Crashed

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Crashed Page 90

by Adam Tooze

QE2 and, 369–70

  on TARP, 181

  as Treasury Secretary, 200

  General Motors (GM), 31, 157–58, 449

  Georgia, 4, 117, 125, 135-38

  Germany, 16, 93, 167

  Agenda, 2010, 95

  austerity in, 353–54

  bank bailouts in, 159, 188–89, 193, 194–95

  debt and, 353–54, 355–56

  debt brake, 98, 287–89, 329, 331, 347, 354, 356, 361, 418, 429–30, 512

  euro entry of, 93, 94–95

  fiscal policy in, 95–98

  Greek debt crisis and, 328–30, 332–33, 339, 340, 377–78, 384–85

  real estate boom and, 105–6

  reunification and, 93, 94, 95, 98

  Russia, relations with, 113, 131, 136, 138, 539, 595

  as safe haven, 378, 379–80

  stimulus package/debt brake deal in, 287–89

  unemployment in, 94–95, 287

  US mortgage market exposure of German banks, 73–74

  United States, relations with, 115–17, 119, 121–22, 136–39, 218, 339, 353–54, 369, 412–14, 434–35, 499-500, 523–24, 594

  See also eurozone financial crisis; Merkel, Angela

  Gingrich, Newt, 174–75

  Ginny Mae, 46, 48. See also government-sponsored enterprises (GSEs)

  globalization, 7–8, 26, 457, 571–72, 574–75

  global savings glut, 38

  global systemically important financial institutions (G-SIFI), 311–13

  Globex bank, 224

  Golden Dawn, 375, 429, 516

  Goldman Sachs, 53, 60, 62, 70, 153, 316, 551

  bonuses paid by, 306

  collateral calls against AIG of, 152

  as commercial bank holding company, 179–80

  SEC charges against, 306–7

  government bonds

  French (OATs), 101

  German (Bunds), 287

  QE1 and, 285–86

  UK (gilts), 285–86

  See also US Treasury market

  government-sponsored enterprises (GSEs), 46–49

  funding advantage of, 46, 47

  Greenspan refinancing boom of 2000–2003 and, 55–56

  loan standards of, 47–48

  originate-to-distribute model of, 48–49

  politicization of, 47

  underserved communities, lending goals for, 47

  Graham, Lindsey, 293

  Gramm, Phil, 109

  Great Britain. See United Kingdom

  “great moderation”, 10, 11, 44

  Greece, 15

  austerity in, 330–31, 340, 376–77, 384–85, 409

  cross-border financial flows in, 106–7

  debt crisis in, 14, 322, 323–45, 357–59, 376–78, 381–89, 408–10, 422–29

  debt restructuring and, 384–85, 388–89, 423–28

  deficits in, 101, 324, 338

  demonstrations in, 340, 375, 409

  elections of 2012, 428

  Eurogroup-Syriza debt restructuring confrontation, 517–35

  extend-and-pretend in, 325, 328, 331, 336, 358–59, 376, 382–83, 401, 425, 529, 532

  Fitch downgrade of debt of, 339

  Papandreou replaced as prime minister, 409–10

  real estate boom in, 107

  rescue fund for, 342–44

  social crisis in, 515–16

  #Thisisacoup, 533

  troika’s rescue plan for, 336–37, 339–40

  unemployment in, 358–59, 374, 408, 428, 515

  vote against troika proposal, 530

  Greenspan, Alan, 29, 32, 37, 293, 574, 575

  Gref, Herman, 503

  Gross, Bill, 40, 349, 379, 481

  “Growth in a Time of Debt” (Reinhart & Rogoff), 347

  Habermas, Jürgen, 116, 122, 534

  Hamilton Project, 25–27, 29, 36, 42, 182, 281, 451, 456, 458

  Hammond, Philip, 560, 592

  Hartz IV, 95

  HBOS, 154, 171, 189–90

  Hellwig, Martin, 313

  Hensarling, Jeb, 182, 588

  Hessel, Stéphane, 374

  Hitachi, 158

  Hollande, François, 429, 434, 518, 532

  Honohan, Patrick, 363

  housing market, 7

  as collateral for banking, 43

  bubble in American, 42–43

  bubble in European, 105–6

  collapse in, 143–44, 156–57

  consumption, impact of rising prices on, 43

  savings and loan crisis, 44–45

  as single largest form of wealth, 42–43

  speculation in, 65–66

  See also mortgages/mortgage system

  HSBC, 75, 143–44, 145, 191, 541, 542

  Hu Jintao, 244

  Hungary, 121, 123, 126, 127, 227, 229, 230–32, 491–92

  Hurricane Harvey, 582

  Hypo Real Estate, 84, 154, 185, 188, 198, 286, 358, 378

  Hyundai Motors, 256–57, 260

  Iceland, 167, 232

  Iglesias, Pablo, 376

  IKB, 144

  IMF. See International Monetary Fund (IMF)

