Latino America: How America's Most Dynamic Population is Poised to Transform the Politics of the Nation

by Matt Barreto, Gary Segura

  15. Vega et al. (2013).

  16. Gans et al. (2012).

  CHAPTER 12

  1. See, for example, Whittaker, Segura, and Bowler (2005), Greenberg (2005), Johnson, Bowker, and Cordell (2004), and Williams and Florez (2002).

  2. Hershey and Hill (1977) and Douglas and Wildavsky (1983).

  3. Maslow (1970).

  4. Mohai and Bryant (1998) and Mohai (2003).

  5. Quintero-Somaini and Quirindongo (2004).

  6. Whittaker, Segura, and Bowler (2005).

  7. Greenberg (2005), Johnson, Bowker, and Cordell (2004), and Williams and Florez (2002).

  8. Whittaker, Segura, and Bowler (2005).

  9. Pantoja, Ramírez, and Segura (2001) and Pantoja and Segura (2003).

  10. The survey is based on a national sample of 805 Latino registered voters, carried out November 27–December 3, 2013. Respondents were interviewed in English or Spanish by fully bilingual interviewers. The overall survey contains a margin of error of +/-3.5%, and on split-sample items the margin of error is +/-4.9%. Respondents were reached using a blended sample of landline telephones, cell phones, and the Latino Decisions online web panel.

  11. Quintero et al. (2011).

  12. Ibid., 9, 10.

  13. Greenberg (2005) and Johnson, Bowker, and Cordell (2004).

  CHAPTER 13

  1. Bowler, Nicholson, and Segura (2006).

  BIBLIOGRAPHY

  Abrajano, Marisa. 2010. Campaigning to the New American Electorate: Advertising to Latino Voters. Palo Alto, CA: Stanford University Press.

  Abrajano, Marisa A., R. Michael Alvarez, and Jonathan Nagler. 2008. “The Hispanic Vote in the 2004 Presidential Election: Insecurity and Moral Concerns.” Journal of Politics 70, no. 2: 368–382.

  Abrajano, Marisa, and Costas Panagopoulos. 2011. “Does Language Matter? The Impact of Spanish versus English-Language GOTV Efforts on Latino Turnout.” American Politics Research 39, no. 4: 643–663.

  Abramowitz, Alan. 1989. “Viability, Electability and Candidate Choice in a Presidential Primary Election: A Test of Competing Models.” Journal of Politics 51: 977–992.

  ______ . 1995. “It’s Abortion, Stupid: Policy Voting in the 1992 Presidential Election.” Journal of Politics 57, no. 1: 176–186.

  Abramson, Paul, John Aldrich, Phil Paolino, and David Rohde. 1992. “Sophisticated Voting in the 1988 Presidential Primaries.” American Political Science Review 86: 55–69.

  Alvarez, R. Michael, and Lisa Garcia-Bedolla. 2003. “The Foundations of Latino Voter Partisanship: Evidence from the 2000 Election.” Journal of Politics 65, no. 1: 31–49.

  Alvarez, R. Michael, and Jonathan Nagler. 1998. “Economics, Entitlements, and Social Issues: Voter Choice in the 1996 Presidential Election.” American Journal of Political Science 42, no. 4 (October): 1349–1363.

  Amaya, Hector. 2007. “Dying American or the Violence of Citizenship: Latinos in Iraq.” Latino Studies 5, no. 1: 3–24.

  Banzhaf, John F., III. 1964. “Weighted Voting Doesn’t Work: A Mathematical Analysis.” Rutgers Law Review 19: 317.

  ______ . 1966. “Multi-Member Electoral Districts: Do They Violate the ‘One Man, One Vote’ Principle.” Yale Law Journal 75, no. 8: 1309–1338.

  ______ . 1968. “One Man, 3.312 Votes: A Mathematical Analysis of the Electoral College.” Villanova Law Review 13: 304.

  Barreto, Matt A. 2007. “!Sí Se Puede! Latino Candidates and the Mobilization of Latino Voters.” American Political Science Review 101, no. 3: 425–441.

  Barreto, Matt, Victoria DeFrancesco, and Jennifer Merolla. 2011. “Multiple Dimensions of Mobilization: The Impact of Direct Contact and Political Ads on Latino Turnout in the 2000 Presidential Election.” Journal of Political Marketing 10, no. 4: 303–327.

