Billionaires and Stealth Politics

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Billionaires and Stealth Politics Page 35

by Benjamin I Page


  process tracing, case studies and, 55

  boundary control strategy, 115– 17, 115 t,

  progressive taxes: income and estate taxes

  116 t; and expectations on boundary

  as, 27– 28; multimillionaires’ lack of

  control, 111– 13

  enthusiasm for, 40

  religious issues, 77. See also abortion, same-

  prominence of billionaires. See visibility of

  sex marriage, social issues

  billionaires

  Renaissance Technologies hedge fund, 12

  Pruitt, Scott, oil and gas donors to and resis-

  Republican billionaires, boundary control

  tance of to pollution regulation, 108

  and, 113

  public choice theory, libertarian variant

  Republican Governors Association, contri-

  of, 71

  butions by billionaires to, 103

  public financing of elections, 140

  Republican Party: billionaires’ contribu-

  public opinion: billionaires’ actions in op-

  tions to, 43 t, 82; billionaires’ contribu-

  position to, 44– 45; billionaires’ closer

  tions to as affecting conservative policies

  alignment with on social issues, 78; dis-

  on abortion and same- sex marriage, 97–

  agreement of with multimillionaires on

  98; control of state governorships and

  economic policies, 135– 36; disagreement

  legislatures by, 106; populist challeng-

  with as motivating billionaires’ silence,

  ers within, 104– 5; role of in redrawing

  133– 34; as favoring lower levels of im-

  congressional district boundaries, 106;

  migration, 86; on immigration, 92– 94,

  and tax cuts for the wealthy, 52

  93 t; on Social Security, 30, 39

  research methods. See case studies; coding

  public policy, billionaires’ impact on, 50. See

  methods; keywords, methods used in

  also political influence of billionaires

  billionaires research; web- scraping

  public records, in the study of billionaires,

  techniques

  4

  retraining programs, disagreement of

  public school spending, disagreement of

  multimillionaires with most Americans

  multimillionaires with most Americans

  concerning, 136

  concerning, 136

  revenue enhancement, as search term, 35

  public sector workers, billionaires’ successes

  Ricketts, Pete, role of in Nebraska legisla-

  at cutting pensions and unionization

  ture, 173– 74n11

  of, 106

  risk taking, incentives for, 24

  Rockefeller, David, Sr., longevity of, 15

  quiet politics by billionaires, problems

  Ross, Wilbur, 1

  caused by, 97– 99

  Rothschild, Jacob, x

  quotations from billionaires, unearthing, 37

  Rove, Karl, and American Crossroads, 119

  Rowling, Robert: absence of measurement

  random numbers, source of, 167n3

  error concerning, 123– 24; background

  random walk, iterated searches as, 34

  and source of wealth of, 122– 23; benefits

  “Rangers,” 42, 164n58

  gained by from use of boundary control

  index

  217

  strategy, 124; boundary control case study

  semi- stealthy billionaires on immigration

  on, 122– 24; contributions to Rick Perry

  policy, 78, 81, 92– 97

  by, 123– 24; national- level political contri-

  Senate: democratizing apportionment in,

  butions by, 123; state- and municipal- level

  140; “get a senator” strategy in, 50

  political contributions by, 123; as typical

  SESA study of multimillionaires, xi, 30, 42–

  boundary controller, 122, 124; as typical

  43, 135– 37, 157n12, 171n12, 173n45; gaps

  case on boundary control predictors, 118;

  between multimillionaires’ and general

  and University of Texas, 123– 24

  public’s preferences in, 40; inferences

  Russell Sage Foundation, x

  concerning billionaires from, 30– 31; as

  Russia, GDP of, compared with total wealth

  precursor of billionaires study, ix– x. See

  of US billionaires, 10

  also multimillionaires

  Ryan, Paul, agenda of, 44

  Sethi, Neerja, 17

  shareholder power, Carl Icahn and, 67– 68

  same- sex marriage: absence of stealth poli-

  sharing of billionaires’ wealth, 24, 139

  tics by billionaires on, 88; big contribu-

  Shriram, Ram, 17

  tion by Jeff Bezos to referendum on, 82;

  silence on politics by billionaires: on

  billionaires’ political actions on, 82, 83 t;

  abortion, immigration, and same- sex

  billionaires’ support of referenda on,

  marriage, 131; as concealing unpopular

  108– 9; intense emotions concerning, 77;

  stands, 134; deliberate nature of, 98,

  intensity of debates on, 84; keywords

  131– 32; negative effect of on political ac-

  used in web searches for, 155; number

  countability, 99; possible reasons for, 31,

  and direction of statements on by indi-

  132– 34; on public policy, 7; reluctance

  vidual billionaires, 151– 54; prediction of

  to disagree with most Americans as

  number of statements and actions on by

  motivation for, 39– 40, 133– 34; on social

  billionaires’ wealth and visibility, 88– 91,

  issues, 83– 84, 84 t; on tax and Social

  89 t, 91 t; predominately favorable state-

  Security policy, 38– 39, 130– 31

  ments by billionaires on, 85, 85 t; speaking

  Simmons, Harold: absence of measure-

  out and wealth as predictors of political

  ment error concerning, 120; advocacy of

  actions in favor of, 91– 92, 92 t; web-

  small federal government by, 119; and

  scraping techniques concerning, 79– 80

  attack ads on Democrats, 119; assertion

  San Francisco/San Jose, billionaires residing

  that Barack Obama was a socialist by,

  in, 18

  119; background of, 118– 19; boundary

  Sanders, Bernie, 74

  control case study of, 118– 21; buyout

  Sang, Jin Cook, 17

  fortune and position on Forbes list, 13;

