The Great Deformation

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The Great Deformation Page 102

by David Stockman

Romney, Mitt/wealth

  Delphi and, 664

  misunderstanding bubble finance, 557–558, 559, 570–571

  See also Bain Capital

  Roosa bonds (US), 251

  Roosevelt, Franklin D.

  “bank holiday,” 150, 158

  banking crisis and, 138–139, 150

  Exchange Stabilization Fund (ESF), 188–189

  gold price and, 161–162, 187–189, 190

  gold standard, 139, 140–142, 149, 157, 158, 161–162, 189–190, 192, 194

  Hoover and, 138, 139, 155–156

  internationalist advisors, 192

  London Economic Conference (1933) and, 139, 144–145, 187, 190, 191

  miracle legend, 150

  “monetary economics” and, 160–163

  monetary policies (World War II), 131, 196–197, 199–204

  panic responsibilities, 156–159

  policies, 89

  See also Great Depression; New Deal

  Roosevelt, Teddy, 317

  Rostenkowski, Dan, 310

  Rosy Scenario errors, 91–95

  Rove, Karl, 50, 446, 536, 673

  Rubin, Robert, 21, 332, 399

  Rumsfeld, Don

  defense spending, 689, 690

  Ford administration, 305

  Russell 2000 index, 654–657

  Russian default (1998), 15, 16, 62, 332–334

  Ryan, Paul

  auto industry bailout and, 620

  blaming Obama for recession, 556–557

  budget, 222, 552–553, 554, 675, 689

  S&P futures contracts

  during 2000s, 329–330, 341, 363–365, 481

  growth rate (1990s), 329, 334

  launch, 313

  panic of October 1987, 314–315, 318, 320

  portfolio insurance, 313, 317–318

  problems with, 305, 313

  Safire, Bill, 120

  Salomon Brothers

  in 1980s, 385–386, 387–388

  financial futures, 301–302, 306–308

  mergers, 398

  “profitability,” 385–386

  Salomon, William, 306

  Samsung, 516, 517

  Samuelson, Paul, 174–175, 595n

  Sanders, Bernie, 19

  Sarbanes-Oxley statements, 473, 708

  Savings/savers

  Fed strategies’ effects on, 496

  household consumption/debt vs., 371–373

  Schlesinger, Arthur, Jr., 150

  Schlesinger, James, 600

  Schultze, Charles, 132

  Schwartz, Alan, 392

  Schwarzman, Steve, 11

  Schweiker, Richard/plan, 101–103

  Seevers, Gary, 312

  Shadow banking system, 375, 376, 478

  Shale oil production, 522, 694–695

  Shearson and Co., 306, 398

  Shelby, Richard, 621

  Shiller, Robert, 428

  Shultz, George

  background, 121

  floating currency and, 120, 123, 281, 284, 292

  monetary advice to Nixon, 106, 119, 120, 121, 122, 123, 127, 131, 265

  welfare state and, 219

  Simon, Bill

  Ford administration, 20, 127, 305

  Melamed financial futures, 305, 306

  monetary beliefs, 20, 127–128, 129

  Simon, Paul, 309

  Six Day War, 252

  Skilling, D. Van, 568

  Smith, Adam, 160, 191, 274, 317, 416

  Smith, Al, 141

  Smith Barney, 388, 398

  Smithsonian Agreement (1971), 282–283

  Smoot-Hawley tariff bill, 138, 144, 190

  Snyder, John W., 206–207

  Social insurance

  abolishing, 708–709

  block-grant proposal and, 553

  financial crisis aftermath, 590–591

  future costs/problems, 686–688, 692

  means-testing and, 172, 173, 175, 553, 554, 709

  payroll tax, 173–174, 175

  Peak Debt and, 648

  problems, 173–175, 553, 648, 676–677, 686–688

  Reagan and, 103–105

  Romney-Ryan and, 552, 553–554

  spending, 174, 553

  stimulus (after 2008 financial crisis), 591, 593, 594, 595, 611–612

  See also specific types

  Social Security

  description/problems, 172–175

  Greenspan/Reagan rescue plan, 98, 99–100, 101–104

  New Deal origins, 172, 174, 175

  Nixon’s “double indexing” provision, 100–101, 131, 173

  See also Social insurance

  Social Security Act (1935), 172

  Société Générale, 7, 10

  Solutions

  federal agencies to eliminate, 709

  free market/state separation, 708–709

  honest public finance and, 674–676

  Keynesian doctrine and, 673, 674, 676–677

  means-tested safety net, 709, 710

  Omnibus Amendment, 707–708

