The Great Deformation

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The Great Deformation Page 99

by David Stockman


  INDEX

  A123 company, 602, 604

  Abe, Shinzo, 703

  Acheson, Dean, 161, 215

  Ackley, Gardner, 254–255

  ACORN (Association of Communities for Reform Now), 408, 411

  Agricultural Adjustment Act (AAA/1933)

  description/problems, 181–182

  New Deal and, 178–179, 181–182

  Agriculture

  debt changes (1919–1933), 180

  mechanization revolution, 179–180

  New Deal and, 180–182

  statistics on, 182

  World War I/early 1900s, 151, 179–180

  AIG

  bailout, 5, 6–7, 8, 11, 19, 21

  before 2008, 356

  “contagion” warning and, 6, 8–9, 10

  credit default insurance (CDS), 6, 7, 10, 11–12

  structure/“assets,” 6, 8–10

  without bailout, 5–6, 7, 8, 11, 12

  Al Qaeda, 678, 693

  Alltel Corporation LBO, 518–519, 523–524

  American General, 9

  American Petroleum Institute, 673

  Ameriquest Mortgage (Ameriquest Capital Corporation), 421–423, 442

  Amtrak, 610

  Anderson, Benjamin, 210, 344

  Anderson, Marty, 71

  Angell, Wayne

  background, 307

  Federal Reserve, 308, 318

  financial futures, 307, 308, 314, 318

  Apollo, 529

  Arizona education funding, 595

  Arnall, Roland, 421, 422, 423, 442

  Arrow, Kenneth, 595n

  Ash, Roy, 130

  Asian economic growth

  effects on US, 60–61, 63–64, 65–66

  See also specific countries

  Association of Communities for Reform Now (ACORN), 408, 411

  Astor, Vincent, 144, 154

  “ATMs going dark,” 32, 45

  Auto industry

  car sales slump, 625–626

  debt in bubble era, 572–573, 576

  excess capacity, 620

  financial crisis (2008) and, 572

  See also specific companies

  Auto industry bailout

  AutoNation/Jackson and, 626–629

  George W. Bush and, 613, 615, 661

  Mitt Romney and, 551–552, 664

  Obama’s reelection and, 614, 623

  one percent getting richer with, 660–668

  problems overview, 613–614, 623–630

  vulture capitalism, 663–665

  See also specific companies

  AutoNation and Mike Jackson, 624–625, 626–630

  Bagehot, Walter, 699–700

  Bagley, William, 305, 306, 309

  Bailout. See Financial crisis (2008) bailout

  Bain Capital

  accounting tricks, 568–569

  Ampad (American Pad and Paper), 564–567

  bankruptcies and, 561–563, 564, 567, 570

  Clear Channel, 531

  debt and, 560, 562, 565–566, 567

  Experian, 567–568, 570

  Goldman Sachs and, 562

  Greenspan bubble and, 560–562, 566, 570, 571

  inside job (Experian), 567–568, 570

  Italian yellow pages/phone book publisher, 569–570

  job destruction vs. job creation, 558, 563–564, 570

  KKR and, 515, 525, 526, 527, 529

  Republican actions/beliefs and, 570–571

  Romney’s tenure (summary), 560–561, 570

  speculation/windfalls and, 558–570

  Stage Stores Inc., 562–563, 564

  Staples, 563–564

  Wesley Jessen, 568–569, 570

  Williamhouse, 565, 566

  Bair, Sheila, 44

  Baker, Howard

  budget (1983), 81, 82

  Kemp-Roth and, 95

  spending cuts plans, 90–91, 100, 101

  Volcker and, 264

  Baker, Jim

  background, 263, 348

  job switch/at Treasury, 293, 314, 348, 349

  Baltimore Sun, 156

  Bank of America

  after financial crisis (2008), 693

  AIG and, 10

  bailout, 7, 49

  before financial crisis (2008), 393, 395, 399, 542

  Banks

  abolishing deposit insurance and, 707

  central banking problems (overview), 699–703

  chartered banks, 707

  comparison of runs (1930s/2008), 27

  restoring banker’s bank, 706–707

  See also Investment banks; Main street banks; specific banks

  Barclays bailout, 7

  Bear Stearns

  before financial crisis (2008), 22, 28–29, 384–385, 539, 540

  financial crisis/bailout (2008), 543

  financial futures/options exchange, 302

  toxic assets, 392–393, 534, 535

  Bernanke, Ben

  background, 42, 183

  beliefs/doctrines, 50

  “deflation” warnings, 444–446

  false depression comparison, 583–588

  financial crisis/bailout (2008), 5, 6, 8, 25, 27, 208, 272, 365–366, 399, 443–445, 577–579

