by Dale Brown
"What concerns MS?" The President stared at Kwon in surprise. "President Kwon, it is well known that the People's Republic of China views the existence of weapons of mass destruction at or even near its borders as a threat to its national security and sovereignty. The United States and the former Republic of Korea have honored China's concern and have not stationed any nuclear, chemical, or biological weapons on the Korean peninsula for over twenty years. If you keep these confiscated weapons, China will certainly view it as a threat."
"President Martindale," Kwon said, "it is incongruous in the extreme to let such a notion concern you."
"What? Why do you say that?"
"In the light of our recent discoveries, sir, it is apparent that weapons of mass destruction have been placed on Korean soil for many years," Kwon said. "The world knew about North Korea's chemical and biological weapons, and now we see that a great many thermonuclear weapons were based here too. Why then should we be concerned if China is upset that we now possess the very weapons that they in all likelihood placed on Korean soil in the first place?"
"The difference is, sir, that North Korea and most certainly China jointly controlled those weapons, and now they don't," Martindale said. "I understand what you are saying, Mr. President. But the cold hard fact is that China is upset that you are capturing these weapons and have not declared your intention as to their disposition. China has thankfully stayed out of this incident because they recognized, as did the world, that this was an internal struggle. When the pro-democracy forces won and it was apparent that the former North Korean citizens were being welcomed and integrated into the new United Korea, China was careful not to interfere and cooperated in a timely manner with a complete military troop withdrawal."
"We have done all that we promised," Kwon said. "We are one people. Nothing can deny that."
"President Kwon, I am not sure you understand. If China thinks it a possibility that you might point those nuclear, chemical, or biological weapons at them, they may not be so cooperative," Martindale warned the Korean president. "In fact, they might get downright upset. They have almost a quarter of a million troops sitting on your northern border right now, and another quarter million within seven days' march.
"You must declare your intentions, sir. My recommendation to you is to agree to turn over all those confiscated special weapons to the United Nations Nuclear Disarmament Agency. The United States will pay all costs of transporting, dismantling, incineration, disposal, or secure storage of the weapons. We can announce the action at a joint news conference, and this time I'll be sure that President Jiang of China himself is there to endorse and support it. You can declare the Korean peninsula a certified weapons-of-mass destruction-free zone and challenge China to turn Asia into a WMD-free continent."
Kwon Ki-chae sat back in his chair, a move that startled Martindale and Hale. It was an extraordinarily casual gesture in a man who was normally extremely conscious of appearances. "I very much appreciate your concern and thoughts on this subject, Mr. President," he said. "I am of course in full agreement with your sentiments. A WMD-free Asia would be in the best interests of everyone in the world."
Martindale smiled, although a knot was forming in his stomach. He was afraid Kwon was about to let the other shoe drop.
"However, I think it would be best if we kept these weapons for the time being," he said, sitting up straight again, his tone and mannerisms now grave. "We believe it would be a more persuasive show of sincerity and unanimity if President Jiang joined me in turning over all of his weapons of mass destruction to the United Nations."
"Are you . . , serious?" Martindale blurted out. "Are you saying you will not turn over any warheads unless China agrees to turn over its warheads at the same time? Mr. President, do you seriously believe that's ever going to happen?"
"Apparently you do not believe it," Kwon replied. "But why is this so hard to believe, sir? Where is the threat? Certainly not from the United States, correct? Russia has not the capacity for war, and certainly not against a powerful neighbor. Let us all agree to lay down our weapons together in a total show of a lasting commitment for peace. What a glorious way to begin the new millennium."
"Mr. President ..." Kevin Martindale forced himself to control his rising anger and frustration. "Mr. President, please reconsider. The threat potentially facing Korea is very, very serious. If China perceives you as a threat, they may launch a preemptive attack against Seoul and against all of your military installations, North and South. The death and destruction could be enormous. China has certainly shown in recent years that it will react harshly and quickly to any threat to its security and regional hegemony. I believe you have an opportunity to be a world leader in the pursuit of peace and global nuclear disarmament. Please reconsider your position."
