68. “Can Reagan Be Stopped?” U. S. News & World Report, December 3, 1979, 41.
69. “Candidates Spending a Total of $2.8 Million in Iowa Caucuses, 10 Times the '76 Level,” New York Times, January 21, 1980, A13.
70. Peter Goldman, Frank Maier, Richard Manning, James Doyle, John Walcott, and Gerald C. Lubenow, “Iowa: Two for the Seesaw,” Newsweek, January 21, 1980, 38.
71. John Laurence, World News Tonight, ABC News Transcripts, January 22, 1980.
72. Peter Goldman, Gerald C. Lubenow, Tony Fuller, and James Doyle, “A Royal Progress?” Newsweek, November 26, 1979, 50.
73. Bergholz, “Reagan Shrugs at Loss in Iowa,” Los Angeles Times, January 23, 1980, B1.
74. Donald M. Rothberg, Associated Press, January 22, 1980.
75. Donald M. Rothberg, “After Wide Swings in the Opinion Polls, Iowans Caucus,” Associated Press, January 21, 1980.
76. Walter R. Mears, Associated Press, January 18, 1980.
77. “Dead Woman's Father Reportedly Not Surprised at Kennedy Report,” Associated Press, January 24, 1980; Mears, Associated Press, January 18, 1980.
78. T. R. Reid, William Greider, Maralee Schwartz, Basil Talbott, and Fay Joyce, “Funds Depleted, Kennedy Juggles Campaign Plans,” Washington Post, January 25, 1980, A1.
79. Lance Gay, “Meany Buried in Maryland After Service Attended by Carter, About 1,100 Others,” Washington Star, January 16, 1980, A6; Martin Weil and Warren Brown, “Labor Leader George Meany Dies of Cardiac Arrest at 85,” Washington Post, January 11, 1980, A1; Associated Press, January 11, 1980.
80. Associated Press, “Reagan Ambushed in Iowa; Carter Whips Kennedy, 2–1,” Concord (NH) Monitor, January 22, 1980, 1.
81. George Esper, “Buoyed by Iowa Victory, Bush Campaigns in New Hampshire,” Associated Press, January 23, 1980.
82. Tim Ahern, Associated Press, “Bush Predicts N. H. Victory,” Nashua (NH) Telegraph, January 24, 1980.
83. Paul Carrier and David Olinger, “Gallen, Others Say Iowa Vote Will Change Strategies Here,” Concord (NH) Monitor, January 22, 1980, 1.
84. Robert G. Kaiser, Lou Cannon, and Maralee Schwartz, “The John, Jerry, Howard, George, Teddy and Jimmy Show,” Washington Post, February 10, 1980, A4.
85. “Reagan,” Concord (NH) Monitor, January 22, 1980, 1.
86. Ibid.
87. Lou Cannon, in discussion with the author, June 6, 2006.
88. “Reagan,” Concord (NH) Monitor, 1.
89. Lou Cannon, in discussion with the author, June 6, 2006.
90. Goldman, Maier, Manning, Doyle, Walcott, and Lubenow, “Iowa: Two for the Seesaw.”
91. Lou Cannon, “After First Blush, Reagan Losing Bloom …,” Washington Post, January 25, 1980, A3.
92. Ibid.
93. Richard Allen, in discussion with the author, June 14, 2006.
94. Cindy Tapscott Canevaro, in discussion with the author.
95. Cathleen McGuigan, “Newsmakers,” Newsweek, January 21, 1980, 59.
96. “Surprise Harvest in Iowa,” Time, February 4, 1980.
CHAPTER 7: BUSH BEARS DOWN
1. Richard Bergholz, “Reagan Shrugs at Loss in Iowa,” Los Angeles Times, January 23, 1980, B1.
2. Associated Press, January 22, 1980.
3. Richard Wirthlin, in discussion with the author, November 8, 2006.
4. Robert Lindsey, “Reagan Meets to Review Strategy,” New York Times, January 24, 1980, B9.
5. Douglas E. Kneeland, “Bush, in New Hampshire, Buoyed by Iowa Victory,” New York Times, January 23, 1980, A16.
6. Stefan Halper, in discussion with the author, March 20, 2007.
7. “On the Hill: New Respect for Bush, Doubt on Reagan,” Washington Star, January 22, 1980, A1.
8. Bergholz, “Reagan Shrugs at Loss in Iowa.”
9. David Keene, in discussion with the author, March 17, 2006.
10. Walter R. Mears, Associated Press, January 22, 1980; Linda Deutsch, “Reagan Hints Changing Stance on GOP Debates,” Associated Press, January 22, 1980.
