Daniel S Markey

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by No Exit from Pakistan (pdf)


  America’s Options

  237

  To be clear, however, a tilt toward defensive insulation does not mean a

  wholesale embrace of that strategy. Washington should also keep the door

  open to other strategies over the next several years. If, for instance, Pakistan’s

  military shows itself willing to tackle threats of extremism and internal dis-

  order (as Army Chief Kayani stated was the need of the hour in an August

  2012 address to the nation), that would begin to re-open prospects for greater

  military cooperation.72 Similarly, if Pakistan’s elected civilian leaders choose

  to renegotiate the terms of their relationship with the United States rather

  than simply playing to the public’s anti-Americanism, they should find allies in

  Washington willing to explore cooperative ventures that serve long-term U.S.

  interests.

  These basic guidelines for American strategy still provide cold comfort for

  anyone who seeks an easy solution to Pakistan. They cannot promise success,

  nor even offer a full guarantee against failure. Yet this is the tragic nature

  of the circumstance in which the United States is trapped, much like one of

  Sartre’s characters in Huis Clos described at the outset of this book, with no exit in sight. To understand the nature of the U.S.-Pakistan relationship and to

  calibrate our expectations, it helps to adopt a tragic sensibility. The situation

  may be bad, but it could always get even worse.

  Yet Sartre’s play does not end with despair. Instead, his characters resolve

  to “get on with it.” The mood is reminiscent of my many conversations with

  Pakistanis and Americans who have devoted themselves to improving ties

  between Washington and Islamabad, and more broadly, to building bridges

  between the people of Pakistan and the United States. Sometimes, it is difficult

  to understand what could possibly motivate the passion and dedication these

  individuals bring to their cause, especially when the glimmer of hope seems so

  faint and far away. I believe they have realized that over the long run, a strong

  U.S.-Pakistan relationship offers the only way to save Pakistan from a dark

  and violent future, the only way to protect America from the dangers that lurk

  on Pakistani soil. Mindful of the tragic circumstances in which they toil, they

  toil nonetheless. In so doing, they offer hope to the rest of us.

  72 “Full Text of General Kayani’s Speech on Pakistan Independence Day,” http://criticalppp.com/

  archives/227063.

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  Cambridge University Press

  978-1-107-04546-0 - No Exit from Pakistan: America’s Tortured Relationship with Islamabad Daniel S. Markey

