I Think You'll Find It's a Bit More Complicated Than That

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I Think You'll Find It's a Bit More Complicated Than That Page 39

by Ben Goldacre


  anti-depressants 18; recession linked to rise in prescriptions for xviii, 104–7; SSRI 18, 105

  antiretroviral medications 140, 185, 281, 284, 285

  aortic aneurysm repair, mortality rates in hospital after/during 18–20, 114

  APGaylard 252

  Appleby, John 19, 173

  artificial intelligence xxii, 394–5

  Asch, Solomon 15, 16

  Asphalia 365

  Associated Press 316

  Astel, Professor Karl 22

  ATSC 273

  autism: educational interventions in 325; internet use and 3; MMR and 145, 347–55, 356–8

  Autism Research Centre, Cambridge 348, 354

  Bad Science (Goldacre) xvi, 104, 110n, 257, 346

  Bad Science column see Guardian

  Ballas, Dr Dimitris 58

  Barasi, Leo 96

  Barden, Paul 101–4

  Barnardo’s 394

  Baron-Cohen, Professor Simon 349–51, 353–4

  Batarim 305–6

  BBC xxi; ‘bioresonance’ story and 277–8; Britain’s happiest places story and 56, 57; causes of avoidable death, overall coverage of 20; Down’s syndrome births increase story and 61–2; ‘EDF Survey Shows Support for Hinkley Power Station’ story and 95–6; psychological nature of libido problems story and 37; radiation from wi-fi networks story and 289–91, 293; recession and anti-depressant link, reports 105; Reform: The Value of Mathematics’ story and 196; ‘Threefold variation’ in UK bowel cancer rates’ story and 101–4; Wightman and 393, 394; ‘“Worrying’’ Jobless Rise Needs Urgent Action – Labour’ story and 59

  Beating Bowel Cancer 101, 104

  Becker muscular dystrophy 121

  Bem Sex Role Inventory (BSRI) 45

  Benedict XVI, Pope 183, 184

  Benford’s law 54–6

  bicycle helmets, the law and 110–13

  big data xvii, xviii, 71–86; access to government data 75–7; care.data and risk of sharing medical records 77–86; magical way that patterns emerge from data 73–5

  Big Pharma xvii, 324, 401

  bin Laden, Osama 357

  biologising xvii, 35–46; biological causes for psychological or behavioural conditions 40–2; brain imaging, reality of phenomena and 37–9; girls’ love of pink, evolution and 42–6

  Biologist 6

  BioSTAR 248

  birth rate, UK 49–50

  Bishop, Professor Dorothy 3, 6

  bladder cancer 24–5, 342

  Blair, Tony 357

  Blakemore, Colin 138

  blame, mistakes in medicine and 267–70

  blind auditions, orchestras and xxi, 309–11

  blinding, randomised testing and xviii, 12, 118, 124, 126, 133, 137–8, 292–3, 345

  blood tests 117, 119–20, 282

  blood-pressure drugs 119–20

  Blundell, Professor John 337

  BMA 112

  Booth, Patricia 265

  Boston Globe 39

  bowel cancer 101–4

  Boynton, Dr Petra 252

  Brain Committee 230–1

  Brain Gym 10–12

  Brainiac: faking of science on xxii, 371–5

  brain-imaging studies, positive findings in 131–4

  breast cancer: abortion and 200–1; diet and 338–40; red wine and 267, 269; screening 113, 114, 115

  breast enhancement cream xx, 254–7

  Breuning, Stephen 135–6

  The British Association for Applied Nutrition and Nutritional Therapy (BANT) 268–9

  British Association of Nutritional Therapists 270

  British Chiropractic Association (BCA) 250–4

  British Dental Association 24

  British Household Panel Survey 57

  British Journal of Cancer: ‘What if Cancer Survival in Britain were the Same as in Europe: How Many Deaths are Avoidable?’ 169–70

  British Journal of General Practice 105–6

  British Journal of Psychology 305

  British Medical Association 251

  British Medical Journal (BMJ): Bicycle Helmets and the Law (Goldacre/Spiegelhalter editorial) 110–13, 110n; criticism of medical practice within 251; ‘Explaining the rise in antidepressant prescribing’, 2009 paper 105, 106; hospital waiting times stories and 73; ‘IVF children have bigger vocabulary than unplanned children’ story and 109; MMR: The Scare Stories are Back. Goldacre article. 18th July, 2007 347–55; ‘more research is needed’ phrase banned by 4; studies of how ideas spread and myths grow 26; systematic review of effect of large multi-sports events on population 173, summaries of important new research from around the world 214; Why Don’t Journalists Mention the Data? Goldacre article, 16th June, 2007 292–4

