The Patient Equation

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The Patient Equation Page 26

by Glen de Vries


  Thank you to my parents, Madeline, Alan, Judy, and Ian, whose inspiration, influence, and voices all exist herein.

  Finally, to my friends, and to my fiercely loyal sisters, who have tolerated and encouraged my attention to science, technology, and Medidata for all these years: Katie Sue, Jesse, Uri, Mike, Adam, Steve, Andy, Michael, Yukiyo, Seijiro, Valéry, Maria, Padma, Katie, and Lizzy (and again to Tarek, who I have now shared an office and a business with for over 20 years): I love you guys!

  About the Authors

  Glen de Vries

  Glen is the co‐CEO and co‐founder of Medidata Solutions, a Dassault Systèmes brand, the leading cloud platform for life sciences research. He has been driving Medidata's mission of powering smarter treatments and healthier people since the company's inception in 1999. He received his undergraduate degree in molecular biology and genetics from Carnegie Mellon University, worked as a research scientist at the Columbia Presbyterian Medical Center, and studied computer science at New York University's Courant Institute of Mathematics. Glen's publications have appeared in Applied Clinical Trials, Cancer, The Journal of Urology, Molecular Diagnostics, STAT, Urologic Clinics of North America, and TechCrunch. Glen is a trustee of Carnegie Mellon University, a Columbia HITLAB Fellow, and a member of the Healthcare Businesswomen's Association European Advisory Board. Follow Glen on social media at @CaptainClinical.

  Jeremy Blachman

  Jeremy Blachman is a writer who works with leaders across industries on getting their ideas out to the world. A graduate of Princeton University and Harvard Law School, he is also a twice‐published novelist—Anonymous Lawyer (Henry Holt) and The Curve (Ankerwycke, co‐authored with Cameron Stracher)—and screenwriter, having developed both of his novels as television pilots for NBC. His writing has appeared in the New York Times, the Wall Street Journal, and many other publications. Visit his website at jeremyblachman.com.

  Index

  Page references followed by fig indicate an illustrated figure.

  A/B testing, 35

  Acute lymphoblastic leukemia (ALL), 210

  ADAPTABLE clinical trial, 150–151

  “Alarm fatigue,” 84

  Alector, 99

  Alphabet, 233

  ALS (Lou Gehrig's disease), 108

  Alzheimer's disease apps trying to distinguish memory issues from, 125

  biomarkers' potential to diagnose, 20, 52, 155, 212–213

  building patient equation for, 119–125

  drug development to fight off, 99

  gathering data on, 40–41

  offering interventions for, 61

  theoretical paths for neurodegenerative disease, 121–123

  See also Cognitive impairment; Dementia; Diseases

  Amazon, 35, 195

  Amazon Alexa, 54

  American Healthcare Leader, 83, 85

  American Heart Association, 170

  American Medical Association, 223

  American Society of Clinical Oncology, 176

  Apple Apple HealthKit app, 176, 209

  Apple HomeKit app, 54

  Apple Watch, 30, 46, 76, 153, 195, 233

  health care research by, 195

  iPhones, 51, 195

  Applied Health Signals (Livongo), 228

  Apps Apple HealthKit, 176, 209

  Apple HomeKit, 54

  Babylon Diagnostic and Triage System, 45

  BlueStar, 177

  brain training, 126

  Cardiogram, 45

  debate over medical value of, 45–46

  to distinguish memory issues from Alzheimer's‐like dementia, 125

  Flumoji, 88

  Migraine Alert, 45, 46

  MoovCare, 177

  Noom app‐based diet and life coaching tool, 211

  OneDrop, 75–77, 175, 180, 186

  reSET, 177

  Trak, 66

  Waterlogged, 175, 176

  See also Digital technologies; Smartphones; Wearables

  App Store, 195

  Artificial intelligence (AI), 85–86, 219, 226

  Artificial pancreas FDA warning on hacking, 74

  as solution to diabetes, 72–75

  Aspen Ideas: Health, 99

  ASSIST (Advanced Self‐Powered Systems of Integrated Sensors and Technologies) [North Carolina State University], 70

