BLAIR’S BRITAIN, 1997–2007

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BLAIR’S BRITAIN, 1997–2007 Page 68

by ANTHONY SELDON (edt)


  though making gains in the most recent years. Other out-of-work benefits (Job Seeker’s Allowance and Income Support) were adjusted through

  the decade for price inflation excluding housing costs, meaning a steady

  deterioration in relation to average earnings. A single person on Income

  Support in 1997/8 received weekly benefit equivalent to about 40% of

  median income after housing costs – well below the poverty line. By

  2005/6 this share had fallen to just 31%. This contrasts sharply to the sit32 See Giacomo Georgi, ‘The New Deal for Young People Five Years On’, Fiscal Studies 26(3),

  2005: 371–83; Bruce Stafford with others, New Deal for Disabled People: Third Synthesis

  Report – Key Findings from the Evaluation, DWP Research Report 430 (London: DWP,

  2007).

  33 See Donald Hirsch, ‘Welfare in Work: The Missing Link in Welfare Reform’, in Kate Bell

  (ed.), Staying On, Stepping Up: How Can Employment Retention and Advancement Policies

  be Made to Work for Lone Parents? (London: One Parent Families, 2006).

  34 See Gabrielle Preston (ed.), A Route out of Poverty? Disabled People, Work and Welfare

  Reform (London: Child Poverty Action Group, 2006).

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  Table 19.3. Poverty among households of working age without children

  1996/7 to 2005/6 (%)

  Before housing costs

  After housing costs

  1996/97

  2005/06

  1996/97

  2005/06

  All working-age adults

  12

  13

  17

  17

  without children

  Single/couple one or more FT

  13

  12

  15

  18

  self-employed

  Single/couple all in FT work

  2

  2

  3

  4

  Couple, one FT, one PT work

  1

  3

  2

  5

  Couple, one FT work, one

  7

  10

  10

  14

  not working

  Single/couple no FT, one or

  18

  19

  24

  25

  more PT work

  Workless, head or spouse

  50

  54

  67

  64

  unemployed

  Workless, other inactive

  29

  35

  43

  45

  Source: DWP, Households Below Average Income 1994/5–2005/6, table F4.

  uation in Sweden, for example, where out-of-work benefits for all family

  types sit safely above the poverty line.35

  The result was that, despite rising employment, poverty among

  working-age households without children failed to fall during Labour’s

  time in office, as shown in table 19.3. Tax credits and other measures

  intended to make work pay appear to have had an impact on encouraging

  employment (which is why we see a stable overall figure despite increased

  risk in each category), but they have not managed to prevent rates of

  poverty from rising even for those in work. Among those without work,

  nearly two-thirds of households in which the head is unemployed lived

  below the poverty line after housing costs in 2005/6, alongside nearly

  one-half of those in other inactive households (including those claiming

  incapacity and disability-related benefits).

  How worried should we be about such high levels of poverty among

  non-working households without children? Should non-disabled adults

  35 See Christina Behrendt, At The Margins of the Welfare State: Social Assistance and the

  Alleviation of Poverty in Germany, Sweden and the United Kingdom (Aldershot: Ashgate,

  2002).

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  not be expected to support themselves without reliance on state

  benefits? There is a pragmatic reason for concern about current levels of

  out-of-work benefits: it cannot be easy to look for work under financial

  constraints that make basic requirements such as suitable clothes and

  transport costs problematic. There is also an ideological concern about

  the nature of an inclusive society. Many of those with caring responsibilities for dependants other than children, those in poor health but not

  severely disabled, and those who simply find participating in working life

  difficult on standard terms experienced Blair’s decade as one of gradually

  deepening poverty. Unease at the situation of people in these categories is

  compounded by the fact that poverty has risen even among working

  households without children, casting doubt over the idea that nonworking households could move out of poverty if they only chose to do

  so: individuals currently on Incapacity Benefit or Income Support are

  likely to have fewer skills and face greater barriers to work than those

  already in employment.

  Life chances

  As already noted, evidence of the impact of poverty in childhood on an

  individual’s future opportunities appears to have been central to the

  commitment to end child poverty. At the same time, the Blair government also recognised the importance for life chances of non-income

  factors, in particular education. Alongside income transfers and workpromotion initiatives it invested heavily in education, including policies

  aimed at furthering children’s development from the very earliest years;

  and to a lesser extent in children’s health. It was a long-term strategy,

  aimed at creating a new generation of adults more skilled than the

  current one, in stronger health and better placed to bring up their own

  children free from poverty. The long-term nature of this goal means a full

  assessment of the strategy’s success or failure will not be possible for

  many years, but this section examines the policies that were introduced

  and looks at early evidence of the difference they are making.