  British Psychological Society 329, 331

  British Social Attitudes Survey 170

  Bromley Times 57

  Brooks, Tom 67, 68, 69

  Building Evidence into Education. (Goldacre report for UK education minister) 202–18

  Bundesbank 56

  Burstow, Paul 174–6

  Bush, George W. 13, 185, 298, 316

  Cabinet Office White Paper on using randomised controlled trials to improve government policy, 2011 202n

  Cambridge Film Festival 281, 283

  Cambridge University 102, 226, 352, 355

  Cameron, David 173

  Campbell, Denis 343, 344, 346, 347–55

  cancer: bladder cancer and fluoride 24–5; bladder cancer and swimming in chlorinated water 342; bowel cancer rates, UK 101–4; brain cancer and mobile phones 116–18; breast cancer and abortion 200–1; breast cancer and diet 338–40; breast cancer and red wine 269; breast cancer screening 114–15; care.data and 78, 83; cervical cancer jab 331–4; using Facebook and 221; herbal medicine and 265, 267; lung cancer and alcohol 107–9; prostate cancer 144; smoking and 3, 22, 319; trials published, only one in four 146; UK survival rates 169–71, 173; urinary tract 265; vaccination and 267, 331–4

  Cancer Research UK 339

  capital punishment, murder rates and 311–12

  Cardiff University 29–31, 40

  CardioSEAL 248

  care.data 77–86

  Cataldo, Janine 20–1

  Caterson, Professor 30, 31

  Catholic Church, condoms and xx, 183–5, 186

  caveats in newspaper articles 338–40

  Cellarnot 123

  censorship, Brain Gym and 10–12

  Central TV 269, 270

  Cervarix 332, 333

  cervical cancer 332–4

  chance, certainty of 56–8

  Channel 4 News 118, 121, 197, 251

  Charlton, Bruce 140–1, 145

  chatnannies.com 393, 395

  cherry-picking scientific literature xvii, 5–8, 12, 174, 176–7, 192, 193, 252, 336, 349, 355

  Chief Medical Officer for Wales 12

  child abuse xix, 157–9, 391–5

  children, critiques of adult pseudoscience by 10–12

  Chimoio, Archbishop Francisco 183–4

  China: girls’ love of pink and 44–5

  Chinese traditional medicine xix, 265–7, 388

  chlorthalidone 119–20

  cholera, Soho outbreak, 1854 365

  Christian Medical Fellowship 197

  Church, Dr Timothy 336–7

  CIA 357

  cigarette packaging xxi, 318–21

  Cirak, Sebahattin 121

  Circulation 248

  ‘citation classics’ 9–10, 102–3, 173

  Citation, network of 26–7

  ClimateSock 96

  Clinical Trials Units 217

  clustered water 388–9

  clusters on maps 364–6

  coalition government, UK, 2010–14: drugs addicts and sentencing policy 177–9; NHS reform 73, 169–77; ‘Programme for Government’ 177

  Cochrane, Archie 209–10, 211, 218, 252, 297–300

  Cochrane Group 298

  Cochrane Library 298, 300, 336

  cod liver oil 29–31

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p; Coe, Robert 189

  coffee, hallucinatory effects of 64–6

  Coghill, Dr Roger 363–7

  College of Natural Nutrition 268, 270

  Colquhoun, Professor David 252, 266

  Coma Science Group, Belgium 326

  comas, communication in xxi, 324–6

  Commonwealth Games, 2022 156

  Complementary and Alternative Therapy magazine 278

  Complementary and Natural Healthcare Council, the (CNHC) 266

  computer games, dementia and 3–5

  condoms, Catholic Church and xx, 183–5, 186

  conference papers 193

  conflict-of-interest stories 402

  conformity, studies on 15–17

  confounding variables xviii, 107–9, 111

  Congolese Bishops’ Conference 183

  Conservative Party 150, 180, 201

  Copp, Professor Andrew 120–2

  copy number variants (CNV) 40

  copyright 33, 76

  cosmetics companies xxii, 254–7, 388–9

  Cosmos 250

  council overspending xix, 152–4

  creationism 13, 281, 284

  crime: outrage is lower when a criminal has more victims xxi, 306–9; prevention numbers and DNA database xix, 162–5; sentencing policy 177–9

