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Billionaires and Stealth Politics

Page 34

by Benjamin I Page


  other holdings of, 71; and Koch broth-

  linear probability model, 165n65

  ers’ fortunes, 11; reinvestment of

  lobbying: disclosure or regulation of money

  earnings by and rapid growth of, 71; as

  in, 142; stealthy tactics in, 50; unre-

  second- largest privately held company,

  ported, 5– 6

  71; secretiveness of, 71; tangles of with

  local control, reduction of through preemp-

  EPA, 72

  tion bills, 107

  Koch Membrane Services, 71

  Los Angeles, billionaires residing in, 18

  Koch network, as rivaling Republican Party,

  low- wage workers abroad, investment op-

  72

  portunities and, 21

  Kraft Heinz Company, 58

  Lowe’s, 62

  luck, role of in amassing large fortunes, 20,

  labor, capital’s leap ahead of, 21

  139

  labor- intensive industries, tendency of to be

  union- averse and Republican, 113

  MacArthur Foundation, x

  labor market, worldwide: wage pressures

  MacLean, Nancy, 3

  and investment opportunities from, 21

  Malhotra, Neil, 96

  labor unions: billionaires’ success at weak-

  Malone, John, on Social Security, 163n44,

  ening, 106; John Menard Jr.’s anti- union

  163n45

  activities, 64; Koch brothers’ efforts to

  marginal product theory of wages, 23

  roll back, 72; political contributions by,

  marijuana legalization, Peter Lewis and

  72; role of in political representation of

  referendum on, 108

  workers, 64; wealthy donors and state

  market structure, expectations concerning

  restrictions on, 106– 7

  boundary control and, 112– 13

  Lacombe, Matthew, ix, 163n41

  Mars candies, 12; ages of heirs, 16; inherited

  land ownership, and past great fortunes,

  fortunes of family, 12; reclusiveness of

  18– 19

  family, 91

  Latin America, only one immigrant billion-

  Mars, Forrest, Jr., 12

  aire from, 18

  Mars, Jacqueline, 12

  Latinos, rarity of among wealthiest billion-

  Mars, John, 12

  aires, 16– 17

  Marxists, on “finance capital,” 21

  Lauder, Leonard: advocacy of more visas

  material incentives, role of in major achieve-

  for young foreign students in science,

  ments, 139. See also incentives

  engineering, and technology, 87

  Mayer, Jane, 3; research on Koch brothers

  Lewis, Peter, and referendum on marijuana

  by, 72

  legalization, 108

  McConnell, Grant, on private power and

  LexisNexis, searches using, 34– 35

  size of constituency, 101– 2

  liberal/conservative dimension: imposition

  McMahon, Linda, 1

  of, 5; logical incoherence of, 171n9;

  measurement errors: absence of concerning

  social issues and, 77

  George Soros, 122; absence of concern-

  index

  213

  ing Harold Simmons, 120; absence of

  likelihood logistic regression; keywords;

  concerning Robert Rowling, 123– 24;

  measurement errors; web- scraping

  absence of in Icahn case, 69; absence of

  techniques

  in Koch case, 74; absence of in Menard

  Mexico, wall to block immigration from, 94

  case, 65– 66; irrelevance of in Buffet case,

  Miami/Palm Beach, billionaires residing

  60; no serious errors revealed by case

  in, 18

  studies, 74– 75, 129; possible types of in

  Michigan, billionaires’ policy impact in, 107

  billionaires study, 56, 117; use of case

  Microsoft, role of in Bill Gates’ fortune, 10

  studies to detect, 55– 57, 117

  middle America, as mostly empty of bil-

  media access by billionaires, 31, 83, 98 131–

  lionaires, 18

  32; Carl Icahn as example of, 69

  middle- class Americans, economic travails

  media outlets, how to deal with money

  of, 137

  spent on, 142

  minimum tax on wealthy, Warren Buffett

  Medicaid: billionaires’ success in resisting

  on, 59

  expansion of, 105– 6; expansion of under

  minimum wage, disagreement of multimil-

  Affordable Care Act, 101, 105; spending

  lionaires with most Americans concern-

  on, 29; states’ refusal of federal money

  ing, 136

  for, 105

  Mnuchin, Steven, 1

  Medicare: disagreement of multimillion-

  Molex, 11, 71

  aires with most Americans concerning,

  money, spending of, as distinct from speech,

  136; and payroll taxes, 161n10, 161n11;

