The Great Reversal

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The Great Reversal Page 36

by Thomas Philippon


  Baxter, William, 3

  Bekkouche, Yasmine, 192, 193

  Benmelech, Efraim, 281

  Berger, Allen, 216

  Berger, David, 281

  Bergman, Mats, 146

  Bergman, Nittai, 281

  Bergstresser, Daniel, 220

  Berlusconi, Silvio, 199

  Berry, Jeffrey M., 157

  Bertrand, Marianne, 156, 162–163, 164, 199

  Bezos, Jeff, 285

  Big Bird, 153–154

  Big Mac index, 115–116, 117

  Bipartisan Campaign Reform Act (2002), 182

  Birnbaum, Jeffrey, 153

  Blanchard, Olivier, 31

  Blanes i Vidal, Jordi, 161–162

  blockchains, 219

  Blonigen, Bruce A., 91

  Bloom, Nicholas, 284

  Boggs, Thomas Hale Jr., 162, 200

  Bombardini, Matilde, 162–163, 165–166, 190, 199

  Bork, Robert, 87

  Bowman, Julie Benafield, 234

  Bown, Chad P., 92

  Brexit, 149

  Briand, Aristide, 129

  broadband, costs in US versus Europe, 5–6

  Brown, Charles, 3

  Brynjolfsson, Erik, 79, 258

  Buckley, James, 182

  Buckley v. Valeo (1976), 182

  bundling, 19

  Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS), 41, 42

  business dynamism, decline in, 81

  Cagé, Julia, 192, 193

  campaign finance contributions, 176–181; impact on policy choices, 9; and future of Europe’s free markets, 148–149; and endogeneity bias, 157–160; skewness of, 166–170; soliciting, 176–177; laws regulating, 181–182; measuring impact of, 182–186; Citizens United v. FEC, 186–189; and lobbying, 189; benefits for politicians and business groups, 189–192; in Europe, 192–194, 202–203; and state politics in US, 195–197; difficulties in tracking, 197–202

  capital, growth rate of, 65

  capital share, 108

  Cardiff Reports, 136

  Caree, Martin, 147

  carried interest, 221

  Carril, Rodrigo, 288

  cartel enforcement, 146–147

  Case, Anne, 223, 229

  cell phones. See mobile telecommunications

  Center for Responsible Politics, 184

  Century Aluminum, 160

  Chalmers, John M. R., 220

  Chamberlin, Edward, 87

  Chicago School of antitrust, 87

  China shock, 58–60, 291

  Churchill, Winston, 129–130, 207

  Citigroup, 249

  Citizens United v. FEC (2010), 186–189

  Civil Aeronautics Board, 2

  Clayton Act (1914), 86–87, 131

  Clinton, Hillary, 180, 186

  club economy, 283–284

  Code of Federal Regulations, 95

  Coll, Steven, 4

  college premium, 16

  competition: and airline industry, 2–4; and telecommunications industry, 3; decline in, 9–10, 291–294; growth and, 18–20; inequality and, 20–22; domestic, 21, 24; foreign, 21–22, 24, 92–93; and limited resources, 22–23; and economic freedom, 23; lobbying against, 23–24; assessing, 25; and deregulation of airlines and telecommunications, 30–31; and persistence of market shares over time, 51–53; among defense contractors, 288; impact of, 288–289, 294; purpose of, 294. See also antitrust; monopoly power

  competitive quantity, 27–29

  Compustat, 46–47

  computerized information, 74

  concentration: as indicator of competition, 25; types of, 25; and market power versus demand elasticity, 26; and market power and welfare, 27–30; Walmart and efficient, 31–35; measuring, using HHI, 35–39, 45, 51; and relevant market, 38; and Amazon, 39–44; basic measures of, 45; rise in, 45–48; causes and consequences of rise in, 48; hypotheses for interpreting data concerning, 48–51, 62, 97; and investment gap, 69–72; and productivity growth, 76–79; and entry and exit of firms, 80–83; and mergers and acquisitions, 84–88; from top down and bottom up, 96; in Europe, 103–106; correlation between markups and, 121–122; and deregulation of US airlines, 137; in health care, 231–232; and internet giants, 242, 265–268; monopsony and, 280–282; impact of excessive, 288