  Asthma comparing diabetes to, 69–70

  wearable aimed at eliminating attacks, 71

  The Atlantic, 211

  Automated Decision Support system (OneDrop), 75–77, 175, 180, 186

  Ava ovulation‐tracking bracelet, 60–63, 64–67, 70, 71, 219

  Babylon Diagnostic and Triage System app, 45

  Babylon (UK), 45

  Bach, Dr. Peter, 211, 212

  Basal body temperature, 63

  Battery technology, 48, 51

  Bayesian methodologies collaborative Bayesian adaptive trials, 158fig

  combined with synthetic control, 168–170, 198

  description of, 156

  I‐SPY 2 breast cancer study, 157–162, 197

  Bayes, Thomas, 156

  B‐cell acute lymphoblastic leukemia, 98

  B‐cell lymphomas, 210

  BCR‐ABL fusion, 127

  Becker's Hospital Review, 134

  Behavioral data combining genetic information with, 13–14

  multiscale view of health including, 6fig

  Bernard, Charlès, 237

  Berry, Dr. Don, 156–159, 197

  Beta‐amyloid plaques, 119–120

  Biden, Joe, 94

  Big Data, 76

  Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation, 101

  Biomarkers collaborative Bayesian adaptive trials on, 158fig

  continuous vs. discrete points measuring of, 39–40

  description of, 17, 18

  digital technologies measuring medical, 29–31

  PSA (prostate‐specific antigen), 18–19, 115–118fig, 120–121

  testing for, 18–20

  See also Measurements

  Biospecimens, 17–18, 20–21

  Blood pressure AI model to predict hypertension, 86

  DeepHeart (algorithm) prediction of high, 45

  Bloomberg terminal, 31

  Bloomlife, 66

  Bluebird Bio, 211

  BlueStar app, 177

  BMC Infectious Diseases, 87

  BrainHQ app, 126

  “Brain training” memory game (Lumosity), 126

  Breast cancer study (I‐SPY 2 model), 157–162, 197

  Cambridge Cognition, 125

  Cancer Moonshot project (NCI), 94, 126

  Cancers application of data to treatment of, 22–23

  changing the way we look at, 94–96

  colon cancer screening, 85

  complexity of genes and, 13

  complexity of the disease, 93

  glioblastoma (brain cancer), 161

  interaction between other diseases and, 129–130

  p53 mutation and susceptibility to, 20, 96–97

  prostate, 18–19, 21, 115–118fig, 120

  TP53 gene in DNA causing, 127

  triple‐negative tumors, 94

  See also Diseases

  Cancer treatments for B‐cell acute lymphoblastic leukemia, 98

  IBM's Watson failure, 44, 47, 133–134, 219

  I‐SPY 2 breast cancer study on, 157–162, 197

  Keytruda, 98–99, 155

  Kymriah, 98, 210, 211

  phage therapy applied to, 93–94, 99

  proteomics approach to, 94

  value of collaboration to develop, 194

  See also Treatment/clinical care

  Cardiogram app, 45

  CardioNet, 184

  Carson, Joy, 98

  Carson, William, 194

  Castleman disease data management role in treating, 107–108

  description and traditional treatment of, 106

  Dr. Fajgenbaum's work fighting, 102, 106, 107–110, 140, 153, 170

  idiopathic multicentric Castl
eman disease (iMCD) form of, 106–109

  implications for other diseases, 111

  Castleman Disease Collaborative Network, 106, 153

  Center for Genomics and Personalized Medicine (Standard University), 232

  Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) “Flu View” report, 86, 86–87