  overview, 672–674

  steps overview, 706–712

  Solyndra, 600–602

  Soviet Union

  collapse/aftermath, 75, 78, 86

  crop failure (1963–1964), 247

  Sower, Mark, 482

  Speculative finance

  beginnings, 286–287, 288–289

  description, 289

  futures markets beginnings, 286–288

  hedging, 288, 289, 292

  pork-belly markets, 286–287

  See also Financial futures

  Sprague, Oliver, 198

  Sprinkel, Beryl

  background, 263, 301

  financial futures, 302

  “monetarist cone,” 263

  St. Germain, Freddie, 177–178

  Stage Stores Inc., 562–563, 564

  Staples, 563–564

  “Starve the beast” myth, 87, 99

  Starwood Hotels and Resorts, 534

  Steagall, Henry B., 176, 178

  See also Glass-Steagall

  Stein, Herb, 123, 219, 311, 315

  Stemberg, Tom, 563

  Stimulus (after 2008 financial crisis)

  debt and, 589, 593

  description, 167, 591–597

  education, 593, 594, 595–596

  electric vehicles/batteries development, 602–607

  ERP (“Economic Recovery Payment”), 592–593

  inequities, 591–592, 593

  legislation, 584

  light rail, 610–611

  Medicaid, 593, 594

  MWP (“Making Work Pay”), 591–593

  needs and, 611–612

  New Deal and, 139, 140

  payroll taxes and, 592, 593, 594

  process, 588–589

  project examples/funding amounts, 608–609

  roads, 609–610

  social insurance and, 591, 593, 594, 595, 611–612

  Solyndra, 600–602

  special interest groups and, 593–594, 595–596

  state/local funding vs. federal funding, 597

  tax credits, 592

  Stock buybacks

  company examples, 456–458, 459, 460–470, 472

  company executive pay, 457–459, 464–465

  effects (summary), 470–471, 478

  Fortune top companies, 466–467

  “prosperity” illusion with, 467, 471

  role/description, 455–456, 457–458, 478

  “sunset” strategies and, 459, 460

  taxes and, 457–458, 459–460, 467

  Stock market bubbles

  ADC loans, 325

  Bernanke ignoring, 449–450

  capital gains changes, 590

  company examples, 354–359, 487–489

  early 2000s downturn and, 373–374

  following 1987 crash, 322, 328–329

  Greenspan bubbles (summary), 479

  Greenspan/Federal Reserve and, 322–325, 329–332, 345–346, 361–364, 375
, 448–449, 450–451

  Greenspan ignoring, 330–332, 335–336, 337–338, 340, 358–360, 449

  household finances and, 361–364

  mortgages, 324, 376

  NASDAQ index, 329–330, 336, 337, 346, 365, 481

  savings vs., 337–338, 359–360, 361, 362, 363, 364

  Stock market crash (October 1987)

  comparison to 2008 financial crisis, 577–578

  description, 303, 305, 314–315, 326, 403

  Greenspan and, 303, 305, 314–317, 318, 319, 320–321, 350

  meaning of/ignoring, 318–321

  Stock markets

  bull market culture (1980s–2000), 343–344, 349–353

  crash (1929–1930), 137, 146, 150, 344–345

  “exit” transactions, 509

  “free market” illusion (by 2007), 475–477

  Japan’s “zaitech” theory/effects, 210–211

  margin (brokers’) loans, 209–210

  meltdown (2000–2001), 345–346, 374, 505, 577–578

  Panic of 1907, 366–367, 700

  “price discovery” and, 476, 503

  transformation to gambling (summary), 478–479

  See also specific events; Wall Street companies

  Stockman, David

  Blackstone, 11, 512, 516, 560

  Collins & Aikman, 572–576, 660–661

  indictment/dropped charges, 571, 573–574

  Reagan administration, 73, 94, 100, 107, 263, 405, 416, 588, 690

  Salomon Brothers, 385, 387

  Stone, James, 310

  Strong, Benjamin, 208, 700–701

  Subprime mortgages. See Housing bubble (1990s–2000s) and subprime mortgages

  Suez Canal closing, 252

  Summers, Larry

  financial crisis/bailout (2008), 399

  junk bonds, 526

  stimulus, 139, 167, 592, 594

  SunAmerica, 9

  Taft, Robert, 689

  TARP (Troubled Asset Relief Program) bill/vote, 3, 32, 33–34, 45, 49, 55, 57

  Tax Reform Act (1986), 451

  Taylor, Maxwell, 216

  Taylor rule, 63

  TBTF. See “Too Big to Fail” (TBTF)