  Congress of Industrial Organizations (CIO), 182

  consumption of fixed capital (CFK), 64

  contestability of markets, 90

  corporate campaign contributions, 181

  corporate income taxes, 262–264

  Corrado, Carol, 73–74

  Council of Economic Advisers, 46

  Cournot, Antoine Augustin, 86–87

  Covarrubias, Matias, 46–47, 51

  Crawford, Gregory S., 19

  Crawford, Susan, 6

  Criscuolo, Chiara, 256

  Crouzet, Nicolas, 51

  CumEx network, 215

  Cunningham, Colleen, 82

  dark money, 198–199

  Darrolles, Serge, 218

  data protection, 271–273, 275–276, 277–278, 296

  Davis, Steven, 95

  Deaton, Angus, 223, 229

  Decker, Ryan, 81

  Decreasing Domestic Competition hypothesis, 48, 50, 53, 61, 62, 71, 97, 100

  defense contractors, 288

  de Figueiredo, John M., 155, 164, 189, 202

  de Figueiredo, Rui J. P. Jr., 170

  de Gaulle, Charles, 131

  de Grey, Aubrey, 223

  Della Vigna, Stefano, 199

  Dellis, Konstantinos, 170

  demand, and endogeneity bias, 158

  demand curve, 114

  demand elasticity, market power versus, 26

  Demsetz, Rebecca S., 216

  Department of Justice (DoJ), 86, 87–88, 92, 174, 259–260

  depreciation, 64

  De Young, Robert, 216

  Dieselgate, 295

  digital economy, measurement of, 78–79. See also internet giants

  direct network externalities, 265, 267

  Directorate-General for Competition (DG Comp), 133, 142, 145–146, 194

  distribution costs, 111–112

  Djankov, Simeon, 127, 262

  dollars, US, 152

  Dorn, David, 48, 50

  Doyle, Arthur Conan, ix

  Draca, Mirko, 161–162

  Dreger, J., 168

  Dube, Arindrajit, 281–282

  Duggan, Mark, 288

  Durante, Ruben, 199

  EasyJet, 139

  Eberly, Janice, 51

  e-commerce spending, 40–42

  economic policy, gap between economic research and, 290

  economic research, gap between economic policy and, 290

  economics: debates in, 9, 13; defined, 9

  Economides, Nicholas, 2

  economies of scale, 265, 266, 267–268

  Ederer, Florian, 82

  education: and US per-capita economic growth rate, 15; and income inequality, 16

  Edwards, Geoff, 170

  efficiency, versus market power in merger regulation, 88–90

  Egan, Mark, 220

  employment: and US per-capita economic growth rate, 14–15; and labor market competition, 23

  endogeneity, 157–160, 180, 193

  entrepreneurs, age of successful, 82

  entry of new firms, 80–83, 93–96, 125–127, 216, 217–218. See also free entry

  equilibrium, macroeconomic, 292

  European Central Bank, 142

  Europe and European Union, 97–98; growth of, 99–103; profits and concentration in, 103–106; as contrast to US, 109–110; price increases in, 118–122; free markets in, 124–128; history of, 128–131; fight against market dominance in, 131–134; differences between antitrust frameworks in US and, 133, 134; similarities between antitrust frameworks in United States and, 133; state aid rules in, 134–135; deregulation in, 135–141; theory of free markets in, 141–147; future of free markets in, 147–149; UK’s exit from, 149; comparison of political economies of
US and, 151–152, 164–166; lobbying in US versus, 168–170; distribution of large lobbying firms in US and, 169–170; campaign finance contributions in, 192–194, 202–203; open banking in, 221–222; challenges facing, 289. See also price comparisons

  Evanoff, Douglas, 216

  Evans, William N., 236

  exchange rates. See foreign exchange market rates (FOREX)

  exchange-traded funds (ETFs), 222

  exit of existing firms, 80–83. See also merger reviews; mergers and acquisitions

  ExxonMobil, 249

  Faccio, Maria, 6

  Facebook: business model of, 243, 244, 277; MV / Emp ratio of, 256; lobbying by, 260, 261; as direct network externality, 265; and privacy and data protection issues, 271, 275–276, 278; acquisition of WhatsApp, 274. See also internet giants