  Barreto, Matt, Rodolfo de la Garza, Jongho Lee, Jaesung Ryu, and Harry Pachon. 2002. “Latino Voter Mobilization in 2000: A Glimpse into Latino Policy and Voting Preferences.” Claremont, CA: Tomás Rivera Policy Institute.

  Barreto, Matt, Luis Fraga, Sylvia Manzano, Valerie Martinez-Ebers, and Gary Segura. 2008. “Should They Dance with the One Who Brung ’em? Latinos and the 2008 Presidential Election.” PS: Political Science and Politics 41 (October).

  Barreto, Matt, Fernando Guerra, Mara Marks, Stephen Nuño, and Nathan Woods. 2006. “Controversies in Exit Polling: Implementing a Racially Stratified Homogenous Precinct Approach.” PS: Political Science and Politics 39 (July).

  Barreto, Matt, and David Leal. 2007. “Latinos, Military Service, and Support for Bush and Kerry in 2004.” American Politics Research 35, no. 2 (March): 224–251.

  Barreto, Matt, Sylvia Manzano, and Gabriel Sanchez. 2009. “En Fuego: Latino Voters in the 2008 Primaries.” Paper presented at the annual meeting of the Midwest Political Science Association.

  Barreto, Matt A., and Stephen Nuño. 2011. “The Effectiveness of Coethnic Contact on Latino Political Recruitment.” Political Research Quarterly 64, no. 2: 448–459.

  Barreto, Matt A., and Francisco Pedraza. 2009. “The Renewal and Persistence of Group Identification in American Politics.” Electoral Studies 28, no. 4 (December): 595–605.

  Barreto, Matt, and Ricardo Ramírez. 2004. “Minority Participation and the California Recall: Latino, Black, and Asian Voting Trends 1990–2003.” PS: Political Science and Politics 37 (January): 11–14.

  ______ . 2008. “The Latino Vote Is Pro-Clinton, Not Anti-Obama” (opinion). Los Angeles Times, February 7.

  Barreto, Matt A., Ricardo Ramírez, and Nathan D. Woods. 2005. “Are Naturalized Voters Driving the California Latino Electorate? Measuring the Effect of IRCA Citizens on Latino Voting.” Social Science Quarterly 86, no. 4: 792–811.

  Barreto, Matt A., and Gary M. Segura. 2010. “Do NES Models of Voting Apply to Blacks and Latinos? Results of the 2008 NES Oversample.” Paper presented at the annual meeting of the Western Political Science Association. San Francisco.

  Barreto, Matt, and Gary Segura. 2012. “How the Exit Polls Misrepresent Latino Voters, and Badly.” Latino Decisions, November 1. Available at: http://www.latinodecisions.com/blog/2012/11/01/how-the-exit-polls-misrepresent-latino-voters-and-badly/.

  Barreto, Matt A., Gary M. Segura, and Nathan Woods. 2004. “The Mobilizing Effect of Majority-Minority Districts on Latino Turnout.” American Political Science Review 98, no. 1: 65–75.

  Barreto, Matt, and Nathan Woods. 2005. “The Anti-Latino Political Context and Its Impact on GOP Detachment and Increasing Latino Voter Turnout in Los Angeles County.” In Diversity in Democracy: Minority Representation in the United States, ed. Gary Segura and Shawn Bowler. Charlottesville: University of Virginia Press.

  Bartels, Larry M. 1988. Presidential Primaries and the Dynamics of Public Choice. Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press.

  Basinger, Scott, and Howard Lavine. 2005. “Ambivalence, Information, and Electoral Choice.” American Political Science Review 99, no. 2: 169–184.

  Beltran, Cristina. 2011. The Trouble with Unity: Latino Politics and the Creation of Identity. Oxford: Oxford University Press.

  Bennett, Brian. 2011. “Obama Administration Reports Record Number of Deportations.” Los Angeles Times, October 18.

  Berman, Ari. 2010. “Anti-Immigrant Zealot Becomes GOP’s Colorado Senate Nominee.” The Nation, August 11.