  141– 42

  spending on, 29

  money and political influence: argument

  Menard, John, Jr.: absence of measurement

  against allowing unlimited spending for,

  error concerning, 65– 66; background

  139. See also contributions; political

  and personal life of, 62– 63; case study

  contributions by billionaires; political

  of, 62– 66; contributions to Republi-

  influence of billionaires

  cans by, 64; deliberate political silence

  money and political voice, 99

  of, 65; as economic conservative, 54;

  money in politics, reform of, 139– 40; re-

  extensive political activity by, 63– 66; at

  quirements for disclosure of, 142

  Koch brothers’ political conference, 63;

  moral issues, 77. See also abortion; same- sex

  media attention to, 65; Menards stores

  marriage; social issues

  as source of wealth, 62; new evidence

  Moreno, Arte, 17

  of unusual political actions by, 66; as

  Morgan, J. P., finance- based fortune of, 21

  paradigmatic example of stealth politics,

  Moskovitz, Dustin: achievements of, 138;

  65; reasons for case study selection of,

  young age of, 16

  56, 63; right- leaning policy preferences

  multimethod research, advantages of, 55

  of, 65; role of in right- to- work legisla-

  multimillionaires: amount and frequency of

  tion and public sector deunionization

  political contributions by, 43; bundling

  in Wisconsin, 107; scandals and, 62– 63;

  and fundraisers by, 42; disagreement of

  silence of concerning politics, 63

  with majority of Americans on many

  Menards stores, 62; anti- union employment

  economic policies, 30, 39, 135– 36; SESA

  contracts by, 64; ideological training

  study of, xi, 30, 136– 37

  of employees by, 64– 65; protection of

  Munger, Charlie, 58

  private property and, 64– 65

  Murdoch, Rupert, 12; as immigrant success,

  Mercer, Robert: support of Donald Trump

  17– 18; number of statements by on

  by, 2, 104; support of Steve Bannon by,

  social issues, 85

  104

  Murphy, Bobby, achievements of, 138
>
  methods used in billionaires research, 32–

  Musk, Elon, as immigrant success, 17

  37; 54– 57, 79– 80, 113– 14, 117– 18: See

  Muslim ban in 2016 Trump campaign, 94

  also case studies; coding methods; Firth

  Myers, Charles, x

  214

  index

  Nashville, thwarting of mass transit in, 107

  outliers, reasons for examination of, 55

  National Economic Council, Buffett rule

  ownership of businesses: and fair compensa-

  and, 59

  tion, 23; as key to wealth accumulation, 19

  National Institute on Money in Politics,

  online database of, 165n62

  PACs, policy- specific, billionaires’ contribu-

  National Labor Relations Board, fines of

  tions to, 36

  Menards by for anti- union activities,

  Page, Larry: as cofounder of Google, 12;