  Friedman and, 184, 270, 272, 578

  Great Depression and, 42, 43, 183, 184, 189, 444, 577–578

  housing boom and, 18, 374–375, 428, 431

  interest rates, 266, 445, 446, 503, 522

  money printing, 184, 185–186, 365–366, 447–448, 544, 657–658

  “Put” beginnings, 19, 475

  Biden, Joe, 603

  Bin Laden, Osama, 79, 692

  Blackstone

  IPO, 538–539, 540

  John Paulson hedge fund partnership, 545, 547

  leveraged buyouts (LBOs), 11, 512, 516, 517, 529, 533, 534, 538, 540, 541, 542, 543

  Stockman and, 11, 512, 516, 560

  Blankfein, Lloyd, 48, 668

  Bloom, Ron, 621

  Bolton, John, 554

  Bovender, Jack, 525

  Brady, Nick, 318

  Bretton Woods monetary system

  conference, 241–242

  description/effects, 117, 118

  flaws, 110, 243–244

  gold standard end effects, 56, 60, 109–111, 124–126, 133–135, 176–177, 231

  gold standard selection, 237–239

  LBJ and, 112

  Nixon/gold standard end and, 45, 52, 56, 60, 89, 107, 109, 110, 115, 120, 121, 133–134, 141, 145, 195, 248, 258–259, 559

  US financial discipline and, 116, 124

  See also Gold standard

  Bryan, William Jennings, 141, 162, 185

  Budgets

  balanced budget rule/discarding, 128–129

  balancing requirements needed, 708

  ten-year budget baselines/forecasts, 683, 684–687, 690, 691–692

  Buffet, Warren, 25, 316, 444

  Burns, Arthur

  Eisenhower and, 223–224, 225

  gold standard and, 281, 283

  inflation and, 125, 131, 132, 177, 264

  Melamed’s T-bill futures and, 301, 302, 303

  money printing, 293, 351

  Nixon’s monetary policies and, 111, 112–113, 116–117, 119–120, 123, 125

  Bush, George H. W.

  deficits and, 106

  federal spending/taxes, 58, 59, 276, 350, 557

  housing/GSEs, 406, 408, 419

  Merc PAC, 309

  Persian Gulf wars/1980s defense buildup, 79

  Bush, George W.

  auto industry bailout, 613, 615, 661

  electric vehicle development and, 606–607

  federal spending, 58, 219, 675

  financial crisis (2008), 6, 45–46, 446, 556

  home-buyers’ tax credit plan, 580

  housing issues, 414, 580

  Middle East wars, 50, 55, 79–80, 205, 214, 217–218, 693

  pre-crisis deficit, 590–591

  tax cuts, 50, 55, 58, 552, 555, 631, 66
9, 680, 681, 684

  unfunded wars, 50, 55, 205, 214, 217–218

  Business Week, 347, 484

  Buybacks (stocks). See Stock buybacks

  Byrnes, Jimmy, 194

  “C&I (commercial and industrial) loans,” 31

  Caldwell banking chain collapse, 152

  Cantwell, Helen, 573–574

  Capital One, 38

  Carlyle Group, 510, 511, 517

  Carter, Jimmy

  budget/criticism, 73, 90, 92, 94, 96, 99, 104, 105, 217

  inflation and, 131–133

  national security policies, 72

  tax rebate, 51

  taxes/spending, 57, 103, 131–133, 174

  Cayne, Jimmy, 392

  CDOs (collateralized debt obligations), 11–12, 316

  CDS (credit default insurance), 6, 7, 10, 11–12, 22

  Central banking

  mobilized discount rate, 699–702, 706

  problems (overview), 699–703

  CEW (corporate equity withdrawal)

  Dex Media/R.H. Donnelley & Sons example, 510–513

  hedge funds and, 501–502

  role/description, 455–456

  wealthy/top percent and, 484–485, 505

  See also M&A deals; Stock buybacks

  CFTC (Commodity Futures Trading Commission)