  Crohns Disease 12

  Daily Express: council wastage story 152–3; ‘Mum Beats Odds of 50 Million-to-One to Have 3 Babies on Same Date’ story 49; ‘Danger from just 7 cups of coffee a day’ story 64–6; ‘Record numbers of people are being handed antidepressants’ story 105; ‘stilettos tone up your legs’ story 341

  Daily Mail 25; breast enhancement cream story 255; cod liver oil ‘nature’s superdrug’ story 29; ‘Council incompetence ‘“costs every household £452 a year’’’ story 152; ‘Up to 10bn a year is wasted by clueless councils’ story 152; ‘Economic woes fuel dramatic rise in use of antidepressants’ story 104–5; ‘How Using Facebook Could Raise your Risk of Cancer’ story 221; increase in number of Down’s syndrome babies story 61, 63; music piracy stories 159–60; prehistoric monuments on a grid of isosceles triangles stories 66, 67; psychological nature of libido problems story 37; sending babies to daycare causes damage to future health story 5–6; ‘Strict diet two days a week “cuts risk of breast cancer by 40 per cent’’’ story 338–9; ‘Swimming too Often in Chlorinated Water “Could Increase Risk of Developing Bladder Cancer’’, Say Scientists’ story 342

  Daily Mirror: Down’s syndrome births increase story and 61, 63; reporter has compressed molecule hair treatment 389

  Daily Telegraph: British forces seizure of Afghan heroin story 221; ‘Doctors say no to abortion in their surgeries’ story 89–91; ‘economic woes fuel dramatic rise in use of anti-depressants’ story 104–7; ‘IVF children have bigger vocabulary than unplanned children’ story 107; Krügel missing person locator story 275–6; ‘Man Cut Off Own Head with Chainsaw’ story 362; nutritionists, coverage of 268, 269; pornography for sperm donors story 179–82; public sector pay stories 149, 150, 151; Reform: ‘The Value of Mathematics’, coverage of 194; Sarah’s Law prevention of abuse figures story, coverage of 159; ‘why stilettos are the secret to shapely legs’ story 341; ‘wind farms blamed for stranding of whales’ story 340–1; ‘women who dress provocatively more likely to be raped, claim scientists’ story 329

  Dangerous Drugs Act, 1920 229

  Dartmouth Medical School, New Hampshire 358–9

  datamining, terrorism and 51–3

  Davies, Nick 227

  Davies, Philip 318

  Dawkins, Richard 13

  daycare, development of child brain and 5–8

  Deer, Brian 354, 357–8

  Deleuze, Gilles 297, 298

  dementia, computer games and 3–5

  Deming, Dr W. Edwards 57–8

  dental health, fluoride and 24

  Department for Communities and Local Government xix, 153

  Department for Education: Independent External Review for on improving use of evidence and data in schools, 2012 202n

  Department for Education and Employment: commissions research review on educational interventions in autism, 1998 325

  Department of Health 23, 169, 176, 229, 365

  DHA 343

  diabetes 120

  Diamond, Dr Michael 37–8

  diarrhoea, handwashing/rehydration and 182, 186–7

  ‘difference in differences’ 130–1

  DNA: database xix, 162–5, 193; new techniques for measuring 135; muscular dystrophy and 121; ‘tracking-device’ 275–7

  Do People Want Choice 171

  Doing What Works (US government website for teachers) 214

  Doll, Richard 22, 187

  Doncaster Today 57

  Dorset Echo 57

  Doubleday 262

  Down, John Langdon: ‘Observations on the Ethnic Classification of Idiots’ 141–2

  Down’s syndrome: increase in live births as proof that we live in a more caring universe story xviii, 61–3; ‘Down Subjects and Oriental Population Share Several Specific Attitudes and Characteristics’ article, Medical Hypotheses xix, 139, 141–3, 144

  Dowson, Dr Andrew 249

  doxazosin 119–20

  Dr Rath Health Foundation 388

  Dr Strangelove (movie) 22–3

  Drayson, Lord 331

  Drug Dependency Units (DDUs) 231, 233, 234

  Drug Enforcement Agency 232

  ‘Drug Testing and Treatment Orders’ (DTTOs) 178–9

  drugs, recreational xx, 219–44; British forces drug seizure figures in Afghanistan 221–4; drug-related deaths, government figures for 225–6; heroin on prescription 226–44; sentencing policy and 177–9

