Who Says Elephants Can't Dance?: Leading a Great Enterprise through Dramatic Change

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by Louis V. Gerstner, Jr.


  It’s already clear that a networked world raises many issues, such as the confidentiality of medical or financial records, or the freedom of expression v. protections of personal privacy. Think about the privacy implications of what’s coming. What happens to personal privacy in a world of Internet-enabled cars that monitor our move-ments at all times; cell phones that continuously report their location; or Net-connected pacemakers and other medical devices that are gathering real-time data on our heartbeat or blood pressure, choles-terol level or blood-alcohol content? Who’s going to have access to that most personal profile of you—your physician alone? Law enforcement agencies? An insurance provider? Your employer or a potential employer?

  Earlier I mentioned the very real chasm that exists between the information haves and have-nots, and I expressed my hope that we might actually apply ourselves and these technologies to bridge that digital divide. As we do that work, however, I wonder if we’re not in the process of creating a new, potentially unbridgeable genetic divide, where some people can afford the cost of preventing a birth defect or avoiding prolonged suffering, and some can’t.

  When advances in diagnosis and treatment converge to deliver on the promise of a longer, healthier life, have we merely created the priceless luxury of more time for the people and things we love?

  Or is there more to the equation? When that’s possible—or well before it’s

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  possible—shouldn’t we be thinking about the effect on social structures, the medical establishment, pension systems, and the environmental implications of having to produce more food and create more shelter?

  Finally, after the events of September 11, 2001, we’ve all been forced to think about the greatest threats to our way of life, wherever we live in the world. Is it traditional military aggression? A rogue or state-sponsored terrorist attack? The danger of internal attack from a disenfranchised fringe element? There’s no longer any need to say a lot about state-sponsored terrorism. We all view the world through a different lens now. One by-product of this new world view is a basic rethinking of the nature of the threats we face—in all their forms.

  Even after September 11 law enforcement and security agencies remained convinced that the greatest threat to people and societies was still posed not by weapons of mass destruction but by broad-based information warfare and what they call weapons of mass effect.

  No one equates the loss of human life with the loss of some computer equipment. At issue is the ability of cyber terrorists to cripple increasingly IT-intensive military infrastructures, national power grids, water supplies, or telecommunications systems.

  The Leadership Challenge

  This book has made the point repeatedly that leaders in both commercial endeavors and the public sector face a closely related set of strategic decisions about their exploitation of these technologies, their willingness to break with the status quo, their investment policies, and the readiness of their own leadership teams to embrace new ways of thinking and working.

  That’s front and center. Those choices are being made today. To-morrow the agenda is going to shift to a set of considerations that

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  revolve around what this networked world means for our existing geopolitical structures and all their underlying economic assumptions.

  A networked world doesn’t respect the fact that we’ve organized the world into nation-states and have adapted nearly every convention of life and society to that model. The course and development of a networked world is not governed by our concepts of national borders, regional alliances, or political structure. It’s already dissolving many of the barriers that have historically separated peoples, nations, and cultures. And I believe it will drive a concomitant set of challenges to the ability of political institutions to control the most important thing they have always controlled—their citizens’ access to information, education, and knowledge. In the process, we may see a shift in the way democracies behave.

  How will governments arrive at workable policy frameworks in this globally, politically, and culturally connected world? On the issue of personal privacy, the European Union has a policy framework that’s different from that of the United States, and both are markedly different from the Chinese approach.

  Now take a step down from that level of global governance, to the way any individual anywhere in the world might express his or her political preferences. Not that long ago the thought of buying a book from your home or the office would have been considered revolutionary. So what happens if there comes a day when we can vote from the comfort of our den or the convenience of our workplace? Set aside what this might do to boost citizen participation in a representative form of government. Why not envision global ref-erenda that are representative of a global populace voting without regard for political affiliations or national allegiances. What might it mean for individual governments when a world community expresses an opinion on issues like global warming or an agreement like GATT (General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade)?

  I think that very soon, if we’re not there already, there’s going to

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  be increasing conflict between what we would define as national interests and global interests. So we’re going to be in a situation in which reaching agreement will require a new level of international cooperation and global public policy. But how?

