Thinking, Fast and Slow
Page 62
choices: from description; from experience; see also decisions, decision making; risk assessment
“Choices, Values, and Frames” (Kahneman and Tversky)
CIA
Clark, Andrew
climate
Clinical vs. Statistical Prediction: A Theoretical Analysis and a Review of the Evidence (Meehl)
Clinton, Bill
Coelho, Marta
coffee mug experiments
cognitive busyness
cognitive ease; in basic assessments; and illusions of remembering; and illusions of truth; mood and; and writing persuasive messages; WYSIATI (what you see is all there is) and
cognitive illusions; confusing experiences with memories; of pundits; of remembering; of skill; of stock-picking skill; of truth; of understanding; of validity
Cognitive Reflection Test (CRT)
cognitive strain
Cohen, David
coherence; see also associative coherence
Cohn, Beruria
coincidence
coin-on-the-machine experiment
cold-hand experiment
Collins, Jim
colonoscopies
colostomy patients
competence, judging of
competition neglect
complex vs. simple language
concentration
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“Conditions for Intuitive Expertise: A Failure to Disagree” (Kahneman and Klein)
confidence; bias of, over doubt; overconfidence; WYSIATI (what you see is all there is) and
confirmation bias
conjunction fallacy
conjunctive events, evaluation of
“Consequences of Erudite Vernacular Utilized Irrespective of Necessity: Problems with Using Long Words Needlessly” (Oppenheimer)
contiguity in time and place
control
cookie experiment
correlation; causation and; illusory; regression and; shared factors and
correlation coefficient
cost-benefit correlation
costs
creativity; associative memory and
credibility
Csikszentmihalyi, Mihaly
curriculum team
Damasio, Antonio
dating question
Dawes, Robyn
Day Reconstruction Method (DRM)
death: causes of; life stories and; organ donation and; reminders of
Deaton, Angus
decisions, decision making; broad framing in; and choice from description; and choice from experience; emotions and vividness in; expectation principle in; in gambles, see gambles; global impressions and; hindsight bias and; narrow framing in; optimistic bias in; planning fallacy and; poverty and; premortem and; reference points in; regret and; risk and, see risk assessment
decision utility
decision weights; overweighting; unlikely events and; in utility theory vs. prospect theory; vivid outcomes and; vivid probabilities and
decorrelated errors
default options
denominator neglect
depression
Detroit/Michigan problem
Diener, Ed
die roll problem
dinnerware problem
disclosures
disease threats
disgust
disjunctive events, evaluation of
disposition effect
DNA evidence
dolphins
Dosi, Giovanni
doubt; bias of confidence over; premortem and; suppression of
Duke University
Duluth, Minn., bridge in
duration neglect
duration weighting
earthquakes
eating
eBay
Econometrica
economics; behavioral; Chicago school of; neuroeconomics; preference reversals and; rational-agent model in
economic transactions, fairness in
Econs and Humans
Edge
Edgeworth, Francis
education
effectiveness of search sets
effort; least, law of; in self-control
ego depletion
electricity
electric shocks
emotional coherence, see halo effect emotional learning
emotions and mood: activities and; affect heuristic; availability biases and; in basic assessments; cognitive ease and; in decision making; in framing; mood heuristic for happiness; negative, measuring; and outcomes produced by action vs. inaction; paraplegics and; perception of; substitution of question on; in vivid outcomes; in vivid probabilities; weather and; work and
employers, fairness rules and
endangered species
endowment effect; and thinking like a trader
energy, mental
engagement
Enquiry Concerning Human Understanding, An (Hume)
entrepreneurs; competition neglect by
Epley, Nick
Epstein, Seymour
equal-weighting schemes
Erev, Ido
evaluability hypothesis
evaluations: joint; joint vs. single; single
evidence: one-sided; of witnesses
executive control
expectation principle
expectations
expected utility theory, see utility theory
experienced utility
experience sampling
experiencing self; well-being of; see also well-being
expert intuition; evaluating; illusions of validity of; overconfidence and; as recognition; risk assessment and; vs. statistical predictions; trust in
expertise, see skill
Expert Political Judgment: How Good Is It? How Can We Know? (Tetlock)
Exxon Valdez oil spill
eyes, pupil dilation in
face reading
fairness
