mortality rates
from cancer
coal and nuclear comparison of
fertility rates and
from infectious disease
from natural disasters
water access and
Motavalli, Jim
Muir, John
Müller, Paul
Muñoz, Félix-Fernando
Murtin, Fabrice
Muufri
Mwanawasa, Levy
Myers, Norman
Myhrvold, Nathan
Naam, Ramez
nanotechnology
NASA reports
National Academy of Sciences (NAS)
on biotech crops
on climate change mitigation
on DDT
National Institute of Environmental Health Sciences
National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA)
natural disasters
natural gas
natural selection
natural states theory
nature
doomsayer ideals of
myth of balance in
myth of pristine nature
novel ecosystems
restoration of
Nelson, Robert
neodymium
neo-Malthusianism
Neumayer, Eric
New Harvest
Newell, Richard
El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO)
nitrogen fertilizer
nitrous oxide
NOAA. See National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration
Nordhaus, William
North, Douglass
Norton, Seth
novel ecosystems
nuclear power
Obama, Barack
obesity
Ocampo, Daniel M.
Ocampo, José Antonio
ocean
acidification
biodiversity protection
cloud whitening from
heat storage in
OECD. See Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development
oil
Arab and Iranian crises
consumption patterns
doomsayer predictions on
government mismanagement of
innovations
prices
reserves
subsidies cuts
Olson, Mancur
Oostvaardersplassen
OPEC. See Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries
open-access social orders
organic crops
Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD)
Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC)
O’Sullivan, John
ozone holes
Paddock, Paul
Paddock, William
Pakistan, Green Revolution in
Palokangas, Tapio
pancreatic cancer
Park, Robert
pathological science
pattern searching
PCBs. See polychlorinated biphenyls
penile deformation
pesticides. See also DDT
biotech crops and
pros and cons of
superpests and
petroleum. See oil
pharmaceuticals
Philippines
Phillips, Ronald
phosphorous
Pielke, Roger, Jr.
pigs, biotech
Pimentel, David
Pimm, Stuart
Pinstrup-Andersen, Per
Pleistocene Rewilding proposal
Plewis, Ian
plutonium
politicization
pollution. See also chemicals; emissions
cancer and
climate sensitivity and
income correlation to
polychlorinated biphenyls (PCBs)
population. See also fertility rates
doomsayers
Ehrlich on
famine predictions and
innovation and
Malthus on
natural disaster damage and
neo-Malthusians on
projections
urbanization and
The Population Bomb (Ehrlich)
potassium oxide
potatoes
Pratt, Wallace
Prebisch, Raul
precautionary principle
adoption inevitability
burden of proof for
case example dangers of
cognitive biases on
false safety of
foresight fault of
formation of
innovation resisted by
maxim of
public health positioning of
trial without error fault of
Princip, Gavrilo
Prius
Pseudomonas syringae
puberty, early onset
Radetzki, Marian
Ratcliffe, D. A.
Reason Foundation
renewable energy
adoption proposal
cost reduction for clean and
power requirements and cost of
solar
wind
reproduction. See fertility rates
resource depletion. See also oil
commodity price decline and
commodity price super-cycles and
doomsayers
for electric vehicles
of fertilizer
innovation for
The Limits to Growth projections on
of metals
natural states theory and
sustainable development for
of water
Reynard, David
rice
Rifkin, Jeremy
risk minimization. See precautionary principle
Robinson, James
Rockefeller Foundation
Romer, Paul
Roundup
Rousseau, Denis
Ruckelshaus, William
saccharin
Sadanandan, Anoop
Sagoff, Mark
salmon, biotech
Sanyal, Sanjeev
Sapsford, David
Saudi Arabia
Sax, Dov
Schindler, Jörg
Schlesinger, James
Schmeiser, Percy
science
first ban on
literacy and polarization on
pathological
politicization of
sea-level rise
Sedjo, Roger
Seffrin, John
Segerfeldt, Fredrik
self-driving vehicles
Séralini, Gilles-Éric
Shapiro, Arthur
Shapiro, Samuel
Shiva, Vandana
Silent Spring (Carson)
Simmons, Matthew
Simon, Julian
Singer, Fred
Singer, Hans
Smil, Vaclav
smoking, cancer and
Smulders, Sjak
societal collapse
solar power
Sosis, Richard
Souder, William
soybeans
sperm quality and count decline
Speth, James Gustave
SPICE. See Stratospheric Particle Injection for Climate Engineering
storms
Stratospheric Particle Injection for Climate Engineering (SPICE)
subsidies