  India, 477, 483

  Indonesia, 477, 483

  Asian financial crisis and, 7, 32, 255–56, 261

  capital controls adopted by, 475

  financial crisis of 2008 and, 258–59

  stimulus program, 258–59

  Industrial and Commercial Bank of China, 249

  inequality, 455–63

  inflation, 11, 44–45

  ING, 124

  interest rates

  ECB rate increase 2011, 378–79

  Fed’s rate hikes, 2015–2018, 590

  Greenspan cuts, after dot-com bust and 9/11, 37–38, 55–56, 69–70

  inverted yield curve, 2006, 70

  taper tantrum of 2013, 472–82

  Volcker’s raising of, 43–44

  intergovernmentalism, 113, 114–15

  International Monetary Fund (IMF), 17–18, 89, 127

  acceptance of exchange controls, 475

  Asian financial crisis, 261

  banking crisis, 206, 401-2

  Eastern European crisis, 127, 230–32, 235, 237, 491–93

  eurozone crisis, 2010–12, Greece and, 323, 325, 332–34, 336, 340, 343, 344–45, 357, 377, 382–85, 388–89, 405, 413, 422, 424

  eurozone crisis, 2015, Greece and 516–517, 520, 523, 527, 528–30

  eurozone crisis Ireland and, 360, 364–65, 368, 398

  eurozone crisis Italy and, 410–11

  fiscal multiplier underestimated by, 423, 429–30

  global imbalances, 40, 370

  G20 agreement for expanded funding of, 270, 272

  quota reallocation, 270, 272, 469, 479, 488

  Ukraine and 2013–15, 493–94, 495–98, 500–1, 507–8

  warns against Brexit, 550

  investment banks, 51–54

  Brexit and, 550–51

  compensation at, 65

  crises faced by, in 1990s and early 2000s, 53–54

  funding of, 52–53

  growth from 1970s, 51–53

  products engineered by, 52

  profits made by, 64–65

  See also specific investment banks

  Iraq War, 3, 28, 115–16

  Ireland, 83–84, 167, 337, 338

  bank bailouts in, 185–86, 193

  debt crisis in, 322, 323, 359–66

  ECB forces austerity plan on, 362–65

  household wealth lost in, 156

  IMF and, 360, 364–65, 368, 398

  real estate boom in, 105, 106, 107, 109

 
; Irish Times, 363

  Irwin, Neil, 215–17, 350

  Italy, 322, 385

  austerity program adopted in, 387

  Cannes G20 and, 410–12

  debt of, 386–87, 389

  ECB’s bond buying program, 2011, 398–99

  euro entry of, 94

  eurozone crisis resolution, 2012 and, 431–37

  Japan, 30, 158–59

  Jay Z, 40

  Johnson, Boris, 548, 552

  J.P. Morgan, 52, 60, 70, 88, 154, 170, 197, 199, 316, 551

  Bear Stearns bailout and, 171

  Washington Mutual purchase by, 180

  Juncker, Jean-Claude, 22, 187, 381–82, 404–5, 435, 527

  Kagan, Robert, 116

  Kažimir, Peter, 527

  Keynes, John Maynard, 8-9

  Khodorkovsky, Mikhail B., 129

  King, Mervyn, 89, 146, 192, 272, 349, 438, 541

  Kirchner, Cristina Fernández de, 2, 269

  Kissinger, Henry, 30–31

  KKE, 428–29

  Koch-Weser, Caio, 261

  Kohl, Helmut, 44, 93, 119, 386

  Komorowski, Bronislaw, 489

  Krämer, Jörg, 415

  Kravis, Henry, 183

  Krugman, Paul, 41, 161, 191, 350, 372, 373, 452, 459–60, 523

  Kudlow, Larry, 68

  Kudrin, Alexei, 130, 131–32

  Kuwait, 160

  Kyrgyzstan, 506

  Labour Party, 190, 191–92, 349, 553

  Lafazanis, Panagiotis, 533

  Lagarde, Christine, 186–87, 266, 383, 401–2, 405, 479, 550

  Larosière committee, 314–15

  Latvia, 121, 126, 127–28, 227, 232, 234–36, 491

  Law and Justice, 538

  Left Bloc, 536

  Lehman Brothers, 1, 9, 55, 59–60, 62, 63–64, 88, 207

  collapse of, 149, 176–77