fallacies; conjunction; narrative; planning; sunk-cost
familiarity
Far Side, The (Larson)
fast and frugal heuristic
fast thinking
fatigue
fear
Fechner, Gustav
feedback
Feller, William
financial crisis of 2008
fi
nancial advisers and forecasters
firefighters
first impressions
Fischhoff, Baruch
flight instructors
flood monitor
Florida effect
flow
flowers syllogism
Flyvbjerg, Bent
focus
focusing illusion
fonts
forecasts, see predictions and forecasts
football game
Ford Motor Company
formulas; algorithms; Apgar scores; hostility to; for interviews; multiple regression
formulation effects
Fortune
fourfold pattern; in legal cases
Fox, Craig
Fox, Seymour
frames, framing; in Asian disease problem; in child exemption problem; in disclosures; emotional; fuel economy and; good; in KEEP-LOSE study; organ donation and; regulations on; in survival-mortality experiment; in ticket problem
Frederick, Shane
Freedman, David
freedom
Free to Choose (Friedman)
frequency representation
Frey, Bruno
Friedman, Milton
frowning; availability heuristic and; representativeness and
gains
Galinsky, Adam
Gallup-Healthways Well-Being Index
Galton, Francis
gambles; bundling of; certainty effect and; emotional framing in; loss aversion in; lottery; mixed; and outcomes produced by action vs. inaction; possibility effect and; psychological value of; regret and; simple; St. Petersburg paradox and; vs. sure
things; utility ongsv> see also risk assessment
Gates Foundation
Gawande, Atul
Georgellis, Yannis
German Socio-Economic Panel
gestures
Gibbs, Lois
Gigerenzer, Gerd
Gilbert, Daniel
Gilovich, Tom
Gladwell, Malcolm
global warming
glucose
goals
golf
good and bad, distinctions between
Google
gorilla experiment
gossip
Gottman, John
Gould, Stephen Jay
grades and grade point averages (GPAs)
grading students’ essays
Grether, David
group, joining
Guthrie, Chris
Haidt, Jonathan
halo effect
Halo Effect, The (Rosenzweig)
happiness; of Californians; dating question and; income and; life stories and; marriage and; mood heuristic for; see also well-being happy faces
happy words
Harding, Warren G.
Harvard Medical School
Harvard University
health: disease threats and; well-being and; risks and; see also medicine
health survey problem
health violation penalties
Hebrew University of Jerusalem
“Hedgehog and the Fox, The” (Berlin)
hedonimeter
Heider, Fritz
helping experiment
Hertwig, Ralph
Hess, Eckhard
heuristic, definition of
high school curriculum team
hindsight: bias in; regret and
historical events
hitchhiker question
Hitler, Adolf
Hogarth, Robin
honesty box
“How Mental Systems Believe” (Gilbert)
How to Solve It (Pólya)
Hsee, Christopher
hubris hypothesis
Humans and Econs
Hume, David
hunger
hypotheses, testing
ideomotor effect
illusions: cognitive, see cognitive illusions; Müller-Lyer; 3-D
imaginability, immediate gratification
incongruity
independent judgments
indifference map
inheritances
injection puzzle
In Search of Excellence (Peters and Waterman)
inside view
insurance
intelligence; in marriage; pretentious language and
intensity matching
intention
interviews; in Israeli Defense Forces
Introduction to the Principles of Morals and Legislation (Bentham)
intuition: acquisiitiodution of; common use of word; of experts, see expert intuition; predictive, see predictions and forecasts; as recognition; Simon’s definition of
Inventor’s Assistance Program
investments: stock portfolios; sunk-cost fallacy and
Invisible Gorilla, The (Chabris and Simons)
irrationality
Israel, bombings in
Israeli Defense Forces: flight instructors in; interviews in; leaderless group challenge in
Israeli Ministry of Education
“Jabberwocky” (Carroll)
Jacoby, Larry
Jencks, Christopher
joint evaluations; single evaluations vs.
judgment heuristics
Judgment in Managerial Decision Making (Bazerman)
judgments; basic assessments in; of experts, see expert intuition; intensity matching in; mental shotgun in; predictive, see predictions and forecasts; sets and prototypes in; summary, of complex information; see also decisions, decision making
“Judgment Under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases” (Tversky and Kahneman)
Julie problem
jumping to conclusions; bias for belief and confirmation in; halo effect in, see halo effect; suppression of ambiguity and doubt in; WYSIATI in, see what you see is all there is
Kaye, Danny
keeping score; mental accounts and; regret and; responsibility and
KEEP-LOSE study
kidney cancer
Killing Ground, The
kitchen renovations