  64

  relative youth of, 15– 16; rise of in Forbes

  National rental cars, 12

  rankings, 14

  naturalization rules, 80

  Pampered Chef, The, 61

  New York, billionaires residing in, 18

  parental consent, 79

  News Corp, 12

  partial- birth abortion, 79

  Nike, 22

  party activists, ideologically extreme, reduc-

  No Bonds for Billionaires, 121

  ing the power of, 141

  NORC, ix; Survey of Consumer Finances

  party attachments of billionaires: effect of

  and, 33

  on use of boundary control strategy,

  North Carolina: billionaires’ policy im-

  115– 17, 115 t, 116 t; measure of, 114,

  pact in, 107; wealthy- friendly policies

  176n68

  in, 100

  Paulson & Co. hedge fund, 12

  North Dakota, energy companies and pollu-

  Paulson, John, 12

  tion regulation in, 108

  PayPal, 17

  NV Energy, 10

  payroll taxes: “cap” on income subject

  to, 28– 29; cuts in, 29; disagreement of

  Obama, Barack: as a “socialist,” 119; Bill

  multimillionaires with most Americans

  Ayers terrorism attack ad on, 119

  concerning cap on, 136; exemption of

  OECD countries: tax levels in, 27; tax rates

  capital gains from, 161n14; invisibil-

  of compared with US, 160– 61n4; tax

  ity of “employers’ share,” 28– 29; for

  revenues of compared with US, 161n5

  Medicare, 161n10, 161n11; regressivity

  Ogles, Andrew, on returns from political

  of, 28– 29; structure and rates of, 28– 29;

  investments at the state level, 102

  Warren Buffett on, 47

  Oklahoma, oil and gas donors and pollution

  pensions, 29, 106– 7; disagreement of

  regulation in, 108

  multimillionaires with most Americans

  Old Age, Survivors, and Disability Insur-

  concerning, 136

  ance (OASDI). See Social Security

  Perelman, Ronald, 12; leveraged- buyout

  old men, billionaires as, 14– 16

  fortune of, 22

  Olin, John M., 3

  Perez, Jorge, 17

  Omidyar, Pierre: criticism of anti– same- sex

  Perry, Bob, 120

  marriage ballot proposition by, 86; as

  Perry, Rick: Harold Simmons’s contribu-

  immigrant success, 17

  tions to, 120; Robert Rowling’s contribu-

  Omni Hotels, 123– 24

  tions to, 123– 24

  one- dimensional politics, 4

  Peterffy, Thomas, 17

  one- party governments in the states, 102– 3

  Peterson, Pete, 133; leadership of campaign

  one- percenters: billionaires much wealthier

  to cut Social Security by, 52

  than, 30– 31; SESA study of, ix. See also

  philanthropy: and the estate tax, 28; of

  multimillionaires

  Gates and Buffett, 10

  OpenSecrets.org, billionaires’ reported

  Piketty, Thomas, on inherited wealth, 20

  contributions and, 36

  Pinterest, 16

  Oracle, Larry Ellison as founder of, 10– 11

  “Pioneers,” 42

  Organisation for Economic Co- operation

  Planned Parenthood, 61

  and Development. See OECD countries

  plutocracy, Warren Buffett on, 60

  index

  215

  policy impact of billionaires, 50– 52; on

  policy- oriented organizations, 44; to Re-

  abortion and same- sex marriage, 97– 98;

  publicans or conservatives, 43– 44, 43 t, 82;

  difficulty of ascertaining, 127– 28, 134–

  to Republican Governors Association,

  35; in Illinois, 106– 7; indications of, 51–

  103; to state and local elections, 103– 5

  52; in Kansas, 107; liberal immigration

  political influence: argument against allow-

  policies and, 96– 98; likely importance

  ing unlimited spending for, 139; Martin

  of consensus in, 97; in Michigan, 107; in

  Gilens’ study of, 135; quantitative study

  North Carolina, 107; questions concern-

  of, 51. See also political influence of

  ing, 50; at state and local levels, 105– 9;

  billionaires

  in Tennessee, 107; in Wisconsin, 107

  political influence of billionaires: difficulty

  policy preferences of billionaires: afflu-

  of measuring, 50– 51; infeasibility of

  ent Americans’ preferences as proxies

  quantitative study of, 51, 135; inferences

  for, 166n77, 179n4; contributions to

  concerning, 3, 30– 31, 135, 137; need

  policy- specific groups as indicators of,

  for historical and journalistic evidence

  5, 158n22; difficulty of ascertaining, 126;