  ‘Drugs: Protecting Families and Communities Action Plan 2008–11’ 226

  du Sautoy, Marcus 194, 196

  Dubowitz Neuromuscular Centre 121

  Duchenne’s muscular dystrophy (DMD) 118–22

  Duelfer Report 316

  Duesberg, Peter 139, 140, 283

  Dungeness 95, 381

  Durham University 189

  dystrophin 118–22

  Eady, Mr Justice 250

  early snarks xii, 387–98; artificial intelligence 394–5; Bad Science column manifesto 399–400; Ionic Hair Retexturising (IHR) 388–9; Nanniebots used to catch paedophiles 391–5; Oxygizer water 390–1; readers of Bad Science column spot pseudo-science 387–9

  EDF 95–6

  Edmunds, Jr, MD, Dr L. Henry 134

  education: building evidence into xvi, xvii, xx, 202–18; exam difficulty 188–90; omega-3 fish oil and 343–7

  electrosensitivity xxi; journalists’ failure to mention the data 292–4; wi-fi, dangers of 289–91

  Ellison, Jane 85

  Elsevier 139, 143, 144, 283

  employment/unemployment numbers 59–61

  Epicure 197–8

  epidemiology xviii, xxii, 3, 18, 99–108, 298, 299, 349–50, 365; anecdotes, illustrating data with 118–22; bicycle helmets, the law and 110–13; bowel cancer rates, variation in 101–4; confounding variables 107–9; journalists, primary research and 104–7; magnetic wine 122–6; mobile phone use and cancer 116–18; screening for health problems 113–15

  Ernst, Professor Edzard 323

  Essex University 293

  Etherington, Bill 23

  Euromonitor 345

  European Court of Justice 241

  European Union 56, 169, 192

  Eurostat 56

  euthanasia 22

  evidence-based policy xix–xx, 167–218; coalition government NHS reforms and 169–77; coalition government sentencing policy for drug offenders and 177–9; Commons Committee on Science and Technology report on ‘scientific developments relating to the Abortion Act, 1967’ 196–201; education, building evidence into 202–18; exams pass rates/difficulty 188–90; as fascist ideology 297–9; homeopathy and 322; maths, thinktank complains about decline in quality of within Britain 194–6; organic food and 191–4; pornography in sperm d
onor clinics and 179–82; power of ideas and (diarrhoea and AIDS) 182–7

  EvidenceMatters 252

  evolutionary psychologists 42–6

  exams, difficulty of xx, 188–90

  exercise, weight gain and xxi, 335–8

  facilitated communication 324–6

  Family Nurse Partnership, The 212–13

  Fernandez, Bishop Demetrio 184

  Finch, Felicity 61–3

  fish oil 29–31, 343–6

  Fisher, Dr Peter 322

  fluoride 22–5

  ‘The Flynn Effect’ 188

  ‘fMRI in the Public Eye’ (2005 Nature Reviews Neuroscience paper) 38–9

  Food Standards Agency (FSA) 12, 191

  Fowler, Lord Norman 285

  Fox News 107

  Freedom of Information Act 18, 105

  fruit, eating 303–4

  FullFact 159

  funnel plots xviii, 102–4, 132

  Galileo 8, 227

  Gambia 182

  Gardasil 333

  Gardner, Martin 261, 262, 263, 264; In the Name of Science 261, 264, 264n; Fads and Fallacies 262

  gastric ulcers 9

  Geller, Uri 50

  General Chriopractic Council 253

  General Medical Council (GMC) 227, 249, 251, 347

  Geshekter, Charles 285

  ghost writers, commercial 25–8

  Gimpyblog 252

  GM foods 29

  government statistics 147–65; child abuse figures 157–8; conflation of two different things into one omnibus figure 155; council spending figures 152–4; crime figures 162–5; impact of major multi-sports events on host population 155–7; music piracy figures 159–62; public and private sector pay figures 149–52

  GP Research Database 79

  GPs 82; abortions and 90, 91; antidepressant prescriptions and 106; cod liver oil and 2; consortiums/fundholding 171–2, 174, 175, 176; increase in numbers of 170; participation in research 216; surveying of patients in waiting rooms and 60

  Gray, Theodore 373–5, 375n

  Great Ormond Street Hospital (GOSH) 119, 120, 121–2

  Greece: national economic data xviii, 54–6

  Greenberg, Steven 26, 27, 28

  Greenfield, Susan 3–5

  Griffin, Beverly 285

  Griffiths, Noola 309

  Guardian: Bad Science column see under individual subject area; ‘Cuts protest violence: 149 people charged’ story 155; decision not to print technical information on suicide 362; declines Ben Goldacre article 17–20; recession and anti-depressant link story and 105; Reform: ‘The Value of Mathematics’, coverage of 194; Taliban narcotics factory story 221; transparency about research methods in articles questioned 17–20

 

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