The Future of Everything: The Science of Prediction

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The Future of Everything: The Science of Prediction Page 43

by David Orrell

Howard, Luke

  Hubbard, Elbert

  Huber, Peter

  human body

  analogy with earth

  complexity of

  da Vinci's representation of

  DNA sequence

  immune system

  measurement of

  Human Genome Project

  n65

  Human Genome Sciences

  humidity

  Huntington's disease

  hurricanes

  hygrometers

  hysteresis

  Iamblichus

  I Ching

  immune system (human)

  Incredible January Effect, The

  Incyte

  Industrial Revolution

  n22

  inertia, law of

  infation

  infuenza

  epidemic of 1918

  initial condition

  butterfy effect

  f

  in cells and genetic research

  in chaotic systems

  in climate forecasting

  in complex systems

  and free will

  in linear systems

  and model error

  in plot structure

  in weather forecasting

  Inquisition, Spanish

  Institute for Systems Biology

  n65

  interest rates

  Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC)

  International Institute for Applied

  Systems Analysis

  International Monetary Fund

  7442Indexinverse-square

  law

  investors

  psychology of

  as rational

  "invisible hand"of capitalism

  irrational numbers

  Issa (Japanese poet)

  January effect

  Japanese Earth Simulator

  Jevons, William Stanley

  jewels

  Jupiter's moons

  kabbalism

  Kant, Immanuel

  Kantsaywhere (Galton)

  Keepin, Will

  Keller, Evelyn Fox

  Kelley, Edward

  Kendall, Maurice

  Kepler, Johannes

  as an astrologer

  harmony of the spheres

  and Platonic solids

  religious views

  and Tycho Brahe

  Keynes, John Maynard

  Knight, Frank

  Knight, Robert

  Koestler, Arthur

  n56

  n59

  Kosko, Bart

  Kuhn, Thomas

  Kyoto Protocol

  lagged forecasts

  Laing, R.D.

  Lamarck, Jean Baptiste de

  Laplace, Pierre Simon

  Laplace's demon

  Lavoiser, Antoine

  Law of Ancestral Heredity

  Leeuwenhoek, Antonie van

  left: vs right

  and division of brain

  Lenin, Vladimir Ilyich

  Leonardo da Vinci

  on the human body

  Leslie, Alan

  Leverrier, Urbain

  Lewontin, Richard

  Life (system)

  light

  speed of

  vs darkness

  limited: vs unlimited

  linear systems

  resources as

  linear thinking

  Little Ice Age

  London Anthropological Institute

  London School of Economics

  Long Count calendar

  long-term forecasting

  Lorenz, Ed, and the Lorenz system,

  loss aversion

  Lovelock, James

  low-resolution model

  Mackay, Charles

  magnifying glass

  male: vs female

  Malkiel, Burton G.

  Malthus, Thomas

  Manabe, Syukuro

  Mandelbrot, Benoit

  Mandelbrot set

  margin of error

  Margulis, Lynn

  market fuctuations

  biological interpretations of

  as chaotic

  as predictable

  as random

  as rational

  as super-rational

  volatility vs time

  market fundamentalism

  Markowitz, Harry

  Mars

  Marx, Karl

  Masculine Birth of Time, The (Bacon)

  Mastlin, Michael

  mathematical models

  of atmospheric dynamics

  of climate

  of clouds

  for economic forecasting

  of the ecosystem

  of global civilization

  limitations of

  for long-term forecasting

  model bias

  and model quality

  of population growth

  and Pythagorean antitheses

  research in

  for understanding the present

  for weather forecasting

  Mathematical Principles of Natural

  Philosophy (Newton)

  mathematikoi

  Maturana, Humberto

  Maxwell, James Clerk

  McCauley, Joe

  McClintock, Barbara

  McKitrick, Ross

  Mead, Richard

  mean (average)

  mechanical curves

  mechanistic science

  Mendel, Gregor

  Mendeleyev, Dmitri

  Mendelian diseases

  Met. Offce (Britain)

  metabolism

  of cells

  of economic systems

  metaphor

  Metaphysics (Aristotle)

  Meteorologica (Aristotle)

  meteorology equipment

  microarray technology

  microscopes

  Midgley, Mary

  Milankovich, Milutin

  military applications

  of absolute time

  of the Cartesian grid

  of quantum physics

  of telescopes

  of weather forecasting

  Mills, Mark

  Milon (athlete)

  Milton, John

  Mnesarchus

  model drift

  model error

  moleosophy

  Molina, Mario

  moon

  More, Thomas

  Morgan, Thomas Hunt

  motion: vs rest

  Muller, Hermann

  Music of the Spheres

  Myriad

  Mysteries of the Cosmos (Kepler)

  mythology

  naive forecast

  National Hurricane Center

  National Oceanic and Atmospheric

  Administration

  Natural and Political Observations Made

  upon the Bills of Mortality (Graunt)

  natural disasters

  scapegoats for

  Nelson, Julie A.

