I Think You'll Find It's a Bit More Complicated Than That

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I Think You'll Find It's a Bit More Complicated Than That Page 38

by Ben Goldacre

Doctor’s MMR fears: http://www.express.co.uk/posts/view/112286/Doctor-s-MMR-fears

  ‘Linked to Phone Masts’: http://www.badscience.net/category/roger-coghill/

  published a long time ago: http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/19501728

  disappeared from Express website: http://www.express.co.uk/posts/view/131817/Jab-as-deadly-as-the-cancer-

  Health Warning: Exercise Makes You Fat

  Health Warning: http://www.badscience.net/2009/08/health-warning-exercise-makes-you-fat/

  forty-three trials: http://mrw.interscience.wiley.com/cochrane/clsysrev/articles/CD003817/frame.html

  exercise for weight loss: http://mrw.interscience.wiley.com/cochrane/clsysrev/articles/CD003817/frame.html

  The Caveat in Paragraph Number 19

  The Caveat: http://www.badscience.net/2010/10/the-caveat-in-paragraph-number-19/

  Oncological Ontology Project: http://thedailymailoncologicalontol ogyproject.wordpress.com/

  Kill Or Cure: http://kill-or-cure.heroku.com/

  40 per cent: http://www.dailymail.co.uk/health/article-1317856/Strict-diet-days-week-cuts-risk-breast-cancer-40-cent.html

  the academic paper: http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/20921964

  look at the penis: http://www.ojr.org/ojr/stories/070312ruel/

  early study in 1990: http://eyetrack.poynter.org/previous.html

  most recent project: http://eyetrack.poynter.org/keys_01.html

  Why Don’t Journalists Link to Primary Sources

  Why Don’t Journalists: http://www.badscience.net/2011/03/why-dont-journalists-link-to-primary-sources/

  Wind farms blamed: http://bengoldacre.posterous.com/how-far-will-the-daily-telegraph-distort-a-st

  open-access academic paper: http://www.plosone.org/article/info%3Adoi%2F10.1371%2Fjournal.pone.0017009

  end of the press release: https://www.st-andrews.ac.uk/news/archive/2011/Title,65795,en.html

  now deleted: http://www.telegraph.co.uk/earth/energy/windpower/8382476/Wind-farms-blamed-for-stranding-of-whales.html

  miserly correction: http://www.telegraph.co.uk/earth/energy/wind power/8388273/Correction-whales-and-wind-farms.html

  secret to shapely legs: http://fashion.telegraph.co.uk/news-features/TMG8296453/Why-stilettos-are-the-secret-to-shapely-legs.html

  shapelier legs than flats: http://www.dailymail.co.uk/femail/article-1352831/Victoria-Beckham-Stilettos-women-shapelier-legs-flats.html

  Stilettos tone up: http://www.express.co.uk/posts/view/226658/Stilettos-tone-up-your-legs/Stilettos-tone-up-your-legs

  read even the press release: http://www.hmc.edu/newsandevents/ahn-examines-the-human-leg.html

  Daily Mail: http://scienceblog.cancerresearchuk.org/2011/03/17/no-need-to-worry-about-having-a-shower-or-drinking-water/

  read the original paper: http://www.ehjournal.net/content/pdf/1476-069X-10-18.pdf

  or even the press release: http://www.creal.cat/en_noticies/view.php?ID=85

  simple distortion: http://scienceblog.cancerresearchuk.org/2011/03/17/no-need-to-worry-about-having-a-shower-or-drinking-water/

  A Fishy Friend, and His Friends

  A Fishy Friend: http://www.badscience.net/2010/06/the-return-of-a-2bn-fishy-friend/