11. George F. Will, “Iowa Isn't Heaven, but It's a Step Up,” Los Angeles Times, January 25, 1980, C5.
12. “Reagan Likes Birthday, Considering Alternative,” Los Angeles Times, February 4, 1980, A14.
13. Robert Lindsey, “As Reagan Goes, So Goes John P. Sears 3d,” New York Times, January 27, 1980, E4.
14. Joseph E. Persico, Casey: From the OSS to the CIA (New York: Viking, 1990), 177.
15. Charles R. Black, in discussion with the author, March 20, 2006.
16. Merrill Hartson, Associated Press, February 5, 1980.
17. Bella Stumbo, “On the Campaign Trail with Reagan,” Los Angeles Times, February 4, 1980, B1.
18. Richard Wirthlin, in discussion with the author, November 8, 2006.
19. Jim Lake, in discussion with the author, September 19, 2006.
20. John Sears, in discussion with the author, July 26, 2006.
21. Persico, Casey, 177.
22. Ibid., 178.
23. Richard Bergholz, “Reagan Says Carter Is to Blame for Afghanistan,” Los Angeles Times, January 25, 1980, B23.
24. Adam Clymer, “Reagan Suggests Blockade of Cuba on Soviets' Move into Afghanistan,” New York Times, January 28, 1980, B5.
25. Bernard Weinraub, “Reagan Blames Carter ‘Failure’ for Soviet Move,” New York Times, January 25, 1980, A12.
26. Marjorie Hunter, “Wife Hints Carter Backs Female Draft,” New York Times, January 26, 1980, 9.
27. Clymer, “Reagan Suggests Blockade of Cuba.”
28. Richard Bergholz, “Reagan Decides to Take Federal Matching Funds,” Los Angeles Times, January 29, 1980, B9.
29. Richard Bergholz, “Reagan Modifies His Stand on Cuban Blockade—Says It Was Only Hypothetical,” Los Angeles Times, J
anuary 31, 1980, A15.
30. Steven V. Roberts, “Ted Kennedy: Haunted by the Past,” New York Times, February 3, 1980.
31. Bill Stall, “Reagan Agrees to Carolina Debates,” Los Angeles Times, January 31, 1980, 6.
32. Margaret Nelson, “Republicans Revive Debate Over Debate,” Nashua (NH) Telegraph, January 29, 1980, 3.
33. Associated Press, “Reagan Is Heating Up Campaign,” Nashua (NH) Telegraph, January 31, 1980.
34. “Reagan-Bush Debate Sought by Telegraph,” Nashua (NH) Telegraph, January 30, 1980, 1.
35. Stall, “Reagan Agrees to Carolina Debate.”
36. Richard Reeves, “The President Loses Reagan,” Washington Star, January 29, 1980, A11.
37. “Transcript of Kennedy's Speech at Georgetown University on Campaign Issues,” New York Times, January 29, 1980, A12.
38. Bergholz, “Reagan Modifies His Stand.”
39. Ibid.
40. Donald M. Rothberg, Associated Press, January 31, 1980.
41. United Press International, “Reagan Wins 6 Arkansas Votes, Baker Captures 4,” Los Angeles Times, February 3, 1980, A15.
42. Stumbo, “On the Campaign Trail with Reagan.”
43. Ibid.
44. Ibid.
45. Ibid.
46. “A Patrician Entry for the GOP,” Time, May 14, 1979.
47. Stumbo, “On the Campaign Trail with Reagan.”
48. Dennis Farney, “Reagan Is Stressing a Tough U. S. Stance in Foreign Affairs in Bid to Gain Ground,” Wall Street Journal, January 31, 1980, 8.
49. Stumbo, “On the Campaign Trail with Reagan.”
50. “Bush, Reagan in 'dead Heat' Race in New Hampshire,” Associated Press, February 2, 1980.
51. Hugh A. Mulligan, “New Hampshire Primary,” Associated Press, February 6, 1980.
52. Gerald Carmen, in discussion with the author.
53. Memorandum by Market Opinion Research, “New England Primary Study Analysis,” August, 1979, Robert Teeter Papers, #9646, Box 1, George H.W. Bush Presidential Library, College Station, TX.
54. Donald M. Rothberg, “Bush Back in New Hampshire—Again,” Associated Press, February 13, 1980.
55. Stumbo, “On the Campaign Trail with Reagan.”
56. Robert Scheer, “Reagan: Long in Spotlight, Still Enigmatic,” Los Angeles Times, June 25, 1980, B1.
57. Associated Press, “Reagan, Bush Tied for Vote, Poll Finds,” Los Angeles Times, January 24, 1980, B28.
58. United Press International, “Bush and Reagan Tied With 27% in Republican-Independent Poll,” New York Times, January 25, 1980, D14.