  Chasing My Cure: A Doctor's Race to Turn Hope into Action (Fajgenbaum), 107

  Cheek, Julia, 224–225

  Chronic myeloid leukemia, 127

  Clinical care. See Treatment/clinical care

  ClinicalTrials.gov, 145, 146

  Clinical trials accepting new kinds of data, 152–154

  ADAPTABLE, 150–151

  advantages of Bayesian methodology for, 156–170

  expanding access to, 144–147

  GBM AGILE, 161–162

  insights into adaptive designs for, 170–172, 196

  I‐SPY 2 breast cancer study, 157–162, 197

  making them truly patient‐centric, 149–152

  synthetic control, 162–168, 198

  typical phase III, 149–150

  See also Drug development

  Cognitive data building patient equations using, 119–125

  multiscale view of health including, 6fig

  Cognitive factors, 34–36

  Cognitive impairment building patient equations for, 119–125

  factors involved in treating, 123–125

  false “brain training” memory game to slow, 126

  See also Alzheimer's disease; Dementia

  Collaborative data to accelerate the value of research, 197–201

  to become part of larger digital ecosystem, 195–196

  Colon cancer screening, 85

  ColonFlag system, 85, 89

  Columbia Business School, 214

  Columbia Presbyterian Medical Center, 19

  Columbia University, 119, 120, 137, 161

  Consumer Electronics Show (CES), 46

  Costello, Anthony, 150

  Cowen, Tyler, 43

  Crick, Francis, 4, 10, 14

  Crowdsourcing to track flu, 86–87

  Cue Health, 233

  CURE magazine, 145

  Cyrcadia Health, 94

  Cystic fibrosis, 99, 100

  Dachis, Jeffrey, 75–77

  Dassault Systèmes, 237, 238

  Data application to treatment of cancer, 22–23

  biomarkers, 17–20

  biospecimens, 17–18, 20–21

  clinical trials accepting new kinds of, 152–154

  Flumoji (crowdsourcing tracking engine), 86–87

  layers of, 24–25

  molecular, 6fig, 123

  partnering with doctors, 83–85

  PatientsLikeMe's self‐reported, 26–28

  patient territory, 22–24

  privacy and transparency issues of, 234–235

  tracking the flu, 81–89

  traditional biomarkers, 29–31

  See also Patient equations; Statistics

  Data collaboration accelerating the value of research, 197–201

  Data & Society Research Institute, 84

  Davi, Ruthanna, 166

  DeepHeart (algorithm), 45

  Dementia apps trying to distinguish memory issues from, 125

  beta‐amyloid plaques linked to, 119–120

  factors involved in treating, 123–125

  financial and social costs of, 123

  theoretical paths for neurodegenerative disease, 121–123

  See also Alzheimer's disease; Cognitive impairment

  Dennis, Kara, 153, 176

  Department of Defense, 128, 130

  Department of Veterans Affairs, 128, 130

  Diabetes artificial intelligence model to predict, 86, 219

  artificial pancreas‐type solution to, 72–74

  DeepHeart (algorithm) prediction of, 45

  doctors incentivized to prevent, 206

  latent autoimmune diabetes of adulthood (LADA), 76

  multi‐hormone closed loop system treatment for, 74

  Noom app‐based diet and life coaching tool, 211

  OneDrop system for, 75–77, 175, 180, 186

  Open Artificial Pancreas System project (#OpenAPS), 74–75

  Diabetes journal, 76

  Diagnosis biomarkers used for, 17–20, 29–31

  data used for early intervention and, 88–89, 220–222, 232–233

  heart disease, 220–222

  high‐frequency feedback used for, 29–31

  low cost of better digital measurements, 37–40

  See also Treatment/clinical care

  Digital technologies artificial intelligence (AI), 85–86, 219, 226

  complexity of digital images, 135–136

  empowering patients through, 224–228, 232–233

  importance of doctors to revolutionary use of, 217–222

  low cost of measurements using, 37–40

  machine learning and AI, 85–86