  Once again, our institutions are running well behind the rate of technological advancement. Some universities are starting to build e-business into their business management curricula. But what about political sciences, ethics, or the law schools? The United States Congress is one of the most powerful law-making bodies on the planet. To its credit there are a few committees and a handful of task forces examining issues like cyber-security, export controls, and intellectual property rights. But, for the most part, there’s a fundamental lack of understanding about what it’s going to take to build a workable policy framework for things like an appropriate tax regime for e-commerce.

  In the second half of the twentieth century, the nations of the world came together to create multilateral institutions designed to foster economic growth, raise living standards, and forestall armed conflict. The United Nations, the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD), the International Monetary Fund, and the World Bank are examples. I addressed the OECD in 1998.

  Much of my talk focused on the following questions: What is the global parallel of those organizations for the challenges of the Information Age? What global institutions do we need to create in order to play a similar stabilizing and enabling role in the twenty-first century?

  All this leads me to consider whether we’re looking at the requirement for what we might view as a new kind of leadership competency. It won’t render obsolete the traits of successful leaders in the physical world. The Net is going to change many things, but not everything. Passion, confidence, and intelligence will always matter.

  As I’ve already noted in the discussion of the current crisis on confidence in business in general, integrity will matter more than ever before.

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  Yet I think it’s typically the case that people who aren’t forced to deal with the technology rarely make the effort to understand either its possibilities or its limitations. In the nuclear era, maybe that was all right. But for technologies as pervasive as the ones we’re dealing with today, I believe we’re going to need leaders in government, business, and policy-making roles who commit themselves to the challenge of lifelong learning in order to bring society into sync with the science.

  This next generation of leaders—in both the public and private sectors—will have to expand its thinking around a set of economic, political, and social considerations. These leaders will be:

  • Much more able to deal with the relentless, discontinuous change that this technology is creating.

 
• Much more global in outlook and practice.

  • Much more able to strike an appropriate balance between the instinct for cultural preservation and the promise of regional or global cooperation.

  • Much more able to embrace the fact that the world is moving to a model in which the “default” in every endeavor will be openness and integration, not isolation.

  As someone who’s just spent a decade inside the high-tech industry, I can say with confidence that its technologies are magnificent creations. But never believe that the technologies themselves come to us as self-contained answers. They are not mystical solutions to the most difficult and most important problems—like bias, poverty, intolerance, and fear—that have been with peoples and societies for all time. Those problems yield only to the most intensely human solutions—the kind that are devised by people of free will and self-determination, who possess the ability to choose and to decide, to think and to reason, and to apply the tools at their disposal to generate the greatest benefits, for the greatest number of people.

  Appendix B

  Financial overview of the IBM Transformation The charts in this Appendix summarize IBM’s operational and financial performance for the years 1992-2001.

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  International Business Machines Corporation and Subsidiary Companies

  Revenue ($ billions)

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  International Business Machines Corporation and Subsidiary Companies

  Net Income ($ in billions)

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  International Business Machines Corporation and Subsidiary Companies

  Earnings per Share-Diluted

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  International Business Machines Corporation and subsidiary Companies

  Cash Flow from Operations ($ in billions)

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  International Business Machines Corporation and Subsidiary Companies

  Return on Stockholders’ Equity

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  International Business Machines Corporation and Subsidiary Companies

  Employees

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  International Business Machines Corporation and Subsidiary Companies

  Stock Price

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  International Business Machines Corporation and Subsidiary Companies

  Revenue ($ in billions)

  Index

  account control

  accountability

  administrative assistants

  Advantis

  advertising:

  agency consolidation

  brand revival

  Charlie Chaplin commercials

  e-business campaign

  Ogilvy & Mather

  “Solutions for a Small Planet,”

  Advertising Age

  Akers, John

  Amdahl

  American Express:

  acquisitions by

  compensation in

  customer service in

  Gerstner’s exit

  Gerstner’s experience

  Harvard Business School cases on

  Travel Related Services

  American Express Card

  annual report

  antitrust scrutiny

  AOL Time Warner

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  application software

  Associated Press

  AT&T

  autonomic computing

  Barbarians at the Gate (Burroughs and Helyar) Barron’s

  Basic Beliefs

  Black, Cathie

  Bossidy, Larry

  Bouchard, Tom, foreword

  BUNCH

  Burdick, Walt

  Burke, Jim

  Burroughs, as competitor

  Burroughs, Bryan

  Business Week

  California Public Employees’ Retirement System (CalPERS) Carnegie, Andrew

  Carroll, Paul

  cash flow:

  importance of

  centralization VS. decentralization

  CEOs (Chief Executive Officers):

  leadership

  qualities

  visibility

  CEO (Chief Financial Officer), search for

  Chenault, Ken

  chip lithography

  CIOs (Chief Information Officers)