  Federal Communications Commission, 200

  Federal Election Campaign Act (FECA, 1971), 182

  Federal Election Commission (FEC), 182

  federal minimum wage, impact on retail prices, 33–34

  federal regulations, impact on industry dynamics, 93–96

  Federal Trade Commission (FTC), 86, 87, 91, 194

  Feenstra, Robert, 50, 59

  Feinberg, Robert, 195

  Ferrari, 113

  finance and financial intermediation, 207–208; function of, 208–210; cost of, 210–214; income of, 211–212; wages and regulation in, 213–214; growth of, 214–215; behavioral differences in, 214–216; financial technology and cost of, 217–218; regulation of, 218–220; lobbying in, 220–222; efficiency of, 290

  financial technology (fintech), 217–218, 219–220

  FiOS, 6

  First Industrial Revolution, 13

  Fisher, Edwin R., ix

  Fisher, Irving, 45, 202

  Fisman, Raymond, 199

  fixed net asset values (NAVs), 218–219

  Fons-Rosen, Christian, 161–162

  footprints, of internet giants, 252–254, 276–277

  forced inclusion, in health care, 232

  Ford, Henry, 181

  foreign competition, 21–22, 24, 92–93

  foreign exchange market rates (FOREX), 114–115, 117

  Foroohar, Rana, 267

  Fouirnaies, Alexander, 191

  France Telecom, 140

  Freedom Path, 198

  free entry, 93–96, 269–271, 294–295

  free markets: in United States, 124; in Europe, 124–128; and history of European Union, 128–131; theory of Europe’s, 141–147; future of Europe’s, 147–149; and importance of adaptation, 287; fragility of, 287–288, 289

  Free Mobile, 30–31, 140

  free-riding, 23–24

  free trade, 24

  Frydman, Carola, 159

  fundamental law of investment, 68

  Furman, Jason, 46, 48, 278

  GAFAMs. See internet giants

  Gal, Peter, 256

  gambling, 174

  Gates, Bill, x

  Gates, Robert, 288

  General Data Protection Regulation (GDPR), 221–222, 272–273

  General Motors, 245, 256

  Gerber, D. J., 133

  Giavazzi, Francesco, 125

  Gingrich, Newt, 153–154

  GitHub, 268

  Glencore Plc, 160–161

  global frontier firms, 256

  Globalization hypothesis, 49, 50, 53, 56–58, 59, 97

  Goldman, Julianna, 235

  Goldschlag, N., 95

  Google: regulation of, 194, 259; business model of, 243, 277; lobbying by, 261; and privacy and data protection issues, 271, 275. See also internet giants

  Gordon, Robert, ix, 15, 258

  Government Accountability Office (GAO) study, 35–37

  Greenwood, J., 168

  Greenwood, Robin, 214–215

  gross domestic product (GDP): measuring, 13–14; growth rate of US, 14–16; competition’s impact on, 20; growth rate of European, 100–102

  Grossman, Gene M., 160

  growth, 13–16; inequality and, 16–18; competition and, 18–20; of Europe, 99–103; internet giants and, 256–258, 277

  Grullon, Gustavo, 47, 54–56

  gun control, 237

  Günster, Andrea, 147

  Gutiérrez, Germán, 46–47, 51, 52

  Guvenen, Fatih, 284

  Guzman, Jorge, 82

  Hagan, Kay, 178

  haircuts, price of, 112–113

  Hall, Andrew B., 191

  Haltiwanger, John, 73–74, 81

  Hamm, Keith E., 195

  hard money, in campaign finance contributions, 183

  Hart-Scott-Rodino Antitrust Improvements Act (1976), 87

  Harvard School of antitrust, 87

  Hatch, Orrin, 198

  health care, 223–225; costs in US, 225–227; percent of US GDP spent on, 227; administrative costs in, 228–229; price and consumption of, 228–229; productivity of US, 229–231; concentration in, 231–232; restricted contracts in, 232–233; regulatory capture in, 233–234; lobbying in, 234, 235; and opioid epidemic, 234–236; debates concerning, 236–239

  Healthcare Access and Quality Index (HAQ), 230–231

  hedonic regressions, 42

  Helpman, Elhanan, 160

  Herfindahl-Hirschman Index (HHI), 35–39, 45, 51, 58, 59, 71, 280

  Herkenhoff, Kyle F., 281

  heroin, 235–236

  Highway 31, 198–199

  Hilt, Eric, 159

  Hirshleifer, Jack, 216

  Hogan, Robert E., 195

  Hojnacki, Marie, 157

  Holburn, Guy, 170

  Hortaçsu, Ali, 34

  Hosken, Daniel, 91

  housing, government involvement in, 237–238

  Huckshorn, Robert J., 195

  Hulten, Charles, 73–74

  IBM, 249, 251, 252

  incentives, 17–18

  income comparisons, 114–122

  index funds, 222

  indirect network externalities, 265–267

  industrial organization, 86–87, 91

  Industrial Revolution, 13

  inequality, ix; in economic debates, 13; growth and, 16–18; competition and, 20–22; and rise of club economy, 283–284

  infant mortality, 224–225

  inflation, 41

  information technologies, 214, 217–218

  initial public offerings (IPOs), 82

  innovation, ix–x; and US per-capita economic growth rate, 15–16; competition’s impact on, 19–20