  Technology boom

  examples/description, 354–358, 451–453

  impacts and, 325–326, 328

  peak, 329

  tax rates, 451–453

  Telecom companies and stock market, 356

  Telser, Lester G., 163–164

  Tennessee Valley Authority (TVA), 159

  Tesla Motors

  federal funding, 604, 605, 606–607

  stimulus, 602

  stock prices, 605–606

  Thomas Amendment

  AAA and, 160

  ESF, 189

  Fisher and, 183, 186–187, 188

  gold standard and, 140, 141, 186, 187–188, 190, 193

  money printing and, 184, 185–186

  options description/problems, 184–188, 193

  Thomas, Elmer, 183, 185, 187

  Tillerson, Rex, 458, 459

  Time magazine, 249, 250

  Time Warner Inc

  AOL merger, 465, 466

  M&A deals, 457, 465–466

  stock buybacks, 457

  stock prices, 465–466

  Tobin, James, 247–248

  “Too Big to Fail” (TBTF)

  “contagion” and, 13

  financial crisis (2008) and, 3

  LBOs and, 526

  panic of 1987

  and, 315–316, 319

  post-LTCM Federal Reserve actions, 334–335

  solution to, 13

  Wall Street mergers, 397

  Tower, John, 71, 72, 73

  Toxic assets

  description, 22

  investment banks, 22–23

  Toys R Us Inc., 514, 515–516

  TPG, 523, 529

  Trade credit, 661

  Trade deficit

  Nixon and, 117–118

  US 1991–2000, 61

  Travelers, 388, 398

  Traylor, Melvin, 156

  Treasury bill futures

  “interest rate futures,” 306

  Melamed and, 301–306

  Treasury bill standard

  beginnings, 276–278

  British consol comparison, 382–383

  effects, 375

  Friedman and, 273, 277–278

  Triumph of Politics, The (Stockman), 107

  Troubled Asset Relief Program (TARP) bill/vote, 3, 32, 33–34, 45, 49, 55, 57

  Truman, Harry

  budget/taxes and, 84, 96, 214–215, 216, 220, 221–222, 231

  financing Korean War, 195, 204–205, 232

  monetary policy, 206–207

  Tugwell, Rexford, 155, 156–157

  TXU Corporation

  background, 520

  LBO, 518–519, 520–522, 523

  Tyco, 483–484

  Unemployment rate

  future and, 687–688

  Nixon presidency, 113

  See also Jobs market

  Velvet Revolution (1988), 75, 78

  Verizon M&A deals, 524

  Veterans bonus payment (1936), 163–164

  Vietnam War

  conventional forces and, 76, 216

  deficit spending, 205, 217, 247, 256, 257, 258

  unemployment rates, 228

  Volcker, Paul

  Federal Reserve term, 207

  firing of, 111, 266, 348

  gold standard and, 282, 283–284

  inflation and, 88, 92, 94, 95, 105, 111, 112, 132–133, 263–264, 266, 293, 313, 346–347, 348, 383, 404

