War on Peace: The End of Diplomacy and the Decline of American Influence

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War on Peace: The End of Diplomacy and the Decline of American Influence Page 43

by Ronan Farrow


  287 use nuclear weapons against: “Nuclear Posture Review.” 8 January 2002, web.stanford.edu/class/polisci211z/2.6/NPR2001leaked.pdf.

  287 saber-rattling condemnations: Ryan, Maria. “Why the US’ 1994 Deal with North Korea Failed—and What Trump Can Learn From It.” The Conversation, 19 July 2017, theconversation.com/why-the-uss-1994-deal-with-north-korea-failed-and-what-trump-can-learn-from-it-80578.

  287 “we are looking for a few diplomats”: Hill, Christopher R. Outpost: A Diplomat at Work. New York: Simon & Schuster, 2015, p. 195. Kindle.

  287 “robotlike”: Hill, Christopher R. Outpost: A Diplomat at Work. New York: Simon & Schuster, 2015, p. 229. Kindle.

  288 “would Holbrooke have canceled”: Author phone interview with Christopher Hill, 12 September 2017.

  288 Holbrooke himself showed up: Hill, Christopher R. Outpost: A Diplomat at Work. New York: Simon & Schuster, 2015, pp. 215, 237, 253. Kindle.

  288 “You may never have another like it”: Hill, Christopher R. Outpost: A Diplomat at Work. New York: Simon & Schuster, 2015, p. 225. Kindle.

  288 pipes were being sawed: Hill, Christopher R. Outpost: A Diplomat at Work. New York: Simon & Schuster, 2015, p. 229. Kindle.

  288 “They never got serious”: Author phone interview with Christopher Hill, 12 September 2017.

  289 “I can’t speak to that”: Author interview with Hillary Clinton, 20 November 2017.

  289 “If we get out”: Author interview with Condoleezza Rice, 3 August 2017.

  289 appear responsible without committing: “China Says Six-Party Talks Resumption Not Easy, But in the Right Direction.” Reuters, 6 August 2017, https://www.reuters.com/article/us-asean-philippines-china-northkorea-mi/china-says-six-party-talks-resumption-not-easy-but-in-the-right-direction-idUSKBN1AM089.

  290 meet with North Korean leader Kim Jong Un: Gaouette, Nicole et al. “US starts to prep for North Korea summit even as Pyongyang remains silent.” CNN, 13 March 2018, https://www.cnn.com/2018/03/13/politics/trump-korea-summit-early-prep/index.html.

  290 “a long way from negotiations”: Lauter, David. “Trump’s risky, but bold approach to North Korea.” Los Angeles Times, 9 March 2018, http://www.latimes.com/politics/la-pol-essential-politics-20180309-story.html.

  290 many in the foreign policy establishment feared: Lewis, Jeffrey. “Trump is walking into Kim Jong Un’s Trap.” Washington Post, 13 March 2018, https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/theworldpost/wp/2018/03/13/trump-north-korea/?utm_term=.4167c5ee8b24.

  290 President Xi urged the United States: “President Xi meets U.S. Secretary of State.” Xinhua, 19 March 2017, news.xinhuanet.com/english/2017-03/19/c_136140432.htm.

  291 “win-win cooperation”: Brunnstrom, David. “Tillerson Affirms Importance of Constructive U.S.-China Ties.” Reuters, 22 February 2017, https://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-china-tillerson/tillerson-affirms-importance-of-constructive-u-s-china-ties-idUSKBN1602TL?il=0.

  291 “Barack Obama refused to do”: Beech, Hannah. “Rex Tillerson’s Deferential Visit to China.” New Yorker, 21 March 2017, www.newyorker.com/news/news-desk/rex-tillersons-deferential-visit-to-china; “Did America’s Top Diplomat Inadvertently Offer China a New Great Power Relationship?” Japan Times, 21 March 2017, http://www.japantimes.co.jp/news/2017/03/21/asia-pacific/politics-diplomacy-asia-pacific/americas-top-diplomat-inadvertently-offer-china-new-great-power-relationship/.