  Melamed and, 305–306, 308, 309, 311, 312–313

  ratifying futures industry/effects, 311–313

  Stone and, 310

  Chambers, John, 457

  Cheney, Dick

  defense spending, 689, 690, 693

  pre-crisis deficit, 590–591

  on Reagan, 108

  Chesapeake Energy, 522–523

  Chicago Board of Trade, 310

  Chicago “Merc” (CME)

  growth, 287–288, 289, 291, 293, 297, 298–299, 300

  politicians and, 308–310

  See also Financial futures; Melamed, Leo

  Chicago “Merc” PAC, 309

  China

  economic growth, 60–61, 63–64, 65–66

  monetary bubble and, 704–705

  savers myth, 327–328

  US treasury bonds/bills, 61

  “China price,” 63–64, 66, 266, 353, 380, 412, 423–424

  Chrysler, 15, 623

  Chu, Steven, 600, 601, 607

  Cisco Systems

  executives’ tax payments, 457

  stock buybacks, 456–457

  stock market and, 355–356, 456–457, 485

  Cisneros, Henry, 408

  Citibank

  “gain on sale” profits, 38

  Lichtenstein/Lightstone and, 539, 540

  Prince and, 316

  Citicorp, 398, 666

  Citigroup

  after financial crisis (2008), 693

  bailout, 49

  before financial crisis (2008), 22, 28–29, 306, 388, 393, 398–399

  without bailout, 6

  Citizens United decision, 708

  Clear Channel Communications LBO, 518–519, 531–532

  Clinton, Bill

  defense budget and, 689

  economics and, 557

  housing issues, 408, 409, 412, 413–414, 419

  spending reductions/raising taxes, 276

  Clooney, George, 605

  CLOs (collateralized loan obligations), 507

  CME. See Chicago “Merc” (CME)

  Collateralized debt obligations (CDOs), 11–12, 316

  Collins & Aikman

  debt and, 572–573, 574, 575, 576

  description, 572

  Stockman and, 572–576

  Commercial paper market

  ABCP (asset-backed commercial paper segment), 37–38

  bailout, 39–40

  financial crisis (2008), 35, 36–39

  Commodity Futures Trading Commission. See CFTC (Commodity Futures Trading Commission)

  Conable-Hance II plan, 96

  Connally, John

  description, 255

  monetary policies, 109, 116, 117, 118, 119, 120, 241, 255, 281, 282, 293

  Consumer price index (CPI)

  1990s, 62–63

  1960s, 234

  Nixon presidency, 113, 115–116, 121, 123, 126

  Consumption tax, 711, 712

  Continental Illinois Bank, 15, 20

  Coombs, Charles A., 236–237, 253

  Cooper, Gary, 4, 395–396

  Corrigan, Gerald, 315, 316

  Countrywide Financial/disaster, 171, 379, 419, 420–421, 558

  Couzens, James, 155

  Cox, Chris, 48–49

  Cox, James, 141

  Cramer, Jim

  rant effects, 476–477

  rant on CNBC (2007), 475, 476, 477, 479

  Credit default insurance (CDS), 6, 7, 10, 11–12, 22

  Credit default swaps, 316

  Crocs, 487–488, 489

  Crony capitalism

  description/roots, 3, 52

  nonbank finance companies examples, 39–42

  See also specific companies; specific events; specific individuals

  Cuomo, Andrew, 411

  Currency futures

  beginnings, 290–293

  D-mark example, 292–293

  examples/description, 292–293, 297–299

  traditional futures vs., 294–295, 297–298

  Wall Street changes with, 301–302

  Daley, Richard M., 305

  Davis, John, 141

  De Gaulle, President, 119

  Debt ceiling, 645, 669–670

  Debt monetization

  effects, 57, 60, 322

  ending gold standard and, 56–57, 60, 109

  Johnson/Nixon and, 233

  World War II and, 196–197, 202–203

  Debt service to DPI, 644

  Debt (US)

  after 1980, 4–5, 61–62, 277, 327, 642–644

  business sector (1996–2008), 501–502

  century before 1980, 4

  consumer credit, 277, 326

  debt ceiling, 645, 669–670

  foreign banks and, 61, 111, 274–275, 351, 414, 447–448

  GDP comparisons, 4–5, 372–373

  growth (2002–2007), 18, 275–276

  household consumption/debt, 371–373

  Peak Debt/effects, 644–648, 668–669

  reduction recommendations, 710–711

  World War II and, 199–200

  See also Fiscal cliff

  Debt zombies, 516, 529–536, 562

  Defense spending

  Afghanistan/Iraq wars and, 678, 690, 692–693

  Bolton/Romney proposals, 554

  conventional forces/imperial invasions, 71, 76, 77, 78–80, 86, 216, 688–689, 692–693

