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AI Superpowers

Page 29

by Kai-Fu Lee

Chinese startups and, 58

  as dominant AI player, 83, 91, 93

  Google compared to, 37, 38, 109

  Microsoft Research Asia and, 89

  Ng, Andrew, and, 44

  self-driving cars and, 131, 135

  success of, 40, 66

  Bain and Company, 164–65

  banking industry, 110, 113, 116

  BAT (Baidu, Alibaba, and Tencent), 58

  battery approach, 95

  beetle-like robots, 129–30

  Beijing, China, 2–4, 28, 29, 51–52, 77–78, 99, 144–45

  Bengio, Yoshua, 86

  Bezos, Jeff, 33

  Bhutan, 229

  bicycle sharing, 77–78, 79

  Bitmain, 97

  blue-collar workers, 128–29, 165–66, 167, 168

  Bostrom, Nick, 141, 142, 143

  Brazil, 137, 138

  Brin, Sergei, 33

  Brooks, Rodney, 143

  Brynjolfsson, Eric, 148–49, 150, 151

  Buddhism, 187–90

  business AI, 105–6, 110–17, 136

  BuzzFeed, 40, 108, 109

  ByteDance. See Toutiao (news platform)

  C

  Cambricon Technologies, 97

  Cambridge Analytica, 107–8, 125

  Canada

  AI superpowers and, 169

  birth of AI and, 11, 13–14

  business AI and, 111

  new world order and, 20

  volunteerism in, 229

  cancer

  AI and diagnosis of, 167

  Lee’s diagnosis with, 176–77, 181–83, 225

  lymphoma, 176, 183, 190–92, 194

  Care.com, 213

  Careem, 137

  care work and social investment stipend, 221, 222

  Chan, Connie, 70

  chess, 4–5

  China

  AI, perspective on, and jobs, 202–3

  AI deployment by, 18–19, 82–84, 132–33, 154–55

  AI fever in, x, 1–6

  conformity and deference to authority, cultural propensity for, 66

  copycat era in. See copycat era and entrepreneurship

  data abundance in, 15, 16, 17, 50, 55–56, 79

  elder care in, 229

  entrepreneurs of. See Chinese entrepreneurs

  global economic inequality and, 168–70

  government support in See Chinese government

  imitation, cultural propensity for, 27, 28, 29–30

  inequality in, 170–72, 200

  internet ecosystem of, 24–28, 40, 43–44, 46, 49–50. See also China’s alternate internet universe

  jobs at risk of automation in, 159–60

  low-cost exports and, 146

  medical diagnosis in, 114

  privacy protection in, 124, 125

  reemergence of, 180–81

  scarcity mentality, 27–28

  self-driving cars in, 133

  Silicon Valley’s technology environment compared to, 15–16, 43–45, 49, 55, 57, 65, 71–73