  Index

  More information

  Index

  “abandonments” by U.S. in Pakistan, history

  Ahmad, Salman, 60

  of, 2–4

  Ahmadinejad, Mahmoud, 188

  Abbas, Athar, 156

  Ahsan, Aitzaz, 80–83, 103, 130, 215

  Ackerman, Gary, 4

  Al-Huda school network, 54–55

  Acumen Fund, 226

  al-Qaeda

  Afghanistan

  attacks on Pakistani military by, 69–70

  border closings with Pakistan in, 107–108

  Bush administration focus on, 23,

  drone strikes in, 153–156

  110–118

  “economy of force” operation in, 117–118

  Christmas bomb plot of, 12

  India’s relations with, 41

  drone strikes against, 153–156

  as Indo-Pakistani proxy battleground, 46

  Khan’s (A. Q.) contact with, 119

  infrastructure investment in, 127n64

  kidnappings by, 149

  insurgency in, 114–117, 125–129

  Obama administration focus on, 23–24

  “lead nation” approach in, 126n61

  in Pakistan, 11–16, 99, 158

  military surge in, 23–24

  Salafist ideology of, 97

  opium production in, 126–127

  U.S.-Pakistan cooperation concerning, 7–11,

  Pakistan’s relations with, 8, 18–22, 40, 163,

  108–117

  169–172, 200–202, 214–222

  al-Shibh, Ramzi, 8

  Pakistan-U.S. disagreement over, 202–204

  al-Zawahiri, Ayman, 12, 208, 217

  proposed U.S. withdrawal from, 204–206

  anti-Americanism in Pakistan

  Soviet invasion of, 90, 92–93, 94n76, 103,

  Ahsan and, 80–83, 103, 130, 215

  200–202

  Baig’s discussion of, 200–202, 208, 213

  Taliban in, 18–22, 40, 52, 114, 125–129,

  evolution of, 200–202

  202–204

  historical origins of, 1–4

  U.S. “AfPak” strategy and, 161–167

  jihadist groups and, 73–74, 92–103

  U.S. surge in, 164–167

  liberal anti-Americanism, 73, 74–83

  U.S. war in, 11–16, 105–108, 111–112,

  nationalist anti-Americanism, 73, 83–92

  125–129

  perspectives on, 73–103

  “AfPak” strategy, 161–167

  policy impacts of, 184, 185–188

  Aga Khan, Karim, 228n53

  polling data on, 73n3

  agricultural programs in Pakistan, 227–229

  Anti-Ballistic Missile Treaty, 180–181

  Ahle Hadith, 54, 99–100

  Armitage, Richard, 109–110, 110n15,

  Ahmad, Mahmoud, 111–112

  111n16, 111–112n18, 114, 115, 117

  239

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  240

  Index

  Asia

  nuclear expansion under, 87–90

  China’s ascendancy in, 172–178, 188–192,

  political legacy of, 79n31, 80–83

  197–199

  sectarian identity of, 96, 96n85

  India’s economic role in, 186–187

  U.S. relations with, 77n21, 77, 83, 85–86

  Iraq war and U.S. policy in, 117–118

  bin Laden, Osama . See also al-Qaeda

  Pakistan’s role in, 8, 20–22, 187–188

  as global symbol, 99

  U.S. policies in, 85, 110–114

  killing of, 5, 8, 11, 23–24, 65, 80, 139, 201

  assistance programs in Pakistan . See also

  Pakistan recruiting operations of, 169

  military assistance to Pakistan

  Bismarck, Otto von, 41–42

  China and, 6–7

  Blackwill, Robert, 180–181

  Clinton’s (Hillary) comments on, 140

  Blank, Jonah, 144

  in Cold War era, 74–76

  blasphemy claims, Pakistani preoccupation

  comprehensive cooperation strategy and,

  with, 50–53

  222–233

  Brennan, John, 153–154

>   democracy initiatives and, 140–145

  BRICS summit, 195

  earthquake disaster assistance, 122–123

  Brzezinski, Zbigniew, 94

  “KLB” aid package and, 141–150

  Burki, Shahid Javed, 186–187

  Reagan-era programs, 112

  Bush, George H. W., nuclear expansion in

  USAID programs and, 149n44, 145–150,

  Pakistan and, 91–92

  150n44

  Bush, George W.

  Aurakzai, Ali Muhammad Jan, 125–126

  al-Qaeda offensive under, 11–16, 23,

  Avrakotos, Gus, 93–94

  110–118, 127

  Awami League (AL), 78–80

  Bhutto (B.) and, 131–133

  Azim, Kamran, 226–227

  China policy under, 175–176

  Aziz, Tariq, 124–125

  drone policy under, 153–156

  Azzam, Abdullah, 100

  F-16 aircraft deal with Pakistan and,

  123–124

  Baba, Rahman, 170

  “freedom agenda” of, 118–122

  Baig, Mirza Aslam, 200–202, 208, 213–214,

  India’s relations with, 179–182, 197

  234

  Iraq war under, 117–118

  ballistic missile defense, U.S.-Indian

  Musharraf and, 114–122, 215, 221

  negotiations concerning, 180–181

  Pakistan policy under, 23, 82, 103–104,

  Baloch ethnic group, 30–32

  109–114, 143n22, 181–182, 215

  Bangladesh

  Butt, Naveed, 57–58

  education levels in, 33–35

  electricity infrastructure in, 36

  Carter, Jimmy, 87, 90–91

  formation of, 78–80, 97

  Pakistan policy under, 91, 95n78, 221

  HuT activism in, 57

  Soviet invasion of Afghanistan and, 94–95

  India and, 42, 46

  Central Intelligence Agency (CIA)

