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Belt and Road

Page 21

by Bruno Maçães


  8. “China needs to act as a responsible creditor,” Financial Times, April 29, 2018.

  9. Andrew Nathan, “The Chinese World Order,” New York Review of Books, October 12, 2017.

  10. “China development banks expand links with foreign lenders,” Financial Times, July 15, 2018.

  11. Brahma Chellaney, “China’s Debt-Trap Diplomacy,” Project Syndicate, January 23, 2017.

  12. Imminent Fears, Immediate Hopes, 我們當下的恐懼與期待, Xu Zhangrun 許章潤. Translated with commentary and notes by Geremie R. Barmé, China Heritage.

  13. “Xi behind coercive tactics in East China Sea: documents,” Japan Times, December 2, 2017.

  14. Oliver Stuenkel, Post-Western World (Polity, 2016), p. 156.

  15. Kevin G. Cai, “The One Belt One Road and the Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank: Beijing’s New Strategy of Geoeconomics and Geopolitics,” Journal of Contemporary China, 2018.

  16. “The ‘American century’ has come to its end,” Global Times, August 20, 2017.

  17. G. John Ikenberry (ed.), Power, Order, and Change in World Politics (Cambridge University Press, 2014), p. 106.

  18. “EU ambassadors band together against Silk Road,” Handelsblatt, April 17, 2008

  19. “Sharp Power: Rising Authoritarian Influence,” International Forum for Democratic Studies, 2017

  20. Richard Fontaine and Daniel Kliman, “On China’s New Silk Road, Democracy Pays A Toll,” Foreign Policy, May 16, 2018.

  21. 人民日报:推动构建人类命运共同体, 2017年11月19日05:04.

  22. “How the Belt and Road Project Fills a Global Governance Vacuum,” Sixth Tone, November 12, 2017.

  23. Angela Stanzel, “Fear and loathing on the New Silk Road: Chinese security in Afghanistan and beyond,” July 2018, ECFR/264.

  24. Branko Milanovic, “The west is mired in ‘soft’ development. China is trying the ‘hard’ stuff,” The Guardian, May 17, 2017.

  25. 国务院办公厅转发 商务部等部门关于扩大进口 促进对外贸易平衡发展意见的通知 国办, 2018, 53 号.

  26. Michael Schuman, “China’s Global Ambitions Could Split the World Economy,” Bloomberg, October 26, 2017.

  27. Thomas Wright, All Measures Short of War: The Contest for the 21st Century and the Future of American Power (Yale University Press, 2017), p. 1.

  28. Aaron L. Friedberg, “Competing with China,” Survival, May 2018.

  29. David Autor, David Horn and Gordon Hanson, “The China Shock: Learning from Labor Market Adjustment to Large Changes in Trade,” NBER Working Paper, January 2016.

  30. Michael Mann, The China Fantasy (Viking, 2007).

  31. François Godement and Abigael Vasselier, China at the Gates: A New Power Audito of EU-China Relations (ECFR, 2017).

  32. National Security Strategy of the United States of America (December 2017), p. 17.

  33. Ibid., 25.

  34. Jinghan Zeng, “China declares ideological war,” Policy Forum, November 3, 2017.

  35. Zhang Weiwei, The China Horizon: Glory and Dream of a Civilizational State (World Century, 2016).

  36. Jiang Shigong, “Philosophy and History: Interpreting the ‘Xi Jinping Era’ through Xi’s Report to the Nineteenth National Congress of the CCP,” The China Story, May 11, 2018. Originally published in 开放时 代.

  37. Nadège Rolland, China’s Eurasian Century: Political and Strategic Implications of the Belt and Road Initiative (The National Bureau of Asian Research, 2017), pp. 143–44.

  38. Jonathan Holslag, China’s Coming War with Asia (Polity, 2015).

  39. “Xi’s world order: July 2024,” The Economist, July 7, 2018.