  Sputnik Moment for, 3, 11

  traffic accidents in, 101

  U.S. competition with. See China and U.S., competition between

  China and U.S., competition between, 81–103

  automation and jobs at risk, 165–67, 168

  autonomous AI and, 130–31, 134–36

  business AI and, 111–12, 116, 136

  China’s advantages in, 14–17, 18

  China’s vs. America’s AI plans, 97–98

  Chinese entrepreneurs vs. Silicon Valley’s, 34, 49, 55

  computer chips and, 96–97

  corporate research and proprietary technology, 91–92

  dominant AI players in, 83–84

  four waves of AI and, 106, 136

  global AI story and, 227–29

  global markets and, 137–39

  going light vs. going heavy, 71–73, 76–77

  Google vs. dominant players, 92–94

  government roles in, 98–100

  grid approach vs. battery approach, 94–95

  increasing contributions from Chinese researchers, 88–90

  intelligence sharing, 86–88

  internet AI and, 109–10, 136

  moral and cultural dilemmas, 101–3

  O2O explosion and, 79–80

  outdated assumptions and misunderstandings about, 11–12, 25–26

  perception AI and, 124, 126, 128, 136

  political culture differences, 84

  quantity of engineers vs. quality of researchers, 83, 85–86

  venture funding and, 4

  China’s alternate internet universe, 51–80

  Avenue of the Entrepreneurs, 53, 54, 61–62, 64, 68

  bicycle sharing, 77–78

  data and, 55–56, 73

  Guo Hong and, 51–52, 56, 61–62, 63, 64, 68

  mass entrepreneurship and mass innovation initiative, 62–68

  mobile payments, 16, 54–55, 60–61, 73–77

  online and offline worlds, blurring of, 78–80

  O2O Revolution, 68–71

  revolution in culture, 66–68

  smartphones and, 57–59

  super-app model, 70, 71. See also WeChat

  transformation into, 53–55

  China’s State Council, 63–64, 98

  Chinese entrepreneurs

  cutthroat environment for, 15–16, 40

  group buying and, 46

  lean startup methodology and, 44–45

  mass entrepreneurship and mass innovation initiative and, 64, 67–68

  Silicon Valley’s failures in China and, 39–40

  transition from discovery to implementation and, 15

  See also copycat era and entrepreneurship; Wang Xing; Zhou Hongyi

  Chinese government

  AI leadership plan, 3–4, 84

  Book City development, 61–62

  local government AI support, 98–100

  mass entrepreneurship and mass innovation initiative, 62–67, 99

  rapid deployment of technologies and, 82–83, 99–100, 102–3, 132–34

  support for AI development, 17–19, 52

  technology companies and, 229

  Chinese language characters, 183–84

  Chinese Ministry of Science and Technology, 97

  City Brain (by Alibaba), 93–94, 117, 124, 228

  city brains, 84, 93–94, 103

  clock diplomacy, 29–30

  cloud-based platforms, 94–95

  cognitive labor and risk of replacement, 155, 156, 168

  Cold War, comparison to, 227–28

  Communist Party, 63

  compassionate caregivers, 212–13

  computer chips, 96–97

  computer vision, 9, 87, 89, 108, 134, 135, 161. See also facial recognition; image recognition; object recognition