  Betancourt, Joseph R., Alexander R. Green, J. Emilio Carrillo, and Owusu Ananeh-Firempong II. 2001. “Defining Cultural Competence: A Practical Framework for Addressing Racial/Ethnic Disparities in Health and Health Care.” Public Health Reports 118 (July–August): 293–303. Available at: http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC1497553/.

  Bowler, Shaun, Stephen P. Nicholson, and Gary M. Segura. 2006. “Earthquakes and Aftershocks: Race, Direct Democracy, and Partisan Change.” American Journal of Political Science 50, no. 1 (January): 146–159.

  Bowler, Shaun, and Gary M. Segura. 2011. “The Future Is Ours”: Minority Politics, Political Behavior, and the Multiracial Era of American Politics. Washington, DC: Congressional Quarterl
y Press.

  Brader, Ted, Nicholas A. Valentino, and Elizabeth Suhay. 2008. “What Triggers Public Opposition to Immigration? Anxiety, Group Cues, and Immigration Threat.” American Journal of Political Science 52, no. 4: 959–978.

  Brown, Anna, and Mark Hugo Lopez. 2013. “II. Ranking Latino Populations in the States.” Pew Research Hispanic Trends Project. August 29. Available at: http://www.pewhispanic.org/2013/08/29/ii-ranking-latino-populations-in-the-states.

  Burden, Barry. 2006. “A Tale of Two Campaigns: Ralph Nader’s Strategy in the 2004 Presidential Election.” PS: Political Science and Politics 39, no. 4: 871–874.

  Camia, Catalina. 2012. “Romney Taps Ex-Commerce Leader for Hispanic Team.” USA Today, June 6.

  Campbell, Angus, Philip E. Converse, Warren E. Miller, and Donald E. Stokes. 1960. The American Voter. Ann Arbor: University of Michigan Press.

  Carrillo, J. Emilio, Victor A. Carrillo, Hector R. Perez, Debbie Salas-Lopez, Ana Natale-Pereira, and Alex T. Byron. 2011. “Defining and Targeting Health Care Access Barriers.” Journal of Health Care for the Poor and Underserved 22, no. 2: 562–575.

  Carrubba, Cliff, and Richard J. Timpone. 2005. “Explaining Vote Switching Across First- and Second-Order Elections Evidence from Europe.” Comparative Political Studies 38, no. 3: 260–281.

  Carter-Pokras, Olivia, and Ruth Enid Zambrana. 2001. “Latino Health Status.” In Health Issues in the Latino Community 8, no. 23. New York: John Wiley & Sons.

  Ceci, Stephen J., and Edward L. Kain. 1982. “Jumping on the Bandwagon with the Underdog: The Impact of Attitude Polls on Polling Behavior.” Public Opinion Quarterly 46, no. 2: 228–242.

  Chait, Jonathan. 2011. “Obama’s Latino Strategy Takes Shape.” The New Republic, May 12. Available at: http://www.newrepublic.com/blog/jonathan-chait/88173/obamas-latino-strategy-takes-shape.

  Chen, Lanhee. 2013. “How Republicans Can Win over Asian-Americans.” Bloomberg News, April 18. Available at: http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2013-04-18/how-republicans-can-win-over-asian-americans.html.

  Contreras, Raoul Lowery. 2008. “The Bradley Effect Is Still in Effect.” Los Angeles Times, February 5.

  Cooper, Philip F., and Barbara Steinberg Schone. 1997. “More Offers, Fewer Takers for Employment-Based Health Insurance: 1987 and 1996.” Health Affairs 16: 142–149.

  Dahl, Robert A. 1961. Who Governs? Democracy and Power in an American City. New Haven, CT: Yale University Press.

  Damore, David F. 2011. “Reid vs. Angle in Nevada’s Senate Race: Harry Houdini Escapes the Wave.” In Cases in Congressional Campaigns: Storming the Hill, 2nd ed., eds. David Dulio and Randall Adkins. New York: Routledge.

  Dawson, Michael. 1994. Behind the Mule. Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press.

  DeFrancesco-Soto, Victoria, and Jennifer Merolla. 2006. “Vota por Tu Futuro: Partisan Mobilization of Latino Voters in the 2000 Presidential Election.” Political Behavior 28 (December): 285–304.