  Fish oil helps: http://www.guardian.co.uk/science/2010/may/30/fish-oil-supplement-concentration

  omega-3 fish oil pill: http://www.badscience.net/category/fish-oil/

  Denis Campbell: http://www.badscience.net/2007/07/british-medical-journal-mmr-the-scare-stories-are-back/

  was indeed the paper: http://www.ajcn.org/cgi/content/abstract/91/4/1060

  published in full this year: http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ridd.2010.01.014

  estimates global sales: http://www.nutraingredients-usa.com/Consumer-Trends/Markets-Leaders-in-global-brain-food-sales

  reproduced below in full: http://www.independent.co.uk/life-style/health-and-families/features/jeremy-laurance-dr-goldacre-doesnt-make-everything-better-1994017.html

  MMR: The Scare Stories Are Back

  MMR: http://www.badscience.net/2007/07/british-medical-journal-mmr-the-scare-stories-are-back/

  Prevention Is Better Than Cure When It Comes to Health Scares

  suspected death: http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-wales-22385218

  vaccine caused autism: http://www.nhs.uk/Conditions/vaccinations/Pages/mmr-vaccine.aspx

  dozens of vaccine scares: http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/0f90ac7a-a67c-11e2-885b-00144feabdc0.html

  Antivaccination campaigners: http://www.ft.com/cms/s/2/a2f9f1a6-50e3-11e0-8931-00144feab49a.html

  part of a plot: http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/2a9e6704-b0d2-11e2-9f24-00144feabdc0.html

  Dodgy Academic PR

  Dodgy Academic PR: http://www.badscience.net/2009/05/dodgy-academic-pr/

  Annals of Internal Medicine: http://www.annals.org/cgi/content/abstract/150/9/613

  Suicide

  Suicide: http://www.badscience.net/2009/03/suicide/

  it has been shown: http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/11630757

  repeatedly: http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/0049-089X%2891%2990016-V

  increased by 17 per cent: http://www.bmj.com/cgi/content/full/318/7189/972?view=long &pmid=10195966

  a significant decrease: http://www.springerlink.com/content/98rw3lycjnkgg9a3/

  Roger Coghill and the Aids Test

  Roger Coghill: http://www.badscience.net/2008/06/roger-coghill-fails-the-aids-test/

  linked to phone masts: http://www.express.co.uk/posts/view/49330/Suicides-linked-to-phone-masts-

  evidence of a possible link: http://info.cancerresearchuk.org/healthy living/cancercontroversies/howdoweknow/

  Broad Street pump: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/John_Snow_(physician)

  a ‘stakeholder’ group: http://www.rkpartnership.co.uk/sage/

  specialises in mediation: http://www.rkpartnership.co.uk/whatwedo.php

  their last document: http://www.rkpartnership.co.uk/sage/Public/SAGE first interim assessment.pdf

  angel investment: http://www.walesonline.co.uk/business-in-wales/business-news/2008/02/02/business-angel-supplements-for-launch-91466-20426842/

  ‘Asphalia’: http://www.asphalia.co.uk/

  visited his website: http://www.galonja.co.uk/

  protection equipment: http://www.galonja.co.uk/galonja_shop/product.asp?g_s_n=crlshop&g_u_no=0&g_u_nam=&g_tim=&pid=88&v_det=1&full=1&c_id=0

  Acousticom: http://www.galonja.co.uk/galonja_shop/product.asp?g_s_n=crlshop&g_u_no=0&g_u_nam=&g_tim=&pid=104&v_det=1&full=1&c_id=0

  makes wine taste nicer:http://www.galonja.co.uk/galonja_shop/product.asp?g_s_n=crlshop&g_u_no=0&g_u_nam=&g_tim=&pid=98&v_det=1&full=1&c_id=0

  ‘Mood Maker’: http://www.galonja.co.uk/galonja_shop/product.asp?g_s_n=crlshop&g_u_no=0&g_u_nam=&g_tim=&pid=97&v_det=1&full=1&c_id=0

  Electrohealing: http://www.galonja.co.uk/galonja_shop/product.asp?g_s_n=crlshop&g_u_no=0&g_u_nam=&g_tim=&pid=46&v_det=1&full=1&c_id=0

