The Goal: A Process of Ongoing Improvement, Third Revised Edition

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by Eliyahu M. Goldratt


  capacity that it takes an enormous increase in throughput before

  this happens. We've only had a twenty percent increase. When I

  had talked to him by phone, he thought it unlikely a new bottle-

  neck would have occurred.

  What happened was that even as throughput increased, we

  continued loading the plant with inventory as if we expected to

  keep all our workers fully activated. This increased the load

  dumped upon the milling machines and pushed them beyond

  their capacity. The first-priority, red-tagged parts were pro-

  cessed, but the green-tagged parts piled up. So not only did we

  get excess inventory at the NCX-10 and at heat-treat, but due to

  the volume of bottleneck parts, we clogged the flow at another

  work center and prevented non-bottleneck parts from reaching

  assembly.

  When he's finished, I say, "All right, I see now the error of

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  our ways . Can you tell us what we should do to correct the prob-

  lem?"

  "I want you all to think about it as we walk back to your

  conference room and then we'll talk about what you should do,"

  says Jonah. "The solution is fairly simple."

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  26

  Just how simple the solution is doesn't become apparent to

  me until I'm home that night. I'm sitting at the kitchen table with

  a pad of paper and a pencil thinking about what was suggested

  today when Sharon comes in.

  "Hi," she says as she sits down.

  "Hi," I say back. "What's up?"

  "Not much," she says. "Just wondered what you were do-

  ing."

  "I'm working," I tell her.

  "Can I help?" she asks.

  "Well ... I don't know," I say. "It's kind of technical. I

  think you'll probably be bored by it."

  "Oh," she says. "Does that mean you want me to leave?"

  Guilt strikes.

  "No, not if you want to stay," I tell her. "Do you want to try to solve a problem?"

  "Okay," she says, brightening.

  I say, "All right. Let me think of how to put this to you. Do

  you know about the scout hike Dave and I were on?"

  "She doesn't, but I do!" says Dave, racing into the kitchen.

  He skids to a stop on the smooth floor and says, "Sharon doesn't

  know anything about the hike. But I can help you."

  I say, "Son, I think there is a career for you in sales."

  Sharon indignantly says, "Yes, I d o know about the hike."

  "You weren't even there," says Dave.

  "I've heard everybody talk about it," she says.

  "Okay, b o th of you can work on this," I say. "Here's the problem: We've got a line of kids on a hike in the woods. In the

  middle of the line, we've got Herbie. We've already taken the

  pack off Herbie's back to help him go faster, but he's still the

  slowest. Everybody wants to go faster than Herbie. But if that

  happens, the line will spread out and some of the kids will get

  lost. For one reason or another, we can't move Herbie from the

  middle of the line. Now, how do we keep the line from spread-

  ing?"

  They both become thoughtful.

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  I say, "All right, now both of you go into the other room. I'll

  give you ten minutes, and then we'll see which one of you comes

  up with the best idea to keep everyone together in the line."

  "What does the winner get?" asks Dave.

  "Well . . . anything within reason."

  "Anything?" asks Sharon.

  "Within reason," I repeat.

  So they leave and I get about ten minutes of peace and quiet.

  Then I see the two faces looking around the corner.

  "Ready?" I ask.

  They come in and sit down at the kitchen table with me.

  "Want to hear my idea?" asks Sharon.

  "My idea is better," says Dave.

  "It is not!" she tells him.

  "Okay, enough!" I say. "What's your idea, Sharon?"

  Sharon says, "A drummer."

  "Pardon me?"

  "You know . . . like in a parade," she says.

  "Oh, I know what you mean," I say, realizing what she has in

  mind. "There aren't any gaps in a parade. Everybody is marching

  in step."

  Sharon beams. Dave gives her a dirty look.

  "So everybody's marching in step ... to a beat," I say,

  thinking out loud. "Sure. But how do you keep the people in

  front of Herbie from setting a faster pace?"

  "You have Herbie beat the drum," says Sharon.

  I think about it and say, "Yeah, that's not bad."

  "But my idea is better," says Dave.

  I turn to him. "Okay, wise guy, what's your idea?"

  "Tie ropes to everyone," says Dave.

  "Ropes?"

  "You know, like mountain climbers," he says. "You tie everyone together at the waist with one long rope. So, that way, no one

  could get left behind, and nobody could speed up without every-

  body speeding up."

  I say, "Hmmm . . . that's very good."

  It would mean that the line—which would translate to the

  total inventory in the plant—could never be longer than the

  rope. And the rope, of course, could be of a pre-determined

  length, which means we could control it with precision. Everyone

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  would have to walk at the same speed . I look at Dave, a little in awe of his creativity.