  Iraq war and, 117–118

  Afghan operations of, 169

  Barelvi school of Islam, 50–51

  covert operations in Pakistan and, 208–209

  Beckley, Michael, 175n18

  drone strikes and, 153–161

  Berehulak, Daniel, 38–39

  ISI relations with, 111–112, 137

  Berman, Howard, 141–145, 222

  Chamberlain, Neville, 129

  Beygairat Brigade, 92

  Charlie Wilson’s War (film), 93–94

  Bhutto, Benazir, 31, 80

  Chaudhry, Iftikhar Muhammad, 80–83, 130

  civilian government of, 81

  China

  criticism of U.S. by, 120

  Bhutto’s (Z. A.) relations with, 77–78

  killing of, 99, 133n77, 157

  Cold War and U.S. relations in, 178–179

  Musharraf and, 131–133

  ethnic groups in, 21

  Bhutto, Zulfikar Ali, 62

  global ascendancy of, 172–175, 175n18,

  execution of, 96, 221

  178

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  241

  India’s relations with, 41, 85, 190, 194–195

  Defence of Pakistan Council (Difa-e-Pakistan)

  Pakistan’s relations with, 6–10, 20–22,

  (DPC), 52, 101–102, 208

  38–39, 43, 70–71, 85–86, 182–184,

  defensive insulation strategy

  188–189, 189n64, 192

  future of U.S.-Pakistan relations and,

  Soviet relations with, 84–85

  235–237

  terrorist attacks in, 214n26

  overview of, 26–27, 206–214, 233–235

  U.S.-Pakistan relations and role of,

  democracy

  182–184, 188–192, 197–199, 214–215,

  Bush’s “freedom agenda,” 11–12

  219

  Democratic Peace Theory, 215n28

  U.S. relations with, 175–178, 188–192,

  Pakistan’s experience with, 140–145, 215,

  211

  219–222

  Citizens for Free and Responsible Media, 64

  Deobandism, 54, 97

  Citizens-Police Liaison Committee (CPLC),

  development projects in Pakistan, 33–35 . See

  224–225

  also assistance programs in Pakistan;

  civilian rule in Pakistan

  economic growth; specific projects, e.g.