  computing power, 9, 14, 56, 92

  control problem, 142

  copycat era and entrepreneurship, 22–50

  AI in China and, 12, 15–16, 49–50, 52, 61

  contrasting cultures and, 26–28, 43–44

  copycat clockmaking, 29–30

  early copycat internet companies, 30–33

  gladiator metaphor, 24–26, 43

  Kaixin001 vs. Renren, 42–43

  lean startup methodology, 44–45

  Ma, Jack, and, 34–37

  search habit divergence and, 37–38

  Silicon Valley and, 22–25, 28, 30–34, 39–40, 49

  Wang Xing and, 22–24, 26, 31, 32–33, 42, 46–49

  War of a Thousand Groupons, 45–49

  Zhou Hongyi and, 40–42

  corporate oligarchy, 171

  corporate research and proprietary technology, 91–92

  corporate social responsibility, 216–17

  craftsmanship, 229

  credit industry, 10–11, 110, 112–13, 116

  crime disruption, 75

  Cultural Revolution in China, 33

  Cybersecurity Law in China, 125

  D
r />   Daimler, 135

  data

  age of, 14, 18

  AI algorithms and, 14, 17, 56, 138

  AI-rich countries and, 168–69

  businesses and, 110–11

  China’s abundance of, 15, 16, 17, 50, 55–56, 73, 79

  collection of, and privacy, 124–25

  deep learning and, 14, 17, 19–20, 56

  internet companies and, 107–8

  medical diagnosis and, 114

  from mobile payments, 77

  neural networks and, 9

  pattern-finding in, 10

  private, 124–25

  self-driving cars and, 131–32, 133

  structured, 111–12

  Deep Blue, 4, 5

  deep learning

  AI revolution and, 5, 12–13, 25, 92, 94, 143

  business AI and, 111

  data and, 14, 17, 19–20, 56

  Google and, 92

  history of, 6–10

  implementation of, 12–14, 86

  machine perceptual abilities and, 166

  next, 91–92, 94

  pattern-finding and, 10–11, 13, 166–67

  rapid progress of, 161

  DeepMind

  AI in United Kingdom and, 169

  AlphaGo and, 2, 11

  AlphaGo Zero and, 90

  Google and, 2, 11, 92

  iFlyTek compared to, 105

  publishing by, 91

  reinforcement learning and, 143

  Deng Xiaoping, 28

  desktop computers, 96

  Dianping (Yelp copycat), 48, 49, 71–72

  Didi

  four waves of AI and, 106

  going heavy, 72–73

  self-driving cars and, 131

  services using model of, 213–14

  Uber and, 40, 68–69, 79, 137

  Didi Chuxing, 68–69, 70

  discovery to implementation, transition from, 13, 15

  Disneyland replica in China, 31

  Disruptor (Zhou), 42

  DJI, 130–31

  domestic workers, 130

  drones, autonomous, 130–31, 136, 167–68

  dual-teacher model, 122

  dystopians vs. utopians, 140–44

  E

  EachNet, 35

  Eat24, 72

  eBay, 35–37, 39

  economy and AI, 144–73

  competition and, 106

  deep-learning breakthroughs and, 4–5

  general purpose technologies (GPTs), 148–55

  global economic inequality, 146, 168–70, 172

  intelligent vs. physical automation, 167–68

  job loss, two kinds of, 162–63

  job losses, bottom line, 164–65

  job loss studies, 157–61

  jobs and inequality crisis, 145–47

  machine learning as driver, 25, 84, 91, 94–95

  monopolies, 20, 96, 168–69, 170–71

  psychological crisis, 5, 21, 147, 173–74

  risk of replacement, 155–57

  science-fiction visions and, 144–45

  techno-optimists and the Luddite fallacy, 147–48

  unemployment. See unemployment, mass

  U.S.-China comparison, 165–67, 168

  wealth inequality. See wealth and class inequality

  See also business AI; human coexistence with AI

  Edison, Thomas, 13, 86

  education

  employment and, 205

  OMO-powered, 121–24

  revamping, 228–29

  social investment stipend and, 221–22

  Einstein, Albert, 103

  electrification, compared to AI, 13–15, 25, 50, 86, 149–50, 152, 154, 228

  Element AI, 111

  engineering bottlenecks, 158

  enterprise software, 111–12

  Estonia, 137

  European Union, 124–25, 229

  expertise to data, transition from, 14, 15, 56

  expert systems, 7–8

  F

  F5 Future Store, 163

  Face++, 90, 117

  Facebook

  Cambridge Analytica and, 107–8, 125

  Chinese companies compared to, 28

  Chinese researchers at, 90

  cloning of, 22–23, 24, 31, 32–33

  deep-learning experts and, 11

  as dominant AI player, 83, 91

  Face++ and, 90

  global markets and, 137

  iFlyTek compared to, 105

  innovation mentality at, 33

  monopoly of social networks, 170

  resistance to product modifications, 34

  split with Messenger, 70

  Tencent compared to, 109

  top researchers at, 93

  U.S. digital world dominance and, 2

  Facebook AI Research, 91

  facial recognition

  AI chips and, 96

  Apple’s iPhone X and, 117

  Chinese investment in, 99

  device security and, 117

  education, AI-powered, and, 122

  Face++ and, 90, 117

  mobile payments and, 118

  privacy and, 124

  public transportation and, 84

  fake news detection, 109

  Fanfou (Twitter clone), 23, 46

  Fermi, Enrico, 85, 103

  financial crisis (2008), 46, 100, 165, 205

  financial sector, 111, 112–13, 116

  Fink, Larry, 215–16

  Fo Guang Shan monastery, 187, 218–20

  “Folding Beijing” (Hao), 144–45, 172, 230

  food delivery, 69, 72, 79

  Forbidden City, 29

  Ford, 135

  Ford, Martin, 165

  4th Paradigm, 111

  four waves of AI, 104–39

  autonomous AI, 105–6, 128–36

  business AI, 105–6, 110–17

  economic divides and, 145

  global markets and, 136–38

  internet AI, 105–6, 107–10

  perception AI, 105–6, 117–28

  France, 20, 169

  freemium revenue model, 36

  Frey, Carl Benedikt, 158

  Friendster, 22

  G

  Gates, Bill, 33

  general AI, 10, 13

  General Data Protection Regulation, 124–25

  general purpose technologies (GPTs), 148–55

  gig economy, 164

  global AI markets, 136–38

  global AI story, 226–32

  AI future without AI race, 227–28

  global wisdom for AI age, 228–29

  hearts and minds, 231–32

  writing, 230

  global economic inequality, 146, 168–70

  globalization, 150

  GMI (guaranteed minimum income), 206–7

  Go (game), 1–2, 4, 5, 167

  going light vs. going heavy, 71–73, 76–77, 209

  Google

  AI chips and, 96

  AlphaGo and, 1, 2, 11

  Baidu compared to, 37, 38, 109

  China at time of founding of, 33

  Chinese entrepreneurs compared to, 24–25

  Chinese market and, 39

  data captured by, 77

  as dominant AI player, 83, 91, 93–94

  elite expertise at, 138–39

  Europe’s fining of, 229

  Face++ and, 90

  global markets and, 137

  grid approach and, 95

  iFlyTek compared to, 105

  innovation mentality at, 33

  internet AI and, 107, 109

  mobile payments and, 75

  monopoly of search engines, 170

  vs. other technology companies, 92–94

  resistance to product modifications, 34

 

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