  292 “He believes in win-win”: Author interview with Brian Hook, 13 December 2017.

  292 watching an enthusiastic dog tear up your upholstery: Author interview with anonymous State Department official, 1 June 2017.

  292 The trend line is striking: Zhang, Junyi. “Order from Chaos: Chinese Foreign Assistance, Explained.” Order from Chaos (Brookings blog), 19 July 2016, https://www.brookings.edu/blog/order-from-chaos/2016/07/19/chinese-foreign-assistance-explained/.

  292 $10 billion a year: Shambaugh, David. “China’s Soft-Power Push.” Foreign Affairs, July/August 2015, https://www.foreignaffairs.com/articles/china/2015-06-16/china-s-soft-power-push.

  292 Beijing gets more influence: Lynch, Colum. “China Eyes Ending Western Grip on Top U.N. Jobs With Greater Control Over Blue Helmets.” Foreign Policy, 2 October 2016, http://foreignpolicy.com/2016/10/02/china-eyes-ending-western-grip-on-top-u-n-jobs-with-greater-control-over-blue-helmets/.

  293 China is exploring a mediating role: Putz, Catherine. “Can China Help Mediate Between Afghanistan and Pakistan?” Diplomat, 13 June 2017, thediplomat.com/2017/06/can-china-help-mediate-between-afghanistan-and-pakistan/.

  293 Sudan’s brutalized population: Johnson, Keith. “China’s African Adventure.” Foreign Policy, 24 April 2014, foreignpolicy.com/2014/04/24/chinas-african-adventure/.

  293 unique leverage to press for peace: Farrow, Ronan. “China’s Crude Conscience.” Wall Street Journal, 10 August 2016, https://www.wsj.com/articles/SB115515906133031402.

  293 China swiftly stepped in: Morimoto, Andy. “Should America Fear China’s Alternative to the TP?” Diplomat, 17 March 2016, thediplomat.com/2016/03/should-america-fear-chinas-alternative-to-the-tp/.

  293 “One Belt, One Road” initiative: Ayres, Alyssa. “Trump To Cut Foreign Aid Budgets, Opening South and Central Asia’s Door to Chinese Influence.” Forbes, 4 May 2017, https://www.forbes.com/sites/alyssaayres/2017/05/04/trump-to-cut-foreign-aid-budgets-opening-south-and-central-asias-door-to-chinese-influence/#77e273a75f50.

  293 “It’s a completely self-inflicted wound”: Author interview with John Kerry, 21 November 2017.

  EPILOGUE: THE TOOL OF FIRST RESORT

  295 two types of military dispute: Cicero. De Officiis. Translated by P. G. Walsh. Oxford: Oxford University Press, 2000, loc. 1014. Kindle.

  296 “reprioritization of diplomacy”: Author phone interview with Ben Rhodes, 18 August 2017.

  297 “shouts coming through the walls”: Author phone interview with Jon Finer, 11 September 2017.

  297 the whole hotel heard them: Lakshmana, Indira A. R., “If You Can’t Do This Deal . . . Go Back to Tehran.” Politico Magazine, 25 September 2015, www.politico.com/magazine/story/2015/09/iran-deal-inside-story-213187?paginate=false.

  297 Rice Krispies Treats: Viser, Matt. “Twizzlers, String Cheese, and Mixed Nuts (in Larger Quantities) Fuel Iran Nuclear Negotiations.” Boston Globe, 7 July 2015, https://www.bostonglobe.com/news/world/2015/07/07/twizzlers-string-cheese-and-mixed-nuts-large-quantities-fuel-iran-nuclear-negotiators/zun8dliHFISaCV8yzrTVNO/story.html.

  298 Zarif bellowed: Gay, John Allen. “Why is Iran’s Foreign Minister So Angry?” National Interest, 9 July 2015, nationalinterest.org/blog/the-buzz/why-irans-foreign-minister-so-angry-13303.