  Santo Domingo, Alejandro and Andres, 17

  as extreme high case on boundary con-

  Santo Domingo, Julio Mario, 17

  trol predictors, 118; multiple benefits to

  Satter, Muneer, contribution to Rahm

  from boundary control strategy, 120– 21;

  Emanuel by, 103

  national political contributions by, 119–

  Scaife, Richard Mellon, 3

  20; neat fit of with boundary control

  Schattschneider, E. E., on scope of political

  theory, 120; securing permit for radioac-

  conflict, 101

  tive waste disposal, 120– 21; state- level

  Schwartzman, Steven, merger- and-

  political contributions by, 119– 20

  acquisition fortune of, 22

  Simons, James, 12; mathematical- model-

  scope of political conflict, 101
r />   based hedge fund trading by, 22

  search terms: concerning social issues,

  Singer, Paul, and LGBT rights, 173n50

  79– 80, 155; concerning taxes and Social

  skilled workers, billionaires’ support for

  Security, 33– 36, 148

  immigration of, 85, 85 t

  self- fulfillment, as incentive, 24

  Skocpol, Theda, 3; on AFP campaign infra-

  self- made wealth, 19– 20

  structure, 104; study of Koch brothers’

  semantic field, 34– 35, 80

  political activities by, 72

  218

  index

  Snapchat, 16; achievements of, 138

  Alliance, 104; as extreme low case

  social costs, boundary control and, 112– 13

  on boundary control predictors, 118;

  social issues: billionaires as liberals or lib-

  finance- based fortune of, 12, 22; as im-

  ertarians on, 80– 83; billionaires’ closer

  migrant success, 17; limits to economic

  alignment with public opinion on, 78;

  liberalism of, 178n104; one statement on

  billionaires’ consistency between speech

  Social Security by, 39; opposition of to

  and action on, 78, 81; billionaires’ low

  Iraq invasion and Bush foreign policy,

  priority on, 87; boycotts concerning, 78;

  122; philanthropy of, 12; predicted not

  infrequency of billionaires’ statements

  to engage in boundary control, 121; pro-

  concerning, 83– 87, 84 t; intense emotions

  Democratic political activities of, 12,

  and divisiveness concerning, 77– 78; key-

  122; shorting of the British pound by,

  words used in web searches concerning,

  122; size of fortune of, 2

  155; number and direction of statements

  South Africa, immigrant billionaires from, 18

  and actions on by individual billionaires,

  Southeast Asia, economic “tigers” of, 21

  151– 54; reasons for billionaires’ silence

  Southwest Airlines, 58

  concerning, 78, 83

  SpaceX, 17

  social safety net, as search term, 34

  Spiegel, Evan, achievements of, 138

  Social Security: administrative costs of,

  Stasch, Julia, x

  29; billionaires’ political actions on:

  state and local elections, less money spent

  44t, 44; campaign to privatize, 39, 52;

  on, 102

  comprehensive search terms concerning,

  state and local governments: billionaires’

  39; contrast between billionaires’ word

  special favors from, 100; extensive policy

  and actions on, 133; disagreement of

  responsibilities of, 100; implementation

  multimillionaires with most Americans

  of federal policies by, 101; importance

  concerning, 136; economic inequal-

  of, 100– 101; total spending by, 100;

  ity and, 30; elderly poverty rate and,

  wealthy- friendly policies in, 100

  29– 30; gaps between billionaires and

  state and local policy: billionaires’ impact

  the general public on, 132– 33; “grand

  on, 105, 106– 9

  bargains” to cut, 52; importance of,

  state and local politics: billionaires’ activity

  26, 29– 30; intensity of debates on, 84;

  between elections, 105– 6; billionaires

  keywords used in web searches for, 148;

  as big fish in, 101– 2; boundary control

  multimillionaires’ openness to cuts in,

  strategy in: 109– 25; dominant political

  40; number and direction of statements

  parties in, 102– 3; low visibility of, 101

  on by individual billionaires, 148– 50;

  state attorneys general, conservative donors

  payroll tax and, 28– 29; prominence of

  cultivation of, 108

  in news and debates, 39; public opinion

  State Policy Network, 10

  concerning privatization of, 163– 64n47;

  states’ rights, boundary control and, 110

  public opposition to cuts in guaranteed

  status, as incentive, 24

  benefits from, 30, 39; Republican agenda

  stealth politics: absence of on abortion

  of reducing guaranteed benefits from,

  and same- sex marriage, 88; boundary

  44; silence by billionaires on, 38– 40, 39 t,

  control as a case of, 124– 25; definition

  130; structure and benefits of, 29– 30; as

  of, 7; and democracy, 7; John Menard Jr.