  40. Hugh Peyman, China’s Change: The Greatest Show on Earth (World Scientific, 2018).

  INDEX

  Abbasi, Zafar Mahmood, 126

  Abe, Shinzo, 118, 137

  Addis Ababa, Ethiopia, 68

  Aden Gulf, 72

  Adil, Umer, 60

  Advancing the Development of the One Belt, One Road Leading Group, 39

  aerospace, 88, 103

  Afghanistan, 53, 107, 127, 128, 129, 135, 172

  Africa, 3, 8, 25, 44, 124, 163

  Djibouti, 4, 12, 46, 63, 67–8, 101, 117

  Ethiopia, 46, 68, 154, 170, 186

  manufacturing, 68, 77

  Maritime Silk Road, 23, 26, 45, 62

  oil, 64

  Partnership for Quality Infrastructure, 138

  piracy, 72

  telecommunications, 101, 170–71

  aging population, 75

  Agricultural Bank of China, 48

  agriculture, 11, 61, 76, 99–100, 103

  Ahmedabad, Gujarat, 138

  aircraft, 81, 91, 103

  Akto, Xinjiang, 60

  Aktogay, East Kazakhstan, 103

  Alibaba, 44

  Allison, Graham, 7–8

  Alps, 189

  aluminum, 17, 20, 88

  Andalusia, Spain, 189

  Andijan, Uzbekistan, 54

  anti-dumping, 92, 113

  Antwerp, Flanders, 65

  Apollo program, 9

  aquaculture, 71

  Arabian Sea, 72, 106

  Arctic, 4, 62, 66, 188

  artificial intelligence (AI), 44, 75, 88

  Arunachal Pradesh, India, 111

  Asian Development Bank, 45, 137

  Asian Financial Forum, 49

  Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank, 48

  Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN), 122

  Astana International Exchange, 56

  Astana, Kazakhstan, 25–6, 39, 56, 58

  asteroids, 187

  Athens, 8

  Atlantic Ocean, 3, 115, 119, 138, 139

  Atushi, Xinjiang, 60

  Australia, 5, 12, 25, 119, 121, 122, 132–3, 135

  automated vehicles, 88, 90, 186, 187, 190

  automobile industry, 74, 81, 86, 90–91, 97, 104

  Autor, David, 177

  aviation, 81, 91, 103

  Azad Jammu and Kashmir (AJK), 60

  Azerbaijan, 186

  Badakhshan, Afghanistan, 128

  Baidu, 188

  Baldwin, Richard, 74, 80

  Balkans, 8, 12, 140

  Balochistan, Pakistan, 60, 105

  Gwadar port, 46, 59, 61–2, 63, 64, 99–100, 101, 105–7, 117

  separatism and terrorism, 106, 127, 128

  Baltic Sea, 51

  Bangkok, Thailand, 65, 136–7

  Bangladesh, 48, 53, 64, 109, 134, 136, 138, 150, 189

  Bangladesh-China-India-Myanmar Economic Corridor (BCIM-EC), 52, 62

  Bank of China, 48

  banking, 46–51

  bargaining theory, 152–3

  Bay of Bengal, 22, 64, 72, 119

  Beijing, China, 20, 28, 48, 126, 165

  Beijing University, 183, 188

  Belgium, 56, 65

  Belgrade, Serbia, 143

  Belt, see Silk Road Economic Belt

  Belt and Road

  Advancing the Development of the One Belt, One Road Leading Group, 39

  backlash against, 12, 108, 121–4, 130–46, 155

  bridges, 40, 54, 156, 173, 186

  Buddhism, 112

  cities, 11, 43, 44, 48, 149–52, 187–8

  ‘community of shared destiny’, 26–9, 33, 36, 43, 45, 170

  connectivity (wu tong), 42, 43, 52–3, 127, 158, 167

  currency integration, 26

  data, 44

  debt, 12, 46, 47, 108, 109, 124, 126, 130, 132, 153–62

  digital infrastructure, 43–4, 59, 86

  e-commerce, 44, 59

  economic corridors, 2, 11, 51–4, 55, 62

  economic policy coordination, 28

  energy, 11, 17, 19, 20–23, 40, 46, 48, 49, 52, 61, 64, 86, 92, 188

  financing, 11, 36, 46–51, 54, 108–9, 124, 126, 130, 132, 138, 141, 153–64

  Forum for International Cooperation (2017), 12, 108, 143, 152

  impatience, 152–3

&nbs
p; inauguration (2013), 11, 17, 23

  industrial capacity cooperation, 85–8

  industrial parks, 10, 43, 55, 61, 67, 99, 102

  infrastructure, see infrastructure

  internal discontent, 163

  international court, 28, 190

  loans, 11, 36, 46–7, 54, 108–9, 124, 126, 130, 132, 138, 141, 153–62, 163

  maps, 2–6, 24, 41, 64, 69

  Maritime Silk Road, 24, 26, 28, 39, 41

  market integration, 41

  military bases, 12, 67, 71, 72, 101, 117, 126–7

  overcapacity, 19

  ports, see ports

  railways, 9–10, 11, 12, 18, 43, 46, 52, 53–4, 68, 86, 122, 130

  roads, 9, 19, 40, 43, 52, 54

  security, 127–9

  Silk Road, 2, 9–10, 23–6, 45, 82, 138