  The early years strategy

  There were four key elements to early years policy. Taken together, they

  represent a sea-change in the support, services and opportunities available to pre-school children and their parents, with government taking

  major responsibility for this age group for the first time.

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  First, the increase in the level of statutory maternity pay and the

  expansion of paid maternity leave first to six then to nine paid months

  (with a view to an eventual extension to a year’s paid leave) followed

  research evidence indicating that the best place for a baby is at home with

  a mother who wishes to be there. This is certain to have enabled more

  children of low-income working parents to spend more time with their

  mothers in the first few months of life (although it appears that the same

  rate of compensation for two weeks’ paid paternity leave has been too low

  to encourage many fathers to take it up).

  Second, the Blair government fulfilled an early commitment to

  provide a free part-time nursery place to all three-and four-year-olds,

  following evidence of the central importance of pre-school education for

  school-readiness
and later academic and social outcomes, particularly for

  children from disadvantaged backgrounds. By 2002, just 7% of children

  from social classes IV and V were not receiving any nursery education,

  compared to 17% in 1997. Third, there were some moves to improve

  the quality of formal childcare, including much greater regulation under

  the Ofsted umbrella and the creation of a new graduate Early Year’s

  Professional status with training starting in 2006 – small but positive

  steps towards raising the overall status, pay and conditions of childcare

  workers.

  Finally, there were the set of Sure Start policies – first, Sure Start Local

  Programmes (SSLP); later, Sure Start Children’s Centres. SSLP brought a

  raft of initiatives to children under four in the 500 most disadvantaged

  wards, with local Sure Start boards initially operating independently of

  local authority control to determine how best to provide parenting

  support, play, learning and childcare experiences, primary health care

  and advice, and support for children and parents with special needs.

  Preliminary evaluation of the local programmes (and the evaluation

  team stress that it is really too early for assessment) found modest evidence of more positive parenting in Sure Start areas, although not among

  the most deprived families.36 Sure Start was also widely popular with

  parents: in research conducted by the Centre for Analysis of Social

  Exclusion with parents in deprived areas it was one of very few government initiatives spontaneously mentioned as having made a positive

  difference.37 Ironically, its high profile and positive image led to what

  36 National Evaluation of Sure Start (NESS), Early Impacts of Sure Start Local Programmes on

  Children and Families, NESS Research Report 13 (London: TSO, 2005).

  37 See Anne Power and Helen Willmot, ‘Bringing up Families in Poor Neighbourhoods

  under New Labour’, in Hills and Stewart, A More Equal Society?

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  some have seen as a dilution of the original programme, although the

  government has sold it as spreading the benefits across the country:

  since April 2006 SSLPs have come under local authority control as Sure

  Start Children’s Centres, with additional centres developing from other

  government initiatives including Neighbourhood Nurseries and Early

  Excellence Centres. There were 1,000 Children’s Centres by September

  2006, with plans for one in all 3,500 wards in England and Wales by 2010,

  and the idea is that they bring together childcare, early education, health,

  employment and family support under one roof. Substantial resources

  are being directed to them, with total spending of £3.2 billion between

  2004 and 2008; this represents somewhat reduced funding per centre

  compared to the budget for the original 500 SSLPs, although whether disadvantaged areas suffer will depend on how funding is distributed. Again,

  it is early for assessment, but a recent National Audit Office report into

  existing centres found quality of services high and improving, although

  not all centres were doing all they could to reach the most disadvantaged

  groups.38

  Education

  Tackling educational disadvantage was an early priority for the Blair government. Since the low point of 1999, when the commitment to stick to

  Conservative spending plans came to an end, the share of GDP spent

  on education has risen steadily, from 4.5% to planned spending of 5.6%

  in 2007/8. This shifted the UK up the international spending range: 5.6%

  is getting close to the share spent in, for example, France in 2003 (5.8%),

  though it still falls well short of the spending share in Denmark (6.7%)

  and Sweden (6.5%). At the same time, the formula for allocating

  resources to Local Education Authorities was revised, increasing the

  share to those with most deprived populations, although only by half the

  level recommended in the PriceWaterhouseCoopers report commissioned by the Department for Education and Skills to guide the reform.

  In part the decision not to implement the full recommendation was

  driven by the fact that the LEAs themselves each have their own internal

  allocation formulae, meaning there is no way of ensuring that the extra

  resources reach the most needy schools.