  fiscal cliff and, 680, 681, 692–693

  NSC-68, 215, 216

  recommendations, 710

  societal costs with, 85–86

  “twofer” belief, 85

  See also specific individuals; specific wars

  Defense spending (US/1980s)

  conventional forces, 71, 74–78

  Eisenhower Minimum vs., 84–86, 216

  lack of analysis/expertise, 71–73

  myth on Soviet collapse and, 75, 86

  Soviet “nuclear capabilities” and, 70–71, 72, 74, 75–76, 83

  wars of invasion and, 71, 76, 77, 78–80, 86

  “Deficits don’t matter,” 51, 55, 56, 91, 108, 275, 379, 590, 647, 669

  Dell Inc., 354–355

  Dell, Michael, 453

  Delphi, 662–664, 665

  Deng Xiaoping, 60, 64, 66

  Deposit insurance

  abolishing, 707

  New Deal origins, 175–176

  See also Glass-Steagall

  Derivative contracts beginnings, 312

  Deutsche Bank, 7, 10, 28–29

  Dex Media, 510–513

  DiCaprio, Leonardo, 603, 604

  Dillon, Douglas

  background, 20, 245, 318

  gold standard and, 245–246, 247
, 248, 249

  Dimon, Jamie, 668

  Ditech online mortgage operation, 40

  “Dividend stoppers,” 11

  Doerr, John, 598, 603, 606

  Dole, Bob, 308, 309

  Dot-com bubble

  collapse/aftermath, 66, 340, 342, 345, 355, 361, 362, 363

  M&A deals, 479–481

  stock market/Greenspan and, 17, 346, 358–360

  Douglas, Lewis, 141, 143

  Douglas, Paul, 239

  Draghi, Mario, 570

  DRGs (diagnostic review groups) system/reform, 527–529

  Dudley, Bill, 246

  Dudley, William, 556

  ECB, 703, 704

  Eccles, Marriner, 189, 190, 206, 207, 497

  Economic Stabilization Fund, 21

  Economy (global)

  monetary bubble, 702–705

  nationalism (early 1900s), 142, 145

  post–World War I stabilization process, 146

  Economy in Government Act (1933), 160–161

  Economy (US)

  agriculture (World War I/early 1900s), 151, 179–180

  autos/autos supply chain (1929–1932), 147

  Fed favoring one percent, 653–656

  fiscal gap statistics/future, 683–686

  household leverage ratio changes, 642–644

  manufacturing sector (2000–2012), 677–679

  nationalism (early 1900s), 112, 137, 142, 144, 145, 148, 160, 191–192

  1914–1929, 137, 138, 145–147, 179–180

  ten-year budget baselines/forecasts and, 683, 684–687, 690, 691–692

  2002–2012, 66–67, 682

  See also specific components; specific events; specific individuals

  Economy (US Main Street after financial crisis)

  Bernanke reflation, 656–658

  debt vs. productivity/earned income, 633

  Fed/Wall Street vs. Main Street, 584–585, 635, 639, 640, 656–660

  junk bond boom and, 658–660

  lack of recovery, 631–632, 640–641, 668

  99 percent vs. 1 percent, 649–653

  overview (2009–2012), 631–632

  PCE, 631, 640, 641

  retail sales, 649–652

  “wealth effects” and, 631, 633, 634, 637, 649, 652–653

  See also Jobs market

  Ehrlichman, John, 114–115, 116

  Eisenhower, Dwight D.

  administration, 20

  background, 213

  comparisons with successors, 213–219, 233–234

  conventional force vs. nuclear deterrence, 215–216

  defense spending and, 76, 84–86, 215, 216

  farewell address/warning, 85

  federal budget and, 218–219, 221, 229–232

  fiscal stimulus refusal and, 128, 195, 223, 224

  fiscal success factors, 219–220

  Heller’s “new economics”/mistakes, 226–229

  interest rates, 299

  Korean War armistice and, 214

 

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