  De la Garza, Rodolfo, and Louis DeSipio. 1992. From Rhetoric to Reality: Latino Politics in the 1988 Elections. Boulder, CO: Westview Press.

  ______ . 1996. Ethnic Ironies: Latino Politics in the 1992 Elections. Boulder, CO: Westview Press.

  ______ . 1999. Awash in the Mainstream: Latino Politics in the 1996 Elections. Boulder, CO: Westview Press.

  ______ . 2005. Muted Voices: Latinos and the 2000 Elections. Boulder, CO: Rowman & Littlefield.

  DeSipio, Louis. 1996. Counting on the Latino Vote: Latinos as a New Electorate. Charlottesville: University of Virginia Press.

  ______ . 2006. “Latino Civic and Political Participation.” In Hispanics and the Future of America, eds. Marta Tienda and Faith Mitchell. Washington, DC: National Academies Press.

  DeSipio, Louis, Natalie Masuoka, and Christopher Stout. 2006. “The Changing Non-Voter: What Differentiates Non-Voters and Voters in Asian American and Latino Communities?” Working paper. Irvine: University of California, Center for the Study of Democracy (September 19).

  DiCamillo, Mark, and Mervin Field. 2009. “Field Poll: The Changing California Electorate, Part I: Large Scale Demographic Changes in California from What It Was 30 Years Ago.” Yubanet.com, August 4. Available at: http://yubanet.com/california/Field-Poll-The-Changing-California-Electorate-Part-1.php#.U3tRCt7D_IU.

  Douglas, Mary, and Aaron Wildavsky. 1983. Risk and Culture: An Essay on the Selection of Technical and Environmental Dangers. Berkeley: University of California Press.

  Elmore, Michael. 2009. “Obama Defends Driver’s License for Illegals in Interview.” ABC News, February 2. Available at: http://abcnews.go.com/blogs/politics/2008/02/obama-defends-d/.

  Ennis, Sharon R., Merarys Ríos-Vargas, and Nora G. Albert. 2011. “The Hispanic Population, 2010.” 2010 Census Briefs (May). Available at: www.census.gov/prod/cen2010/briefs/c2010br-04.pdf.

  Felsenthal, Dan S., and Moshé Machover. 2004. “A Priori Voting Power: What Is It All About?” Political Studies Review 2, no. 1: 1–23.

  Fiscell, Kevin, Peter Franks, Mark P. Doescher, and Barry G. Saver. 2002. “Disparities in Health Care by Race, Ethnicity, and Language among the Insured: Findings from a National Sample.” In Race, Ethnicity, and Health, ed. Thomas A. Laveist. San Francisco: Jossey-Bass & Sons.

  Foley, Elise. 2012. “Latino Voters in Election 2012 Help Sweep Obama to Reelection.” Huffington Post. November 7. Available at: http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2012/11/07/latino-voters-election-2012_n_2085922.html (accessed April 2, 2014).

  Fraga, Luis, John Garcia, Rodney Hero, Michael Jones-Correa, Valerie Martinez-Ebers, and Gary Segura. 2010. Latino Lives in America: Making It Home. Philadelphia: Temple University Press.

  Fraga, Luis R., Rodney E. Hero, John A. Garcia, Michael Jones-Correa, Valerie Martinez-Ebers, and Gary M. Segura. 2012. Latinos in the New Millennium: An Almanac of Opinion, Behavior, and Policy Preferences. New York: Cambridge University Press.

  Franklin, Mark. 2004. Voter Turnout and the Dynamics of Electoral Competition in Established Democracies since 1945. New York: Cambridge University Press.

  Gans, Daphna, Christina M. Kinane, Greg Watson, Dylan H. Roby, J. Needleman, Dave Graham-Squire, Gerald F. Kominski, Ken Jacobs, David Dexter, and Ellen Wu. 2012. “Achieving Equity by Building a Bridge from Eligible to Enrolled.” Los Angeles: UCLA Center for Health Policy Research and California Pan-Ethnic Health Network.

  García-Castañon, Marcela, and Loren Collingwood. 2009. “Talking to Latinos: Obama’s 2008 Latino Targeted Speeches.” Paper presented at the annual meeting of the Western Political Science Association. Vancouver, BC.