  Bhutto’s (Z. A.) legacy of, 79

  Tarbela Dam

  comprehensive cooperation strategy for,

  Diamer Bhasha dam project, 229–230

  222–233

  Dow Medical College, 25–26

  democratic initiatives and, 140–145

  drone strikes

  failures of, 32

  classified information about, 160–161

  military structure and, 215–216n29,

  defensive insulation strategy and, 206–214

  219–220, 220n42, 222

  in Pakistan, 11–16, 23–24, 108, 138,

  public opinion of, 32n8, 32, 33

  151–161

  U.S. relations with, 83

  Pakistan’s debate over, 157–158

  climate change, impact in Pakistan of, 36–37

  post-September 11 policies and, 103,

  Clinton, Bill, 91, 179–182, 221

  153–156

  Clinton, Hillary, 140, 161–162, 166

  U.S. debate over, 154n66, 158–159

  Cold War

  Dulles, John Foster, 74–76

  China-U.S. relations and, 178–179

  Durrani, Asad, 48

  nuclear policy in Pakistan and, 45

  surveillance aircraft in, 151

  earthquake in Pakistan, U.S. aid following,

  U.S.-Pakistan relations and, 1–4, 5–11, 39,

  122–123

  73–76, 75n9, 83–87, 103–104, 169

  East Turkestan Independence Movement

  comprehensive cooperation strategy, 26–27,

  (ETIM), 190

  206, 222–235

  economic growth . See also financial assistance

  Constable, Pamela, 67

  programs in Pakistan

  counterterror operations

  absence of development with, 33–35

  Obama administration’s focus on, 139,

  Asian regional policies and, 197–199

  160–161

  comprehensive cooperation strategy for,

  U.S.-Pakistan cooperation on, 23–24,

  225–231

  117–118, 125–129, 206–214

  education levels in Pakistan, 33–35

  Crile, George, 93–94

  Eikenberry, Karl, 125–126, 127

  Crocker, Ryan, 19, 205n11

  Eisenhower, Dwight D., 74–76, 221

  Crowley, Philip J., 137

  elections in Pakistan

  cruise missile strikes in Pakistan, potential for,

  corruption and rigging of, 47–49, 78–80,

  206–214

  116, 121, 132

  Cuban Missile Crisis, 84–85

  reform agenda for, 60–62

  electricity infrastructure in Pakistan, 35–38

  Davis, Raymond, 136–139, 149, 158,

  elites in Pakistan

  208–209

  Al-Huda schools and, 54–55

  Dawn (Pakistani English-language

  anti-Americanism among, 80–83

  newspaper), 49–50

  caste system and, 30–32

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  Index

  elites in Pakistan ( cont. )

  Hamid, Zaid, 171

  corruption in, 66–67

  Haq, Sami ul, 52, 69–70

  future projections concerning, 66

  Haqqani, Husain, 120

  governing power of, 30

  Haqqani, Jalaluddin, 52, 93

  growth of middle class and, 60–62

  Haqqani network, 19, 46, 52, 105–108

  leadership failures of, 37–38

  Pakistan’s support for, 155–156, 162–163,

  political challenges to, 68–69

  166–167

  vulnerability of, 6–7

  U.S.-Pakistan tensions concerning, 202–206

  enterprise funding, proposals for, 230–231

  Hashmi, Farhat, 54–55

  ethno-linguistic groups in Pakistan, 30–32

  Hashmi, Javed, 60–62

  extremism in Pakistan, 49–55, 66 . See also

  Headley, David Coleman, 14, 99, 101, 102

  al-Qaeda; specific extremist groups

  healthcare structure in Pakistan, 33–35, 227

  Afghan war and, 93

  Hekmatyar, Gulbuddin, 93

  ascendancy of, 97n89, 96–98, 98n91, 99

  Hizb ut-Tahrir (HuT), 55–56, 56n103,

  blasphemy claims and, 50–53

  57n107, 58, 69–70, 218

  Hizb ut-Tahrir and, 55–58

  Holbrooke, Richard, 140–145, 147–149, 150,

  leadership failures concerning, 136–168

  165

  Pakistan’s vulnerability to, 69–70

  homeland security in the United States, 207,

  strength of, 6–7

  207n12, 210–211

  terrorist inculation and, 49–50

  Hoodbhoy, Pervez, 55

  U.S.-Pakistani tensions concerning, 202–206

  Husain, Ed, 57n107

  hypernationalism in Pakistan, 38–39, 65,

  F-16 aircraft, sale to Pakistan of, 91, 95,

  171

  123–124

  Facebook, in Pakistan, 63–64

  income levels in Pakistan, 33–34, 228

  Federally Administrated Tribal Areas (FATA),

  India

  125–129

  Afghanistan’s relations with, 19, 41

  drone strikes in, 103, 153–156, 158–159

  Bush administration and, 179–182

  as terrorist safehavens, 117–118

  China’s relations with, 41, 85, 190, 194–195

  flood disasters in Pakistan (2010), 68–69

  Cold War U.S. relations and, 178–179

  Ford, Gerald R., nuclear expansion in Pakistan

  economic conditions in, 186n55, 186n56,

  and, 90

  186–187, 192–197

  Foreign Assistance Authorization Act, 145

  F-16 aircraft deal with Pakistan and,

 

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