59. Ibid.
60. George Esper, Associated Press, “Suddenly, It's No Longer ‘George Who?’” Nashua (NH) Telegraph, January 28, 4.
61. Donald M. Rothberg, “Reagan Faces Crucial Challenges in South,” Associated Press, February 2, 1980.
62. Memorandum by Market Opinion Research, “Summary of Republican Presidential Primary Polls: Post Iowa,” January–February, 1980, Robert Teeter Papers, Box 1, Bush Primary States, Wave I, Data-Analysis, George H.W. Bush Presidential Library, College Station, TX.
63. Memorandum by Market Opinion Research, “Florida: Executive Summary,” January–February, 1980, Robert Teeter Papers, Box 1, Bush Primary States, Wave I, Data-Analysis, George H.W. Bush Presidential Library, College Station, TX.
CHAPTER 8: DESCENT INTO THE MAELSTROM
1. Francis X. Clines, “In Praise or in Criticism, Bush at Center of Debate,” New York Times, February 14, 1980, A22.
2. Jack W. Germond and Jules Witcover, “Sears' Risk Is Almost as High as Reagan's,” Washington Star, January 30, 1980.
3. Peter Hannaford, in discussion with the author, June 25, 2009.
4. Donald M. Rothberg, “Reagan Spells Out Soviet Policy,” Associated Press, February 1, 1980.
5. Peter Hannaford, in discussion with the author, June 25, 2009.
6. Edwin Meese, in discussion with the author, May 6, 2006.
7. “Chilly New England for Kennedy, Reagan?” U. S. News & World Report, February 11, 1980, 6.
8. Ronald Reagan, Reagan: A Life in Letters, ed. Kiron K. Skinner, Annelise Anderson, and Martin Anderson (New York: Free Press, 2003), 240.
9. Ernie Angelo, in discussion with the author, November 13, 2006.
10. Germond and Witcover, “Sears' Risk Is Almost as High as Reagan's.”
11. Haynes Johnson, “Reagan Finds Himself Racing Clock,” Washington Post, February 4, 1980, A1.
12. Margaret Nelson, Associated Press, “The Republicans,” Nashua (NH) Telegraph, February 4, 1980, 1.
13. Gerald Carmen, in discussion with the author.
14. Helene Von Damm, in discussion with the author, May 17, 2006.
15. Jim Hooley and Rick Ahearn, in discussion with the author, February 4, 2009.
16. Adam Clymer, “Inflation and a Limit on Contributions Strain Presidential Hopefuls' Budgets,” New York Times, February 4, 1980, A14.
17. Ibid.
18. Robert Blair Kaiser, “Presidential Candidates Disagree on Value of Secret Service Watch,” New York Times, February 10, 1980, 1.
19. “Who?” Wisconsin State Journal, July 26, 2007, F5; Myra MacPherson, “Joan's Journey,” Washington Post, December 14, 1979, B1.
20. “Washington Whispers,” U. S. News & World Report, February 23, 1981, 16.
21. Kaiser, “Presidential Candidates Disagree.”
22. Stewart M. Powell, “Can Kennedy Get Back Up Off the Floor?” U. S. News & World Report, February 4, 1980, 36.
23. Clay F. Richards, United Press International, “Latest New Hampshire Polls Give Leads to Carter, Bush,” State (SC), February 20, 1980, 11B.
24. David S. Broder, “Iowa, Vt. Governors Supporting Baker,” Washington Post, February 7, 1980, A3.
25. Jack W. Germond and Jules Witcover, “Other GOP Conservatives Now Taking Aim at Reagan,” Washington Star, January 27, 1980.
26. “Surprise Harvest in Iowa,” Time, February 4, 1980.
27. Adam Clymer, “Connally Is Scrambling to Keep Troubled Presidential Bid Afloat,” New York Times, February 7, 1980, 18.
28. Walter Mears, “Reagan Makes a Date for a Debate,” Associated Press, February 5, 1980.
29. Richard Bergholz, “Reagan Mercifully Hears the Last Happy Birthday,” Los Angeles Times, February 7, 1980, B18.
30. Peter Hannaford, The Reagans: A Political Portrait (New York: Coward-McCann, 1983), 228.
31. Edwin Meese, in discussion with the author, May 6, 2006.
32. “It's Reagan vs. Bush: A Survey of Republican Leaders,” U. S. News & World Report, January 28, 1980, 57.