  on, 51; ways to curtail, 139– 40. See also

  gaps between ordinary citizens’ prefer-

  political influence

  ences and, 132– 34; hazards of inferring

  political reform proposals, 138– 43; aimed

  from contributions, 4– 5; inferences

  at stealth politics, 141– 43; to curtail the

  concerning, 127, 136– 37; “triangulation”

  power of billionaires, 139– 40

  strategy for estimating, 178– 79n1

  political speech of billionaires: expecta-

  policy stances, unpopular, as motivating

  tions concerning, 31– 32; frequency of

  billionaires’ silence, 31– 32

  by centrist billionaires, 38; questions

  political accountability. See accountability,

  concerning, 25

  political

  political statements by billionaires: comput-

  political actions of billionaires: computing

  ing counts of, 37; directionality of on

  counts of, 37; consistency of with public

  taxes and social security , 39– 42, 39 t, 40 t,

  statements on social issues, 87– 88; con-

  41 t; on immigration, abortion, and same-

  servatism of on economic issues, 42– 46,

  sex marriage by individual billionaires,

  44 t; contributions to policy- specific

  151– 54; infrequency of on social issues,

  groups, 5, 36; difficulty in discovering,

  83– 87, 84 t; infrequency of on taxes and<
br />
  5, 126– 27; expectations concerning, 32;

  Social Security, 38– 40, 39 t; predominant

  liberalism of on social issues, 82– 83, 83 t;

  liberalism of on abortion, same- sex

  list of individuals’ actions on immigra-

  marriage, and immigration, 85– 86, 85 t;

  tion, abortion, and same- sex marriage,

  pro- con balance of on taxes and Social

  151– 54; method of studying, 36– 37; new

  Security, 39– 40, 39 t; role of journalists in

  information from case studies concern-

  uncovering, 35; on taxes and Social Se-

  ing, 75– 76; as opposed to positions of

  curity by individual billionaires, 148– 50;

  average citizens, 44– 45; policy- specific

  thorough scrutiny of concerning taxes

  actions as reliable indicators of policy

  and Social Security, 33; unearthing of

  preferences, 127; predictors of bundling

  quotations, transcripts, and videos of, 37;

  or fundraising, 46, 46 t; predictors of

  web- scraping to discover, 6

  ideological direction of, 45, 45 t; predic-

  polluting industries, tendency of to be

  tors of on same- sex marriage, 91– 92, 92 t;

  Republican, 113

  questions concerning, 25; on taxes and

  pollution, Koch brothers’ resistance to tax-

  Social Security, 42– 46, 44 t; web- scraping

  ing or regulating, 72

  to discover, 6

  Pope, Art, 107

  political contributions by billionaires:

  populism: challengers within the GOP, 104–

  amount and frequency of, 43– 44, 43 t,

  5; economic hardships and popul ist re-

  81– 82; data on, 36; to mayors, city

  volts, 138; mass- elite gaps on immigration

  councils, and school boards, 103– 4; to

  and, 96; rarity of among billionaires, 70

  216

  index

  posttreatment variables, “controls” for,

  Rauner, Bruce: efforts by to cut public-

  172n33

  sector pensions; Ken Griffin campaign

  poverty rate, Social Security and, 29– 30

  contribution to, 102

  preemption bills, 107

  Reagan, Ronald, regressive tax cuts and, 27

  primary elections, overcoming unrepresen-

  redistributive policies, Warren Buffett as

  tativeness of, 140

  supporter of, 58– 59

  Prince Charles, 15

  referenda (state- level), socially liberal bil-

  Priorities USA, 122

  lionaires’ use of, 108– 9

  prison reform, Charles Koch on, 74

  reforms. See political reforms

  Pritzker, J. B., 107

  regressive tax cuts, 27

  private equity managers, billion- dollar

  regressive taxes, payroll taxes as, 28– 29

  salaries of, 21

  regulatory structure: effect of on use of

 

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