  Silk Road Economic Belt, 24, 25–6, 28, 39, 51–62, 83

  success, definition of, 164, 174

  telecommunications, 43–4, 52, 86, 101, 170–71

  timeline, 10

  TIR Convention, 55

  transnational industrial policy, 81, 84

  transport infrastructure, 9–10, 11, 18, 19, 25, 26, 40, 48, 49, 53–4, 83

  urban development, 11, 43, 44, 48, 149–52

  Vision and Actions document (2015), 40, 41, 45, 49, 50, 52, 62, 67, 78

  Vision for Maritime Cooperation (2017), 62

  Bering Strait, 66

  Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP), 110

  Bhat, Vinayak, 107

  Bhutan, 107–8

  big data, 44

  Bishkek, Kyrgyzstan, 127

  Blackwater, 128

  blue economic passage, 62

  Boao Forum for Asia (2015), 27, 32

  Brahmaputra river, 136

  Brazil, 174

  Brewster, David, 63

  BRIC (Brazil, Russia, India and China), 19, 174

  bridges, 40, 54, 156, 173, 186

  British Broadcasting Corporation (BBC), 188

  Budapest, Hungary, 143

  Buddhism, 111–12

  Bush, George Walker, 169

  California, United States, 64

  Cambodia, 52, 54, 70, 129, 132, 155

  Cameroon, 68, 187

  Canada, 136

  car industry, see automobile industry

  Caribbean, 25

  Carr, Robert ‘Bob’, 122

  Cartagena, Spain, 92

  Caspian Sea, 186

  Caucasus, 20, 129

  CDMA (code-division multiple access), 89

  cement, 17, 49–50, 83

  Center for Strategic and International Studies, 19, 123

  center of gravity, 115

  Central African Republic, 186

  Central Asia, 9, 20, 25, 51, 52, 82–3, 188

  energy, 22, 106

  Eurasian Economic Union (EEU), 57–9

  India, trade with, 107

  industrial capacity cooperation, 104

  Islamism, 127

  Russia, relations with, 57–9, 129, 133

  steel industry, 82–3

  terrorism, 127

  textile industry, 101

  transport infrastructure, 9, 54

  Central Huijin Investment, 49, 50

  Central Military Commission, 166

  century of humiliation (1839–1949), 165, 186

  Chabahar, Sistan-Baluchistan, 106–7

  Chalay Thay Saath, 60

  Chao Phraya River, 65

  ChemChina, 48

  Chengdu Economic Daily, 129

  China

  Abbasi’s visit (2018), 126

  Academy of Information and Communications Technology, 44

  aging population, 75

  Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission, 50

  Bishkek Embassy bombing (2016), 127

  Boao Forum for Asia (2015), 27, 32

  Buddhism, 111–12

  century of humiliation (1839–1949), 165, 186

  Doklam plateau dispute, 107–8, 113

  energy, see energy

  EU-China summit (2015), 138

  five-year plan (2016–20), 41

  Food and Drug Administration, 114

  Foreign Policy Center of the Central Party School, 7

  Gants Mod crossing closure (2016), 36

  General Navigation Office, 69

  ‘Going Out’ strategy, 86

  Guangxi Nonferrous Metals Group bankruptcy (2016), 16

  Guiding Opinion on Promoting International Industrial Capacity (2015), 86

  Guiding Opinion on Standardizing the Direction of Overseas Investment (2017), 86

  incremental approach, 7

  Indian Dilemma, 21

  Institute of International Studies, 92

  International Trust and Investment Corporation, 132

  Investment Corporation, 48

  keeping a low profile (tao guang yang hui), 15, 18, 32

  labour shortages, 75

  Macron’s visit (2018), 146–7

  Made in China 2025 strategy, 85, 87, 90–92, 93

  Malacca Dilemma, 21–2, 64, 131

  Merchants, 68–9

  middle-income trap, 75–7, 85

  migrant workers, 75

  military, 12, 13, 59, 67, 71, 72, 101, 117, 126–7

  minimum wage, 75

  Ministry of Commerce, 21, 40, 93

  Ministry of Communications, 69

  Ministry of Finance, 49

  Ministry of Foreign Affairs, 40

  Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, 19

  Ministry of Transportation, 14

  Modi–Xi summit (2018), 135

  National Bureau of Statistics, 75

  National Congress, 28, 29, 44, 165, 181

  National Cybersecurity Work Conference (2018), 84

  National Development and Reform Commission, 40, 98

  National Health Commission, 114

  Opium War, First (1839–1842), 165

  overcapacity, 16, 19–20, 88