33. Richard Reeves, “The President Loses Reagan,” Washington Star, January 29, 1980, A11.
34. “Newsweek Poll: A Big Boost for Bush,” Newsweek, February 4, 1980, 33.
35. Jane Anderson, Associated Press, “Candidates Big Spenders in N.E.,” Nashua (NH) Telegraph, February 6, 1980, 3.
36. Francis X. Clines, “In Praise or in Criticism, Bush at Center of Debate,” New York Times, February 14, 1980, A22.
37. Andrew Schneider, Associated Press, “Bush Revels In New-Found Attention,” Nashua (NH) Telegraph, February 5, 1980, 3.
38. Linda Deutsch, “Reagan Hints Changing Stance on GOP Debates,” Associated Press, January 22, 1980.
39. Gerald Carmen, in discussion with the author.
40. Associated Press, “Reagan Is Key in Efforts to Set Up Debates,” Concord (NH) Monitor, January 30, 1980, 4.
41. Andrew M. Nibley, United Press International, “Reagan Agrees to N.H. Debate,” Nashua (NH) Telegraph, February 6, 1980.
42. “Reagan, Bush Forum Feb. 23,” Nashua (NH) Telegraph, February 12, 1980, 1;Associated Press, “Reagan and Bush Agree to Forum,” Concord (NH) Monitor, February 13, 1980.
43. Richard Bergholz, “Reagan to Join Six in N.H.TV Debate,” Los Angeles Times, February 6, 1980, B14.
44. Dennis A. Williams, Martin Kasindorf, and Tony Fuller, “Boys in the
Back Room,” Newsweek, February 4, 1980, 37.
45. William Endicott, “Reagan Aide Fends Off Critics,” Los Angeles Times, February 10, 1980, A13.
46. “What's News,” Wall Street Journal, February 1, 1980, 1.
47. Adam Clymer, “Candidates Shifting Tactics,” New York Times, January 23, 1980, A1.
48. Bill Peterson, “The Old Intimacy of Winner Bush Has Disappeared,” Washington Post, February 1, 1980, A3.
49. Robert D. Novak, The Prince of Darkness: 50 Years Reporting in Washington (New York: Crown Forum, 2007), 348.
50. Lou Cannon, Bill Curry, Margot Hornblower, Robert G. Kaiser, George Lardner Jr., Lee Lescaze, Kathy Sawyer, and Maralee Schwartz, “George Bush: Hot Property in Presidential Politics,” Washington Post, January 27, 1980, A1.
51. David Keene, in discussion with the author, March 17, 2006.
52. Stefan Halper, in discussion with the author, March 20, 2007.
53. Allan J. Mayer, Stryker McGuire, Jerry Buckley, Ronald Henkoff, Gloria Borger, Richard Manning, and Martin Kasindorf, “Bush Breaks Out of the Pack,” Newsweek, February 4, 1980, 30.
54. Associated Press, “N.H. Gays Want Say in Primary,” Nashua (NH) Telegraph, February 4, 1980, 9.
55. Charles R. Babcock, Spencer Rich, Timothy S. Robinson, Chip Brown, and Tom Sherwood, “FBI ‘Sting’ Snares Several in Congress,” Washington Post, February 3, 1980, A1.
56. Martin Schram, Tom Sherwood, and Chip Brown, “Sen. Pressler: He Spurned the ‘Arabs,’” Washington Post, February 4, 1980, A1; Charles R. Babcock, George Lardner Jr., Thomas O'Toole, and Warren Brown, “Ethics Aide, GOP Urge ‘Sting’ Probe,” Washington Post, February 4, 1980, A1.
57. Associated Press, February 4, 1980.
58. “Carter Prays Daily for the Ayatollah,” Washington Star, February 6, 1980, A6.
59. George Esper, “Reagan Calls for Strengthening Reserves, Opposes Drafting Women,” Associated Press, February 9, 1980.
60. E. J. Dionne Jr., “Surveys Find Crises Stir Militant Mood,” New York Times, February 5, 1980, B14.
61. David Olinger, “Reagan's Tax Remarks Verified by Recording,” Concord (NH) Monitor, February 8, 1980, 1; Richard Bergholz, “Reagan Tries to Clarify Tax Remark,” Los Angeles Times, February 10, 1980, A13.
62. Olinger, “Reagan's Tax Remarks Verified by Recording.”
63. David Larsen, “The Stars Come Out in Election Year,” Los Angeles Times, February 11, 1980, B20.
Rendezvous with Destiny: Ronald Reagan and the Campaign that Changed America Page 90