  need for increased application to clinical trials, 154–156

  as part of a larger ecosystem, 195–197

  privacy and transparency issues of, 234–235

  See also Apps; Medical devices; Wearables

  Diseases asthma, 69–71

  Castleman disease, 102, 106

  cystic fibrosis, 99, 100

  data used for early intervention, 88–89, 220–222, 232–233

  diabetes, 45, 69–77, 86, 206, 211, 219

  heart disease, 220–222

  interaction between cancer and other, 129–130

  Lyme disease, 225, 232

  “omnigenic” nature of, 13

  proteins used to diagnose, 20

  rheumatoid arthritis (RA), 111, 209

  transitioning to wellness following treatment for, 129–130

  See also Alzheimer's disease; Cancers; Illness

  DNA biospecimen to search for specific sequences of, 18

  Gattaca's illustration on limitations of, 10–11, 235

  “junk,” 25

  TP53 cancer‐causing gene in the, 127

  Watson and Crick's breakthrough on, 4, 10, 14

  See also Genotype

  Doctors partnering with patients, 222–224

  their importance to the data revolution, 217–222

  Drug development how precision medicine impacts, 105–106

  incentives for delivery of therapeutic value of, 211

  including engagement strategy as part of, 180–182

  See also Clinical trials

  Duchenne muscular dystrophy, 38

  Dudley, Dr. Joel, 7–8

  Duke University Hospital's Sepsis Watch system, 82–85, 89

  ECG CardioNet, 184

  livestream and continuous, 14, 33

  The Economist, 195

  Elashoff, Barbara, 28–29, 165–166

  Elashoff, Mike, 29, 166

  El Camino Hospital (California), 85

  Elemental publication, 224

  Elish, Madeleine Clare, 84

  Engagement strategy challenges to implementing, 182–185

  pre‐ versus post‐regulatory approval, 181fig

  EverlyWell, 224–225

  Facebook, 195

  Fajgenbaum, Dr. David, 102, 106, 107–110, 140, 153, 170

  Fantastic Voyage (film), 236

  Farmanfarmaian, Robin, 216, 226

  FDA (Food and Drug Administration) artificial pancreas‐style system approved by, 73

  Ava approval by, 60

  clinical trial responsibilities by, 149

  concerns over 23andMe genetic diagnostics by, 36

  Keytruda cancer treatment approved by, 98

  mTOR inhibitor sirolimus approved by, 108

  6‐minute walk test used for submission to, 38

  support of Bayesian trial design, 160

  Fernandez, Clara Rodriguez, 73–74

  Fertility Ava ovulation‐tracking bracelet, 60–63, 64–67, 70, 71

  Trak's at‐home testing kit, 66


  YO's at‐home semen analysis by smartphone, 66

  Financial Times, 45

  Fitbit, 52, 66, 76, 153

  Flatiron Health, 168

  Flu benefits of catching early, 81–82

  CDC's “Flu View” report on the, 86–87

  data tracking the, 86–89

  Flumoji (crowdsourced flu‐tracking app), 86–87, 88

  Flu Near You, 87

  Flu shots, 87

  Forbes Healthcare Summit, 73

  Forbes magazine, 223

  Frequentist methodology, 156, 157

  Gartner, 153

  Gastric bypass surgery, 205

  Gates Foundation, 101

  Gattaca (film), 10–11, 235

  Gawande, Dr. Atul, 43, 175

  GBM AGILE (Glioblastoma Adaptive Global Innovative Learning Environment), 161–162

  Genes: cancer and, 13; HER2/neu gene, 94

  Genetic panels, 153

  Genome a future of predicting disease using, 232

  importance in determining our health, 4

  sequencing the, 3, 10

  Genotype the false promise of, 10–14

  phenotype vs., 3–4, 11fig–13

  See also DNA

  GlaxoSmithKline, 86, 87, 209

  Glioblastoma (brain cancer), 161

  Glucose‐sensing contact lens, 44, 47

  Goldner, Dan, 77

  Google attempts to track the flu by, 87

  Gmail, 195

  Google Home, 54

  health care research and products by, 195

  Nest Learning Thermostat, 53–54, 60

  Verily, 47

  Groove Health, 177

 

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