  Garofoli, Joe. 2012. “Latinos’ Enthusiasm Gap Worries Dems.” San Francisco Chronicle, September 5.

  Gay, Claudine. 2006. “Seeing Difference: The Effect of Economic Disparity on Black Attitudes toward Latinos.” American Journal of Political Science 50, no. 4: 982–997.

  Gelman, Andrew, Jonathan N. Katz, and Joseph Bafumi. 2004. “Standard Voting Power Indexes Do Not Work: An Empirical Analysis.” British Journal of Political Science 34, no. 4: 657–674.

  Gelman, Andrew, Jonathan N. Katz, and Francis Tuerlinckx. 2002. “The Mathematics and Statistics of Voting Power.” Statistical Science 17, no. 4: 420–435.

  Glink, Ilyce. 2013. “Foreclosure Crisis Not over for Minorities.” CBSMoney-Watch, June 25. Available at: http://www.cbsnews.com/news/foreclosure-crisis-not-over-for-minorities/ (accessed April 2, 2014).

  Golash-Boza, Tanya Maria. 2012. Immigration Nation: Raids, Detentions, and Deportations in Post-9/11 America. Boulder, CO: Paradigm Publishers.

  Goldstein, Amy. 2008. “Democrats’ Votes Display Racial Divide.” Washington Post, February 6.

  Green, Donald P., and Alan S. Gerber. 2004. Get Out the Vote! How to Increase Voter Turnout. Washington, DC: Brookings Institution Press.

  Greenberg, Michael R. 2005. “Concerns About Environmental Pollution: How Much Difference Do Race and Ethnicity Make? A New Jersey Case Study.” Environmental Health Perspectives 113: 369–374.

  Guerra, Fernando, Jennife
r Magnabosco, and Brianne Barclay. 2008. “LCSLA 2008 Exit Polls of the Presidential Primary and National Elections in the City of Los Angeles Results of the LCSLA National Election Exit Poll: All City, Valley, and Non-Valley.” Los Angeles: Center for the Study of Los Angeles (November 6).

  Gurian, Paul-Henri, and Audrey Haynes. 1993. “Campaign Strategy in Presidential Primaries, 1976–1988.” American Journal of Political Science 37: 335–341.

  Guth, James, Lyman Kellstedt, Corwin Smidt, and John Green. 2006. “Religious Influences in the 2004 Presidential Election.” Presidential Studies Quarterly 36, no. 2: 223–242.

  Gutiérrez, David G. 2004. The Columbia History of Latinos in the United States since 1960. New York: Columbia University Press.

  Hajnal, Zoltan L., and Taeku Lee. 2010. “Race, Immigration, and (Non)Partisanship in America.” Working paper. San Diego and Berkeley: University of California.

  ______ . 2011. Why Americans Don’t Join the Party: Race, Immigration, and the Failure of Political Parties to Engage the Electorate. Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press.

  Hamilton, Nora, and Norma Stoltz Chinchilla. 2001. Seeking Community in a Global City: Guatemalans and Salvadorans in Los Angeles. Philadelphia: Temple University Press.

  Heilman, John. 2008. “The Evita Factor.” New York, February 1.

  Hero, Rodney E., and Robert R. Preuhs. 2009. “Beyond (the Scope of) Conflict: National Black and Latino Advocacy Group Relations in the Congressional and Legal Arenas.” Perspectives on Politics 7, no. 3: 501–517.

  Hero, Rodney E., and Caroline J. Tolbert. 2001. “Dealing with Diversity: Racial/Ethnic Context and Social Policy Change.” Political Research Quarterly 54, no. 3: 571–604.

  Hershey, Marjorie, and David Hill. 1977. “Is Pollution ‘a White Thing’? Racial Differences in Preadults’ Attitudes.” Public Opinion Quarterly 41: 439–458.

  Hopkins, Dan. 2012. “Shifting Voter Support, 2008–2012.” The Monkey Cage, November 7. Available at: http://themonkeycage.org/2012/11/07/shifting-voter-support-2008-to-2012/ (accessed April 22, 2013).

  Immigration Policy Center. 2013. “New Americans in California: The Economic Power of Immigrants, Latinos, and Asians in the Golden State.” Washington, DC: Immigration Policy Center (July).