"I will attempt to state United Republic of Korea's position as plainly as I can," Kwon said sternly, leaning toward the camera. "Our republic faced imminent destruction for almost fifty years. We endured two generations of schizophrenia and paranoia, brothers torn apart by a world that saw Korea as nothing more than spoils of war to be divided up like bits of clothing and equipment taken from the bodies of the dead on the battlefield.
"For decades, both North and South were forced to accept foreign powers on our soil. We were led to believe these powers were there to protect us from ourselves. We now know that they were really there to provide a forward presence for themselves, to act as a deterrent in their own selfish interests. Neither China, the United States, nor Russia cared about the Korean people. All you cared about was the military and geopolitical advantages that stationing troops on our soil, near your potential adversaries, could provide. You were protecting no one else but yourselves. No more.
"I will introduce an emergency bill in our new legislature, authorizing • the Korean military to keep and control all military weapons and devices, including weapons of mass destruction," Kwon said. "It will authorize the establishment of a positive control system, supervised by the president and the minister of defense. It will authorize training, maintenance, and deployment of all types of weapons now on Korean soil. And it will authorize that these weapons be deployed against whatever power threatens the peace, security, and sovereignty of United Korea."
Kwon waited to let his words sink in, then went on: "With all due respect, Mr. Martindale, I was not able to believe you when you showed concern for Korea and expressed your hope that we would help contribute to world peace by turning over our weapons of mass destruction. You hoped we would do so because you asked us to. You hope that we will do so now because then you can save face before the Chinese government. Although we no longer look to the United States for our protection, the Chinese still believe we look to you for guidance and support-they believe we are still American puppets. You were hoping this was true. It is not.
"The weapons we have confiscated will stay in Korea until such time as we feel they are not necessary to secure our citizens, our borders, our government, and our way of life. I sincerely hope all such weapons can be destroyed around the world. But we must do it together. Until then, we will look to ourselves for our security."
"President Kwon, I think you're making a big mistake," President Martindale said. "China . . , no, the world will react negatively to the news that Korea has decided to keep perhaps several hundred WMDs. You will undo all the great things you have accomplished in the past several weeks."
"Was France ostracized and in danger of attack from Russia or the United States because it broke away from NATO and decided to control the fate of its own nuclear weapons?" Kwon asked. "Did the United States dismantle its nuclear arsenal because the Soviet Union was upset about you aiming ten thousand nuclear warheads at its cities? We will not willingly surrender any weapon in the hope that belligerent nations will follow suit and lay down their weapons too. That is a typical American folly that Korea will not repeat.
"I hope you are wrong, Mr. Martindale," Kwon went on. "I hope China sees us as a
stabilizing influence in Asia and not a destabilizing one. But it does not matter what they think. Korea will use all the resources available to it to defend its borders, its government, and its people. If it means war with China-well, many have said such a war was inevitable, that two such ideologically opposed nations can never coexist or even peacefully share a border. China has dominated Korea in the past, and if history shows us anything, it is that it may happen again. But this time we are united. Any who wish to attack or invade will find a stronger, more determined Korea standing in their way."
"President Kwon, please, let me meet with you as soon as possible," President Martindale said. "In Tokyo, in Singapore, in Manila, in Paris-anywhere you wish. We must sit down face-to-face and talk more."
"I am very sorry, Mr. Martindale," Kwon said, "but I have a fledgling country to run-and a military to organize. If China is indeed a threat to us, as you say, we must prepare. Good day to you, sir." And the videoconference connection went dead.
Martindale was exhausted, physically and emotionally, when he dropped the receiver back on its cradle. He shook his head and massaged his aching temples. "You were right, Ellen," he told the others in the Oval Office. "They aren't going to give up the weapons. He sees them as his best opportunity to hold off another invasion by China. Kwon must be crazy to think he can stop China."