  Fed/Treasury unwillingness to help, 176

  takeover rejected by other banks, 175–76

  Lenihan, Brian, 365

  Le Pen, Marine, 513, 561, 562

  Lerner, Abba, 612

  leverage

  Basel III provisions, 314

  of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, 172

  in SIV-ABCP model, 61

  of US versus European banks, pre-crisis, 87–88

  repo as a mechanism for building, 61–62

  Lew, Jack, 523–24

  Lewis, Ken, 175, 199–200

  Libya, 373, 488

  Lighthizer, Robert, 593

  Lippmann, Greg, 70

  Lipsky, John, 344, 345, 383–84

  liquidity crisis, 202–19

  Bank of England and, 203

  criteria for receiving Fed’s swap line, 220–21

  dollar-based financial system, impact on, 218–19

  dollar funding shortage of European banks, 8, 154–55, 203–6

  ECB and, 144–45, 203

  evaporation of, in US securitization market, 144

  Fed liquidity mechanisms, 9–10, 11–12, 202–3, 206–21

  Fed swap lines provided to central banks, 9–10, 11–12, 210–15, 220–21

  liquidity swap lines

  ECB swap lines with Sweden and Denmark, 229–30

  Fed’s swap lines provided to central banks, 9–10, 11–12, 210–15, 220–21

  legitimacy of, 483–84

  temporary central bank bilateral swaps converted to standing arrangements, 482–83

  Lisbon Treaty, 114–15, 188, 329–30

  Lithuania, 121, 126, 229, 234, 491

  living wills

  Basel III requirements, 311–12

  Dodd-Frank Act requirements, 303–4

  Lloyds Bank (Lloyds-HBOS), 171, 189–90, 191, 193, 198, 541

  London, City of. See City of London

  Long-Term Capital Management, 53–54

  Long-Term Refinancing Operation, 286

  long-term refinancing operation (LTRO), 286, 334, 420–21, 442

  LTRO. See long-term refinancing operation (LTRO)

  Lukoil, 223, 505

  M15 movement, 374

  McCain, John, 3, 175, 182, 183, 498, 499–500

  McConnell, Mitch, 392

  McFadden, Pat, 549

  McNulty, Mike, 181–82

  macrofinancial economics, 9, 12–13

  Macron, Emmanuel, 531, 562, 594, 595

  macroprudential supervision, 13, 309

  Magyar Hírlap, 230–31

  Malaysia

  Asian financial crisis and, 32, 255–56

  financial crisis of 2008 and, 257–58, 259–60

  stimulus program, 259–60

  Malaysian Airlines flight MH17, 502

  market-based model of banking, 76

  Martin, Paul, 261, 262

  Mason, Paul, 182

  Master Liquidity Enhancement Conduit, 170

  May, Theresa, 556, 557–60

  Mayer, Thomas, 332

  MBS. See mortgage-backed securities (MBS)

  Medvedev, Dmitry, 136, 137, 221–22, 223–24, 226–27, 488

  Membership Action Plan (MAP), 135–37

  mergers, 461

  Merkel, Angela, 96, 113–14, 138, 434–35

  austerity and, 353, 354

  bank bailouts and, 185, 187–88, 189

  Deauville announcement and, 361–62

  elections of 2012 and, 430

  European Financial Stability Facility (EFSF) and, 400–401

  G20 Cannes meeting and, 409–10, 413–14

  G20 London summit and, 266, 268–69, 271–72

  G20 Los Cabos meeting and, 434–45

  Greek debt crisis and, 329, 332–33, 336, 339, 340, 377, 384

  Growth Pact and, 435–37

  on market-confirming codetermination, 396–97

  Merkel-Sarkozy ECB plan, 387–89

  Papandreou replaced as prime minister and, 409–10

  post-crisis authority and reelection of, 511–12

  stimulus package/debt brake deal and, 287, 288, 289

  Syriza-Eurogroup debt restructuring confrontation and, 521, 522, 525, 526, 528, 531–32, 534