  298 a “diplomat’s diplomat”: Itkowitz, Colby. “Bill Burns, a ‘Diplomat’s Diplomat’ Retires.” Washington Post, 11 April 2014, https://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/in-the-loop/wp/2014/04/11/bill-burns-a-diplomats-diplomat-retires/?utm_term=.4e10e71e949a.

  298 “the next Bill Burns”: Author interview with John Kerry, 21 November 2017.

  299 “opened up a new phase”: Author phone interview with William Burns, 14 September 2017.

  299 squeezing every aspect of Iran’s economy: Solomon, Jay. The Iran Wars: Spy Games, Bank Battles, and the Secret Deals That Reshaped the Middle East. New York: Random House, 2016, loc. 2385-2386. Kindle.

  299 Oman: Author phone interview with William Burns, 14 September 2017.

  299 “there might be an opening”: Author phone interview with William Burns, 14 September 2017.

  300 “a patch of negotiations in Muscat”: Author phone interview with Jon Finer, 11 September 2017.

  300 “The Most Romantic Moments of the Iran-Deal Negotiations”: Fuller, Jaime. “The Most Romantic Moments of the Iran-Deal Negotiations.” New York, 16 July 2015, nymag.com/daily/intelligencer/2015/07/most-romantic-moments-of-the-iran-deal.html.

  300 “very limited enrichment program”: Author interview with Wendy Sherman, 13 September 2017.

  301 a Rubik’s Cube: Author interview with
Wendy Sherman, 13 September 2017.

  301 gag gift: Lakshmana, Indira A. R., “If You Can’t Do This Deal . . . Go Back to Tehran.” Politico Magazine, 25 September 2015, www.politico.com/magazine/story/2015/09/iran-deal-inside-story-213187?paginate=false.

  301 “I was quite focused”: Author interview with Wendy Sherman, 13 September 2017.

  302 “war is the failure of diplomacy”: Kerry, John. “Iran Accord Address and Presser.” Austria Center, Vienna, Austria, 14 July 2015, www.americanrhetoric.com/speeches/johnkerryiranaccord.htm.

  302 explode the secret diplomatic entrees: Lake, Eli. “Why Obama Let Iran’s Green Revolution Fail.” Bloomberg View, 25 August 2016, https://www.bloombergquint.com/opinion/2016/08/24/why-obama-let-iran-s-green-revolution-fail.

  302 Iran threatened to pull out: Solomon, Jay. The Iran Wars: Spy Games, Bank Battles, and the Secret Deals That Reshaped the Middle East. New York: Random House, 2016, loc. 219-225. Kindle.

  302 claims that Iran had cheated: Gladstone, Rick. “Arms Control Experts Urge Trump to Honor Iran Nuclear Deal.” New York Times, 13 September 2017, https://www.nytimes.com/2017/09/13/world/middleeast/iran-nuclear-deal-trump.html.

  302 view Iran as a “jigsaw puzzle”: Haley, Nikki. “Nikki Haley Address on Iran and the JCPOA.” American Enterprise Institute, 5 September 2017.

  303 “without a shot being fired”: Author phone interview with William Burns, 14 September 2017.

  303 “you were going to have a confrontation”: Author interview with John Kerry, 21 November 2017.

  303 “race to a bomb covertly”: Author phone interview with Jon Finer, 11 September 2017.

  304 “something short of a perfect solution:” Author phone interview with William Burns, 14 September 2017.

  304 how complex negotiated settlements looked: Hronesvoa, Jessie. “A Flawed Recipe for How to End a War and Build a State: 20 Years Since the Dayton Agreement.” London School of Economics and Political Science Blog, 14 December 2015, blogs.lse.ac.uk/europblog/2015/12/14/a-flawed-recipe-for-how-to-end-a-war-and-build-a-state-20-years-since-the-dayton-agreement/.

  304 “If we ditch this deal”: Author phone interview with Jon Finer, 11 September 2017.

  305 “Trump’s done it backwards, with bluster”: Author interview with John Kerry, 21 November 2017.

  305 more than eighty arms control specialists: Gladstone, Rick. “Arms Control Experts Urge Trump to Honor Iran Nuclear Deal.” New York Times, 13 September 2017, https://www.nytimes.com/2017/09/13/world/middleeast/iran-nuclear-deal-trump.html.