  Atlantis: http://www.galonja.co.uk/galonja_shop/product.asp?g_s_n=crlshop&g_u_no=0&g_u_nam=&g_tim=&pid=59&v_det=1&full=1&c_id=0

  The Aids test: http://www.badscience.net/2007/12/aids-quackery-international-tour/, http://www.badscience.net/2007/09/homeopathy gives-you-aids/and http://www.badscience.net/2007/02/money-is-not-the-only-barrier-to-aids-patients-getting-hold-of-drugs/

  Coghill on Aids: http://web.archive.org/web/20041013110533/http://www.cogreslab.co.uk/aids.htm

  BRAINIAC

  Ka-Boom! Science! COOL!!?!

  Ka-Boom!: 831 http://www.badscience.net/2006/07/ka-boom/

  Who’s the Daddy?

  Who’s the Daddy?: http://www.badscience.net/2006/07/whos-the-daddy/

  STUFF

  Here’s My … Foreword to the Romney, Hythe and Dymchurch Railway Guidebook

  Here’s my: http://www.badscience.net/2013/12/heres-my-intro-to-the-romney-hythe-and-dimchurch-railway-guidebook/

  narrow gauge railway: http://www.rhdr.org.uk/

  sound mirrors: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Acoustic_mirror

  How I Sta
lked My Girlfriend

  How I Stalked: http://www.badscience.net/2006/02/how-i-stalked-my-girlfriend/

  EARLY SNARKS

  Staying Beautiful Is Easy to Do

  Staying Beautiful: http://www.badscience.net/2003/05/staying-beautiful-is-easy-to-do/

  Because You’re Worth It

  Because You’re: http://www.badscience.net/2003/11/because-youre-worth-it/

  More Than Water?

  More than Water?: http://www.badscience.net/2004/01/more-than-water/

  ‘Nanniebots’ to Catch Paedophiles

  ‘Nanniebots’: http://www.badscience.net/2004/03/nanniebots-to-catch-paedophiles/

  New Scientist’s chat with Nanniebot: http://www.tinyurl.com/2y55h

  talk to it online: http://www.tinyurl.com/2osgo

  Nanniebots and Neverland

  Nanniebots and Neverland: http://www.badscience.net/2004/04/nanniebots-and-neverland/

  making false claims: tinyurl.com/3gfxv

  modified the device to stream shows: tinyurl.com/38wmx

  posting did state: tinyurl.com/2jg3p

  chatnannies.com: http://chatnannies.com/

  Artificial Intelligence

  Artificial Intelligence: http://www.badscience.net/2004/06/artificial-intransigence/

  BOOKENDS

  Be Very Afraid: The Bad Science Manifesto

  Be Very Afraid: http://www.badscience.net/2003/04/be-very-afraid-the-bad-science-manifesto/

  What Eight Years of Writing the Bad Science Column Has Taught Me

  finish a book: http://www.badscience.net/books/the-drug-pushers/

  what I’ve learned: http://www.badscience.net/2010/12/the-year-in-nonsense-2/and http://www.badscience.net/2009/12/the-year-in-nonsense/

  in eight years: http://www.badscience.net/2008/12/the-year-in-bad-science-2/

  writing this column: http://www.badscience.net/2007/12/the-year-in-bad-science-2007/and http://www.badscience.net/2006/12/the-year-in-bad-science/

  Alternative therapists: http://www.badscience.net/category/complementary-medicine/

  great teaching tool: http://www.badscience.net/2007/11/a-kind-of-magic/

  medicines regulators: http://www.badscience.net/2011/02/pretending-that-evidence-is-difficult-and-complicated/

  universities: http://www.badscience.net/2010/02/how-do-you-regulate-wu/

  science and evidence in culture: http://www.badscience.net/2008/09/the-medicalisation-of-everyday-life/

  their libel cases: http://www.badscience.net/category/libel/

  comedy factory: http://www.badscience.net/2008/08/bill-nelson-wins-the-internet/and http://www.badscience.net/2007/05/the-amazing-qlink-science-pedant/

  how the world works: http://www.guardian.co.uk/commentisfree/2011/jul/08/bad-science-effective-things-silly-places

  the placebo effect: http://www.badscience.net/category/placebo/

  misled by heuristics: http://www.badscience.net/category/irrationality-research/

  thrills, and power: http://www.badscience.net/2011/03/why-cigarette-packs-matter/