  Neptune

  Newton, Isaac

  as autistic

  and calculus

  laws of motion

  on simplicity

  Nina, La

  Nino, El

  noise

  non-linear equations

  non-linear systems

  normal distribution

  North American Free Trade Agreement

  (NAFTA)

  numbers

  irrational

  Pythagorean properties of

  rational

  relation to music

  numerical prediction

  numerology

  objectivity vs subjectivity

  objects, falling

  acceleration of

  oblong: vs square

  observatories

  Ockham's Razor

  odd: vs even

  odometers

  Oldenburg, Henry

  one: vs plurality

  oneiromancy

  On
the Origin of Species (Darwin)

  On the Revolution of Heavenly Spheres (Copernicus)

  ordinary differential equation (ODE)

  organelles

  Organization for Economic Co-

  operation and Development (OECD)

  Ormerod, Paul

  ornithomancy

  Osborne, M.F.M.

  Osiander, Andreas

  Ovid

  ozone layer

  Painter, Theophilus

  paleoclimatology

  pandemics. See epidemics and

  pandemics

  parameterizations

  in climate forecasting

  in economic forecasting

  sensitivity to

  in weather forecasting

  Pareto's law

  Pascal, Blaise

  Pasteur, Louis

  Pearson, Christina

  peer-review process

  pendulums

  perfect model assumption

  periodic attractor

  periodic table of chemical elements

  phenotype

  phrenology

  plagues. See epidemics and pandemics

  planetary orbits

  as elliptical

  and gravity

  Kepler's laws of

  as non-linear systems

  perturbations in

  Plato

  Academy

  Defence of Socrates

  Phadros

  Phaedo

  Republic

  Platonic solids

  plurality: vs one

  Plutarch

  Poetica (Aristotle)

  Poincare, Henri

  point attractor

  Politics (Aristotle)

  polls

  Pope, Alexander

  Popper, Karl

  population

  control of

  exponential growth of

  homeostatic limits of

  model predictions of

  S-shaped curve for

  statistical measurements of

  portfolio theory

  post-autistic economics

  Poverty of Historicism, The (Popper)

  power-law distribution

  predestination

  prenatal testosterone

  pricing options

  Prior Analytics (Aristotle)

  probabilistic forecast

  for economic prediction

  for weather prediction

  proteins

  proteomics

  Ptolemy

  and Greek Circle Model

  Putin, Vladimir

  pyromancy

  Pythagoras

  antitheses

  cosmic harmony

  numerical prediction

  and reincarnation

  triangle theorem and geometry

  Pythia

  Pythian Apollo

  Python

  quantum physics

  and free will

  and nuclear weapons

  Quetelet, Lambert

  Treatise on Man and the Development

  of his Faculties

  radical fallibility

  radio-sonde

  RAND Corporation

  random shocks

  random walk theory

  Raphael

  The School of Athens

  rational numbers

  Raymer, Steve

  Reagan, Nancy

  recessions

  Rees, Martin

  Regional Integrated Climate-Economy

  (RICE)

  regression to the mean

  regulation and regulating mechanisms

  the earth as

  of markets

  of population growth

  reincarnation

  religion

  Einstein's view of

  and free will

  and Greek Circle Model

  and science

  rest: vs motion

  ribosomes

  Richardson, Lewis Fry

  Ridley, B.K.

  right: vs left

  and division of brain

  Ring of Fire

  Risk, Uncertainty, and Proft (Knight)

  risk assessment

  and asset valuation

  economic

  genetic

  RNA (ribonucleic acid)

  Robertson, Pat

  root mean square (RMS)

  Rosenkrantz, Friedrich

  Rossby, Carl Gustaf

  Rowland, Sherwood

  Royal Greenwich Observatory

  Royal Society

  Rudolph II, Holy Roman Emperor

  Rumsfeld, Donald

  sampling

  SARS

  Saul, John Ralston

  scapegoats

  scatter

  Schneider, Stephen

  Scholes, Myron

  School of Athens, The (Raphael)