cutting
energy
food production
Sugiyama, Taishi
sulfur dioxide
Sunstein, Cass
superpests
superweeds
sustainable development. See also climate change mitigation
Swanson, Richard
Sweeney, Edmund
Synfuels Corporation
synthetic biology
synthetic chemicals. See also DDT; endocrine disrupting chemicals
Tahil, Wil
liam
Tainter, Joseph
technology. See biotech crops; biotechnology; innovation
temperature increase
climate sensitivity and
projections
trends
temperature increase hiatus
modeling error and
state of
theories on
TerraPower
Tesla
testicular cancer
Thierer, Adam
thorium
3-D printing
Thun, Michael
Tierney, John
tobacco, cancer and
tornadoes
transient climate response
traveling wave reactors
typhus
Union of Concerned Scientists (UCS)
United Nations (UN). See also Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change
climate change negotiations by
Conference on Trade and Development
on endocrine disruption
FAO
on fertility rate
on population growth
on sustainable development
uranium
urbanization
autonomous vehicles and
commodity price super-cycles and
nature restoration by
population and
US Department of Agriculture (USDA)
US Geological Survey (USGS)
vaccinations
Varmus, Harold
vehicles
electric
self-driving autonomous
Vellucci, Alfred
volcanic aerosols
Waggoner, Paul
water resources. See also ocean
Watson, James
Weisman, Alan
Weiss, Francis Joseph
Weiss, Harvey
Weitzman, Martin
Wernick, Iddo
wheat
White, David
White, Stuart
Whole Foods Market
whooping cranes
Wildavsky, Aaron
Wilson, E. O.
wind power
Wingspread Center
Wirth, Timothy
World Bank
World Health Organization
World Trade Organization
World War I
World War II
World Wildlife Fund
Worldwatch Institute
Wright, Joseph
Xi Jinping
Yale Cultural Cognition Project
Zetland, David
Zilberman, David
Zimmerman, Burke
ABOUT THE AUTHOR
RONALD BAILEY is the author of Ecoscam and an award-winning science correspondent for Reason magazine and Reason.com, where he writes a weekly science and technology column. He has also worked as a staff writer at Forbes, and his writing has appeared in The New York Times, The Wall Street Journal, The Washington Post, Smithsonian, Reader’s Digest, and many other publications. You can sign up for email updates here.
ALSO BY RONALD BAILEY
Eco-Scam: The False Prophets of Ecological Apocalypse
Liberation Biology: The Scientific and Moral Case for the Biotech Revolution
EDITED BY RONALD BAILEY
True State of the Planet
Earth Report 2000: Revisiting the True State of the Planet
Global Warming and Other Eco-Myths: How the Environmental Movement Uses False Science to Scare Us to Death
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CONTENTS
TITLE PAGE
COPYRIGHT NOTICE
DEDICATION
ACKNOWLEDGMENTS
INTRODUCTION
1. Peak Population?
2. Is the World Running on Empty?
3. Never Do Anything for the First Time
4. What Cancer Epidemic?
5. The Attack of the Killer Tomatoes?
6. Can We Cope with the Heat?
7. Is the Ark Sinking?
CONCLUSION:
ENVIRONMENTAL RENEWAL IN THE TWENTY-FIRST CENTURY
NOTES
INDEX
ABOUT THE AUTHOR
ALSO BY RONALD BAILEY
COPYRIGHT
THOMAS DUNNE BOOKS.
An imprint of St. Martin’s Press.
THE END OF DOOM. Copyright © 2015 by Ronald Bailey. All rights reserved. For information, address St. Martin’s Press, 175 Fifth Avenue, New York, N.Y. 10010.
www.thomasdunnebooks.com
www.stmartins.com
Significant portions of the present volume are based on my years of reporting on these topics for Reason magazine.
Cover design by Crystal Ben
Cover Photographs
Plant © Igor Lateci/Shutterstock
Stone © Rashevskyl Viacheslav/Shutterstock
eBooks may be purchased for business or promotional use. For information on bulk purchases, please contact Macmillan Corporate and Premium Sales Department by writing to [email protected].
The Library of Congress has cataloged the print edition as follows:
Bailey, Ronald.
The end of doom: environmental renewal in the twenty-first century / Ronald Bailey.—First edition.
p. cm.
Includes bibliographical references and index.
ISBN 978-1-250-05767-9 (hardcover)
ISBN 978-1-4668-6144-2 (e-book)
1. Environmental quality—Popular works. 2. Environmental protection—Public opinion—Popular works. 3. Environmental disasters—Prevention—Popular works. I. Title.
GE140.B3525 2015
363.7—dc23 2015013616
e-ISBN 9781466861442
First Edition: July 2015
The End of Doom Page 39