  Intangible Assets hypothesis, 49, 51, 53, 75, 97

  intangible investment, 72–75

  intellectual property products (IPP) stock, 74–75

  International Comparisons Program (ICP), 117

  international trade, 24

  internet giants, 240–242, 259–260; business models of, 242–244, 277; compared to giants of previous decades, 245–249; profit margins of, 249–252; market value of, 252; footprints of, 252–254, 276–277; MV / Emp ratios of, 254–256; and US economic growth, 256–258, 277; lobbying by, 260–262; taxes paid by, 262–264; concentration and network effects of, 265–268; and importance of free entry, 268–271; and privacy and data protection issues, 271–273, 277–278; antitrust enforcement for, 273–276; catch-22s with, 276–278. See also Amazon; Apple; Facebook; Google; Microsoft

  internet service: US price indexes for, 1–2; costs in US versus Europe, 5–6; and competition’s impact on service quality, 19; deregulation of, 140

  investment, 62; as low relative to profits, 63–65; purpose and goals of, 65–69; assessing value of, 67; fundamental law of, 68; intangible, 72–75; tangible, 73; weak, 79

  investment gap, 69–72, 75

  iPhones, 242–243

  Issue One, 198

  Italy, campaign finance contributions in, 199

  Jacobs, Jeff, 281–282

  Janofsky, Adam, 277

  Jarmin, Ron, 81

  Jayachandran, Seema, 191

  Jeffords, James, 191–192

  Jobs, Steve
, 294

  Jolly, David, 176

  Jones, Chad, 42, 78

  Jones, Doug, 198

  Jovanovic, Boyan, x

  Kalanick, Travis, 267

  Kang, Karam, 157

  Kapner, Suzanne, 34

  Katz, Lawrence, 48, 50

  Kendall, Frank, 288

  Keynes, John Maynard, viii

  Keynes, Soumaya, 92

  Khan, Lina M., 43

  “killer acquisitions,” 82

  Kim, Hyunseob, 281

  Kimball, David C., 157

  Klein, Joel, 45

  Kleiner, Morris M., 283

  Knight, Brian, 199

  Kroszner, Randall S., 191

  Krueger, Alan B., 282, 283

  Krugman, Paul, 290–291

  Kwoka, John, 87, 91

  labor market competition, 23

  labor productivity, 120–121

  labor share(s): evolution of, 106–109; for market economy in US and euro area, 109

  labor turnover, xi–xii

  La Ferrara, Eliana, 199

  Lampedusa, Giuseppe Tomasi di, 287

  La Pira, Timothy M., 163

  La Porta, Rafael, 127

  Larkin, Yelena, 47, 54–56

  law of one price (LOOP), 111–112

  leadership PACs, 184

  League of Nations, 129

  Leech, Beth L., 157, 163

  Leucht, B., 133

  licensing, occupational, 282–283

  Lieber, Ethan, 236

  life expectancy, 224, 229

  Liljenquist, Dan, 198

  Lisbon Strategy, 136–137

  lobbying, 153–155; impact of, 9, 174–175; against competition, 23–24; and future of Europe’s free markets, 148–149; as democratic right, 155; challenges of measuring impact of, 156–157; and endogeneity bias, 157–160; benign view versus negative view of, 160; inefficiencies created by, 160–161; connections as key to success in, 161–163; fiscal targets of, 163; empirical regularities about, 164–166; in Europe versus US, 164–166; skewness of, 166–170; effectiveness of, 170–174; intensity, 171; and campaign finance contributions, 189; in finance, 220–222; in health care, 234, 235; by internet giants, 260–262

  LOOP (law of one price), 111–112

  Lopez-de-Silanes, Florencio, 127

  loss leader pricing, 43

  Lower Search Costs hypothesis, 49–50, 52

  Lucca, David, 200

  luxury goods, 113

  Lyon, Spencer G., 22

  Ma, Song, 82

  MacMillan, Douglas, 271

  macroeconomic equilibrium, 292

  Mahoney, Christine, 173

  manufacturing, rise in concentration in, 46

  marginal cost, 118

  Marinescu, Ioana, 280

  Marino, Tom, 235

 

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