  Schrodinger, Erwin

  science

  as bastion against chaos

  deterministic

  lack of communication in

  mechanistic

  non-linear progress in

  political and ethical neutrality of

  as a protective mechanism

  reason and analysis

  and religion

  sexualization of

  world views of

  scientifc method

  Descartes principles for scientifc discovery

  Ockham's Razor

  scientists

  link with autism

  power of

  as self-important

  view of global warming issues

  women as

  Second World War

  weather forecasting in

  Secrets of the Universe (Kepler)

  selfsh gene theory

  n37

  serotonin

  n81

  shadow orbits

  f Shakespeare, William

  Hamlet

  King Lear

  Tempest

  shift map

  Short History of Nearly Everything, A

  (Bryson)

  Sideways Look at Time (Griffths)

  skill (of models)

  Skinner, B.F.

  Smagorinsky, Joseph

  smallpox

  Smith, Adam

  Smith, Lenny

  Smith, Linda

  social physics

  social sciences

  sociology

  Socrates

  solar system

  as based on geometry

  force of

  harmony of the spheres

  as a repeating cycle

  stability of

  sun-centred models

  Soros, George

  Southern Oscillation

  South Sea Bubble

  species

  extinction of

  migration patterns of

  square: vs oblong

  square-root error growth

  square root of two

  S-shaped curve

  standard deviation

  State of Fear (Crichton)

  statistics and statistical methods

  correlation

  for economical measurement

  Galton's use of

  polls

  sampling

  for scientifc predictions

  status quo bias

  stochastic noise

  stocks

  Stouffer, Ron

  straight: vs crooked

  straight lines

  with linear regression

  linear systems

  as predictable

  strange attractor

  stress

  sunspot fuctuations

  supernova

  Suzuki, David

  Suzuki, D.T.

  Swift, Jonathan

  Sybil

  syllogistic argument

  systems biology

  Taccone, Baldassare

  Tamifu

  Tao of Physics (Capra)

  tasseomancy

  T
ay-Sachs

  telegraph

  telescopes

  Terwilliger, Joseph

  Tetrabiblos (Ptolemy)

  tetractys

  Thales

  The Double Helix (Watson)

  Thelen, Esther

  Theophrastus of Eresos

  thermometers

  Thomas Aquinas, St.

  Thompson, Dick

  Thucydides

  thymine (T)

  Tikopia

  time

  absolute

  and motion

  Times, The (London)

  Torricelli, Evangelista

  traits (human)

  Galton's study of

  measurement of

  trend following

  trigonometry

  tsunamis

  Tyndale, William

  typhoons

  Ulam, Stanislaw

  uncertainty principle (Heisenberg)

  uncomputability and uncomputable

  systems

  unlimited: vs limited

  Uraniborg

  Utopian society

  vaccines

  Varela, Francisco

  Venter, Craig

  virus

  Vitruvius

  volcanoes

  Volkmar, Fred

  Voltaire's Bastards (Saul)

  von Neumann, John

  von Tschermak, Erich

  Vulcan

  Walker, Gilbert

  Wallace, Alfred Russel

  Walpole, Robert

  war. See First World War; military

  applications; Second World War

  water

  as an element

  environmental issues concerning,

  role in global warming

  Watson, James

  Watt, James (British inventor)

  Watt, James (U.S. politician)

  Wealth of Nations, The (Smith)

  weather

  as a dynamical system

  human control of

  measurement of

  Weather Book, The (FitzRoy)

  weather forecasting

  in almanacs

  astrological methods

  Cartesian grid for

  and chaos theory

  data assimilation

  data-based synoptic method

  economic importance of

  ensemble methods

  historical background

  initial condition in

  length of forecast

  meterology equipment

  military applications of

  model error in

  model"skill,"

  numerical methods

  probabilistic

  storm prediction

  weather maps

  Weather Prediction by Numerical Process

  (Richardson)

  weather satellites

  Wertheim, Margaret

  Whale and the Supercomputer, The

  (Wohlforth)

  White, Andrew Dickson

  Wiin-Nielsen, Aksel

  witchcraft trials

  Wohlforth, Charles

  Wolfram, Stephen

  World3

  World Bank

  world civilization. See civilization, global

  Woudenberg, Fred

  Wynne, Brian

  yeast

  and dough-folding example of chaos

  Yorke, James

  Younger Dryas

  Zeus

 

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