  306 “There was so much to do”: Author interview with Thomas Countryman, 22 June 2017.

  307 “I found that confusing”: “Tom Countryman’s Farewell: A Diplomat’s Love Letter to America.” Diplopundit, 2 February 2017, https://diplopundit.net/2017/02/02/tom-countrymans-farewell-a-diplomats-love-letter-to-america.

  307 “ambassadors legendary”: “Tom Countryman’s Farewell: A Diplomat’s Love Letter to America.” Diplopundit, 2 February 2017, https://diplopundit.net/2017/02/02/tom-countrymans-farewell-a-diplomats-love-letter-to-america.

  307 “foreign policy without professionals”: “Tom Countryman’s Farewell: A Diplomat’s Love Letter to America.” Diplopundit, 2 February 2017, https://diplopundit.net/2017/02/02/tom-countrymans-farewell-a-diplomats-love-letter-to-america.

  307 “Beijing will run the table”: “Tom Countryman’s Farewell: A Diplomat’s Love Letter to America.” Diplopundit, 2 February 2017, https://diplopundit.net/2017/02/02/tom-countrymans-farewell-a-diplomats-love-letter-to-america.

  307 “Why would we do that?”: Author interview with Wendy Sherman, 13 September 2017.

  308 “ought to be the tool of first resort”: Author phone interview with William Burns, 14 September 2017.

  308 “Public service can make a difference”: Holbrooke, Richard. To End a War. New York: Random House, 2011, loc. 2930-2931. Kindle.

  309 “ ‘who needs embassies?’ ”: Author phone interview with William Burns, 14 September 2017.

  309 “will focus on nonproliferation”: Author interviews with Brian Hook, 5 July 2017 and 13 December 2017.

  INDEX

  Page numbers listed correspond to the print edition of this book. You can use your device’s search function to locate particular terms in the text

  Abbottabad, 131

  Abdullah, Abdullah, 200

  Abe, Shinzo, 286

  Abedin, Huma, 47, 110

  Abizaid, John, 217

  Abrams, Elliott, 274

  Abrams tanks, 25

  Abu Dhabi, 217

  Abu Zaid, Osama, 160

  Acheson, Dean, 5

  Adams, Henry, 84

  Adams, John, 3

  Afghan army, 170

  training of, 67

  Afghanistan, xxvii, xxxii, xxxiii, 8, 15, 18, 26, 29, 41–42, 46, 50, 53, 54, 59, 62, 63, 91, 92, 96, 101, 113, 135, 155, 156, 163, 167, 208, 210, 227, 238, 245, 293, 309

  agriculture in, 79–80

  American objectives in, 184

  Bonn talks on new government for, 176

  counterinsurgeny in, 66–67

  Dasht-i-Leili massacre in, 164–202

  Dostum and, 164–202

  drug economy of, 79

  insurgency in, 44–45

  Jowzjan Province of, 169

  mass graves in, 164–66, 185–86

  militarization of policy process for, 116–17

  mujahedeen in, 170–71

  NGOs in, 81–82

  Pakistanis airlifted out of, 42

  Pakistani troops fired on in, 133

  Petraeus’s strategy in, 61, 63

  Soviet occupation of, 22–26

  trilateral talks with, 96

  troop surge in, 64–67

  Trump’s troop surge in, 201–2

  2018 troop surge in, 156

  US covert war in, 23–25

  US military spending in, 80

  US reconstruction in, 78–82

  Vietnam parallels of, 19–20

  water policy in, 98

  African Union, 212

  African Union Mission in Somalia (AMISOM), 219

  Agha, Syed Tayyab (A-Rod), 99–101, 102, 118–19, 120, 135

  Agriculture Department, US, 55

  Ahmad, Abdullahi Yusuf, 211

  Ahmad, Mehmood, 41

  Ahmed, Rashid, 168

  Akhtar, General, 25

  Alam, Mir, 182

  Albright, Madeleine, xxii, xxiv, xxvi, 28, 40–41, 273, 277

  alcohol, 231

  Alemu, Tekeda, 212, 214–16

  Aleppo, 159, 160

  Alexandria, 229

  Allen, John, 133–34

  Allen, Rex, 258–59

  Aller, Frank, 13

  Alliance for the Restoration of Peace and Counter-Terrorism (ARPCT), 210

  Al-Mousa, Abdullah, 159, 160

  al-Qaeda, 8, 42, 61, 65, 72–73, 100, 101, 105, 115, 132, 135, 173, 192, 201, 209–10, 214, 218, 232