  third rescue plan for Greece and, 407–8

  united Europe fighting for it’s own future , 594, 595, 610–11

  Merrill Lynch, 53, 62, 88, 149–50

  Bank of America purchase of, 175–76

  bonuses paid by, 292

  liquidity provided to, 207, 209, 217

  Messina, Jim, 549

  Mexico, 7, 32, 158, 232, 594

  MF Global, 406–7

  minorities/minority communities

  household wealth lost by, 157

  in Detroit, 450–51, 456–57

  lending goals for GSEs and, 47

  unemployment, 2008-2009, 160

  Minsky, Hyman, 569

  Mitterand, François, 44, 93, 119

  MMF. See money market mutual funds (MMF)

  Mnuchin, Steve, 579, 582, 592

  Mody, Ashoka, 555, 556

  Monetary History of the United States (Friedman and Schwartz), 38–39

  money market mutual funds (MMF), 52–53, 152–53

  Mongolia, 232

  Monti, Mario, 94, 411, 432, 433, 436, 437

  Moody’s Investors Service, 49, 64, 69, 433, 536

  Moore, Michael, 182

  Morgan Grenfell Group, 83

  Morgan Stanley, 53, 62, 316, 551

  as commercial bank holding company, 179–80

  liquidity provided to, 209, 217

  mortgage-backed securities (MBS), 48–49

  2007–8 collapse in market for, 144, 148

  AIG losses on,
151–52, 178

  amount of subprime mortgage MBS issued by 2007, 66

  Fed purchases of, 285

  foreign investment in, 73

  GSE holding of, 172, 174

  ratings received by, 49–50, 57–58

  MortgageIT Holdings, 75

  mortgages/mortgage system, 44–51

  adjustable rate mortgages, 70

  in bubble states, 65–66

  conforming loans, 46–47

  emerging market demand for safe reserve assets and, 58–59

  foreclosures, 156, 280, 281, 306, 321, 366

  foreign investment in, 73–75

  government-sponsored enterprises (GSEs), role of (See government-sponsored enterprises (GSEs))

  Greenspan’s interest rate cuts, refinancing boom spurred by, 55–56, 69–70

  private mortgage industry, 55–56

  rating agencies and, 49–50

  savings and loan crisis and, 44–45

  securitization, 48–51, 55–56

  underserved communities, lending goals for, 47

  Volcker’s interest rate policy, impact of, 44–45

  See also subprime mortgages

  multipolarity, 4, 133, 134, 139–40, 239, 255, 261, 509

  Mulvaney, Mick, 582

  Munchau, Wolfgang, 527

  NAFTA. See North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA)

  Najib Razak, 259

  Napolitano, Giorgio, 411

  Nashi, 132

  National Bank of Switzerland, 211

  National Economic Council (NEC), 190

  National Front (FN), 513, 538

  NATO

  Article 5, Trump hesitation over, 594

  Georgia and Ukraine MAP applications, 135–37

  post-cold war expansion of, 121–26

  Navarro, Peter, 592

  NEC. See National Economic Council (NEC)

  neoliberalism, 10, 396–97

  Netherlands, 167, 193, 421

  New Century Financial, 144

  New Deal, 279, 280, 372

  New Democracy, 323–24, 425, 429, 435, 516

  9/11 terrorist attacks, 28, 115–16

  Nissan, 558

  Nixon, Richard, 11, 30–31, 44, 92

  Norilsk, 223

  North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA), 123, 158, 457, 571, 591, 592–93

  Northern Rock, 145–46, 541

  Noyer, Christian, 406

  NSA, 484, 499

  Nuland, Victoria, 497

  Obama, Barack, 18, 35, 265, 267, 446, 565

  bank CEOs meet with, 296

  on bank nationalization, 293–94

  Brexit and, 551

  Hamilton Project appearance of, 25, 26–27

  on decay of American dream, 456

  economic team of, 200–201

  election of, 200, 277

  Eurogroup-Syriza debt restructuring confrontation and, 523–24

 

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