  Pharmaceutical companies: http://www.badscience.net/category/big-pharma/

  still won’t publish all: http://www.badscience.net/category/publication-bias/

  we tolerate it: http://www.badscience.net/2011/03/when-regulation-is-opaque-trust-is-all-you-have/

  Journalists: http://www.badscience.net/category/media/

  can mislead the public: http://www.badscience.net/2010/10/the-caveat-in-paragraph-number-19/

  the methods and techniques: http://www.badscience.net/2011/10/new-edition-of-testing-treatments-best-lay-text-on-evidence-based-medicine/

  Politicians misuse evidence: http://www.badscience.net/category/politics/

  and distort it: http://www.badscience.net/2011/04/id-expect-this-from-ukip-or-the-daily-mail-not-from-a-government-leaflet/

  to shameful degrees: http://www.badscience.net/2011/02/andrew-lansley-and-his-imaginary-evidence/and http://www.badscience.net/2011/02/why-is-evidence-so-hard-for-politicians/

  trials of policies: http://www.badscience.net/2011/05/we-should-so-blatantly-do-more-randomised-trials-on-policy/

  if they achieve: http://www.badscience.net/2010/05/politicians-can-divine-which-policy-works-best-by-using-their-special-magic-politician-beam/

  no honourable excuse: http://www.badscience.net/2009/09/blueprint-fail/

  the fairest tests: http://www.badscience.net/category/evidence-based-policy/

  Real scientists: http://www.badscience.net/2011/11/why-wont-professor-greenfield-publish-this-theory-in-a-scientific-journal/

  clear line between the results: http://www.guardian.co.uk/science/2011/jul/29/duchennes-muscular-dystrophy-surrogate-outcomes

  nerds are more powerful: http://www.badscience.net/2011/06/kids-who-spot-bullshit-and-the-adults-who-get-upset-about-it/

  best teaching gimmick: http://www.ted.com/talks/ben_goldacre_battling_bad_science.html

  for explaining: http://www.guardian.co.uk/commentisfree/2011/oct/28/bad-science-diy-data-analysis?INTCMP=SRCH

  how good: http://www.guardian.co.uk/commentisfree/2011/sep/16/bad-science-dodgy-stats

  science works: http://www.guardian.co.uk/commentisfree/2011/sep/09/bad-science-research-error

  List of Illustrations

  1. © Gina Kelly/Alamy

  2. in Greenberg, S., ‘How citation distortions create unfounded authority: analysis of a citation network’, BMJ 2009;339:b2680

  3. © Hulton Archive

  4. adapted from Hurlbert, Anya C. et al., ‘Biological components of sex differences in color preference’, Current Biology, Volume 17, Issue 16, R623–R625

  5. by kind permission of Matt Parker

  6. © Rick Strange/Alamy

  7. © Ady Kerry/Alamy

  8. Paul Barden, http://pb204.blogspot.co.uk/2011/09/im-grateful-to-david-spiegelhalter-of.html

  9. The Life Picture Collection via Getty Images

  10. © CBW/Alamy

  11. © Everett Collection Historical/Alamy

  12. © Pictorial Press Ltd/Alamy

  13. © Bettmann/Corbis

  14. © Bettmann/Corbis

  15. © The Cartoon Collector/Print Collector/Getty Images

  16. © Cardiff University Library, Cochrane Archive, University Hospital Llandough

  17. image courtesy of The Advertising Archive

  18. by kind permission of Alice and Matthew O’Connor

  19. © Katie Garrod/JAI/Corbis

  Index

  “The page numbers in this index relate to the printed version of this book; they do not match the pages of your ebook. You can use your ebook reader’s search tool to find a specific word or passage.”