  target for budget cutters, 30

  as exemplar of, 65; Koch brothers and,

  Soon- Shiong, Patrick, 17; achievements of,

  46– 47; reform of, 141– 43; Sheldon Adel-

  138

  son and, 46– 47; statistical patterns and,

  Soros Fund Management, 122

  48– 50; summary of evidence concerning,

  Soros, George: absence of measurement

  129– 34; on taxes and Social Security, 25–

  error concerning, 122; age of, 16; back-

  53. See also stealth politics theory

  ground of, 121– 22; boundary control

  stealth politics theory, 30– 32; Carl Icahn as

  case study on, 121– 22; and Democracy

  a challenge to, 69– 70; confirmation of

  index

  219

  by case studies, 74– 75; Icahn case and

  Tea Party movement: Koch brothers and

  reflections about assumptions of, 75

  AFP funding of, 72

  Stripe, 16

  tech variable, 95

  student loan debts, 137

  technology entrepreneurs, as liberal on im-

  study of billionaires, 10; limitations of, 126–

  migration policy, 96

  28; origins of, ix– x

  technology firms: billionaires’ involve-

  Sun, David, 17

  ment in as predictor of statements in

  Supreme Court decisions and dark money,

  favor of immigration, 95– 96, 95 t; as

  50

  fastest- growing source of billionaires’

  Survey of Consumer Finances (SCF), exclu-

  wealth, 19, 21; as receptive to high- skill

  sion of Forbes 400 by, 33

  immigration, 94; youthful amassers of

  Survey of Economically Successful Ameri-

  fortunes from, 15– 16

  cans and the Common Good. See SESA

  Tennessee: billionaires’ policy impact in, 107;

  study of multimillionaires

  state control over transit projects in, 107

  survivors, Social Security benefits for, 30

  Tepper, David, hedge fund fortune of, 22

  Susquehanna International Group, contri-

  terrorism, anxieties about immigration

  butions by to Democratic mayor, 103

  and, 94

  Swift Boat Veterans for Truth, 119

  Tesla, 17

  Texas Commission on Environmental Qual-

  Taiwan, immigrant billionaires from, 18

  ity, 120– 21

  Taj Mahal casino, 67

  Texas Republican Party, 120

  Tana Exploration, 123

  Texas Tribune campaign finance database,

  tax increases, as search term, 35

  120; disappearance of from public view,

  tax policy: billionaires’ near- silence con-

  177n87

  cerning, 38, 39
t, 40, 130– 31; importance

  Thiel, Peter, 17

  of, 26– 29; and inequality, 27; more

  think tanks: how to deal with private money

  frequent speech on by centrist billion-

  and, 142; Koch brothers’ funding of, 72;

  aires on, 38; number and direction of

  unreported funding of, 5– 6

  statements on by individual billionaires,

  topological properties of conceptual net-

  148– 50; web searches for 148

  works, 34

  taxes: avoidance of and estate tax, 28; on

  Trans World Airlines (TWA), Icahn take-

  billionaires, argument for raising, 139;

  over of, 66

  on billionaires, ethical and economic

  TRT Holdings: 123– 24

  arguments concerning, 24; billionaires’

  Trump, Donald: Carl Icahn and, 67– 68; con-

  political actions on, 44– 46, 44 t; choices

  tributions by billionaires to, 2; divergent

  among, 27; fairness of, 28– 29; and

  claims of size of fortune by, 13; omission

  fiscal policy, 27; intensity of debates

  of from top- 100 billionaires study, 13;

  on, 84; predictors of directionality of

  populist revolts and 2016 campaign of,

  billionaires’ statements on, 41 t, 41– 42;

  138; regressive tax cuts and, 27; role of

  predictors of number of billionaires’

  immigration in 2016 campaign of, 94;

  statements on, 40– 41, 40 t; pro- wealthy

  support of by Robert Mercer and Steve

  cuts in, 27, 52; rates on Forbes 400 vs.

  Bannon, 104; wealth of and claimed in-

  their receptionists and cleaning ladies,

  sulation from donors, 1; wealthy- friendly

  59; rates of in other OECD countries

  appointments and policies of, 1, 179n11

  compared with US, 160– 61n4, 161n5;

  Tu, John, 17

  regressive, 28– 29; Republican Party and,

  turnout, increasing the representativeness

  52; stealth politics on, 25– 53; Warren

  of, 140

  Buffett on raising rates on the wealthy,

  21st Century Fox, 12

  58– 59

  typical cases, usefulness of in case studies,

  Taylor, John, and family, 12

  118

  220

  index

  Uber, 16; achievements of, 138

  waste management industry, heavy regula-

  undocumented workers, 80

  tion of at state and locals and high

  unequal democracy, 99

  public costs of, 119

  United Airlines, 58

  Watchdog.org, 105

  unpopular policy stands, as reason for bil-

  wealth, declining marginal value of, 32, 41;

  lionaires’ silence, 31– 32

  of individual billionaires, list of, 145–

  USX (United States Steel holding company),

  47; industrialization and, 19; inheritance

 

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