  There were also a number of targeted initiatives, including Excellence

  in Cities (EiC), which provides funding for learning mentors and for

  38 NAO, Sure Start Children’s Centres (London: TSO, 2006).

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  provision for gifted and talented pupils in the most deprived third of

  LEAs, and the Ethnic Minority Achievement Grant (EMAG), supporting

  a range of programmes benefiting schools with high concentrations of

  minority ethnic pupils. EiC has been found in early evaluations to have

  had a positive effect on school attendance and mathematics attainment,

  with the greatest impact in the most disadvantaged schools.39

  Classroom-based reform focused on standards, continuing with

  Conservative-designed policies such as literacy and numeracy hours,

  regular formal testing and league table publication; the latter now include

  measures of ‘value-added’, making them better reflections of a school’s

  performance rather than simply its social and academic intake. In addition, Labour pursued its 1997 election pledge to ensure that no child aged

  five to seven was taught in a class with more than thirty pupils. Between

  1997 and 2007 the share of all primary school children in such classes

  came down sharply, from 33% to 14%, although 1.4% of the five to seven

  age group are still taught in larger classes.40

  What was the combined impact of these policies on inequality in educational attainment? There is some evidence of catch-up to 2001 in the

  performance in Key Stage tests of ‘rich’ and ‘poor’ schools (those in which

  respectively less than 5% and over 40% of pupils qualify for free school

  meals).41 The government discontinued the publication of these data

  from 2001, but since 2002 we have been able to look at pupil performance

  directly. Figure 19.3 shows the share of pupils from different ethnic

  groups achieving five or more GCSEs at grades A*–C (the triangles and

  circles in the figure), along with the performance of pupils eligible for free

  school meals relative to that of other pupils (the bars); this last has been

  called the ‘poverty penalty’. The figure shows both that the average performance of black, Pakistani and Bangladeshi pupils is catching up with

  that of white pupils, and that the relative performance of those receiving

  free school meals has improved substantially within each ethnic group.

  These changes are impressive for a four-year period, although the poverty

  penalty remains serious, particularly for the white population: in 2006

  39 Stephen Machin, Sandra McNally and Costas Meghir, ‘Excellence in Cities: Evaluation of

  an Education Policy in Disadvantaged Areas’, NFER Working Paper January 2006

  (Slough: National Foundation for Educational Research, 2006).

  40 DfES Time Series Data (http://www.dfes.gov.uk/rsgateway/DB/TIM/m002007/ts-primcs.pdf).

  41 Abigail McKnight, Ho
ward Glennerster and Ruth Lupton ‘Education, Education,

  Education . . .: An Assessment of Labour’s Success in Tackling Educational Inequalities’,

  in Hills and Stewart, A More Equal Society?

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  100

  90

  80

  70

  60

  50

  %

  40

  30

  20

  10

  0

  Black

  Black

  White

  Indian

  Chinese

  African

  Pakistani

  All pupils

  Caribbean

  Bangladeshi

  FSM achievement as share non-FSM 2002

  FSM achievement as share non-FSM 2006

  Share of all pupils achieving 5 A*–C grades 2002

  Share of all pupils achieving 5 A*–C grades 2006

  Figure 19.3. Disparities in educational achievement by ethnicity and free school meal

  status: share of pupils achieving at least five GCSEs at grade A*–C 2002 and 2006 and

  ‘poverty penalty’ for each ethnic group.

  Source: Department for Education and Skills (DfES) Statistical First Releases:

  http://www.dfes.gov.uk/rsgateway/DB/SFR/s000448/table49-52.xls (for 2002) and

  http://www.dfes.gov.uk/rsgateway/DB/SFR/s000693/Addition1V1.xls (for 2006).

  white pupils eligible for free school meals were still less than half as likely

  to achieve five A*–C grades as their non-eligible classmates.

  Interestingly, when we look further down the education system, the

  story is more complicated. At earlier key stages smaller disparities are

  observed across both ethnic group and free school meals status, but there is

  less unambiguous evidence of improvement between 2002 and 2006, with

  the poverty penalty widening slightly overall in writing at age seven and in

  mathematics and science achievement at eleven. This raises doubts about

  whether the rate of change illustrated in figure 19.3 will be sustained.

  Health

  Health inequalities were subject to considerable attention during the first

  two Labour terms, with a series of assessments and reviews following the

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  report of the independent Acheson inquiry.42 Four months before the 2001

  election the government announced two health inequalities targets: the

  first to reduce the difference in life expectancy between areas with the lowest

 

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