  A&E departments: randomised trials in 208; waiting times 73–5

  abdominal aortic aneurysms (AAA) 18, 114

  abortion; GPs and xviii, 89–91; Science and Technology Committee report on ‘scientific developments relating to the Abortion Act, 1967’ 196–201

  academia, bad xviii–xix, 127–46; animal experiments, failures in research 136–8; brain-imaging studies report more positive findings than their numbers can support 131–4; journals, failures of academic 138–46; Medical Hypotheses: Aids denialism in 138–41; Medical Hypotheses: ‘Down Subjects and Oriental Population Share Several Specific Attitudes and Characteristics’ article 139, 141–3; Medical Hypotheses: masturbation as a treatment for nasal congestion articles 139, 143–6; misuse of statistics 129–31; retractions, academic literature and 134–6

  academic journals: access to papers published in 32–4, 143; cherry-picking and 5–8; ‘citation classics’ and 9–10, 102–3, 173; commercial ghost writers and 25–6; data published in newspapers rather than 17–20; doctors and technical academic journals 214; ‘impact factor’ 143; number of 14, 17; peer review and 138–46 see also peer review; poor quality (‘crap’) 138–46; refusal to publish in 3–5; retractions and 134–6; statistical model errors in 129–31; studies of errors in papers published in 9–10, 129–31; summaries of important new rese
arch from 214–15; teaching and 214–15; youngest people to publish papers in 11–12

  academic papers xvi; access to 32–4; cherry-picking from xvii, 5–8, 12, 174, 176–7, 192, 193, 252, 336, 349, 355; ‘citation classics’ 9–10, 102–3, 173; commercial ‘ghost writers’ and 25–6; investigative journalism work and 18; journalists linking work to 342, 344, 346; number of 14; peer review and see peer review; post-publication 4–5; press releases and xxi, 6, 29–31, 65, 66, 107–9, 119, 120, 121–2, 338–9, 340–2, 358–60; public relations and 358–60; publication bias 132–3, 136, 314, 315; references to other academic papers within allowing study of how ideas spread 26; refusal to publish in 3–5, 29–31; retractions and 134–6; studies of errors in 9–10, 129–31; titles of 297

  Acousticom 366

  acupuncture 39, 388

  ADE 651 273–5

  ADHD 40–2

  Advertising Standards Authority (ASA) 252

  Afghanistan 231; crop captures in xx, 221–4

  Ahn, Professor Anna 341

  Aids; antiretroviral drugs and 140, 185, 281, 284, 285; Big Pharma and 186; birth control, abortion and US Christian aid groups 185; Catholic Church fight against condom use and 183–4; cures for 12, 182–3, 185–6, 366; denialism 138–41, 182–3, 185–6, 263, 273, 281–6; drug users and 182, 183, 233–4; House of Numbers film 281–3; Medical Hypotheses, Aids denial in 138–41; needle-exchange programmes and 182, 183; number of deaths from 20, 186, 309; power of ideas and 182–7; Roger Coghill and ‘the Aids test’ 366; Spectator, Aids denialism at the xxi, 283–6; US Presidential Emergency Plan for Aids Relief 185

  Aidstruth.org 139

  al-Jabiri, Major General Jehad 274–5

  alcohol: intravenous use of 233; lung cancer and 108–9; rape and consumption of 329, 330

  ALLHAT trial 119

  Alzheimer’s, smoking and 20–1

  American Academy of Child and Adolescent Psychiatry 325

  American Association on Mental Retardation 325

  American Journal of Clinical Nutrition 344

  American Medical Association 262

  American Psychological Association 325

  American Speech-Language-Hearing Association 325

  anecdotes, illustrating data with 8, 118–22, 189, 248–9, 293

  animal experiments 136–8

  Annals of Internal Medicine 358

  Annals of Thoracic Surgery 134

 

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