  al-Shabaab, 204, 205–7, 209, 218–20, 221

  international reach of, 220

  US arms diverted to, 219

  Alston, Philip, 241

  American Enterprise Institute, 281

  American Revolution, 3

  Amiri, Rina, 55, 57, 58, 123

  Andropov, Yuri, 22

  Animal Farm (Orwell), 36–37

  anti-communism, 245–46

  Arab League, xi

  Arab Spring, 59

  Arango, Andres Pastrana, 243–44

  Archibald, Frank, 57

  Armitage, Richard, 41

  arms control, x–xi, xv

  Arms Control and Disarmament Agency, xxii–xxiii

  arms sales, 156–57

  Army, US, 246

  Army Corps of Engineers, 80

  Asia Society, 84, 135

  Asmara, Eritrea, 203–4, 220

  Assad, Bashar al-, 161

  Associated Press, 233

  atom bombs, 23

  AUC, 248, 249, 252

  Australia, 5, 9
3

  Avrakotos, Gust, 171–72

  Axelrod, David, 64, 120

  Azouli, 232

  Baghlan province, 182

  Bahrain, 157

  Baker, James, xxi, 158, 275–76

  Balkh province, 182

  Bannon, Steve, 279

  Barre, Siad, 208

  Bart (Air Force controller), 178–79, 180

  Bearden, Milton, 24, 26, 27–28, 170–71

  Beblawi, Hazem el-, 224, 225–26, 227

  Bechtel, 277

  Beg, General, 26

  Beijing, xxii

  Bellamy, William M., 211

  Benghazi, xvi

  Benjamin Franklin State Dining Room, 54

  Bentancur, President, 249

  Bergdahl, Bowe, 101

  Bhutto, Benazir, 26, 29, 33, 34, 35–36, 88

  assassination of, 35–36

  Bhutto, Zulfikar Ali, 23, 26

  Biden, Joseph, 50, 54, 123

  Big Stone Gap, Va., 126

  Bilderberg Group, 60

  bin Laden, Osama, 8, 25, 28, 41, 132, 137–38, 140, 143, 173, 175, 179

  raid and death of, 131, 134

  “Black Hawk Down,” 208

  Black Hawk helicopters, 130–31

  Black Hawk incident, 209

  black sites, 180

  Blair, Dennis, xxvi

  Blank, Jonah, 130

  Blinken, Tony, xvii, 49–50, 232

  “body count syndrome,” 242

  Bogota, 241

  Bohlen, Charles, 5

  Bommer, Ashley, 185

  Bonn, Germany, 176

  Bonn Agreement, 176

  Bosnia, 38–41, 53, 99, 109

  Boston University, 35

  Boucey, Mark, 214

  Bowden, Mark, 208

  Boy Scouts, 259

  Brahimi, Lakhdar, 106, 173

  briefing papers, 263

  Brown, Hank, 29

  Brown Daily Herald, 16

  Bryden, Matthew, 210, 218, 219

  Brzezinski, Zbigniew, 23

  Buckinghamshire, England, 204

  Bundesnachrichtendienst, 99

  Bureau of International Security and Nonproliferation, 306

  Burns, Bill, 134, 224, 233, 298–99, 300, 303–4, 308, 309

  Bush, George H. W., xxi, 27

  Bush, George W., xxiv, xxvi, 42, 80, 142, 162, 174, 211, 286, 287

  Bush (George W.) administration, xxiii, xxxii, 43, 44, 66, 78, 79, 184–85, 288, 295, 299

 

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