  "Come to think of it, the rope makes it sound like having

  physical links between all the equipment," I tell him, "which is like an assembly line."

  "Yeah, an assembly line," says Dave. "Didn't you tell me once that an assembly line is supposed to be the best way to make

  things?"

  "Well, yes, it's the most efficient way to manufacture," I say.

  "In fact, we use that approach when we do the final assembly for

  most of our products. The problem is that an assembly line won't

  work throughout the whole plant."

  "Oh," says Dave.

  "But those are both good ideas you two thought up," I tell

  them. "In fact, if we changed each of your ideas just a little bit

  we'd almost have the solution suggested to us today."

  "Like how?" asks Sharon.

  "See, to keep the line from spreading, it actually wouldn't be

  necessary to keep everyone marching to exactly the same step or

  to keep everyone tied to the rope," I tell them. "What we really have to do is just keep the kid at the front of the line from walking faster than Herbie. If we can do that, then everybody will stay

  together."

  "So we just tie the rope from Herbie to the kid at the front,"

  says Dave.

  "Or, maybe Herbie and the boy at the front of the line have

  signals," says Sharon. "When the boy in front goes too fast,

  Herbie tells him to wait or slow down."

  "That's right," I say. "Both of you figured it out."

  "So what do we both win?" asks Sharon.

  "What do you
want?" I ask. "A pizza with everything? A

  night at the movies?"

  They're quiet for a moment.

  "The movies sound good," says Sharon, "but what I'd really

  like is if you could get Mom to come home again."

  Now it gets very quiet.

  Dave says finally, "But if you can't, we'll understand."

  "Well, I'm doing my best," I say. "Meanwhile, how about the movies?"

  After the kids have gone to bed, I sit up wondering for the

  hundredth time whether Julie will come back. Compared with

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  my marital difficulties, the inventory problem at the plant seems

  simple—or at least it seems simple now. I guess every problem is

  easy once you've figured it out.

  We are, in effect, going to do what my two kids came up with.

  The Herbies (the bottlenecks) are going to tell us when to let

  more inventory into the system—except we're going to use the

  aid of computers instead of drums and ropes.

  After we returned to the conference room in the office build-

  ing today, we started talking, and we all agreed that we're obvi-

  ously releasing too much material. We don't need five or six

  weeks of inventory in front of the bottleneck to keep it produc-

  tive.

  "If we can withhold materials for red parts, instead of push-

  ing them out there as soon as the first non-bottleneck has nothing

  to do," said Stacey, "the milling machines will then have time to work on the green parts. And the parts we're missing will reach

  assembly with no problem."

  Jonah nodded and said, "That's right. What you have to do

  is find a way to release the material for the red parts according to

  the rate at which the bottlenecks need material—and strictly at

  that rate."

  Then I said, "Fine, but how do we time each release of mate-

  rial so it arrives at the bottleneck when it's needed?"

  Stacey said, "I'm not sure, but I see what you're worried

  about. We don't want the opposite problem of no work in front of

  the bottleneck."

  "Hell, we got at least a month before that happens, even if

  we released no more red tags from today on," said Bob. "But I

  know what you mean. If we idle the bottleneck, we lose

  throughput."

  "What we need," I said, "is some kind of signal to link the bottlenecks with the release-of-materials schedule."

  Then Ralph, to my surprise, spoke up and said, "Excuse me,

  this is just a thought. But maybe we can predict when to release

  material by some kind of system based on the data we've kept on

  both the bottlenecks."

  I asked him what he was getting at.

  He said, "Well, since we started keeping data on the bottle-

  necks, I've been noticing I'm able to predict several weeks in

  advance what each bottleneck will be working on at a particular

  time. See, as long as I know exactly what's in queue, I just take

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  the average setup and process times for each type of part, and

  I'm able to calculate when each batch should clear the bottleneck.

  Because we're only dealing with one work center, with much less

  dependency, we can average the statistical fluctuations and get a

  better degree of accuracy."

  Ralph went on to say that he knows from observation it takes

  about two weeks, plus or minus a day or two, for material to

  reach the bottlenecks from the first operations.

  "So by adding two weeks to the setup and process times of

  what's in queue at the bottleneck," said Ralph, "I know how long it will take until the bottleneck is actually working on material we

  release. And as each batch leaves the bottleneck, we can update

  our information and calculate a date when Stacey should release

  more red-tag material."

  Jonah looked at Ralph and said, "that's excellent!"

  "Ralph," I said, "that's terrific. How accurate do you really think we can be with this?"