  Overseas Chinese Affairs Office, 19

  Overseas Investment Industrial Guiding Policy, 86

  People’s Navigation Company, 69

  Ports-Park-City model, 67

  presidential term limits repeal (2018), 164, 174

  real estate market, 16, 75

  reform and opening up, 13–15, 73

  renminbi, 22–3, 159

  responsible stakeholder, 169

  shipbuilding, 14, 17

  soft power, 111, 170

  Soviet Union, relations with, 13, 14, 15

  State Administration of Foreign Exchange, 48

  State Council, 19, 39, 40, 49, 66, 86

  state-owned companies, 42, 153, 160–61, 189

  steel industry, 16–17, 18, 20, 82–4, 86, 88

  striving for achievement, 18

  Swaraj’s visit (2018), 135

  Taiwan, relations with, 14, 26, 142

  technology transfers, 85–92, 97, 177–8

  Thucydides’ trap, 8

  Tianxia, 26–7, 29, 31–5, 78, 79, 192–3

  TIR Convention, 55

  Trump’s visit (2017), 124

  ‘two heads abroad’ (liangtou zai haiwai), 17

  United States, relations with, see Sino–US relations

  Working Conference on Neighborhood Policy (2013), 17–18

  China Construction Bank, 48

  China Development Bank, 16, 48, 49, 97, 98, 99, 103, 160

  China Export & Credit Insurance Corp, 104

  China Export-Import Bank, 46, 47, 48, 49, 103, 154

  China Fantasy, The (Mann), 177

  China Global Television Network, 188

  China Nonferrous Metals Industry Group, 103

  China Three Gorges Corp, 48

  China-Indian Ocean-Africa-Mediterranean Sea Blue Economic Passage, 62

  China-Indochina Peninsula Economic Corridor, 51, 52, 54, 62

  China-Oceania-South Pacific, 62

  China-Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC), 52, 59, 60, 62, 105–7, 108

  Chinese Comm
unist Party

  Advancing the Development of the One Belt, One Road Leading Group, 39

  and Australia, 133

  Constitution, 41, 164

  founding of (1921), 165

  National Congress, 18th (2012), 28

  National Congress, 19th (2017), 29, 44, 165, 181

  and New Zealand, 132

  Politburo, 39, 40, 165

  reform and opening up, 13–15

  and steel industry, 16

  Third Plenum of the 18th Party Central Committee (2013), 39

  Chongyang Institute for Financial Studies, 106

  Christianity, 128

  Churchill, Winston, 183

  cities, 11, 43, 44, 48, 149–52, 187–8

  climate change, 4, 66, 85, 171

  Clinton, William ‘Bill’, 177

  cloud computing, 44

  CloudWalk Technology, 44

  Club Med, 189

  CNN, 188

  cobalt, 81, 104

  Cold War, 2, 14, 21–2, 36, 40, 125, 171

  Colombo, Sri Lanka, 156, 162

  colonialism, 120, 162

  ‘community of shared destiny’, 26–9, 33, 36, 43, 45, 135, 170

  Confucianism, 31, 34

  Congo, Democratic Republic of, 81, 104

  connectivity, 42, 43, 52–3, 109, 122, 127, 146, 158, 167

  Connectivity Platform, 139

  construction, 18, 75, 86, 98

  convergence, 4, 14, 166, 167, 169, 174, 177

  copper, 103, 104

  corridors, see economic corridors

  corruption, 133, 155–6, 158, 187

  cosmopolitan neighborhoods, 4

  Country Garden, 151

  Cowboys and Indians, 188

  cultural exchanges, 42, 43, 56–7

  currency, 22–3, 26, 159–60

  customs cooperation, 55, 57, 59, 63

  Cyprus, 140

  Dalai Lama, 36, 112

  Dalian, Liaoning, 55, 93

  Daming Palace, Xi’an, 147

  Dangal, 111

  data, 44

  Davidson, Phillip, 125–6

  Davos, Switzerland, 168

  Dawn of Eurasia, The (Maçães), 185, 191

  Dawood, Abdul Razak, 158

  debt, 12, 16, 46, 47, 108, 109, 124, 126, 130, 132, 153–62

  democracy, 125, 133, 166, 171, 172, 174, 175, 176, 181–3

  Democratic Republic of Congo, 81, 104

  Deng Xiaoping, 13–15, 18, 31, 32, 69, 73, 183

  Diaoyu Islands, 187

  digital infrastructure, 43–4

  division of labor, 53, 78, 79, 80

  Djibouti, 4, 12, 46, 63, 67–8, 101, 117, 186

  Doklam plateau, 107–8, 113

  Doraleh, Djibouti, 63, 67–8

  DP World, 68

  dry ports, 57

  Dubai, UAE, 62, 68, 160

  Dudher Zinc project, 127

  Duterte, Rodrigo, 156

  DVD (digital versatile disc), 89

  e-commerce, 44, 59

  East China Sea, 118

 

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