"Kwon is not crazy, not by a long shot," Vice President Whiting said seriously. "He is like a grand chess master, which in reality I believe he is: he can see six moves ahead, and he is dogged in his determination. He has infinite patience and a simple, clear, concise set of objectives-the creation of a united Korean nation. If keeping hundreds of WMDs will help him achieve that, he'll do it."
"I can certainly see his point," General Freeman said. "He knows that China can march right in and take Korea at any time if they choose to do so. Having a WMD arsenal, with missiles powerful enough to hold Beijing itself at risk, is the only way they can hope to deter China."
"But if China was going to invade, they could have done it a long time ago."
"Not with American troops stationed there," Freeman pointed out. "We were only a trip-wire force there, true, but it was an effective trip wire. Our little forty-thousand-troop force successfully held hundreds of thousands of Chinese soldiers at bay for forty years, backed up by our nuclear deterrent, of course. The only time we ever felt threatened by the Chinese is when we started to draw down our strategic forces to the point where China believed it could withstand an American retaliation. They took a shot at subduing Taiwan, and only by stepping in with substantial firepower did they back off."
"And now, with Korea?"
"It's deja vu all over again-except China might have the public opinion advantage in this one," Freeman replied. "You are absolutely correct, sir-if Korea keeps those weapons, they'll be perceived as the antagonizers, perhaps even as the aggressors. It is as if Cuba suddenly acquired a tremendous nuclear, chemical, and biological weapons arsenal and then dared us to ignore the fact-the world would condemn Cuba. China can claim it is a destabilizing event. The world will not only be horrified to learn that North Korea had a nuclear arsenal greater than most any other nonsuperpower nation on earth, but that now United Korea has those weapons. China must respond to this development."
"How?"
"They might increase the number of troops on the border and in the region, increase the throw weight of missiles and artillery aimed at Korea-all peaceful, all on their side of the line, and all fully justifiable," Freeman went on. "This could continue for months, even years. The world could be on the razor's edge for an indefinite period of time, even with continuous and strenuous negotiations going on. But worse: if something happens-an accident, an error, a skirmish-all hell could break loose in the blink of an eye. We destroyed China's intercontinental ballistic missile fleet in
1997 during the Taiwan conflict, but we didn't put much of a dent in their medium- or short-range ballistic missile arsenal. Most of it is intact, and it's potent."
"And Korea no longer has all of the Patriot antiaircraft and antimissile systems it had just one month ago," Ellen Whiting pointed out. "We took most of those systems home with us when our troops left, didn't we?"
"Yes. Less than a third of the thirty Patriot batteries are still there," Freeman said. "Each battery has three launchers, one radar, and six reload canisters. That's about forty shots against aircraft-Patriots always fire in two-round salvos-and less than twenty shots against tactical ballistic missiles. This means one attack could deplete their antiaircraft and antimissile capabilities. Plus, Kwon has to face the idea of dispersing those ten batteries throughout the entire peninsula, not just the South. Thirty batteries located in South Korea protected the nation very well against just about any airborne threat-but ten batteries spread out over the entire peninsula will be stretching it pretty thin."
"And what do we do if Kwon wants to buy more Patriots?" Vice President Whiting asked. "What do we tell him? Or what if he goes to Russia, or Israel, or Great Britain, looking for air defense equipment?"
"Let's not get too far ahead of ourselves here," the President said, holding up a hand. "One crisis at a time, please." He thought for a moment, then said, "Okay. What do we have in the region right now? Anything at all we can add to increase the deterrent factor?"
"All of our assets are afloat," Philip Freeman replied. "The America and the Eisenhower carrier battle groups are in the area. The America is in the Yellow Sea, helping move our remaining troops out of Korea; it was to have been decommissioned two years ago, but with the destruction of Indy, it's still in service. The Eisenhower is in the Sea of Japan, standing by to help, trying to monitor the situation, and providing some cover for Japan. Not that Japan needs it-they've been flying regular MiG-29 patrols right up to the Korea-China-Russia frontier, with Korea's blessing. We have two other carriers, Roosevelt and Vinson, en route to the area."