  "I'd say we'd be accurate to within plus or minus a day," he

  said. "So if we keep, say, a three-day stock of work-in-process in

  front of each bottleneck, we should be safe."

  Everyone was telling Ralph how impressed they were when

  Jonah said, "But, in fact, Ralph, you can do much more than that

  with the same information."

  "Like what?" asked Ralph.

  Jonah said, "You can also attack the inventory problems in

  front of assembly."

  "You mean we not only can do something about excess in-

  ventory on the bottleneck parts, but on the non-bottleneck parts

  as well?" I asked.

  "Exactly," said Jonah.

  But Ralph said, "Sorry, folks, I'm not sure how I'd do that."

  Then Jonah explained it to him—and all of us. If Ralph can

  determine a schedule for releasing red-tag materials based on the

  bottlenecks, he can also determine a schedule for final assembly.

  Once he knows when the bottleneck parts will reach final assem-

  bly, he can calculate backwards and determine the release of the

  non-bottleneck materials along each of their routes. In this way,

  the bottlenecks will be determining the release of all the materials

  in the plant.

  I said, "You know, that's going to produce the same effect as

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  moving the bottlenecks to the head of production, which is what

  I'd intended for us to do."

  "Yeah, it sounds good," said Ralph. "But I have to warn you, I can't say how long it'll take before I can do all that. I mean, I can

  have schedule for the red-tagged materials worked out in a fairly

  short order. The rest of it will take awhile."

  "Aw, come on, Ralphie," said Bob, "a computer wiz like you

  ought to be able to crank that out in no time."

  "I can crank something out in no time," said Ralph, "but I'm not going to promise it'll work."

  I told him, "Relax; as long as we ease the load on the milling

  machines, we'll be okay for the short haul. That'll give you the

  time to get something basic in place."

  "You may feel you have the time now to relax," said Jonah,

  "but I have to catch a plane for Chicago in thirty-five minutes."

  "Oh, shit," I muttered, automatically glancing at my watch.

  "I guess we'd better move."

  It was not a graceful parting. Jonah and I ran out of the

  building, and I broke numerous speed limits—without incident—

  getting him to the airport.

  "I have, shall we say, a special interest in plants like yours,"

  said Jonah. "So I'd appreciate it if you'd keep me informed of

  what happens."

  "Sure," I told him. "No problem. In fact, I'd planned on it."

  "Good," said Jonah. "I'll be talking to you."

  And with that he was out of the car and, with a wave, was

  sprinting through the terminal doors. I didn't get a call, so I

  suppose he made it.

  When I go to work the next morning, we have a meeting

  about how to implement th
is approach. But before we can get

  down to talking about it, Bob Donovan starts waving a red flag at

  us.

  "You know, we could be walking into a big problem," says

  Bob.

  "What's that?" I ask.

  "What happens if efficiencies all over the plant go down?" he

  asks.

  I say, "Well, I think that's a risk we'll have to take."

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  "Yeah, but it sounds like we're going to have a lot of people

  idle around here if we do this," says Bob .

  "Yeah, we might have some people idle from time to time," I

  admit.

  "So are we just supposed to let everyone stand around out

  there?" asks Bob.

  "Why not?" asks Stacey. "Once the somebody is already on

  the payroll, it doesn't cost us any more to have him be idle.

  Whether somebody produces parts or waits a few minutes doesn't

  increase our operating expense. But excess inventory . . . now

  that ties up a lot of money."

  "Okay," says Bob, "but what about the reporting system?

  Seems to me that at the end of the month, when old Bill Peach is

  ready to decide if we stay open or if we close down, he's not going

  to be awfully positive about us if he sees our efficiencies have

  taken a dive. I hear they do tend to frown upon that at headquar-

  ters."

  There is quiet in the room. Then Lou says, "He does have a

  point, Al."

  I listen to the hum of the air conditioning for a moment.

  "All right, look," I say finally. "If we don't go ahead with a system to withhold inventory and release it according to the bottlenecks, we'll be missing a major opportunity to improve perfor-

  mance and save the plant. And I'm not about to stand by and let

  that happen just to maintain a standard that obviously has more

  impact on middle management politics than it does on the bot-

  tom line. I say we go ahead with this. And if efficiencies drop, let

  them."

  After those brave words, so reminiscent of Admiral Farragut

  and his Damn-the-Torpedoes speech, the others are a little misty-

  eyed.

  "And, ah, Bob," I tell Donovan, "if there is a lot of idle time out there, don't hassle anybody—just make damn sure it doesn't

  show up in the efficiency reports next month, okay?"

  "Gotcha, boss."

  E.M. Goldratt

  The Goal: A Process of Ongoing Improvement

  Captured by Plamen T.

 

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