  monetarist cone and, 263 1981–1982, 584

  reappointment, 264

  speculators and, 332

  Wachovia Bank

  Extended Stay America financing, 539, 540, 541, 542

  financial crisis (2008) and, 544–545

  as mega-bank, 393, 399

  Wagner Act (1935), 159, 160

  Wal-Mart

  effects on other stores, 514, 515, 562, 564

  Main Street America and, 649–650

  Wall Street companies

  accounting changes, 472–474

  financial crisis/main street banks vs., 27–32, 35

  financial futures beginnings, 301–303

  fiscal cliff and, 668, 679, 680, 681, 691

  “gambling” continuation after 2008, 542–545, 546–547

  “investment” illusion, 485–486

  “operating earnings”/“earning ex-items,” 472–474

  prime brokerage operations, 493–494

  trading/clearing function, 493

  See also Stock markets; specific companies; specific individuals

  Wall Street/Federal Reserve

  August 2007 to 2008 financial crisis, 475–477

  bond dealers and, 321–323

  changes needed, 672

  Fed as hostage, 338–340, 375–376, 475, 477–479, 500

  Fed assumption of control, 338–340

  loss of checks/balances (summary), 477–479

  monetizing government debt, 322

  See also Stock market bubbles; specific events

  Wall Street growth

  bond market, 382, 383–384, 385–387

  Federal Reserve ignoring problems, 393–394, 398–399, 400, 401–403

  interest rates, 384, 385

  “investment banking” houses (overview), 384–387

  junk assets, 391–393, 400, 401–402, 403

  LTCM bailout and, 390–392

  M&A deals, 456, 462

  mega-banks/mergers, 393–399

  mergers false claims, 394–397, 462, 511

  See also specific companies

  Wall Street Journal, 307, 561

  Wallace, Henry, 155

  Walton family, 599, 600

  Wanniski, Jude, 88

  Warburg, James, 143

  Warren, George F., 161, 162

  Warsh, Kevin, 378–379

  Washington
Mutual, 27

  “Wealth effects” doctrine

  Federal Reserve, 13–15, 20–21, 26, 211–212, 366, 374, 380, 393, 428, 463, 467, 477

  US Main Street economy (after financial crisis) and, 631, 633, 634, 637, 649, 652–653

  Wealth tax, 710–711, 712

  Weill, Sanford

  background, 306, 398

  Citigroup, 394, 540

  Melamed and, 306

  Weinberger, Caspar

  defense budget, 72, 80–83

  welfare state, 219

  Welch, Jack, 356–357, 468, 472

  Wells Fargo, 393

  Wesley Jessen, 568–569, 570

  Western National, 9

  White, Harry Dexter, 237

  Whole Foods, 649, 650

  Wigmore, Barrie A., 157–158

  Williamhouse, 565, 566

  Willis, Parker

  crash of 1929 and, 345

  Federal Reserve design, 176, 208, 209, 268

  Wilson, Charles, 220

  Woodin, William, 156, 161

  Works Progress Administration (WPA), 163–166

  WorldCom, 479–480, 481

  WPA (Works Progress Administration), 163–166

  Wright, Jim, 308–309

  Yellen, Janet, 657, 658

  Yeltsin, Boris, 71

  ZIRP (zero-interest-rate policy), 369, 546, 585, 630, 643, 644, 657

  ABOUT THE AUTHOR

  © CARYL ENGLANDER

  DAVID STOCKMAN was elected as a Michigan congressman in 1976 and joined the Reagan White House in 1981. Serving as budget director, he was one of the key architects of the Reagan Revolution plan to reduce taxes, cut spending, and shrink the role of government. He joined Salomon Brothers in 1985 and later became one of the early partners of the Blackstone Group. During nearly two decades at Blackstone and at a firm he founded, Stockman was a private equity investor. Stockman attended Michigan State University and Harvard Divinity School and then went to Washington as a congressional aide in 1970. He is also the author of the number one bestseller The Triumph of Politics.

  PublicAffairs is a publishing house founded in 1997. It is a tribute to the standards, values, and flair of three persons who have served as mentors to countless reporters, writers, editors, and book people of all kinds, including me.

  I.F.STONE, proprietor of I. F. Stone’s Weekly, combined a commitment to the First Amendment with entrepreneurial zeal and reporting skill and became one of the great independent journalists in American history. At the age of eighty, Izzy published The Trial of Socrates, which was a national bestseller. He wrote the book after he taught himself ancient Greek.

  BENJAMIN C. BRADLEE was for nearly thirty years the charismatic editorial leader of The Washington Post. It was Ben who gave the Post the range and courage to pursue such historic issues as Watergate. He supported his reporters with a tenacity that made them fearless and it is no accident that so many became authors of influential, best-selling books.

  ROBERT L. BERNSTEIN, the chief executive of Random House for more than a quarter century, guided one of the nation’s premier publishing houses. Bob was personally responsible for many books of political dissent and argument that challenged tyranny around the globe. He is also the founder and longtime chair of Human Rights Watch, one of the most respected human rights organizations in the world.

 

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