"That's it? No other forces near Korea?"
"Sir, that's one-third of our carrier fleet," Freeman acknowledged somberly. "And they all must operate with minimal forward-basing capability. Seventh Fleet was forced to move from Yokosuka to Pearl Harbor because of the Independence disaster, and all attack-capable military units were removed from Japan following the nuclear attack on the Independence. We have a few assets at Yokota and Misawa, all air defense and transport units. It took two years of hard negotiating to keep our bases on Okinawa. The units on Okinawa are there to maintain air base operations and provide fleet support only-we are prohibited from basing or staging any attack forces from there. Anderson Air Base on Guam is still uninhabitable; Agana Naval Base on Guam is just coming back up after being heavily damaged in the Chinese attack. The nearest American military base is Elmendorf Air Force Base." When the President looked up at Freeman with a quizzical expression, he added, "In Anchorage, Alaska."
"Anchorage!" the President exclaimed. "The closest military base we have to Korea is in Alaska?"
"The former Adak Naval Air Station in the Aleutian Island chain is thirteen hundred miles closer, but it is completely uninhabited except by caretakers-the Navy left in 1998," Freeman said. "First-class airfield, first-class dock facilities, first-class communications facilities, enough housing and infrastructure for almost ten thousand folks-just uninhabited for two years. It's a three-hour plane ride from Anchorage, if the weather is good." He gave the President a wry smile. "The Navy got along well with the neighbors-the nearest civilian community of any size is over one hundred miles away."
"My God," the President muttered. "No nearby military facilities. What're the next closest bases?"
"About equidistant between Anchorage and Honolulu," Freeman said. "Over four thousand miles away-eight hours by jet."
"God," the President muttered again. "Philip, I need a contingency plan to deal with this, right away. If China attacks United Korea, what are we going to do about it? What will our response be? We also need to have sufficient forces in place to protect Japan, even if they
don't want us based on their soil. My thoughts are this: we place enough deterrent forces in the region to show China that we are ready to respond. At least three carrier battle groups, plus a bomber force on alert in Alaska, loaded with enough firepower to blunt a Chinese ground invasion. Philip, I need you to draw up something like that as soon as possible."
Philip Freeman walked over to his briefcase and withdrew three copies of a thick manuscript. "Fast enough for you, sir?" he quipped, handing a copy to Vice President Whiting as well. The manuscript was entitled "United Republic of Korea Show of Force Ops Plan."
"You've been busy these past few days, Philip," the President said approvingly. "Very good. Give it to me in a nutshell."
"You've given it to me already, sir," Freeman responded. "Priority number one: increase our presence in northeast Asia without the use of foreign forward-operating bases. Priority number two: deter aggression by China or Russia against the UROK or Japan. Priority number three: be able to stop or blunt a land invasion by either China or Russia into the UROK with rapid, sustained, massive firepower.
"This document was written by Brigadier General Patrick McLanahan of the High Technology Aerospace
Weapons Center. It's biased, of course-McLanahan and his team develop air weapons, mostly Air Force, but he has a workable plan that I'd like to present to you for consideration. He relies on some naval assets and some assets of other services, but mostly he relies on experimental assets being developed by him and his team at Elliott Air Force Base."
"Why am I not surprised?" the President asked sarcastically. He inwardly winced when he heard the name "Elliott," as in "Brad Elliott"-as he feared, that three-star bastard was still haunting him, tormenting the White House from beyond the grave.
"Response number one: increase surface combat tasking in the region," Freeman went on. "The first choice would be carriers, and we'll have to start with the ones we have in the region, but McLanahan outlines a different proposal in his plan. Response number two: increase commitment of long-range air combat forces to the Asia theater. Response number three ..." He hesitated, then said, "Commitment to use special weapons in the NEA theater."