  Cisco

  Citibank

  client/server

  Clinton, Bill

  CMOS technology

  Coca-Cola

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  Comdex trade show, Las Vegas

  community service

  Compaq Computer

  compensation

  benefits

  bonuses

  differentiation in

  of IBM executives

  incentive programs

  performance-based

  stock ownership

  variable pay

  Computer Associates

  Computer Wars (Morris and Ferguson) Congress, U.S.

  connectivity

  contention system

  Control Data

  convergence

  corporate culture

  bureaucratic

  changing

  codification of

  community service in

  performance-based

  Corporate Executive Committee (CEC)

  Corporate Management Board

  corporate marketing

  corporate officerships

  Cummins, Isabelle

  Customer Forum, Chantilly, Va.

  customers:

  IBM focus on

  integrating solutions for

  quality ratings by

  satisfaction of

  cyber terrorism

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  Czarnecki, Gerry

  DaimlerChrysler

  Data General

  “Dear Colleague” memos

  decentralization VS. centralization

  Deep Blue

  Dell

  deregulation

  digital divide

  Digital Equipment Corporation (DEC)

  Dinah Shore Golf Tournament

  Disney Company

  divestitures

  Domino Web Server

  Donofrio, Nick, foreword

  Dormann, Juergen

  dot-com mania

  DRAMs

  dress code

  Eastman Kodak

  e-business

  ad campaign

  coining of term

  future direction

  IBM as agenda setter in

  information infrastructure of

  Economist, The

  Ellison, Larry

  EMC

  EMEA (Europe, Middle East, and Africa)

  employee communications

  entrepreneurship

  European Union

  excellence

  execution:

  accountability for

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  clarity in

  in high-performance culture

  and IBM’s turnaround

  and inspection

  leadership in

  of shared activities

  translation of strategies into

  Executive Committee

  executives:

  compensation

  evaluation

  leadership qualities of

  leading by example

  Exley, Chuck

  Father, Son, and Co. (Watson)

  Federal Systems Company

  Ferguson, Charles

  Financial Times

  First Data Resources

  Fisher, George

  focus

  on acquisitions

  allocating resources in

  on competitive analysis

  on core business
r />   on detailed analysis

  on strategies VS. vision

  foils

  Ford, Henry

  FORTRAN

  Fortune

  Fujitsu computers

  Gates, Bill

  GATT (General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade) General Electric (GE)

  General Motors (GM)

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  genome mapping

  Gerstner, Dick

  Gerstner, Louis V., Jr.:

  birth and family background

  challenges

  decision to join IBM

  early career

  employment contract with IBM

  first days at IBM

  lessons learned, see also observations management philosophy

  as outsider

  reflections on first year at IBM

  retirement

  strategy of, see strategy

  Global Network

  Global Services

  globalization

  go-to-market model

  grid computing

  Grove, Andy

  Hammer, Michael

  Harvard Business School

  Heidrick & Struggles International, Inc.

  Helyar, John

  Hewlett Packard (HP)

  high-bandwidth networks

  Hitach:

  competition from

  hard-disk-drive business divested to

  Home Depot, The

  Honeywell, as competitor

  IBM:

  acquisitions

  as American icon

  antitrust scrutiny

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  brand

  breakup

  bureaucracy

  cash position

  changing economic model

  community service

  as counterintuitive corporation

  culture of, see corporate culture

  customer focus

  decline

  as global institution

  go-to-market model

  history

  image, see also media

  as industry leader

  media stories

  morale

  operational and financial performance (1992-2001) right-sizing

  strategy of, see strategy

  survival

  IBM Board of Directors

  IBM principles

  IBMers:

  CEO’s communication with

  compensation of, see compensation

  culture of, see corporate culture

  increases in workforce

  layoffs of

  morale

  information superhighway

 

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